Global Update:

August 08th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq fall Friday, but notch weekly gains after blowout July jobs report

Stocks wavered Friday in a volatile trading session after the July jobs report was much better than expected, as investors assessed what a strong labor market would mean for the Federal Reserve’s rate tightening campaign.

Dow…….32803 +76.7 +0.23%
Nasdaq.12658 -63.03 -0.50%
S&P 500..4145 -6.8 -0.16%

FTSE…….7440 -8.3 -0.11%
Dax……..13574 -88.8 -0.65%
CAC……..6472 -41.04 -0.63%

Nikkei….28176 +243.7 +0.87%
HSI……..20202 +27.9 +0.14%
Shanghai..3227 +37.99 +1.19%
ST Times..3283 +13.02 +0.40%

IDX…….7084.65 +27.31 +0.39%
LQ45…1007.80 +4.03 +0.40%

IDX Energy…1767.91 +1.61 +0.09%
IDX Bsc Mat.1315.05 +10.14+0.78%
IDX Industrl..1305.32 -15.99 -1.21%
IDXNONCYC..703.81 +0.43 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1422.82 -7.55 -0.53%
IDXCYCLIC…..898.55 +5.04 +0.56%
IDX Techno..8074.65 -51.08 -0.63%
IDX Transp…2064.05 +48.83 +2.42%
IDX Infrast…..1038.20 +10.33 +1.01%
IDX Finance 1524.23 +6.66 +0.44%
IDX Banking..1152.93 +9.59 +0.84%
IDX Property…..696 +1.50 +0.22%

Indo10Yr….7.2595 -0.0444 -0.61%👍
ICBI……..333.4994 +0.7807 +0.23%👍*
US10Yr…..2.8400 +0.1640 +6.13%‼
VIX…………21.15 -0.29 -1.35%

USDIndx 106.6210 +0.9280 +0.88%‼
Como Indx..281.04 -0.17 -0.06%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.30 +1.60 +1.04%

IndoCDS…117.26 -2.86 -2.38%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14894.00 -38.50 -0.26%
Jisdor..14904 .00 -25.00 -0.17%

Euro………1.0183 -0.0064 +0.62%

TLKM……..31.20 +1.27 +4.24%‼
(4650)
EIDO………23.46 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM………40.06 +0.04 +0.10%

Oil…………89.01 +1.65 +1.89%
Gold ……1791.20 -15.70 -0.87%
Timah. .24455.00 -90.00 -0.37%
( Closed 05/8)
Nickel…22470.00 +182.00 +0.82%
(Closed 05/8)
Silver…….19.84 -0.31 -1.54%
Copper….355.20 +7.25 +2.08%

Nturl Gas…..8.005 -0.136 -1.67%

Ammonia….3890.00 +33.33 +0.86%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/8)

Coal price….361.00 -24.00 -6.23%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….346.75 -18.25 -5.01%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….313.65 -15.85 -4.81%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…287.85 -25.35 -8.09%‼
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3900 +82 +2.15%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………610.00 +3.75 +0.62%
SoybeanOil…63.97 +2.55 +4.15%‼
Wheat………775.75 -6.75 -0.86%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US jum’at closing ijo tipis, asia market masih ijo, europe kena sentiment negatif jadi merah

Oil nikel copper cpo naik, gold timah silver turun, coal drop gede. Lanjut wave C ini saham coal…

IHSG masih keliatan firm mau tutup gap dulu

Candle nya trading view sama stockbit dan mansek beda, ga ada gap di 6740

Industrials, Infrastructure. Energy lagi lesu, finance surprisingly juga, padahal perlu buat angkat index

Industrials – stoch sell, macd mau reversal, vol transaksi menurun terus, bandar mulai distribusi, foreign masih akum. Lagi wave5dan udah ketemu MACD bearish divergence, confirmed by 2 bear candle. Prepare exit…

ASII KBLI masih…

BMTR UNTR udah sell signal, ASII mulai overbought

ASII – masih firm retracement pattern going to 6975, kecuali stochastic yang mulai overbought, everything else is AOK

KBLI – suppposedly OTW fibo 61 juga @384 tapi stoch lagi sell. LR sama parabolic sar masih ok, MACD mulai tanda2 reversal. Hold, kita tunggu mau dibawa kemana ini KBLI

