Daily Analysis 20230413

Daily Analysis 20230413

April 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks ended Wednesday’s regular trading session on a down note. The S&P 500
closed 0.41% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite
dropped 0.85%. The Dow snapped a four-day winning streak, ending the day down 38.29 points, or 0.11%.

At the first, the major averages were earlier in the session following the release of March’s consumer price index report, which showed headline pressures slowed last month. The CPI advanced 0.1% month over month in March, and 5% from the prior year.

Traders’ sentiment turned in the afternoon after the release of minutes from the March Federal Open Market Committee meeting. In particular, the Fed expects the recent banking crisis to cause a recession later this year.

Dow……33647 -38.3 -0.11%
Nasdaq11929 -102.5 -0.85%
S&P 500.4092 -16.99 -0.41%

FTSE…..7825 +39.1 +0.50%
Dax……15704 +48.4 +0.31%
CAC……7397 +6.7 +0.09%

Nikkei…..28083 +159.3 +0.57%
HSI………20310 -175.4 -0.86%
Shanghai.3327 +13.6 +0.41%

IDX…..6798.96 -12.35 -0.18%
LQ45….943.18 +1.40 +0.15%
IDX30…491.46 +0.62 +0.13%

IDXEnergy…2052.28 -33.74 -1.62%
IDX BscMat 1158.66 -3.28 -0.28%
IDX Indstrl…1204.13 +11.57 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC.712.94 -3.69 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare1505.43 -8.02 -0.53%
IDXCYCLIC…..810.57 -1.42 -0.18%
IDX Techno..4817.76 -71.02 -1.45%
IDX Transp..1779.01 +6.01 +0.34%
IDX Infrast…..803.45 +0.94 +0.12%
IDX Finance.1391.44 +2.65 +0.19%
IDX Banking.1145.74 +4.32 +0.38%
IDX Property…694 -2.0 -0.28%

Indo10Yr.6.7472+0.0047+0.07%
ICBI….354.8340+0.0088+0.00%
US2Yr.3.9682 -0.0647 -1.60%
US5Yr 3.4659 -0.0690 -1.95%
US10Yr3.4000 -0.0320 -0.93%
US30Yr.3.6350+0.010 +0.28%
VIX…… 19.09 -0.01 -0.05%

USDIndx101.5000 -0.6530 -0.64%👍
Como Indx.275.73 +1.00 +0.37%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…156.52 +1.82 +1.17%

IndoCDS..92.110 +0.4900 +0.53%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/04)

IDR…..14880.00👍 -5.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.14866.00👍 -22.00 -0.15%

Euro……1.0994 +0.0080 +0.73%

TLKM….28.90 +0.05 +0.17%
(4297)
EIDO……23.90 +0.05 +0.17%
EEM……39.39 -0.28 -0.71%

Oil……83.26 +1.73 +2.12%
Gold.2024.90 +5.70 +0.28%
Timah..24308.00 – -%
(Closed 06/04)
Nickel..23565.00 +491.00 +2.13%
(Closed 11/04)
Silver……25.46 +0.27 +1.08%
Copper…408.10 +6.15 +1.53%

Nturl Gas.2.084 -0.1760 -7.91%‼️

Ammonia 3633.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/04)

Coal price.194.60 -0.55 -0.28%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.202.40 -2.60 -1.26%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.90 +1.40 +0.68%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.206.05 -2.10 -1.00%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.133.80 +4.35 +3.36%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.126.95 +0.95 +0.75%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.35 +0.35 +0.28%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.75 -0.10 -0.08%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3775 -120 -3.08%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..627.75 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil54.16 -0.85 -1.55%
Wheat…..679.60 +5.50 +0.82%

Wood pulp..4740.00 -50.00 -1.05%
(Closed 11/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe ijo, asia varied, US dollar index turun, yang consequently means semua commodity yang diikat nilai nya ke dollar cenderung naik. Index mungkin akan sideways tapi saham terkait komoditi harusnya tetep jalan

Oil up, gas drop, coal newcastle down, coal rotterdam jump, cpo drop. Ini sih keliatannya giliran ANTM MDKA INCO TINS untuk jalan lagi

IHSG – stoch masih down, macdp, 833 almostbuy, MFI up, BD flat, FNB,w% flat, retracement pattern keliatan mau bawa naik after mantul di fibo 23, masih optimis double bottom jalan

Kemarin BUMN konstruksi semua digoreng, Infrastructure jadi keliatan jalan, selain JSMR yang sudah run duluan. Industrials ASII kemarin naik tinggi, BMTR semoga nyusul, Financials BBCA BBRI BMRI kemaren jalan,semoga lanjut biar bisa ngangkat index, repot gendong GOTO yang bikin rusak aja

