February 12th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes above 5,000 for first time ever, notches fifth straight winning week

Stocks rose on Friday after December’s revised inflation reading came in lower than first reported, and the S&P 500 closed above the key 5,000 level as strong earnings and economic news chugged on.

Dow……38672 -54.6        -0.14%
Nasdaq15991 +196.6    +1.25%
S&P 500.5027 +28.7      +0.57%

FTSE…..7573    -22.9     -0.30%
Dax……16927   -37.3     -0.22%
CAC……7648    -18.1     -0.24%

Nikkei..36897   +34.1    +0.09%
HSI……15747    -131.5   -0.83%
Shanghai.2866 +36.2    +1.28%

IDX…..7235.15 -12.26     -0.17%
LQ45….983.14 +2.51      +0.26%
IDX30…499.60 +1.76      +0.35%

IDXEnergy..2076.97   closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1244.03  closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1082.91   closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.703.24   closed  +0%
IDX Hlthcare1336.55. closed  +0%
IDXCYCLIC…851.33    closed  +0%
IDX Techno3993.83.   closed. +0%
IDX Transp 1566.07    closed  +0%
IDX Infrast  1517.29.   closed  +0%
IDX Finance.1503.48  closed  +0%
IDX Banking.1346.46  closed  +0%
IDX Property.. 696       closed. +0%

Indo10Yr.6.6689 closed +0%
ICBI…376.6402  closed  +0%
US2Yr.4.486  +0.002 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.142  +0.009 +0.22%
US10Yr4.177 -0.010  -0.23%
US30Yr.4.374-0.007  -0.16%
VIX…12.93  +0.14  +1.09%

USDIndx 104.1110 ‼️-0.05 -0.05%
Como Indx..274.34 +0.77   +0.28%
BCOMIN……132.17 -0.79     -0.60%

IndoCDS..74.22  -0.01    -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/02)

IDR…..15635.00‼️ closed +0%
Jisdor.15685.00‼️ closed +0%

Euro….1.0784  +0.00   +0.06%

TLKM…25.50  +0.17  +0.67%
(3999)
EIDO……22.41 +0.15  +0.67%
EEM……39.58  +0.17  +0.43%

Oil…….76.84  +0.62   +0.81%
Gold..2038.70 -9.20    -0.45%
Timah..26367.00  +472.00  +1.82%
(Closed 09/03)
Nickel..15921.00  -86.00   -0.54%
(Closed 09/02)
Silver……22.59   -0.04      -0.19%
Copper.368.15   -2.05      -0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 128.75  -0.32  -0.25%
(0)/02)
Nturl Gas..1.861‼️  -0.056  -2.92%
Ammonia China.2983.33 -166.67-5.29%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/02/02)

Coal price 126.60  unch   +0%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.60 +0.50  +0.40%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.30 +0.70  +0.56%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..126.55 +0.75 +0.60%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.00   -1.65   -1.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.55   -1.85   -1.92%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.30   -1.65   -1.78%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..89.80   -1.40   -1.54%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881  +7    +0.18%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……429.00      -4.25    -0.98%
SoybeanOil 47.75  -0.57    -1.18%
Wheat….596.75    +8.25    +1.40%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing US DJI merah nasdaq ijo tebel SP500 naik lagi, europe merah, asia varied. Walau DJI merah tapi secara umum US bagus, Bond rate yang pendek naik yang panjang turun dan ga terlalu jauh, masih acceptable lah, harusnya ga bawa saham ke bawah.

USD index turun tapi kebanyakan metal juga turun, kecuali timah. Oil up, gas down, coal newcastle ijo, rotterdam merah, harusnya masih on the way up lah, CPO ijo lagi, masih nunggu kapan jalan

IHSG – stoch still up, macd almost buy, MFI up, w% sw, BD sw, FNB dan naik terus, semoga lanjut wave B sampe deket ATH lagi, bikin flat style ABC correction, tapi ada kemungkinan jebakan betmen juga, dibanting tepat setelah MACD buy signal, biar banyak korban. Yang pegang barang pantau ketat

dari RSI quadrant pada jelek, sisa Consumer Non Cyclicals, tapi terlihat juga Property, Industrials sama Energy mulai bangun

Stochastic Buy Signal: EXCL BFIN PTRO WIFI SMDR LTLS. Big accum BFIN SMDR, dan SMDR masuk screening top value investing, ada spike juga

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT BTPS DRMA DSNG TKIM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: PGAS

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS

January 19th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks close near record highs
Big Tech led a stock market rally on Tuesday as Apple (AAPL) had its best day since May 2023.

