August 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 500 points lower Thursday as investors’ recession fears awaken

Stocks sold off Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
tumbling nearly 500 points, as investors’ fears over a recession surfaced.

Dow……40348 -494.8 -1.21%
Nasdaq17194 -405.3 -2.30%
S&P 500.5447 -75.6 -1.37%

FTSE…..8283 -84.6 -1.01%
Dax……18083 -425.6 -2.30%
CAC……7570 -161.04 -2.14%

Nikkei..38126 -975.9 -2.49%
HSI……..17305 -39.6 -0.34%
Shanghai.2932 -6.4 -0.22%

IDX….7325.98 +70.22 +0.97%
LQ45…925.51 +11.76 +1.29%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2459.65 +8.23 +0.34%
IDX BscMat1371.22 +7.60 +0.56%
IDX Indstrl.1036.57 -4.17 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.705.02+0.29 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1448.34 -1.06 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…759.81 +0.53 +0.07%
IDXTechno.3284.23 -3.28 -0.10%
IDX Transp 1391.58 +10.89 +0.20%
IDX Infrast 1568.46 -6.94 -0.44%
IDX Finance1417.15 +15.2 +1.09%
IDX Banking1263.32 +25.59 +2.07%
IDX Property…..649 +8.20 +1.29%

Indo10Yr.6.9175❗️ -0.0245 -0.35%
ICBI…384.4484❗️ +0.8774 +0.23%
US2Yr.4.156 -0.104 -2.44%👍
US5Yr 3.844👍 -0.073 -1.86%
US10Yr3.970👍 -0.0789 -1.93%
US30Yr.4.280 -0.026 -0.60%
VIX..18.59 +2.23 +13.63%‼️

USDIndx 104.4210 +0.325 +0.31%
Como Indx….273.59 -4.53 -1.63%
BCOMIN…..139.10 -1.33 -0.94%

IndoCDS..75.20 +000 +0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16237.00❗️ -23.00 -0.14%
Jisdor.16294.00❗️ -51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.59 -0.26 -1.46%*
( 2866)
EIDO….20.19 +0.05 +0.27%
EEM……42.20 -0.73 -1.70%

Oil………..76.79 -1.77 -2.25%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.52 -1.20 -1.49%
(Brent)
Gold…..2489.20 -3.10 -0.12%
(Comex)
Gold……2448.00 -2.74 -0.11%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29894.00 -162.00 -0.54%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -276.00 -0.92%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.61 -0.61 -2.09%
Copper.406.70 -12.65 -3.02%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 105.94 -0.31 -0.29%
(31/07)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.142.55 +2.45 +1.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.80 +2.40 +1.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 145.25 +3.25 +2.29%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +3.50 +2.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.95 +3.10 +2.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.80 +4.00 +3.42%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.45 +3.90 +3.35%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.55 +4.00 +3.43%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3871 -38 -0.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..398.50 -1.25 -0.31%
SoybeanOil 41.45 -0.87 -2.06%
Wheat…..532.00 +4.75 +0.90%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 01/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, europe juga, asia juga kecuali IHSG, sekarang kemungkinan besar nyusul merah

US Bond yield sebenernya merah, kalo pasar saham US ijo kita hampir pasti ijo juga, tapi ini nggak, US merah, kita masih jadwal wave 2, so kayanya hancur lagi. USD index up, consequently metal2 merah semua, oil gas CPO merah, coal ijo tebel sendiri. PTBA menarik ini

IHSG – kemarin FNB, tapi turnover vol transaksi kecil, ga terlalu valid jadinya. Technically masih jelek, very selective buying, malah amannya diem dulu keep cash

Bubar semua, Basic Materials yang terlihat mau mulai gerak. Healthcare masih bagus arahnya, tapi bukan spesialis contrarian, skip

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, ANTM ICBP INCO KLBF PGEO TOWR UNTR UNVR BRMS CTRA MPMX NISP PWON SMRA TBIG TINS TRON PSSI ISSI, yang accum tapi cuma ANTM INCO PWON SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BMRI BRPT TOWR MICE, big accum ANTM BMRI BRPT

July 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq build on record highs as Powell testimony keeps rate cut hopes alive

