Posts Tagged ‘Treasury’

Daily Analysis 20241209

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 09th, 2024

Nasdaq, S&P 500 pop to strong weekly gains after jobs report boosts Fed rate cut odds

US stocks mostly rose on Friday as investors digested the last monthly jobs report of the year, a crucial test of the prospects for interest rate cuts in December and beyond.

Dow……44643 -123.2 -0 28%
Nasdaq. 19860 +159.1 +0.81%
S&P 500 6090 +15.2 +0.25%

FTSE…..8309 -40.8 -0.49%
Dax……20385 +25.8 +0.13%
CAC……7427 +96.3 +0.31%

Nikkei….39091 -304.4 -0.77%
HSI……..19866 +305.4 +1.56%
Shanghai.3404 +35.2 +1.05%

IDX…7382.79 +69.47 +0.95%
LQ45…875.84 +1.40 +0.16%
IDX30.447.60 +1.39 +0.16%

IDXEnergy…2686.53 +25.26 +0.95%
IDX BscMat 1349.92 +0.37 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl..1078.96 +2.08 +0.19%
IDXNONCYC.738.20 +1.22 +0.17%
IDX Hlthcare1462.18 -8.96. -0.61%
IDXCYCLC…837.27 +2.61 +0.31%
IDX Techno..4274.70 +76.59 +1.82%
IDX Transp 1379.59 -8.96 -0.67%
IDX Infrast 1482.35 +15.45 +1.12%
IDX Finance1462.82 +4.25 +0.29%
IDX Banking1212.59 +6.08 +0.50%
IDX Property..791 +13.60 +1.76%

Indo10Yr.6.9860 +0.0146 +0.21%
ICBI….392.6320 -0.2569 -0.07%
US2Yr.4.096 -0.050 -1.21%
US5Yr 4.031 -0.047 -1.15%
US10Yr4.148 -0.030 -0.72%
US30Yr.4.333 -0.003 -0.07%
VIX..12.77👍 -0.77 -5.69%‼️

USDIndx 106.0550❗ +0.329 +0.31%
Como Indx..286.34 -0.09 -0.03%
BCOMIN..145.56 -1.02. -0.70,%

IndoCDS…72.22 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/12)

IDR…….15845.00❗-17.00 -0.11%
Jisdor..15848.00❗-44.00 -0.27%

Euro…1.0568❗ -0.0020 -0.18%

TLKM.17.22 +0.05 +0.29%
( 2729)
EIDO…20.40 +0.01 +0.02%
EEM…43.84 -0.08 -0.18%

Oil………67.20 -1.10 -1.61+%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………71.12 -1.05 -1.45%
(Brent)
Gold…2659.60 +11.20 +0.42%
(Comex)
Gold…2631.91 -1.46 -0.06%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29151.00 14.00 -0.05%
(Closed 06/12)
Nickel.16012.50 +50.50 +0.32%
(Closed 06/12)
Silver…..31.59 +0.05 +0.16%
Copper.419.65 +0.40 +0.10%

Iron Ore 62% 104.11 -2.18 -2.05%
(06/12)
Nturl Gas 3.076 -0.008 -0.26%
Ammonia China 2803.33 -16.67 -0.059%
(Domestic Price)(06/12)

Coal price.133.25 unch +0%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.40 -0.20 -0.15%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.50 -0.25 -0.19%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.60 +0.10 +0.07%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.00 -0.50 -0.44%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.80 -1.10 -0.97%
(Jan/Rotterda)
Coal Price 111.85 -1.25 -1.11%
(Feb/Rotterdam),
Coal/Price 112.10 -1.25 -1.10%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Feb) 5132 -6 -0.11%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………440.00 +5.00 +1.15%
*SoybeanOil 42.31 +0.89 +2.15%
Wheat……557.25 -1.00 -0.18%

Wood pulp – – -0%
(Closed 09/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US kebanyakan ijo tapi dow jones merah. Europe ijo, Asia ijo kecuali Jepang. US Treasury Bond turun, besar kemungkinan IHSG lanjut ijo

USD index up, metal2 varied, oil down, gas down, coal down, belum gerak juga energy udah masuk Desember… CPO slightly down, masih nunggu AALI

IHSG – 2 hari terakhir net sell lagi, stoch macd up MFI up w% uptrend, BD accum, udah breakout area resistance sih, semoga lanjut. Last day foreign exit dari big banks mungkin profit taking karena weekend, semoga hari ini pada entry lagi

Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ISAT MEDC UNTR ABMM BNGA ELSA ENRG ERAA MAHA, big accum UNTR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: INDF AUTO PANI SIMP

Daily Analysis 20241105

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

November 05th, 2024

Dow leads stocks lower as Wall Street braces for Election Day

US stocks slipped during a jittery session on Monday to kick off a week of potentially huge market-moving events — the presidential election and the Federal Reserve policy decision.

