Daily Analysis 20221007
Global Update: October 07th, 2022 Good morning, Stocks close lower as investors await September jobs report, Dow drops nearly 350 points U.S. stocks fell Thursday, as traders weighed sharp swings…
Daily Analysis 20221006
Global update:
October 06th, 2022
Good morning,
U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday as Wall Street failed to hold on to the sharp gains from the last two sessions.
Dow…….30274 -42.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq.11149 -27.8 -0.25%
S&P 500..3783 -7.7 -0.20%
FTSE…….7053 -33.8 -0.48%
Dax……..12517 -153.3 -1.21%
CAC……..5985 -54.2 -0.90%
Nikkei….27121 +128.3 +0.48%
HSI……..18088 +1008.5 +5.90%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3153 +14.3 +0.46%
IDX…….7075.38 +3.13 +0.04%
LQ45…1011.63 -3.01 -0.30%
IDX Energy…2009.46 +14.83 +0.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1259.15 +5.42 +0.43%
IDX Industrl..1296.07 -2.27 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1466.81 +10.03 +0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.99 +12.51 +1.47%
IDX Techno..7059.25 +127.05 +1.83%
IDX Transp…1850.28 +50.29 +2.79%
IDX Infrast…….980.34 -1.88 -0.19%
IDX Finance 1488.36 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Banking.1156.08 -3.70 -0.32%
IDX Property….692 +1.70 +0.24%
Indo10Yr….7.3341 -0.0440 -0.60%
ICBI……..334.7527 +0.9199 +0.28%
US10Yr……3.7590 +0.1420 +3.93%
VIX……….28.55 -0.52 -1.79%
USDIndx 111.2080 +1.0090 +0.92%
Como Indx..281.89 +1.46 +0.52%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.69 +1.04 +0.70%
.
IndoCDS 149.31 +6.93 +4.87%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)
IDR……15192.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼
Jisdor..15196.00 -80.00 -0.52%‼
Euro……..0.9884 -0.0100 -1.00%‼
TLKM……..29.07 -0.29 -0.99%
(4417)
EIDO………23.67 -0.38 -1.58%
EEM………36.63 +0.02 +0.05%
Oil…………87.76 +1.24 +1.43%
Gold ……1720.80 -9.60 -0.55%
Timah….20207 +148.00 +0.74%
(Closed 04/10)
Nickel…22630.00 +659.00 +2.99%
(Closed 05/10)
Silver…….20.54 -0.56 -2.63%
Copper….350.05 +1.05 +0.30%
Nturl Gas…..6.925 +0.100 +1.47%
Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)
Coal price….396.25 -7.75 -1.92%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.75 -4.25 -1.04%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….404.50 -3.50 -0.86%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….294.35 -6.65 -2.21%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….290.75 -8.80 -2.94%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….288.25 -9.70 -3.25%
(Des/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des)……3640 +25 +0.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………684.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil….65.54 +0.52″ +0.80%
Wheat……..902.00 -1.00 -0.11%
Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/10)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US europe merah… Asia masih kebawa US ijo tebel kemaren
Oil Nickel CPO lanjut naik, gold coal silver turun. Waspada koreksi coal… price newcastle dibawah 400
Masih predict market turun dulu tutup gap, karena sektor masih pada lesu, banking juga belum firm jalan
Yang bagus cuma energy, transportation jarang big caps, rada resiko…
Infobank15 – Stoch udah buy, MACD masih down, volume kecil banget, tanda2 pada wait and see, bandar flat setelah exit, foreign inside tapi lagi diem juga, MFI SW, memang masih jadwal wave 3 tapi false break di IHNS pattern, DMI belum jadi buy signal, masih belum firm mau nganter index ke atas. So, masih jangan aggressive belanja dulu
Daily Analysis 20220914
Global update:
September 14th, 2022
Good morning,
Dow tumbles 1,200 points for worst day since June 2020 after hot inflation report
Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after a key August inflation report came in hotter than expected, hurting investor optimism for cooling prices and a less aggressive Federal Reserve.
