Daily Analysis 20250728

Daily Analysis 20250728

Good morning,

July 28th, 2025

S&P 500 scores 5th straight record high ahead of Europe-U.S. trade meeting

Wall Street’s so-called fear gauge dropped this week as U.S. stocks continued to set record highs, with investors appearing encouraged in part by the White House’s progress on the global trade front.

Dow…..44902 +208.01+0.47%
Nasdaq 21108 +50.4 +0.24%
S&P 500 6389 +25.3 +0.40%

FTSE…..9120 -18.1 -0.20%
Dax…..24218 -78.4 -0.32%
CAC…..7835 +16.3 +0.21%

Nikkei….41456 -370.1 -0.88%
HSI………25388 -278.8 -1.09%
Shanghai.3594 -12.1 -0.33%

IDX..7543.50 +12.60 +0.17%
LQ45..794.51 -5.29 -0.66%
IDX30.410.76 -3.03 -0.73%

IDXEnergy.2944.21 -9.66 -0.33%
IDX BscMat1606.61 +13.97 +0.88%
IDX Indstr….1004.60 +7.47 +0.75%
IDXNONCYC.691.78 -0.38 -0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1557.71-11.44 -0.73%
IDXCYCLC…707.79 +1.09 +0.15%
IDX Techno.8932.23+20.52 +0.23%
IDX Transp 1516.90 -15.28 -1.00%
IDX Infrast .1891.66 +24.18 +1.29%
IDX Finance.1442.05 +23.48 +1.66%
IDX Banking 1027.84 -17.20 -1.65%
IDX Property..761 +3.50 +0.46%

Indo10Yr.6.5983 +0.0086 +0.13%
ICBI….419.1317 -0.0208 -0.00%
US2Yr.3.917 +0.001 +0.03%
US5Yr 3.952 -0.005 -0.23%
US10Yr4.386 -0.013 -0.30%
US30Yr.4. 929 -0.010 -0.20%
VIX..14.93 -0.46 -2.99%

USDIndx..97.6450❗️+0.268 +0.28%
Como Indx.302.25 -2.12 -0.70%
BCOMIN..157.70 -0.77 -0.48%

IndoCDS 5yr.70.88👍 -0.31 -0.44%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/07)

IDR…….16320.00❗️+25.00 +0.15%
Jisdor…16325.00❗️+30.00 +0.18%

Euro..1.1742❗️-0.0009 -0.08%

TLKM..17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
( 2832)
EIDO….17.60 -0.21 -1.18%
EEM…49.51 -0.15 -0.30%

Oil…65.16 -0.99 -1.50%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.44 -0.74 -1.07%
(Brent)

Gold.3392.50 -33.30 -0.97%
(Comex)
Gold.3337.30 -30.03 -0.89%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..34061.00 -565.00 -1.63%
(Closed 25/07)
Nickel…15186.50 -226.38 -1.47%
(Closed 25/07)
Silver….39.37 +0.03 +0.08%
Copper.578.50 -3.50 -0.60%

Iron Ore 62% 98.58 -0.03 -0.03%
(25/07)

Nturl Gas .3.110 +0.003 +0.10%

Ammonia China.2510.00 +43.33 +1.76%
(Domestic Price 25/07)

Coal price113.75 +0.65 +0.57%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.50 +0.75 +0.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.50 +0.75 +0.64%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..119.20 +0.75 +0.63%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.60 +2.25 +2.22%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.35 +2.00 +1.95%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.105.15 +1.80 +1.74%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.00 +1.50 +1.44%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4276 -54 -1.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..419.00 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 55.98 -0.36 -0.64%
Wheat…538.25 -3.25 -0.60%

Wood pulp..5967.67 unch +0%
(Closed 25/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing ijo jum’at, SP500 set new record high lagi, europe asia mostly merah, IHSG ijo walau banyak big caps merah. US treasury bond yield down, semoga senin ini bisa lanjut ijo IHSG, candle nya doji sih, agak mengkhawatirkan

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali silver, Oil down, gas up, coal up, CPO down, ayo rebound ADRO, koreksinya lumayan 3 hari kemaren. AKRA belum jalan lagi nih, sempet long lower shadow kamis, rada menakutkan pas kejadian tapi candle long lower shadow candle bullish sih

IHSG – stoch sell macd up mfi up w% uptrend, BD acc FNS, MACD reg bear div, doji, banyak gap, agak serem sih. Tapi semoga ikut sentimen US mau lanjut ke atas. Play safe, yang udah ijo pasang trailing stop, yang resiko pasang stop loss jangan digantung

Waduh habis, kalo cuma technology jelas ga mungkin nahan index, harus hati hati banget

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BMRI ESSA MAPI SIDO TPIA UNIQ, big accum TPIA

MACD Buy Signal: PWON

Supertrend Buy Signal: SMRA

Daily Analysis 20250710

Daily Analysis 20250710

Good morning,

July 10th, 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq jump as Nvidia’s surge to milestone boosts tech

US stocks rose on Wednesday as Nvidia shares jumped to a fresh all-time high, with the AI chip maker becoming the first company to ever cross a $4 trillion market cap.