Dow……39292 -52.8 -0.13%
Nasdaq18430 +25.6 +0.14%
S&P 500.5577 +4.1 +0.07%

FTSE…..8139 -53.8 -0.66%
Dax……18236 -235.9 -1.28%
CAC……7509 -118.8 -1.56%

Nikkei..41580 +799.5 +1.96%
HSI…..17523 -0.8 -0.00%
Shanghai.2959 +36.9 +1.26%

IDX….7269.80 +18.82 +0.26%
LQ45..909.42 +5.09 +0.56%
IDX30.454.76 +2.42 +0.53%

IDXEnergy..2421.61 -18.53 -0.76%
IDX BscMat1385.90 -4.75 -0.34%
IDX Indstrl.1008.75 +11.02 +1.10%
IDXNONCYC.707.02 -1.68 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1428.64 -18.54 -1.28%
IDXCYCLIC…739.12 +0.75 +0.10%
IDXTechno3295.35 -4.58 -0.14%
IDX Transp 1304.60 +1.21 +0.09%
IDX Infrast 1577.32 +4.85 +0.31%
IDX Finance1391.87 +19.74 +1.44%
IDX Banking1231.18 +26.04 +2.16%
IDX Property…..614 +1.00 +0.17%?

Indo10Yr.7.0582 +0.0098 +0.14%
ICBI…381.1188 -0.1884 -0.05%
US2Yr.4.626 -0.009 -0.19%
US5Yr 4.245 +0.004 +0.09%
US10Yr4.298 +0.023 +0.54%
US30Yr.4.489 +0.026 +0.58%
VIX..12.51 +0.14 +1.13%

USDIndx 105.1290 +0.129 +0.12%
Como Indx….289.98 -0.93 -0.32%
BCOMIN…… 152.48 -1.90 -1.23%

IndoCDS..73.70👍 -0.52 -0.70%
(5-yr INOCD5) (08/07)

IDR…..16251.00 -6.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.16281.00 +16.00 +0.10%

Euro…1.0815 -0.0010 -0.09%

TLKM…18.99 +0.29 +1.55%
( 3092)
EIDO….20.01 +0.16 +0.18%
EEM…..43.82 +0.18 +0.41%

Oil…….81.68 -0.54 -0.66%
Gold…..2370.20 +3.60 +0.15%
Timah..34350.00 +132.00 +0.39%
(Closed 09/07)
Nickel..17149.00 -292.00 -1.67%
(Closed 09/07)
Silver….31.07 -0.01 -0.03%
Copper.457.90 -3.70 -0.80%

Iron Ore 62% 110.02 -1.29 -1.16%
(05/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.351 -0.027 -1.14%
Ammonia China 2850.00 +3.30 +0.12%
(Domestic Price)(08/07)

Coal price.135.25 +0.25 +0.15%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.60 -0.75 -0.55%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 137.15 -0.95 -0.69%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.103.00 -1.50 -1.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..104.00 -2.05 -1.93%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.50 -2.20 -2.04%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.00 -2.75 -2.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3958 -82 -2.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..408.50 +0.75 +0.18%
SoybeanOil 46.31 -1.95 -4.04%‼️
Wheat…572.00 +1.50 +0.26%

Wood pulp..5320 -100 -1.85%
(Closed 09/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lagi lagi, DJI merah nasdaw ijo, europe merah, asia ijo, US bond yield 2 tahun turun tipis, yang lebih panjang naik, IHSG kemaren supposedly closing merah tapi berhasil ijo, hari ini kayanya merah deh

USD index up, tapi gold tin up, metal lain down, oil gas down coal tipis tipis, cpo down lagi, hadeuh ini nahan laju AALI deh, kemaren udah sempet naik kenceng padahal. Bagus buat entry sih

CPO Price – lagi koreksi memang, tapi mid term trend nya up sih, dan dibandingkan dengan pergerakan harga saham AALI LSIP SIMP, sahamnya turun relatif lebih besar daripada harga CPO nya. Harapannya sih rebound ya

IHSG – indicator mulai menunjukkan signal koreksi, stoch overbought dan sell signal, hidden bearish divergence, ada gap, RSI belum overbought, MACD masih up sih, tapi hati hati pokoknya, jangan FOMO ngejar yang udah rally duluan

masih Industrials, Basic Materials, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal ACES BUKA UNVR ERAA MARK, ga ada yang big accum

