Daily Analysis 20230102

Daily Analysis 20230102

January 02nd, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks fall to end Wall Street’s worst year since 2008, S&P 500 finishes 2022 down nearly 20%

Stocks slipped on Friday to end a brutal 2022 with a whimper, as Wall Street wrapped up its worst year since 2008 on a sour note.

Dow…….33147 -73.6 -0.22%
Nasdaq.104667 -11.6 -0.11%
S&P 500..3840 -9.8 -0.25%

FTSE…….7452 -60.98 -0.81%
Dax……..13924 -148.1 -1.05%
CAC……..6474 -99.7 -1.52%

Nikkei…..26094 unch +0%
HSI………19781 +40.3 +0.20%
Shanghai…3089 +15.6 +0.51%
ST Times..3251 +2.1 +0.06%

IDX…….6850.62 -9.46 -0.14%
LQ45……937.18 -4.37 -0.38%

IDX Energy..2279.55 -3.98 -0.17%
IDX BscMat 1216.13 -7.87 -0.64%
IDX Indstrl…1174.34 -1.51 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC..716.56 -6.44 -0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1564.97+10.64+0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.90 +2.96 +0.35%
IDX Techno..5162.04 -46.34 -0.89%
IDX Transp…1661.94 +2.31 +0.14%
IDX Infrast……868.64 +11.50+1.34%
IDX Finance 1414.93 +4.43 +0.31%
IDX Banking 1150.98 +4.00 +0.35%
IDX Property….711 +0.37 +2.60%

Indo10Yr.7.0077 +0.0059 +0.08%
ICBI….344.7816 +0.0474 +0.01%
US10Yr..3.8790 +0.0440 +1.15%
VIX……21.67 +0.23 +1.07%

USDIndx.103.9790 -0.5570 -0.53%
Como Indx.277.75 +1.74 +0.63%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..165.34 -1.06 -0.64%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15572.50 -85.00 -0.54%
Jisdor..15592.00 -139.00-0.88%

Euro……1.0712 +0.0048 +0.45%

TLKM…..23.85 +0.17 +0.72%
(3719)
EIDO…….22.39 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……..37.90 -0.53 -1.38%

Oil……..80.26 +1.86 +2.37%
Gold …1826.20 +0.20 +0.01%
Timah….24808 -108.00 -0.43%
(Closed 30/12)
Nickel.30058.50 -92.50 -0.31%
(Closed 30/12)
Silver…….24.04 -0.21 -0.87%
Copper…381.05 -1.35 -0.35%

Nturl Gas..4.081 -0.643 -13.61%‼️

Ammonia..4623.67 +16.6 +0.36%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/12)

Coal price….389.60 +9.55 +2.51%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.00 +7.90 +2.22%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….339.55 +5.95 +1.78%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…190.50 +1.45 +0.74%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..190.00 +2.40 +1.28%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..188.70 +2.15 +1.15%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4178 +88 +2.15%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….678.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil…64.07 -2.29 -3.45%
Wheat………792.00 +18.00 +2.33%

Wood pulp…6446.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI tahun 2022 jelek banget, dan pasti berefek pada semua bursa di dunia… Secara umum harga komoditas naik, inflasi, banyak negara besar terkena krisis ekonomi pasca covid. Semoga 2023 bener2 recovery

Posisi closing 2022 Oil Coal CPO naik, Gas drop, metal2 rata2 turun. Indikasinya saham energy akan lanjut naik minimal sampe winter beres, semoga saham2 CPO juga sama.

IHSG 2022 closing 4% diatas closing 2021, belum berhasil rally wave 3 setelah ABC correction yang start di april. Kalau liat pattern tahun 2021, semoga sampe maret april lanjut bullish

IHSG – stoch nya sell, MACD masih up, masih FNS terus, BD lagi rada flat, MFI naik tapi last day turun, udah breakout ascending triangle tapi konsolidasi lagi, semoga cuma retest, lanjut rally… Bisa mulai berani belanja selektif sih terutama di saham2 yang setiap tahun ada january effect

Technology sama Consumer Cyclicals

Stoch Buy Signal: CTRA SCMA SMRA WIIM

MACD Buy Signal: MMLP SCMA

Daily Analysis 20221213

Daily Analysis 20221213

December 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 500 points higher to start the week as investors await Fed meeting, inflation data

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped Monday, clawing back some of the steep losses from the previous week, as traders looked ahead to a highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting and new inflation data.