Dow……37469 +201.9 +0.54%
Nasdaq15056 +200.03+1.35%
S&P 500.4780 +41.7 +0.88%

FTSE…..7459 +12.8. +0.17%
Dax……16567 +135.7 +0.83%
CAC……7401 +82.7 +1.13%

Nikkei..35466 -11.6 -0.03%
HSI…….15392 +114.9 +0.75%
Shanghai.2845 +12.2 +0.43%

IDX…..7252.97 +52.33 +0.73%
LQ45….972.96 +4.02 +0.41%
IDX30…498.80 -1.13 -0.23%

IDXEnergy..2180.61 +1.26 +0.06%
IDX BscMat.1283.51 +34.75+2.78%
IDX Indstrl…1113.24 -1.14 -0.10%
IDXNONCYC.703.37 -2.26 -0.32%
IDX Hlthcare1320.50+20.33 +1.56%
IDXCYCLIC…862.35 +2.35 +0.27%
IDX Techno4264.01 -4.02 -0.09%
IDX Transp 1695.63 -13.44 -0.79%
IDX Infrast 1542.32 +14.76 +0.97%
IDX Finance.1504.08+0.28 -0.55%
IDX Banking.1324.28 -1.84 -0.14%
IDX Property.. 705 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6837 -0.0157 -0.23%
ICBI…374.9675 +0.2794 +0.07%
US2Yr.4.354 -0.007 -0.16%
US5Yr 4.045 -0.061 -1.51%
US10Yr4.147 +0.041 +1.00%
US30Yr.4.365 +0.052 +1.21%
VIX….14.13 -0.66 -4.46%

USDIndx 103.5360❗️ +0.086 +0.08%
Como Indx..265.46 +2.42 +0.92%
BCOMIN……134.38 +0.09 +0.06%

IndoCDS..78.18 +2.49 +3.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) (17/01)

IDR…..15623.50 -19.50 -0.12%
Jisdor.15630.00 -9.00 -0.06%

Euro….1.0875 -0.0002 -0.02%

TLKM…25.50 -0.09 -0.39%
(3986)
EIDO……22.20 +0.07 +0.29%
EEM……37.99 +0.31 +0.82%

Oil……..74.08 +1.52 +2.09%
Gold..2021.60 +15.10 +0.75%
Timah..25175.00 +58.00 +0.23%
(Closed 17/01)
Nickel..16162.00 +64.5 +0.40%
(Closed 18/01)
Silver……22.81 +0.14 +0.61%
Copper.374.50 +1.20 +0.32%

Iron Ore 62% 135.79 -0.96 -0.70%
(17/01)
Nturl Gas..2.714 -0.153 -5.34%‼️
Ammonia China.3250.0 – -%
(Domestic Price)(17/02)

Coal price.128.90 -0.60 -0.46%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.75 -0.45 -0.36%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.122.70 -1.00 -0.80%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 122.60 -0.50 -0.41%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.05 -0.05 -0.50%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price .99.40 -1.30 -1.29%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price…95.75 -1.50 -1.54%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…94.10 -1.50 -1.57%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3901 +83 +2.17%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……444.00 +1.75 +0.40%
SoybeanOil 47.62 -0.08 -0.17%
Wheat…585.50 +13.25 +0.51%

Wood pulp..5066.00+4.00 +0.08%
(Closed 17/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe rebound, asia rebound duluan, semoga lanjut tudei,