Dow…….31105 -1276.4 -3.94%‼️
Nasdaq.11634 -632.8 -5.16%‼️
S&P 500..3932 -177.7 -4.32%‼️
FTSE…….7386 -87.2 -1.17%
Dax……..13189 -213.2 -1.59%
CAC……..6246 -87.9 -1.39%
Nikkei….28615 +72.5 +0.25%
HSI……..19327 -35.4 -0.18%
Shanghai..3264 +1.7 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +15.4 +0.47%
IDX…….7318.02 +63.56 +0.88%
LQ45…1042.64 +9.85 +0.95%
IDX Energy..2063.78 +16.76 +0.82%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.42 -5.20 -0.39%
IDX Industrl..1390.40 +18.58 +1.35%
IDXNONCYC..703.79 +4.24 +0.61%
IDX Hlthcare.1464.26 +9.86: +0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.78 -1.86 -0.21%
IDX Techno..7647.98 -45.90 -0.60%
IDX Transp…1927.02 +42.22 +2.24%
IDX Infrast…..1034.62 +6.15 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1536.62 +28.20 +1.87%
IDX Banking..1193.06 +23.02 +1.97%
IDX Property…734 +7.80 +1.08%
Indo10Yr….7.1745 -0.0089 -0.12%
ICBI……..336.7872 +0.2684 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.4220 +0.0600 +1.78%
VIX……….27.27 +3.40 +14.24%‼️
USDIndx 109.8150 +1.4850 +1.37%
Como Indx..285.77 -1.85 -0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.12 -0.37 -0.24%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14851.50 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor..14861.00 +22.00 +0.15%
Euro……..0.9970 -0.0152 -1.50%
TLKM……..29.58 -0.88 -2.89%‼️
(4396)
EIDO………24.33 -0.26 -1.06%
EEM………38.36 -1.22 -3.08%‼️
Oil…………..87.71 -0.28 -0.32%
Gold ……..1712.70 -23.50 -1.35%
Timah. .21461.00 +296.00 +1.40%
( Closed 12/9)
Nickel…24142.50 -307.50 -1.26%
(Closed 13/9)
Silver…….19.29 -0.52 -2.62%
Copper….353.10 -8.45 -2.34%
Nturl Gas…..8.398 -0.011 -0.13%
Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/9)
Coal price….439.35 +1.85 +0.42%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.65 +1.15 +0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.00 +4.00 +0.96%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.00 +7.00 +2.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.50 +10.00 +3.28%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.75 +9.50 +3.11%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Nov)……3900 +218 +5.92%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………..692.75 -3.25 -0.47%
SoybeanOil…66.73 +0.24 +0.36%
Wheat……..860.50 +1.75 +0.20%
Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/9)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US drop dalem banget, Eropa ikut merah tapi ga terlalu dalem, mungkin sentimen negatif keluar ga lama marketnya tutup. Asia masih pada ijo sisa sentimen hari sebelumnya, cuma hangseng yang merah
Ini worst fear saya, diangkat sampe seolah-olah mau bikin record high, terus dibanting dalem pas saat semua orang lagi greed. Secara technical, jebakan technical persis kaya gini ada di tahun kemaren, pas keluar MACD buy signal pas index dibawa turun lagi
Kemungkinan besar akan dibanting dulu, semoga ga semua sektor dibawa kebawah
IHSG – technically relatif bagus. Memang dari kemarin kemarin sudah dikhawatirkan akan drop bikin Wave 2, cuma belum start aja, karena finance LK pada bagus dan bikin new record high BBCA BMRI, otomatis index keangkat. Ada regular Bearsih Divergence MACD dan ada 3 gap di bawah dan stochastic siap sell yang mendukung koreksi. kalo masih ada profit dan sempet exit bagusnya exit dulu
Yang mungkin contrarian sama index di Basic Materials sama Property, tapi tetep kalo sentimen awal pasti ikut keseret kebawah. Industrials cacingnya masih up aja, tapi udah wave 5 dan ada sentimen negatif kayanya udahan dulu. Financials ga usah dibahas, pasti ngikut index
Daily Analysis 20220808
Global Update: August 08th, 2022 Good morning, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall Friday, but notch weekly gains after blowout July jobs report Stocks wavered Friday in a volatile trading session after…
Daily Analysis 20220802
Global Update:
Agust 02nd, 2022
Good morning,
Stock were flat in overnight trading after a new month of trading kicked off for the markets.