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII PGAS MTEL MTMH MIKA LMSH WINS

MACD Buy Signal: INTP ADHI MTMH PTPP TKIM ANJT

Daily Analysis 20230403

Daily Analysis 20230403

April 03rd, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Nasdaq notches best quarter since 2020

Stocks rose Friday as Wall Street wrapped up a volatile, but winning quarter that saw more Federal Reserve rate tightening and a mini-financial panic spurred on by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

Dow……33274 +415.1 +1.25%
Nasdaq12222 +208.4 +1.74%
S&P 500.4109 +58.5. +1.44%

FTSE…..7632 +11.3 +0.16%
Dax…..15629. +106.4 +0.69%
CAC……7322 +59.02 +0.81%

Nikkei…..28042 +258.6 +0.93%
HSI………20400 +90.98 +0.49%
Shanghai.3273 +11.6 +0.36%

IDX…..6805.28 -3.67 -0.06%
LQ45….937.68 -1.93 -0.20%
IDX30…488.29 -1.07 -0.22%

IDXEnergy…2103.64 +17.36 +0.83%
IDX BscMat 1183.75 +1.40 +0.12%
IDX Indstrl…1185.57 +8.39 +0.71%
IDXNONCYC.731.64 -3.08 -0.42%
IDX Hlthcare1540.65 +4.38 +0.29%
IDXCYCLIC…..822.32 -3.30 -0.40%
IDX Techno..5100.73 -37.97 -0.74%
IDX Transp..1789.36 -10.46 -0.58%
IDX Infrast…..808.84 -1.70 -0.21%
IDX Finance.1385.82 +1.72 +0.12%
IDX Banking.1136.13 -1.14 -0.10%
IDX Property…686 +4.2 +0.62%

Indo10Yr.6.7956 -0.0126 -0.19%👍
ICBI…..353.1919 +0.3423 +0.10%👍
US2Yr.4.0376 -0.0839 -2.03%
US5Yr 3.5836 -0.0966 -2.62%
US10Yr3.4730 -0.0740 -2.08%
US30Yr.3.4730-0.0790 -2.11%
VIX…… 19.02 -0.10 -0.52%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.267.73 +3.35 +1.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…159.99 +0.95 +0.59%

IndoCDS..95.060 -3.950 -3.99%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/31)

IDR…..14995.50 -51.50 -0.34%👍
Jisdor.14977.00 -85.00 -0.56%👍

Euro……1.0839 -0.0068 -0.62%

TLKM….27.27 -0.16 -0.58%
(4084)
EIDO……23.53 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……39.46 -0.05 -0.13%

Oil……75.67 +1.30 +1.75%
Gold.1986.20 -11.50 -0.58%
Timah 25835.00 -81.00 -0.31%
(Closed 03/31)
Nickel..23744.50 +652.00 +2.82%
(Closed 03/31)
Silver…..24.16 +0.17 +0.70%
Copper..409.45 +0.30 +0.07%

Nturl Gas.2.166 +0.062 +2.94%

Ammonia 3966.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.193.00 +5.50 +2.93%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.50 +4.00 +2.25%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.70 +5.70 +2.85%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price..208.15 +6.90 +3.43%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.90 +0.15 +0.11%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.137.00 -1.55 -1.12%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 133.25 -2.25 -1.66%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.70 -1.60 -1.19%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3758 -33 -0.87%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..660.50 +11.00 +1.69%
SoybeanOil.55.49 +1.12 +2.06%
Wheat…..692.25 unch +0%

Wood pulp…5080.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua closing hijau jum’at, IHSG harusnya ijo lagi hari ini

Oil Gas Coal lanjut ijo, Metal2 tipis2 merah dan ijo kecuali nikel yang rebound, ANTM MDKA minor pullback dulu, INCO kita liat, CPO merah lagi

Coal Price belum terlihat firm reversal, walau dari supertrend dan macd sudah bilang up

IHSG – stoch mulai oversold, 833 sell, macd masih up, mungkin minor pullback or sideways dulu sebelum ngejar test resistance neckline double bottom, tapi yang bikin tenang MFI masih up, BD FF acc, w% masih uptrend

Energy leading, Basic Materials, Transportation, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, sama yang keliatan mau jalan Technology. Consumer Non-Cyclicals anehnya di minggu kedua ramadhan malah melemah, mungkin mau lari lagi di deket lebaran

Stochastic Buy Signal: LMSH

MACD buy signal: ASII INTP PTBA SCMA LPPF

Alligator Buy SIgnal: AMRT BBCA CTRA ERAA

Supertrend Buy Signal: INCO ADMR PWON

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