Dow…….34005 +528.6 +1.58%
Nasdaq.11144 +139.1 +1.26%
S&P 500..3991 +56.2 +1.43%

FTSE…….7446 -30.7 -0.41%
Dax……..14306 -64.1 -0.45%
CAC……..6651 -27.1 -0.41%

Nikkei….27842 -58.7 -0.21%
HSI……..19464 -437.2 -2.20%
Shanghai..3179 -27.9 -0.87%
ST Times..3240 -6.3 -0.19%

IDX…….6734.45 +19.33 +0.29%
LQ45……938.75 +5.74 +0.61%

IDX Energy..2125.64 +11.31 +0.54%
IDX BscMat 1250.80 +2.00 +0.16%
IDX Indstrl…1170.02 +2.52 +0.16%
IDXNONCYC..728.03 +8.72 +1.21%
IDX Hlthcare.1540.42 +11.23 +0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.47 +0.37 +0.04%
*IDX Techno..5071.19 -122.03 -2.35%*
IDX Transp…1711.99 +17.98 +1.06%
IDX Infrast……852.91 -2.05 -0.24%
IDX Finance 1432.70 +2.51 +0.18%
IDX Banking 1156.21 +3.00 +0.26%
IDX Property….708 – -%

*Indo10Yr…7.0409 +0.0050 +0.07%*
*ICBI…….343.1945 +0.0670 +0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.6110 +0.0440 +1.23%*
*VIX……25.00 +2.17 +9.51%‼️*

*USDIndx..105.0360 +0.2260 +0.22%*
Como Indx..269.37 +3.09 +1.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.01 -1.83 -1.08%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15627.50 +44.50 +0.29%*
*Jisdor..15642.00 +55.00 +0.35%*

*Euro……1.0537 +0.0004 +0.04%*

TLKM……..23.59 +0.28 +1.20%
*(3690)*
EIDO……….22.76 +0.28 +1.25%
EEM……….38.09 -0.12 -0.31%

*Oil………..73.17 +2.15 +3.03%‼️*
Gold ……1792.30 -18.40 -1.02%
Timah…..24290 – -%
*(Closed 09/12)*
*Nickel…29303.50 +481.00 +1.67%*
*(Closed 12/12)*
Silver………23.40 -0.31 -1.32%
Copper….380.05 -7.80 -2.01%

*Nturl Gas…..6.524 +0.217 +3.44%*

Ammonia..4890.00 – +%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….400.25 -2.25 -0.56%
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….373.00 -9.10 -2.38%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….361.25 -11.25 -3.02%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….250.25 -10.65 -4.08%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….235.25 -18.65 -7.35%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….237.40 -17.50 -6.86%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3741 -246 -6.17%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….654.00 +10.00 +1.55%
*SoybeanOil.61.47 +1.93 +3.24%‼️*
*Wheat…….754.75 +20.50 +2.79%*

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Great, US rebound, kemaren IHSG surprisingly berhasil closing ijo sih, despite GOTO yang nyeret kebawah dari awal sesi 1. Asia lain merah, europe merah, semoga semua hari ini menghijau

Metal2 umumnya turun biasanya gini kalo USD index nya naik, nikel yang naik sendiri. Oil ijo, gas ijo, giliran Coal yang merah, waktunya belanja saham coal ini kayanya, buy on dip. CPO masih kacaw, ini drop lagi

IHSG semoga outlook nya cerah begini…

 

IHSG – stoch 833 sudah buy, MACD masih down, stoch 1066 sudah melandai, masih NFS tapi makin kecil, bandar sudah start akum, MFI naik, sudah firm tutup gap, tinggal mantulnya sih. Semoga rally panjang wave 3…

 

Masih primadonanya Energy sama Healthcare, yang lain mulai loyo, mungkin mau gantian sama infrastucture dan basic materials

Yang jelas kita tunggu dan doakan cepet financials bangun

Stoch Buy Signal: BFIN CPIN ERAA BSDE MMLP PMMP WIIM

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF MEDC ASSA

Daily Analysis 20221206

Daily Analysis 20221206

December 06th, 2022 Good morning, Dow sheds nearly 500 points, stocks finish lower on worries of further Fed rate hikes Stocks fell Monday on fears that the Federal Reserve may…
Daily Analysis 20220725

Daily Analysis 20220725

GLobal Update:

July 25th, 2022

Good morning,

The S&P 500 fell nearly 1% on Friday, but finished the week higher, as investors digested disappointing results from Snap that sent social media shares reeling.