Infrastructure – Lagi running up, dari target wave 3 elliot wave sudah tercapai dan sudah nongol bearish divergence MOM, Parabolic SAR masih ok, MACD masih OK, MFI up, bandar & foreign akum, LR sudah break upper channelnya, suggest buat turun koreksi wave 4

Keliatan banyak yang mau lari… ISAT, EXCL, TLKM, PTPP, WSKT

Banyak yang menarik, yang ada signal Buy baru: TLKM dengan buy signal stoch barunya, WIKA yang sudah bikin higher low, buy signal di H4 dan FNB bandar akum

ISAT – kemaren pas breakout triangle nya kelewat euy ga ikutan, pas tgl breakout infra nya belum ada sign running. Tapi targetnya tutup gap, jadi masih ok buat entry sekarang kebeneran ada sedikit pullback

EXCL – setelah vol breakout belum lari, BOW… Target sell di gap closing juga @3170

TLKM – udah tutup gap, waktunya koreksi dulu harusnya, bikin higher low, udah run panjang dari 4000 ke 4650

WIKA – massive vol breakout, MACD H4 buy, alligator buy, supertrend up, breakout cloud, BOW

PTPP

PTPP – Mirip dengan WIKA, spec buy deh follow the volume breakout.

Tapi kalo disuruh milih, mending buy WIKA aja

ACES

ACES – vol breakout, Stoch MACD Buy, SpecBuy, stoploss @650 minus 2tick

Global Update:

August 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally to reverse two-day slide, surging on rosy earnings results and economic data

U.S. stocks rallied Wednesday, clawing back losses from earlier in the week, as traders cheered better-than-expected economic data that helped allay recession fears.

Dow…….32813 +416.3 +1.29%
Nasdaq.12668 +319.4 +2.59%
S&P 500..4155 +63.98 +1.56%

FTSE…….7446 +36.6 +0.49%
Dax……..13588 +138.4 +1.03%
CAC……..6472 +62.3 +0.97%

Nikkei….27742 +147.2 +0.53%
HSI……..19767 +77.9 +0.40%
Shanghai..3164 -22.6 -0.71%
ST Times..3252 +12.9 +0.40%

IDX…….7046.64 +58.48 +0.84%
LQ45…..999.95 +11.34 +1.15%

IDX Energy…1812.83 -2.89 -0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1294.97 +7.38 +0.57%
IDX Industrl..1327.61 -1.01 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC..702.14 -3.05 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1431.37 -3.15 -0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.80 -9.53 -1.06%
IDX Techno..7883.27 +246.11 +3.22%
IDX Transp…1988.43 -5.04 -0.25%
IDX Infrast…..1021.65 +22.64+2.27%
IDX Finance 1518.99 +14.22 +0.94%
IDX Banking..1142.53 +10.67 +0.94%
IDX Property…….69r +o.94 -0.26%

Indo10Yr….7.3249 +0.0394 +0.54%
ICBI……..332.3687 -0.5567 -0.17%
US10Yr…..2.74i0 +0.0070 +0.26%
VIX…………21.95 -1.87 -8.27%‼️

USDIndx 106.5060 +0.2650 +0.25%‼️
Como Indx..281.72 -1.98 -0.70%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.47 -1.83 -1.19%

*IndoCDS…127.15 – – *
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14911.50 +22.50 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14917.00 +29.00 +0.19%‼️

Euro………1.0164 -0.0006 -0.06%

TLKM……..29.88 +1.28 +4.48%‼️
(4457)
EIDO………23.38 +0.24 +1.04%
EEM………39.74 +0.31 +0.79%

Oil…………91.02 -2.68 -2.86%
Gold ……1780.60 +7.00 +0.39%
Timah. .24249.00 -651.00 -2.61%
( Closed 02/8)
Nickel…22552.00 +210.00 +0.94%
(Closed 03/8)
Silver…….20.00 +0.08 +0.40%
Copper….347.25 -0.15 -0.04%

Nturl Gas…..8.288 +0.612 +7.97%‼️

Ammonia….3856.67 +83.34 +2.21%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/8)

Coal price….393.50 -10.00 -2.48%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.55 -17.20 -4.35%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 -11.05 -3.01%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…336.45 -14.55 -4.15%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3860 +19 +0.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +2.00 +0.34%
SoybeanOil…61.00 -0.39 -0.64%
Wheat………763.75 -11.00 -1.42%

