August 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 500 points lower Thursday as investors’ recession fears awaken

Stocks sold off Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
tumbling nearly 500 points, as investors’ fears over a recession surfaced.

Dow……40348 -494.8 -1.21%
Nasdaq17194 -405.3 -2.30%
S&P 500.5447 -75.6 -1.37%

FTSE…..8283 -84.6 -1.01%
Dax……18083 -425.6 -2.30%
CAC……7570 -161.04 -2.14%

Nikkei..38126 -975.9 -2.49%
HSI……..17305 -39.6 -0.34%
Shanghai.2932 -6.4 -0.22%

IDX….7325.98 +70.22 +0.97%
LQ45…925.51 +11.76 +1.29%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2459.65 +8.23 +0.34%
IDX BscMat1371.22 +7.60 +0.56%
IDX Indstrl.1036.57 -4.17 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.705.02+0.29 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1448.34 -1.06 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…759.81 +0.53 +0.07%
IDXTechno.3284.23 -3.28 -0.10%
IDX Transp 1391.58 +10.89 +0.20%
IDX Infrast 1568.46 -6.94 -0.44%
IDX Finance1417.15 +15.2 +1.09%
IDX Banking1263.32 +25.59 +2.07%
IDX Property…..649 +8.20 +1.29%

Indo10Yr.6.9175❗️ -0.0245 -0.35%
ICBI…384.4484❗️ +0.8774 +0.23%
US2Yr.4.156 -0.104 -2.44%👍
US5Yr 3.844👍 -0.073 -1.86%
US10Yr3.970👍 -0.0789 -1.93%
US30Yr.4.280 -0.026 -0.60%
VIX..18.59 +2.23 +13.63%‼️

USDIndx 104.4210 +0.325 +0.31%
Como Indx….273.59 -4.53 -1.63%
BCOMIN…..139.10 -1.33 -0.94%

IndoCDS..75.20 +000 +0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16237.00❗️ -23.00 -0.14%
Jisdor.16294.00❗️ -51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.59 -0.26 -1.46%*
( 2866)
EIDO….20.19 +0.05 +0.27%
EEM……42.20 -0.73 -1.70%

Oil………..76.79 -1.77 -2.25%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.52 -1.20 -1.49%
(Brent)
Gold…..2489.20 -3.10 -0.12%
(Comex)
Gold……2448.00 -2.74 -0.11%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29894.00 -162.00 -0.54%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -276.00 -0.92%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.61 -0.61 -2.09%
Copper.406.70 -12.65 -3.02%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 105.94 -0.31 -0.29%
(31/07)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.142.55 +2.45 +1.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.80 +2.40 +1.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 145.25 +3.25 +2.29%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +3.50 +2.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.95 +3.10 +2.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.80 +4.00 +3.42%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.45 +3.90 +3.35%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.55 +4.00 +3.43%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3871 -38 -0.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..398.50 -1.25 -0.31%
SoybeanOil 41.45 -0.87 -2.06%
Wheat…..532.00 +4.75 +0.90%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 01/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, europe juga, asia juga kecuali IHSG, sekarang kemungkinan besar nyusul merah

US Bond yield sebenernya merah, kalo pasar saham US ijo kita hampir pasti ijo juga, tapi ini nggak, US merah, kita masih jadwal wave 2, so kayanya hancur lagi. USD index up, consequently metal2 merah semua, oil gas CPO merah, coal ijo tebel sendiri. PTBA menarik ini

IHSG – kemarin FNB, tapi turnover vol transaksi kecil, ga terlalu valid jadinya. Technically masih jelek, very selective buying, malah amannya diem dulu keep cash

Bubar semua, Basic Materials yang terlihat mau mulai gerak. Healthcare masih bagus arahnya, tapi bukan spesialis contrarian, skip

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, ANTM ICBP INCO KLBF PGEO TOWR UNTR UNVR BRMS CTRA MPMX NISP PWON SMRA TBIG TINS TRON PSSI ISSI, yang accum tapi cuma ANTM INCO PWON SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BMRI BRPT TOWR MICE, big accum ANTM BMRI BRPT

July 22nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow tumbles more than 370 points, S&P 500 posts worst week since April as investors dump big tech

Stocks retreated Friday, as Wall Street wrapped up the week defined by a rotation out of this year’s megacap winners in favor of smaller names.