Dow…..44458 +217.5 +0.49%
Nasdaq 20611 +192.7 +0.94%
S&P 500 6263 +37.8 +0.61%

FTSE…..8867 +12.8 +0.14%
Dax…..24550 +342.7 +1.42%
CAC…..7878 +111.8 +1.44%

Nikkei….39823 +132.5 +0.33%
HSI………23892 -265.8 -1.06%
Shanghai.3493 -4.4 -0.13%

IDX..6943.92 +39.53 +0.57%
LQ45..768.78 +6.42 +0.84%
IDX30.395.09 +2.10 +0.53%

IDXEnergy.2743.42 +1.98 +0.07%
IDX BscMat1503.13 +20.97 +1.41%
IDX Indstr…..929.64 +9.81 +1.07%
IDXNONCYC.678.79 +7.57 +1.13%
IDX Hlthcare1523.29 +18.96 +1.26%
IDXCYCLC…737.07 +7.11 +0.97%
IDX Techno.6489.83 -18.95 -0.29%
IDX Transp 1423.64 +4.02 +0.28%
IDX Infrast .1432.59 +14.34 +1.01%
IDX Finance.1345.68 +6.41 +0.40%
IDX Banking 1001.33 +2.47 +0.25%
IDX Property..727 +14.60 +2.02%

Indo10Yr.6.6720 +0.0111 +0.17%
ICBI….415.8551 +0.0298 +0.01%
US2Yr.3.849 -0.048 -1.23%
US5Yr 3.910 -0.068 -1.71%
US10Yr4.333 -0.068 -1.55%
US30Yr.4. 869-0.060 -1.22%
VIX..15.94 -0.87 -5.18%👍

USDIndx..97.5550❗️+0.039 +0.04%
Como Indx.301.65 -0.64 -0.21%
BCOMIN..152.77 -2.10 -1.36%

IndoCDS 5yr.75.00 -0.32 -0.42%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/07)

IDR…….16257.50❗️+52.00 +0.32%
Jisdor…16254.00❗️+16.00 +0.10%

Euro..1.1725 -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM..16.38 -0.01 -0.06%
( 2662)
EIDO….17.47 +0.16 +0.92%
EEM…48.29 -0.08 -0.17%

Oil…68.24 +0.11 +0.16%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…70.19 +0.04 +0.06%
(Brent)

Gold.3311.30 +17.00 +0.51%
(Comex)
Gold.3319.65 +17.56 +0.53%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33283.00 -114.00 -0.34%
(Closed 09/07)
Nickel…14983.88 -38.25 -0.25%
(Closed 09/07)
Silver….36.64 -0.27 -0.73%
Copper.553.25 +3.45 +0.63%

Iron Ore 62% 95.32 -0.23 -0.24%
(09/07)

Nturl Gas .3.201 -0.137 -4.10%
Ammonia China.2323.33 +6.66 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 09/07)

Coal price.110.25 +0.65 +0.59%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price112.90 +1.30 +1.16%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 114.10 +1.35 +1.20%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.115.60 +1.25 +1.09%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.75 +0.65 +0.61%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.55 +1.35 +1.26%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.70 +1.45 +1.35%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.95 +1.50 +1.40%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4159 +10 +0.24%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..415.50 +1.25 +0.30%
SoybeanOil 54.00 +0.14 +0.26%
Wheat…547.00 -0.75. -0.14%

Wood pulp…5900.00 -16.67 -0.28%
(Closed 09/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua ijo kecuali china hongkong, US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo semua

USD index up, gold copper up, metal2 lain down, oil lanjut up, gas down, coal up cpo up, jalan ini harusnya AKRA ELSA ADRO dkk. LSIP AALI DSNG kita check ada buy signal apa nggak

IHSG – stoch up macd almost buy MFI up w% up BD acc FNS, dari respon market terhadap pengumuman tariff trump kayanya lanjut rally wave 3 ini, kita tunggu BBCA BMRI BBRI BBNI jalan. ASII TLKM udah duluan mulai

Infrastructure, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Financials belum, cuma Infrastructure yang sudutnya bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ESSA INKP JSMR MEDC

MACD Buy Signal: CPIN BFIN LSIP

Daily Analysis 20250625

Daily Analysis 20250625

Good morning,

June 25th 2025

Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool

U.S. stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the U.S. central bank’s path forward.