Wood pulp…6722.00 +6 +0.09%
(Closed 03/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren IHSG ijo tebel, closing market rata2 ijo semua, kecuali shanghai yang minus. US kenceng banget, semoga jadi pendorong index kita ijo tebel lagi hari ini, biar cepet tutup gap diatas dulu

Oil turun lagi, terus stay dibawah 100 usd per barrel, coal dibawah 400 usd per MT, rada cocok buat bawa energy koreksi wave c. Metal tipis tipis kecuali timah yang agak jauh turunnya. ANTM TINS INCO sideways dulu kayanya. Gas naik tinggi, semoga PGAS lanjut jalan. CPO naik dikit, belum jadi bawa AALI sama LSIP ke atas

Terlalu optimis dengan outlook IHSG dengan elliot wave nya? Mungkin, tapi gpp lah, namanya juga forecast optimistic…

Stochastic signal buy lagi, MACD masih Up, supertrend masih up, alligator up, bagu breakout cloud ichimoku, parabolic sar masih UP, LR channel target cocok sama gap closing. Semoga bener sampe minimal gap closing sebelum wave 2

Global Update:

August 03rd, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks fall a second day on U.S.-China tensions, hawkish comments from Fed leaders

Stocks slumped on Tuesday as investors weighed increased tensions between the U.S. and China with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s Taiwan visit and reacted to comments from Federal Reserve presidents about the central bank’s path forward.

Dow…….32396 -402.2 -1.23%
Nasdaq.12349 -20.2 -0.16%
S&P 500..4091 -27.4 -0.67%

FTSE…….7409 -4.3 -0.06%
Dax……..13449 -30.4 -0.23%
CAC……..6410 -27.1 -0.42%

Nikkei….27595 -398.6 -1.42%
HSI……..19689 -473.6 -2.36%
Shanghai..3186 -73.7 -2.26%
ST Times..3239 +0.4 +0.01%

IDX…….6988.16 +19.37 +0.28%
LQ45…..988.61 +6.62 +0.67%

IDX Energy…1815.73 -51.05 -2.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1287.59 -8.66 -0.67%
IDX Industrl..1328.62 +23.6 +1.81%
IDXNONCYC..705.19 -2.9 -0.41%
IDX Hlthcare.1434.52 +1.08 +0.08%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.33 -0.08 -0.01%
IDX Techno..7637.16 -17.54 -0.23%
IDX Transp…1993.47 -7.10 -0.35%
IDX Infrast……999.00 +2.92 +0.29%
IDX Finance 1504.78 +0.28 +0.02%
IDX Banking..1131.86 +10.06 +0.90%
IDX Property…….689 -1.80 -0.26%

Indo10Yr….7.2855 +0.0080 +0.11%
ICBI……..332.9254 -0.1759 -0.05%
US10Yr…..2.7410 +0.1350 +5.18%
VIX…………23.94 +1.09 +4.77%

USDIndx 106.2410 +0.7910 +0.75%‼
Como Indx..283.11 -5.95 -2.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..154.30 -2.46 -1.57%

IndoCDS…127.15 +7.07 +5.89%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14889.00 +16.00 +0.11%
Jisdor..14888.00 +14.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0170 -0.0092 -0.90%

TLKM……..28.60 -0.14 -0.49%
(4258)
EIDO………23.14 -0.09 -0.39%
EEM………39.43 -0.19 -0.48%

Oil…………93.70 -0.21 -0.22%
Gold ……1773.60 -15.30 -0.86%
Timah. .25047.00 – –
( Closed 29/7)
Nickel…22342.00 -2002.00 -8.22%‼
(Closed 02/8)
Silver…….19.92 -0.40 -1.97%
Copper….347.55 -6.05 -1.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.676 -0.542 -6.59%‼

Ammonia….3773.33 +83.33 +2.26%
China
(Domestic Price)(01/8)

Coal price….403.50 -1.50 -0.37%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….395.75 +2.35 +0.60%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….366.05 +0.55 +0.15%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…351.00 -2.30 -0.65%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3841 -232 -5.69%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………594.25 -15.50 -2.54%
SoybeanOil…61.39 -1.87 -2.96%
Wheat………774.75 -25.50 -3.19%‼

Wood pulp…67160.00 +26 +0.39%
(Closed 02/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Semua index regional closing merah kecuali IDX sama ST times. Tensi US-China ceritanya

Semua commodity juga turun, nikel cpo gas drop significant. Coal tipis tipis

IHSG – stochastic sell signal, bilang harus turun, MACD masih mungkin lanjut, alligator buy, supertrend juga buy, LR indikasi lanjut ke upper channel sekalian tutup gap atas

Kemaren sempet minus rada dalam, pas closing ditarik sampe ijo lagi. Semoga memang skenarionya tutupgap atas dulu baru koreksi wave2

Masih industrials sama energy

Global Update:

July 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Stock futures rise after strong Apple, Amazon reports as Wall Street heads for winning week

Stock futures rose on Thursday evening as Wall Street looked to finish the week higher, fueled by strong quarterly reports from key tech companies.