Dow…….32798 -46.7 -0.14%
Nasdaq.12368 -21.7 -0.18%
S&P 500..4119 -11.7 -0.28%
FTSE…….7413 -10.01 -0.13%
Dax……..13480 -4.4 -0.03%
CAC……..6437 -11.6 -0.18%
Nikkei….27933 +191.7 +0.69%
HSI……..20166 +9.3 +0.05%
Shanghai..3260 +6.7 +0.21%
ST Times..3239 +27.2 +0.85%
IDX…….6968.78 +17.66 +0.25%
LQ45…..981.99 +3.36 +0.34%
IDX Energy…1866.79 +9.07 +0.49%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.25 +12.65 +0.99%
IDX Industrl..1305.00 -3.51 -0.27%
IDXNONCYC..708.11 +5.51 +0.78%
IDX Hlthcare.1433.44 -20.03 -1.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.41 -6.94 -0.77%
IDX Techno..7654.70 -59.61 -0.77%
IDX Transp…2000.56 +36.50 +1.86%
IDX Infrast……996.08 +7.38 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1504.50 +4.66 +0.31%
IDX Banking..1121.79 +2.80 +0.25%
IDX Property…….691 +1.60 +0.23%
Indo10Yr….7.2101 -0.0236 -0.32%👍
ICBI……..333.1013 +0.3337 +0.10%👍
US10Yr…..2.6060 -0.0360 -1.36%
VIX…………22.84 +1.51 +7.08%
USDIndx 105.4500 -0.4530 -0.43%‼️
Como Indx..286.11 -5.95 -2.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.76 -1.23 -0.78%
IndoCDS…120.08 +5.04 +4.38%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14873.00 +39.00 +0.26%
Jisdor..14874.00 +14.00 +0.09%
Euro………1.0262 +0.0042 +0.41%
TLKM……..28.74 +0.24 +0.84%
(4275)
EIDO………23.23 +0.12 +0.52%
EEM………39.62 -0.34 -0.85%
Oil…………93.91 -5.01 -5.08%‼️
Gold ……1788.90 +7.10 +0.40%
Timah. .25047.00 – –
( Closed 29/7)
Nickel…24344.00 +490.00 +2.05%‼️
(Closed 01/8)
Silver…….20.32 +0.12 +0.59%
Copper….353.60 -3.75 -1.05%
Nturl Gas…..8.218 -0.068 -0.82%
Ammonia….3690.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/7)
Coal price….405.00 -0.50 -0.12%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….393.40 -1.10 -0.28%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.00 -6.50 -1.75%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…353.30 -6.20 -1.72%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)…..4073 -233 -5.41%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………609.75 -10.25 -1.65%
SoybeanOil…63.26 -2.40 -3.66%
Wheat………800.25 -7.50 -0.93%
Wood pulp…6690.00 +30 +0.45%
(Closed 01/8)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.
Kebanyakan index regional tipis tipis, ada yang ijo tipis ada yang merah tipis. Jepang sama Singapore aja yang rada tebel.
Harga komoditas terkait energy turun semua,mungkin ini mulai mau pullback dulu di energy, walau sebenernya oil belum jalan jalan amat sih. Long run masih ok, yang masih mau hold asal punya modal bawah masih ok, TP sebagian lebih rekomended, nanti re buy di saat rebound
Metal2 an naik kecuali copper, CPO drop lagi, padahal diperkirakan saham CPO mau start rally tadinya
IHSG – Alligator Buy, Supertrend Up, ada gap di atas, LR seems to test upper channel, MACD looking good, inside ichimoku cloud, hopefully breaks upwards. Stochastic nya yang udah sell signal, minta turun…
Semoga sesuai skenario yang diharapkan, tutup gap dulu terus pullback pas efek LK big banks lewat, pas tutup gap kita profit taking dulu