Dow…..43089 +507.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq 19913 +281.6 +1.43%
S&P 500 6092 +67.01 +1.11%

FTSE…..8759 +0.95 +0.01%
Dax…..23641 +372.6 +1.60%
CAC…..7615 +78.4 +1.04%

Nikkei….38791 +436.5 +1.14%
HSI……24177 +487.9 +2.06%
Shanghai.3421 +38.98 +1.15%

IDX..6869.17 +82.03 +1.21%
LQ45..764.41 +10.59 +1.40%
IDX30.395.16 +4.66 +1.19%

IDXEnergy.2729.57 -16.22 -0.59%
IDX BscMat1442.00 +3.98 +0.20%
IDX Indstr…..908.55 +8.89 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.657.46 +12.28 +1.90%
IDX Hlthcare1461.75+29.04 +2.03%
IDXCYCLC…709.41 +20.80 +3.02%
IDX Techno.6518.52 +35.09 +0.54%
IDX Transp 1437.10 +12.28 +0.86%
IDX Infrast .1379.42 +10.66 +0.78%
IDX Finance.1351.37 +19.67+1.48%
IDX Banking 1031.08 +20.41 +2.02%
IDX Property..727 +22.60 +3.21%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.7903-0.0327 -0.48%
ICBI….412.3536 +0.8614 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.821 -0.042 -1.09%
US5Yr 3.861 -0.049 -1.25%
US10Yr4.296 -0.052 -1.20%
US30Yr.4.835 -0.039 -0.80%
VIX..17.48 -2.35 -11.85%👍

USDIndx..98.8580👍 -0.496 -0.50%
Como Indx.296.97 -8.08 -2.65%‼️
BCOMIN..145.39 +0.30 +0.20%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️+0.64 +0.78%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)

IDR…….16.353.50❗️-138.50👍 -0.84%
Jisdor…16.370.00❗️-114.00👍 -0.69%

Euro..1.1609❗️ +0.0015 +0.13%

TLKM..16.06 +0.16 +1.01%
( 2629)
EIDO….16.38 +0.49 +2.90%
EEM…47.92 +1.21 +2.59%

Oil…65.10❗️-1.07 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.14 -4.34 -6.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3335.50‼️ -42.50 -1.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3322.42‼️ -34.63 -1.03%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32319.00 -374.00 -1.14%
(Closed 24/06)
Nickel…14911.13 +113.88 +0.77%
(Closed 24/06)
Silver….36.22 -0.15 -0.41%
Copper.494.75 +0.10 +0.02%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.12 -0.13%
(24/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2316.67 +6.67 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 24/06)

Coal price.106.60 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.90 -3.05 -2.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 -2.60 -2.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.40 -2.60 -2.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.50 -0.95 -0.91%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.15 -4.80 -4.45%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.65 -5.00 -4.60%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.15 -5.10 -4.67%‼️
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 3986 -139 -3.37%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..429.00 -4.75 -1.10%
SoybeanOil 52.61 -1.14 -2.12%
Wheat..552.00 -17.50 -3.07%‼️

Wood pulp…6066.67 -16.66 -0.27%
(Closed 24/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe asia ijo semua, menyusul pengumuman cease fire Israel-Iran walau terus dilanggar… US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo, tapi mungkin tutup gap dulu. Apakah akan langsung lanjut wave 3, belum bisa ditebak, dari itungan sih mungkin saja, sudah sampe fibo 38, tapi biasanya sih sampe fibo 50

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, tapi ancaman penutupan selat sama iran masih mungkin, walau sebenernya tanpa itu juga major nya keliatan mau ke atas, tapi minornya terlihat jadi dipaksa turun dulu

IHSG – MFI up, 833 buy, yang lain masih jelek, ada 2 gap di bawah, bahwa mungkin wave 2 nya berhenti di fibo 38 mungkin, tapi masih FNS dan BD dist agak berat untuk langsung ngangkat

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials (tapi big banks masih jelek), Healthcare, Industrials, UNTR LK bagus, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Masih belum meyakinkan, yang bahaya Energy sama basic materials melemah

Oil Price Chart – MACD sell signal, kecuali konflik memanas lagi sepertinya akan kebawah dulu, prepare buang dulu saham minyak, pantau ketat

Coal Price Chart – udah supertrend buy, 2 hari koreksi tapi ga terlalu besar, macd jadi terlihat mau rev down, ga terkait langsung sama konflik, harusnya sih tetep jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BBCA BBTN BRIS GGRM ICBP MAPI SIDO ERAA MNCN MYOR PWON, big accum cuma GGRM sama PWON

MACD Buy Signal WIFI nerusin stoch nya buy duluan kemaren, tapi overpriced jadi kita skip

Daily Analysis 20250623

Daily Analysis 20250623

Good morning,

June 23th 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures slide, oil rises after US strikes on Iran

US stock futures opened lower Sunday evening, as President Trump’s decision to enter the US into the Israel-Iran conflict threw a fresh bout of uncertainty into a market rushing to grapple with the aftereffects.