Dow…….32529 +332.04 +1.03%
Nasdaq.12163 +130.2 +1.08%
S&P 500..4072 +48.8 +1.21%

FTSE…….7345 -2.98 +0.57%
Dax……..13282 +115.7 +0.88%
CAC……..6339 +81.3 +1.30%

Nikkei….27815 +99.7 +0.36%
HSI……..20623 -47.4 -0.23%
Shanghai..3283 +6.8 +0.21%
ST Times..3221 +15.5 +0.48%

IDX…….6956.82 +58.60 +0.85%
LQ45…..980.25 +5.78 +0.59%

IDX Energy…1838.96 +34.38 +1.90%
IDX Bsc Mat.1298.97 +31.06 +2.45%
IDX Industrl..1259.41 +21.52 +1.74%
IDXNONCYC..708.20 -8.88 -1.24%
IDX Hlthcare.1493.26 -21.32 -1.41%
IDXCYCLIC…..897.97 +17.11 +1.94%
IDX Techno..7769.69 +70.37 +0.91%
IDX Transp…1971.06 +18.85 +0.97%
IDX Infrast……990.08 +0.39 +0.04%
IDX Finance 1499.11 +26.23 +1.78%
IDX Banking..1109.45 +4.95 +0.45%
IDX Property…….690 +13.00 +1.92%

Indo10Yr….7.3728 -0.1027 -1.38%
ICBI……….330.9335 +1.2239 +0.37%
US10Yr…..2.6810 -0.0530 -1.94%
VIX…………22.33 -0.91 -3.92%

USDIndx 106.3510 -0.1010 -0.09%‼️
Como Indx..289.02 -0.06 -0.02%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.02 +2.48 +1.66%

IndoCDS…128.25 -7.42 -5.47%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14921.50 -88.50 -0.59%
Jisdor..14958.00 -62.00 -0.41%

Euro………1.0192 +0.0002 +0.02%

TLKM……..28.55 +0.17 +0.60%
(4271)
EIDO………23.11 +0.29 +1.27%
EEM………40.15 +0.17 +0.43%

Oil…………97.36 -0.91 -0.93%
Gold ……1769.20 +16.80 +0.96%
Timah. .24344.00 -126.00 -0.51%
( Closed 27/7)
Nickel…21834.00 +134.00 +0.62%
(Closed 28/7)
Silver…….19.87 +0.83 +4.36%
Copper….349.35 +1.60 +0.46%

Nturl Gas…..8.171 -0.463 -5.36%

Ammonia….3823.33 -66.67 -1.71%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/7)

Coal price….411.40 -0.10 -0.02%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…418.50 -5.60 -1.32%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…390.25 +3.25 +0.83%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…382.50 +2.50 +0.66%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3961 +137 +3.58%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………619.00 +16.00 +2.65%
SoybeanOil…63.25 +4.06 +6.86%‼️
Wheat………817.00 +26.75 +3.38%‼️

Wood pulp…6660.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Kemarin hampir semua index regional lanjut hijau, kecuali hangseng

Energy turun semua, coal turunnya tipis. Metal metal naik

ANTM INCO TINS kemungkinan lanjut, tapi hari ini bisa jadi pullback dulu. ANTM naik diatas 10% kemarin, rawan profit taking kecuali timah. CPO naik tinggi

Big banks release lapkeu, semua naik, BBRI naiknya sampe 90%. Ini bisa jadi pendorong index lanjut impulse wave

https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/market/20220729005751-17-359474/bank-kakap-ri-sudah-rilis-laporan-keuangan-siapa-jagoannya

Setiap impulse wave akan ketemu koreksi di wave 2, keliatannya kalo mau koreksi index ya setelah tutup gap paling pas… Di 7174