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: BBNI HRUM TLKM SSMS, TLKM BBNI freq spike

June 20th, 2024

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Juneteenth

Dow……38835 closed +0%
Nasdaq17862 closed +0%
S&P 500.5487 closed +0%

FTSE…..8205 +13.8 +0.25%
Dax……18068 -64.4 -0.36%
CAC……7570 -58.6 -0.77%

Nikkei..38571 +88.7 +0.23%
HSI…..18430 +514.8 +2.87%
Shanghai.3018 -12.2 -0.40%

IDX….6726.92 -7.91 -0.12%
LQ45..839.62 -5.89 -0.70%
IDX30.414.50 -2.54 -0.63%

IDXEnergy..2225.10 +17.74 +0.80%
IDX BscMat1298.14 -2.02 -0.16%
IDX Indstrl. 898.31 +0.59 +0.07%
IDXNONCYC.680.39 -6.83 -0.99%
IDX Hlthcare1402.58-19.25 -1.35%
IDXCYCLIC…691.34 -13.68 -1.94%
IDXTechno3060.95 -41.45 -1.34%
IDX Transp 1198.13 -19.48. -1.60%
IDX Infrast 1449.64 +12.08 +0.84%
IDX Finance1296.15 -6.50 -0.50%
IDX Banking1089.28 -9.64 -0.88%
IDX Property…..593 -9.1 -1.52%

Indo10Yr.7.0818‼️+0.0411 +0.58%
ICBI…378.8874‼️ -0.5886 -0.16%
US2Yr.4.718 closed +0%
US5Yr 4.243 closed +0%
US10Yr4.232 closed +0%
US30Yr.4.352 closed +0%
VIX..12.48 +0.18 +1.46%

USDIndx 105.2540 ❗️-0.002 -0.001%
Como Indx….295.68 closed +0%
BCOMIN….150.57 closed +0%

IndoCDS..76.69 +4.54 +6.29%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (17/06)

IDR…16365.00‼️ -47.00 -0.29%
Jisdor.16368.00‼️-6.00. -0.04%

Euro….1.0745 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM…16.84 closed +0%*
( -)
EIDO….18.38 closed +0%
EEM…..42.89 closed +0%

Oil…….81.47 -0.02 -0.02%
Gold..2342.70 -1.00 -0.04%
Timah..32384.00 +240.00 +0.75%
(Closed 19/06)
Nickel..17346.00 +8.00 +0.05%
(Closed 19/06)
Silver….30.14 +0.55 +1.86%
Copper.447.60 +1.45 +0.33%

Iron Ore 62% 107.11 +0.06 +0.06%
(18/06)
Nturl Gas..2.915 +0.012 +0.41%
Ammonia China.2966.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(19/06)

Coal price.134.10 +0.20 +1.50%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 +1.10 +0.82%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 +2.10 +1.52%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 142.75 +3.10 +2.22%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.110.75 +1.50 +1.37%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.40 +3.15 +2.86%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.90 +2.60 +2.27%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.55 +2.70 +2.29%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3920 +37.00 +0.95%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..467.75 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 44.44 closed +0%
Wheat….599.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp..5720 -20 -0.35%
(Closed 19/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Closed, Europer kebanyakan ijo, asia hangseng ijo tebel, yang lain tipis tipis. USD index turun tipis, metal2 ijo tipis kecuali gold, oil merah tipis, gas ijo coal ijo, CPO ijo, bisa kita liat lagi PTBA hari ini. Semoga AALI juga

IHSG – harusnya sih udah done turunnya, index lain pada ok koq, nasdaq malah record high, mungkin nunggu pelantikan presiden biar seolah olah presiden baru bikin ekonomi menggeliat. Tapi technically belum saatnya aggressive belanja

Healthcare, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES EXCL INCO UNVR ADMR BFIN BRMS ELSA HRTA JPFA. Big accum ACES ADMR BFIN BRMS ELSA JPFA

MACD Buy Signal: DRMA SSMS BRAM

April 29th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts best week since November, Nasdaq surges 2% Friday as Alphabet soars

Stocks jumped Friday, and the S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite notched their best week since November as Big Tech names rallied on strong earnings and traders pored through fresh U.S. inflation data