Dow……40288 -377.5 -0.93%
Nasdaq17727 -144.3 -0.81%
S&P 500.5505 -39.6 -0.71%

FTSE…..8156 -49.2 -0.60%
Dax……18172 -182.8 -1.00%
CAC……7535 -52.03 -0.69%

Nikkei..40064 -62.6 -0.25%
HSI……17418 -360.7 -2.03%
Shanghai.2982 +5.2 +0.17%

IDX….7294.50 -26.57 -0.36%
LQ45..919.53 -3.25 -0.35%
IDX30.459.72 -1.72 -0.37%

IDXEnergy..2455.72 -1.99 -0.08%
IDX BscMat1364.42 -18.94 -1.37%
IDX Indstrl.1018.75 -4.12 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.717.07 -1.74 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1429.56 +10.22 +0.72%
IDXCYCLIC…748.73 -1.20 -0.16%
IDXTechno3265.59 -30.53 -0.93%
IDX Transp 1356.94 -8.15 -0.60%
IDX Infrast 1593.69 -7.74 -0.48%
IDX Finance1400.34 -4.51 -0.32%
IDX Banking1250.41 -2.24 -0.18%
IDX Property…..639 -0.10 -0.60%

Indo10Yr.6.9880👍 -0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI…382.8649 +0.1226 +0.03%
US2Yr.4.517 +0.046 +1.02%
US5Yr 4.170 +0.053 +1.29%
US10Yr4.243 +0.046 +1.10%
US30Yr.4.451 +0.030 +0.68%
VIX..16.52 +0.59 +3.70%‼️

USDIndx 104.3960 +0.223 +0.21%
Como Indx….280.36 -5.23 -1.83%
BCOMIN…… 142.98 -1.68 -1.16%

IndoCDS..74.19 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/07)

IDR…..16191.00 +36.00 +0.22%
Jisdor.16199.00 +39.00 +0.24%

Euro…1.0882 -0.0016 -0.15%

TLKM…19.83 +0.03 +2.46%
( 3212)
EIDO…..20.20 -0.07 -0.35%
EEM…..42.74 -0.39 -0.89%

Oil…….80.13 -2.23 -2.71%
Gold…..2446.60 +0.20 +0.01%
Timah..31050.00 -554.00 -1.75%
(Closed 19/07)
Nickel..16274.00 -195.00 -1.18%
(Closed 19/07)
Silver….29.30 -0.67 -2.24%
Copper.423.65 -2.35. -0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 108.45 -0.28 -0.26%
(19/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.124 +0.023 +1.09%
Ammonia China 2800.00 +16.67 +0.60%
(Domestic Price)(19/07)

Coal price.135.10 +0.10 +0.07%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.00 -0.10 -0.07%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.50 -0.10 -0.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.60 -0.10 -0.07%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.20 +0.55 +0.53%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..108.65 +0.75 +0.70%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.90 +1.10 +1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.85 +1.10 +1.01%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3960 +22 +0.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..404.75 -0.25 -0.06%
SoybeanOil 43.97 -0.36 -0.81%
Wheat…..542.75 +7.50 +1.40%

Wood pulp..5196 unch +0%
(Closed 21/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at merah semua, US bond yield juga naik, ini lanjut merah lagi keliatannya hari ini, biar beres dulu koreksi wave 2 lah, biar enak re-entry nya nanti dibawah

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali gold, semoga ANTM masih kebawa sentimen emas, tapi kalopun harus turun dulu ya gpp kita pasang trailing stop. oil down gas up coal down, kemaren2 ADRO dkk udah naik tinggi padahal coal price nya biasa biasa aja, biar ikut koreksi dulu lah sama index, kita masuk lagi pas firm beres bikin higher low

IHSG – MACD almost sell, stoch udah sell duluan, terakhir memang FNB tipis tapi vol transaksi juga turun, sabar tunggu beres koreksi

Walau banyak yang terlihat jalan tapi jangan terjebak pas index turun, yang menarik dicermati Healtcare yang baru mulai nongol dan consumer yang arahnya bagus dan memang sering jadi ganjel pas index merah

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak: ACES ADRO ARTO INDF INKP SIDO UNTR BFIN ENRG INDY LPPF MAPA MPMX SMSM. Big accum ADRO UNTR LPPF SMSM

MACD Buy Signal: INCO

June 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat near record, posts winning week

The S&P 500 ended flat on Friday, touching a record-high intraday, despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

Dow……38799 -87.2 -0.22%
Nasdaq17133 -39.99 -0.23%
S&P 500.5346 -5.97 -0.11%

FTSE…..8245 -39.97 -0.48%
Dax……18557 -95.4 -0.51%
CAC……8001 -38.3 -0.48%

Nikkei..38684 -19.6 -0.05%
HSI…..18367 -109.9 -0.59%
Shanghai.3051 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX….6897.95 -76.95 -1.10%
LQ45..883.93 -8.18 -0.92%
IDX30.441.02 -2.95 -0.66%