Dow…….31899 -137.6 -0.43%
Nasdaq.11834 -225.5 -1.87%
S&P 500..3962 -37.3 -0.93%

FTSE…….7276 +5.9 +0.08%
Dax……..13254 +7.04 +0.05%
CAC……..6217 +15.7 +0.25%

Nikkei….27915 +111.7 +0.40%
HSI……..20609 +34.5 +0.17%
Shanghai..3270 -2.03 -0.06.%
ST Times..3181 +29.04 +0.92%

IDX…….6887.13 +22.83 +0.33%
LQ45…..974.04 +2.49 +0.26%

IDX Energy…1724.72 +30.26 +1.79%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.78 +27.71 +2.21%
IDX Industrl..1214.33 +1.69 +0.14%
IDXNONCYC..723.55 -0.81 -0.11%
IDX Hlthcare.1521.78 -6.29 -0.41%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.42 +2.49 +0.28%
IDX Techno….8080.04 +225.02+2.86%
IDX Transp…1993.71 -6.42 -0.32%
IDX Infrast……974.04 +2.49 +0.26%
IDX Finance 1473.08 -1.40 -0.10%
IDX Banking..1097.14 -5.51 -0.50%
IDX Property…….676 +0.20 +0.02%

Indo10Yr….7.5023 -0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI……….327.9024 -0.2157 -0.07%
US10Yr…..2.7830 -0.1270 -4.36%‼
VIX…………23.03 -0.08 -0.35%

USDIndx 106.7300 -0.1800 -0.17%‼
Como Indx..281.16 -0.68 -0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.14 +3.19 +2.19%

IndoCDS…137.24 -3.61 -2.56%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……15013.50 -23.00 -0.15%‼
Jisdor..15024.00 +7.00 +0.05%‼

Euro………1.0213 -0.0011 -0.11%

TLKM……..27.94 +0.13 +0.47%
(4198)
EIDO………22.50 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM………39.42 -0.40 -1.00%

Oil…………94.70 -1.83 -1.89%‼
Gold ……1745.30 +11.00 +0.63%
Timah. .24o47.00 +106.00 +0.43%
( Closed 21/7)
Nickel..22373.50 +760.50 +3.52%
(Closed 23/7)
Silver…….18.62 -0.12 -0.64%
Copper….334.95 +3.65 +1.10%

Nturl Gas…..8.305 +0.415 +5.26%‼

Ammonia….369033 -133.33 -3.49‼%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/7)

Coal price….409.20 +5.80 +1.44%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…399.05 +23.65 +6.30%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…376.30 +0.25 +0.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…336.80 +4.10 +1.23%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3883 +161 +4.33%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….564.25 -9.25 -1.61%
SoybeanOil…57.87 +1.81 +3.23%‼
Wheat………759.00 -47.25 -5.86%‼

Wood pulp…6630.00 unch +0%
(Closed 23/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Ujung jum’at US merah, sampai closing europe padahal masih pada ijo, kecuali shanghai yang closing merah di waktu market asia

Oil silver turun, gold lead nickel copper gas coal cpo naik

Harusnya ANTM INCO TINS dan saham coal MDKA PGAS AALI LSIP lanjut jalan

Reminder:

Ini mungkin terjadi, ABC correction yang “flat style”

Ini juga mungkin, ABC correction standar

Kita mesti siap menghadapi dua duanya…

Udah ok buat buy beberapa saham dari teknikal dan fundamental si saham itu sendiri, tapi ada resiko keseret kondisi global/regional

Ini yang tahun kemaren, ABC Flat Style Correction, kejadian di bulan Mei, so, sekarang bulan juli dan biasanya akhir tahun selalu ada santa claus rally, bisa jadi sekarang sudah lewat bottom-nya