Dow…..42207 +36.2 +0.08%
Nasdaq 19447 -98.9 -0.51%
S&P 500 5968 -13.03 -0.22%

Dow Fut 42.424 -91.00. -0.21%

FTSE…..8775 -17.2 -0.20%
Dax…..23351 +293.2 +1.27%
CAC…..7590 +36.2 +0.48%

Nikkei….38403 -85.1 -0.22%
HSI………23531 +292.7 +1.26%
Shanghai.3360 -2.2 -0.07%

IDX..6907.14 -61.50 -0.88%
LQ45..764.93 -9.88 -1.28%
IDX30.397.09 -4.54 -1.13%

IDXEnergy.2806.46 -26.39 -0.95%
IDX BscMat1454.83 -26.94 -1.82%
IDX Indstr…..914.25 -1.05 -0.11%
IDXNONCYC.659.11 -4.38 -0.66%
IDX Hlthcare1456.93-12.31 -0.84%
IDXCYCLC…712.56 -3.81 -0.53%
IDX Techno.6652.71 -10.44 -0.16%
IDX Transp 1425.57 +22.01 +1.57%
IDX Infrast .1393.23 -18.19 -1.29%
IDX Finance.1358.58 -7.78 -0.57%
IDX Banking 1023.77 -7.37 -0.71%
IDX Property..725 -9.30 -1.26%

Indo10Yr.6.7901+0.0158 +0.23%
ICBI….411.9429 -0.2517 -0.06%
US2Yr.3.904 -0.035 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.959 -0.027 -0.68%
US10Yr4.376 -0.012 -0.27%
US30Yr.4.889 -0.002 -0.04%
VIX..20.62 -1.55 -6.99%‼️

USDIndx..99.0620 -0.157 +0.16%
Como Indx.312.53 -1.87 -0.59%
BCOMIN..144.13 -0.32 -0.22%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️ +2.18 +2.73%
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/06)

IDR…….16.396.50❗️-9.50 -0.06%
Jisdor…16.399.00❗️+21.00 +0.13%

Euro..1.1486 -0.0090 -0.08%

TLKM..16.04 -0.60 -3.61%‼️
( 2630)
EIDO….17.18 -0.69 -3.86%‼️
EEM..46.33 -0.27 -0.58%

Oil…75.23 +1.09 +1.45%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…79.48 +0.63 +0.79%
(Brent)

Gold.3394.760 +11.10 +0.33%
(Comex)
Gold.3375.81 ; +10.63 +0.32%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32683.00 +674.00 +2.11%
(Closed 20/06)
Nickel…14965.63 -37.75 -0.25%
(Closed 20/06)
Silver….36.28 -0.11 -0.30%
Copper.485.15 -1.20 -0.25%

Iron Ore 62% .94.77 +0.06 +0.06%
(20/06)

Nturl Gas .3.847 -0.229 -5.62%‼️
Ammonia China.2353.33 -6.67 -0.28%
(Domestic Price 20/06)

Coal price.106.60 -0.40 -0.37%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.25 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price113.50 +0.20 +0.18%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.10 -0.10 -0.09%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.75 +0.25 +0.24%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.05 +0.10 +0.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.80 +0.30 +0.28%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.45 +0.50 +0.51%
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4115 +11 +0.27%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..441.25 -2.75. -0.62%
SoybeanOil 55.10 -0.30 -0.54%
Wheat….583.50 -7.00 -1.19%

Wood pulp…6083.33 -6.67 -0.11%
(Closed 20/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing DJI up nasdaq down europe lebih banyak up, asia banyak down, israel-iran masih tegang, wave 2 masih lanjut, target 6538, US treasury bond yield down, tapi curiga berat buat stimulus IHSG ijo

USD index up gold tin iron ore up, nickel silver copper down, oil up, gas down, coal newcastle down, rotterdam up, tapi normalnya akan naik karena suasana perang, CPO up tapi saham CPO belum gerak

IHSG – all bad, vol naik sih tapi candle merah, exit beneran. Keliatannya target wave 2 di closing gap 6538

Koq bisa kebaca Financials ada gerakan, BBRI BBCA nyungsep, tapi emang sih ada BTPS sama apa lagi gitu naik. Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials, Infrastructure, Property, Technology