US bond rate yang pendek turun, yang panjang naik, fine aja kalo yang panjang tinggi mah, harusnya ga terlalu ngaruh dibanding yang pendek. USD index naik lagi, tapi ga banyak, metal2 naik kecuali iron ore, MDKA udah jalan duluan, baru buy signal kemaren. Oil up, gas drop, coal down, CPO up rada tinggi, semoga AALI LSIP finally jalan

IHSG – stoch revup, macd still down, 33 buy, MFI sw, w% sw, BD acc, FNS walau mengecil, kalo dari level harga, ada 2 target titik koreksi, ke suppport 7046 dan closing dap dibawah 6900, kayanya sih akan dibawa ke support, kalo dibanting tutup gap bisa goyang Indonesia

Yang confirmed tinggal Healthcare, Infrastructure sama Basic Materials mengintai gantian jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: BUKA INTP MDKA TPIA BMTR HMSP WIFI, big accum MDKA WIFI

MACD Buy Signal: TINS WIFI

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: ICBP ISAT

Alligator Buy Signal: INDF ELSA. INDF spike, ELSA Big accum

January 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

The market in US & almost the entire global market is currently on holiday due to the New Year

Dow……37690 closed +0%
Nasdaq15011 closed +0%
S&P 500.4770 closed +0%

FTSE…..7733 +10.5 +0.14%
Dax……16752 +50.1 +0.30%
CAC……7543 +8.02 +0.11%

Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….17047 closed +0%
Shanghai.2975 closed +0%

IDX…..7272.80 closed +0%
LQ45….970.57 closed +0%
IDX30…495.21 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2100.86 closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1307.47 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1093.76 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.722.40 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1376.16 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…821.42. closed +0%
IDX Techno4435.61 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1601.51. closed. +0%
IDX Infrast 1570.03. closed +0%
IDX Finance.1458.32 closed. +0%
IDX Banking.1269.55 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 714 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.5991 closed +0%
ICBI…374.6140 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.250 closed +0%
US5Yr 3.840 closed +0%
US10Yr3.866 closed +0%
US30Yr.4.019 closed +0%
VIX….12.45 closed +0%

USDIndx 101.3330 closed +0%
Como Indx..263.83 closed +0%
BCOMIN……142.65 closed +0%

IndoCDS..69.28 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/12)

IDR…..15399.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15439.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.1063 -0.0043 -0.39%

TLKM…25.76 closed +0%
(3978)
EIDO….22.31 closed +0%
EEM….40.21 closed +0%

Oil……..71.65 closed +0%
Gold..2071.80 closed +0%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16671.00 – -%
(Closed 30/12)
Silver……24.09 closed +0%
Copper.389.05 closed +0%

Iron Ore 62% 136.37 +0.21 +0.15%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas…2.497 closed +0%
Ammonia China.3806.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(28/12)

Coal price.136.95 closed +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 133.80 closed +0%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.95 closed +0%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.45 closed +0%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.30 closed +0%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.85 closed +0%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 99.85 closed +0%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .98.55 closed +0%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3740 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……471.25 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 48.18 closed +0%
Wheat……628.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua tutup tahun baruan, eropa terakhir masih buka closing ijo. New year di januari kebanyakan turun sih, kecuali ada beberapa saham yang sering jalan di januari

Kita fokus baca technical analysis nya dulu hari ini

IHSG – stoch overbought, macd up, MFI sw, w%uptrend, BD FF acc, masih berharap lanjut tapi ini jelas rawan koreksi, udah sampe target minimal wave 5 soalnya, dan santa claus rally udah selesai

Property, Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Healthcare, Transportation, malah financials kaya belum jadi jalan, hati hati

Stoch Buy Signal: BBNI GGRM TBIG HEAL OMED PNLF WIFI. Yang big accum cuma BBNI, ADRO sell dan big dist, perlu dicermati coal yang lain, bisa jadi batal jalan dan harus exit

MACD Buy Signal: BBTN SCMA TOWR HEAL HMSP MMIX TAPG WIKA. WIKA kan suspended, koq buy signal…

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: AKRA BUKA CPIN TOWR BMTR HEAL MMIX TKIM. BMTR waive dulu, tar tengah taun kita ikut gorengannya