IDXEnergy..2262.65 +0.30 +0.01%
IDX BscMat1347.27 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Indstrl. 943.90 -5.91 -0.62%
IDXNONCYC.698.28 -1.30 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1431.16 +16.96+1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…733.18 -3.85 -0.52%
IDXTechno3276.82 -43.51 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1265.25 +7.58 +0.60%
IDX Infrast 1439.25 -16.33 -1.12%
IDX Finance1351.84 -18.47 -1.35%
IDX Banking1160.38 -11.78 -1.00%
IDX Property…..615 +0.20 +0.33%

Indo10Yr.6.9304 +0.0002 +0.002%
ICBI…380.8664 +0.2382 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.889 +0.165 +3.49%‼️
US5Yr 4.461 +0.163 +3.79%‼️
US10Yr4.433 +0.135 +3.14%‼️
US30Yr.4.553 +0.118 +2.66%
VIX..12.22 -0.36 -2.86%

USDIndx 104.8850❗️+0.7830 +0.75%
Como Indx….289.86 -2.56 -0.88%
BCOMIN….153.03 -5.76 -3.63%‼️

IndoCDS..72.72 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/06)

IDR…..16195.00 -67.50 -0.42%
Jisdor.16218.00 -61.00 -0.37%

Euro….1.0801 -0.0091 -0.84%

TLKM…18.57 -0.17 -0.88%
( 3011)
EIDO….19.77 -0.35 -1.72%
EEM…..42.04 -0.48 -1.12%

Oil…….75.53 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold..2325.00 -69.50 -2.90%‼️
Timah..31452.00 -746.00 -2.32%
(Closed 07/06)
Nickel..18609.50 +10.50 +0.06%
(Closed 07/06)
Silver….29.44 -2.02 -6.42%‼️
Copper.448.35 -18.60 -3.98%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 108.48 -0.02 -0.02%
(07/06)
Nturl Gas..2.937 +0.116 +4.11%‼️
Ammonia China.2966.67 +16.67 +0.57%
(Domestic Price)(06/06)

Coal price.131.45 -2.90 -2.16%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.00 -2.90 -2.13%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 -0.55 -0.40%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.35 +0.95 +0.69%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 -1.85 -1.68%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.60 -0.85 -0.76%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.05 -0.50 -0.44%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.35 +0.30 +0.26%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3976 +15.00 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..448.75 -3.25 -0.72%
SoybeanOil 43.63 -0.72 -1.62%
Wheat…..627.50 -12.00 -1.88%

Wood pulp..5810 unch +0%
(Closed 05/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US merah europe merah asia merah, US bond yield naik tinggi banget, fixed deh, IHSG tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index up, gold silver copper drop, tin iron ore down, nickel up sendiri. Oil down gas up coal down, CPO lanjut ijo, ini bubar semua kecuali buat AALI LSIP, tapi kalo index merah dalem ya susah jalan juga

IHSG – technical jelek semua, cuma Elliot wave yang bilang udah deket beres ABC correction sekalian tutup gap, beware, semua open position pasang stop loss

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, KLBF UNTR ASSA BSDE ELSA GTRA SMRA SMAR AMFG MDKI AALI. Ga ada yang big accum, kita assess sekilas, yang emang bagus bisa jadi bagus diambil nanti sore kalau index merah dalem lagi tutup gap

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO

KLBF – technical relative ok semua, memang stoch nya udah tinggi, MACD udah diatas histogram, tapi retracement pattern says up ke fibo 38.Kalo misalnya hari ini dibanting ke deket level 1535 mungkin bagus buat pasang buy disitu plus 1 tick

Spike udah done

Ah, nggak dulu deh, biggest holdernya udah mulai lepas barang, tunggu koreksi dulu deh

UNTR – technical menarik, stoch buy macd up, MFI up, w% sw, tapi BD FF masih dist, ada gap, ASII nya juga udah terlihat siap jalan, BOW bisa ini harusnya

Spike nya ok

Biggest holder lagi hold, mungkin karena index lagi drop. Tapi ga buang, ok ini, bisa BOW UNTR idealnya level deket 22.200. Saya skip karena hold ASII

ASSA – dari chart nya kaya yang mau hajatan… stoch buy, macd almost buy, tapi MFI down karena vol kecil, bandar aja yang main kali, w% up, BD FF rev acc, reg bull div confirmed by MA 10 and 2 bull candle, harusnya bisa buy

Ada spike belum done

average aman, biggest holder accum, YP aja buang dikit. bisa buy ini, BOW sedikit diatas support 710 ideal

BSDE – Stoch rev buy belum sampe oversold sih, macd sw, MFI down, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, mungkin aja beres sidewaysnya dan mau lanjut, tapi index kaya gini dan liat curve nya sih, ke bawah kayanya

ELSA – belum sih, kemarin udah firm jalan tapi oil price ngebalik, kita tunggu firm naik lagi oil price nya