Dow……38240 +153.9 +0.40%
Nasdaq15928 +316.1 +2.03%
S&P 500.5100 +51.5 +1.0%

FTSE…..8140 +60.97 +0.75%
Dax……18161 +243.7 +1.36%
CAC……8088 +71.6 +0.89%

Nikkei..37935 +307.3 +0.81%
HSI…..17651 +366.7 +2.12%
Shanghai.3088 +35.7 +1.17%

IDX…..7036.08 -119.22 -1.67%
LQ45..898.78 -24.72 -2.68%
IDX30..455.88 -12.58 -2.69%

IDXEnergy..2137.65 -29.50 -1.36%
IDX BscMat1299.02 -26.63 -2.01%
IDX Indstrl..1043.51 -11.73 -1.11%
IDXNONCYC.684.83 -12.14 -1.74%
$IDX Hlthcare1319.14-30.34 -2.25%*
IDXCYCLIC…756.20 -21.79 -2.80%
IDXTechno3281.74 -40.93 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1312.48 -8.89 -0.67%
IDX Infrast 1596.06 -7.13 -0.44%
IDX Finance.1406.19 -23.45 -1.57%
IDX Banking.1233.19 -41.04 -3.39%‼️
IDX Property.. 615 -.4.10 -0.66%

Indo10Yr.7.0845‼️ +0.0207 +0.29%
ICBI…373.8771‼️ -0.4467 -0.12%
US2Yr.4.993‼️ -0.007 -0.14%
US5Yr 4.687 -0.032 -0.68%
US10Yr4.663 -0.045 -0.96%
US30Yr.4.777 -0.036 -0.75%
VIX…….15.03 -0.34 -2.21%

USDIndx 105.9380❗️+0.361 +0.34%
Como Indx..296.84 -0.82 -0.29%
BCOMIN..157.30 +0.41 +0.26%

IndoCDS..79.19 -0.49 -0.61%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/04)

IDR…..16210.00‼️+22.50 +0.14%
Jisdor.16208.00‼️+47.00 +0.29%

Euro….1.0693 -0.0036 -0.34%

TLKM…18.85 +0.14 +0.72%
( 3057)
EIDO……20.31 -0.55 -2.64%
EEM……41.17 +0.46 +1.12%

Oil…….83.85 +0.28 +0.34%
Gold..2347.20 +4.70 +0.20%
Timah..32411.00 -462.00 -1.40%
(Closed 26/04)
Nickel..19256.50 +65.00 +0.34%
(Closed 25/04)
Silver…….27.54 -0.10 -0.35%
Copper…457.43 +3.55 +0.78%

Iron Ore 62% 110.16 +0.48 +0.44%
(26/04)
Nturl Gas..2.285 +0.303 +15.29%‼️
Ammonia China.3000.00 +83.33 +2.85%
(Domestic Price)(26/04)

Coal price 135.50 -1.25 -0.92%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.50 -1.50 -1.08%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 -2.35 -1.65%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.15 -2.90 -2.00%

Coal price..106.25 -5.60 -5.01%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.10 -5.45 -4.84%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.55 -5.05 -4.48%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.80 -4.85 -4.31%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3896 +22.00 +0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….450.00 -2.00 -0.44%
SoybeanOil 45.54 +0.11 +0.24%
Wheat…..622.25 +1.75 +0.28%

Wood pulp..5800 +40 +0.69%
(Closed 28/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua ijo kecuali IDX, ga beres ini…

US Bond Yield down, harusnya sih ijo hari ini, apalagi kemaren merah dalem sendirian. USD index up, tapi kebanyakan metal juga up, kecuali Tin dan SIlver. Oil up, gas jump, coal down, CPO up, Coal price udah relatif tinggi walau last day nya down. Bisa berharap mantul ANTM ELSA mungkin AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – harusnya udah beres koreksinya, walau masih mungkin ngejar fibo 61. Tapi dari fibo ext wave B udah done targetnya. Indicators masih jelek, BD FF masih dist, tapi semoga mulai reversal hari ini

Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF MTEL TPIA CEKA. Big accum MTEL, cocok sama sektor. TPIA buy signal kita tunggu BRPT jalan, entry lagi

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP UNVR SMRA, ICBP big accum