Tunggu oil price confirm dulu

AALI – belum boleh jalan, balik ke support low kemaren, stoch rev buy, macd up, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF dist, kesempatan ambil di bawah sih ini, tapi memang resiko, yang berani spec buy boleh, tapi break support buang

Spike nya sih cakep

Average aman, biggest holder udah berhenti buang, second nya accum, berani lah… Saya masih hold AALI

SIDO – technical ok, tapi overpriced, ga ada issue besar juga, skip ah

 

 

 

May 30th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts first losing day in 3 as Nvidia’s climb fails to lift market, Dow drops 400 points

Stocks slid Wednesday as pressure from rising Treasury yields outweighed a continued rally in artificial intelligence darling Nvidia

Dow……38442 -411.3 -1.06%
Nasdaq16921 -99.3 -0.58%
S&P 500.5266 -39.1 -0.74%

FTSE…..8183 -71.1 -0.86%
Dax……18473 -204.6 -1.10%
CAC……7935 -122.8 -1.52%

Nikkei..38556 -298.5 -0.77%
HSI…..18477 -344.2 -1.83%
Shanghai.3111 +1.5 +0.05%

IDX….7140.23 -113.40 -1.56%
LQ45..886.18 -14.64 -1.62%
IDX30..436.64 -9.32 -2.09%

IDXEnergy..2317.81 +10.49 +0.45%
IDX BscMat1453.12 -4.75 -3.64%
IDX Indstrl..1006.86 -3.27 -0.32%
IDXNONCYC.701.45 -11.76 -1.65%
IDX Hlthcare1404.24 -11.44 -0.81%
IDXCYCLIC…722.97 -3.23 -0.44%
IDXTechno3477.11 -77.69 -2.19%
IDX Transp 1291.67 +8.14 +0.63%
IDX Infrast 1582.20 -36.84 -2.28%
IDX Finance1357.28 -10.48 -0.77%
IDX Banking1132.56 -28.29 -2.44%
IDX Property…..619 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.9178+0.0249 +0.36%
ICBI…380.0732 -0.3327 -0.09%
US2Yr.4.975 +0.027 +0.55%
US5Yr 4.619 +0.106 +2.34%
US10Yr4.619 +0.074 +1.63%
US30Yr.4.736 +0.073 +1.57%
VIX..14.28 +1.36 +10.53%‼️

USDIndx 105.1220‼️ +0.508 +0.49%
Como Indx….297.63 -2.60 -0.87%
BCOMIN………167.08 -0.26 -0.15%

IndoCDS..71.25 -0.99 -1.37%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/05)

IDR…..16160.00‼️ +70.00 +0.44%
Jisdor.16160.00‼️ +65.00 +0.40%

Euro….1.0801 -0.0054 -0.50%

TLKM…17.48 -0.67 -3.66%‼️
( 2824)
EIDO….19.43‼️ -0.47 -2.30%
EEM…..42.32 -0.65 -1.51%

Oil…….79.31 -0.90 -1.12%
Gold..2360.90 -24.00 -1.01%
Timah..34109.00 +181.00 +0.53%
(Closed 29/05)
Nickel..20519.00 -33.50 -0.16%
(Closed 29/05)
Silver…..32.20 -0.02 -0.06%
Copper.477.40 -8.80 -1.81%

Iron Ore 62% 117.68 +0.02 +0.02%
(28/05)
Nturl Gas..2.659 -0.178 -6.27%‼️
Ammonia China.3033.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(28/05)

Coal price 142.40 unch +0%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.90 +0.40 +0.29%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.10 +0.10 +0.07%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.35 +0.35 +0.24%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..105.25 +0.40 +0.38%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.50 +2.80 +2.51%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.05 +1.70 +1.46%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.05 +1.05 +0.89%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..4033‼️ +70 +1.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….455.25 -7.25 -1.57%
SoybeanOil 45.88 +0.36 +0.79%
Wheat…..692.75 -7.50 -1.07%

Wood pulp..5872 unch +0%
(Closed 29/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Merah semua, emang kalo bond yield naik saham biasanya turun… Closing tadi shubuh US market bond yield naik lagi, masih jelek buat saham…

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali timah sama iron ore. oil gas down, coal up, CPO ini menarik… sepertinya AALI LSIP yang gerak

CPO Price setelah MACD buy signal, nyusul supertrend nya buy, semoga firm gerak dan bawa saham produsen CPO ikut rally

IHSG – kemaren brutal banget dibantingnya, foreign net sell gede, macd jadi rev down, MFI sw, w% down, BD juga ga nahan sih, tapi harusnya hari ini ga bantingan lagi, tipis tipis lah

Basic Materials, FInancials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: ITMG ISAT JSMR. ITMG JSMR big accum

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA HRUM UNTR