Dow…….41795 -257.6 -0.61%
Nasdaq. 18180 -59.93 -0.33%
S&P 500 5713 -16.1 -0.28%

FTSE…..8184 +7.1 +0.09%
Dax……19148 -107.1 -0.56%
CAC……7372 -37.4 -0.50%

Nikkei….38054 closed +0%
HSI………20568 +61.1 +0.30%
Shanghai.3310 +38.2 +1.17%

IDX…7479.50 -25.76 -0.34%
LQ45…913.42 +0.81 +0.09%
IDX30.470.71 +1.26 +0.26%

IDXEnergy….2717.76 -12.16 -0.45%
IDX BscMat1379.00 -21.60 -1.54%
IDX Indstrl..1090.32 -5.19 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC.748.63 +0.67 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare1506.68 -15.60 -1.02%
IDXCYCLC…..868.43 -12.36 -1.40%
IDX Techno..3953.41 -49.09 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1445.59 -33.07 -2.24%
IDX Infrast 1472.57 -13.45 -1.23%
IDX Finance1512.89 -3.39 -0.22%
IDX Banking1292.34 +6.27. +0.49%
IDX Property..821 -12.6 -1.51%

Indo10Yr.6.8735❗️+0.0034 +0.49%
ICBI….392.7677❗️-0.0785 -0.02%
US2Yr.4.168 ❗️-0.044 -1.04%
US5Yr 4.148 ❗️-0.007 -0.17%
US10Yr4.293❗️ -0.093 -2.12%
US30Yr.4.466❗️-0.115 -2.51%
VIX..21.98 +0.10 +0.46%

USDIndx 103.8860❗️-0.400 -0.38%
Como Indx.282.75 +3.31 +1.18%
BCOMIN…..149.10 +0.69 +0.47%

IndoCDS..71.24 +1.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/11)

IDR…….15752.00‼️ +20.50 +0.13%
Jisdor..15723.00‼️ +28.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0878❗️ +0.0006 +0.06%

TLKM.17.70 +0.21 +1.17%
( 2783)
EIDO…21.16 +0.08 +0.38%
EEM……44.74 +0.20 +0.45%

Oil………71.47 +1.98 +2.85%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.21 +2.10 +2.89%
(Brent)
Gold…2746.20 -3.00 -0.2l11%
(Comex)
Gold…2736.72 +0.19 +0.01%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31724.00 +511.00 +1.64%
(Closed 01/11)
Nickel.16120.50 +136.50 +0.85%
(Closed 04/12)
Silver….32.6 -0.07 -0.21%
Copper.443.15 +6.00 +1.37%

Iron Ore 62% 102.49 -1.29 -1.24%
(01/11)
Nturl Gas 2.789 +0.126 +4.73%
Ammonia China 2766.67 +46.67 +1.72%
(Domestic Price)(04/11)

Coal price.143.90 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.90 -0.05 -0.03%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.90 +0.20 +0.14%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.70 +0.20 +0.14%
(Feb/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.05 +0.65 +0.55%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.20 +0.10 +0.21%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.20 +0.30 +0.25%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal Price 120.45 +0.20. +0.17%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jan) 4891 +26 +0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………416.50 +2.00 +0.48%
SoybeanOil 45.56 -0.74 -1.60%
Wheat……568.75 +0.75. +0.13%

Wood pulp.4640.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Be loomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia ijo, IHSG yang merah dalem, US Treasury bond merah dalem, kayanya technical rebound dulu hari ini mah IHSG, tapi ga banyak

USD index down, gold spot ijo tipis, tin nickel copper ijo, silver iron ore merah, perlu dicermati TINS dan INCO, oil ijo tebel, gas juga, coal melempem, CPO naik lagi, kita liat AKRA dan AALI LSIP

IHSG – nah ini mulai FNB, ada titik terang, stoch macd rsi mfi w% masih jelek semua, kalo ini wave 4 masih agak dalem, tapi sah aja berhenti sekarang juga, ABC nya cenderung flat. Kita cermati BBCA BBRI

Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, nah ini kalo bener jalan index ikut… Energy sama healthcare siap2, infrstructure belum jadi jalan, JSMR terpaksa cutloss kemaren

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI KLBF PGAS PGEO BTPS PTMP SRTG MLIA, SRTG big accum

MACD Buy Signal ADRO SRTG

BBRI – stoch buy, MACD dikit lagi, MFI masih down, w% sw, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, ini bisa spec buy harusnya, bisa jadi hari ini start gerak

Big caps emang jarang spike, ini ada tapi kecil

Average aman, BD lagi pada diem, tunggu momentum aja ini, tapi BBRI seringkali kebaca di Stoch dan digerakin juga sama foreign, so Spec Buy BBRI at last close price, setengah botol dulu

SRTG – stoch MACD buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tembus ke atas cloud ichimoku, alligatornya nyusun buy lagi, BD accum, FNS tapi, dari retracement pattern udah nyusun 50-38 mau ke 61. Agak resiko di index yang belum pasti jalan lagi wave 5, tapi faktor pendukung buy nya udah ok, BOW SRTG di tengah candle kemaren, setengah botol aja harusnya ok ini

spike kecil, spike gede sebelumnya belum done, masih mungkin dikejar sih ini

Average nya ga aman, amannya minimal buy di bawah average BB di 2335, so jangan FOMO, BOW 2330 aja deh setengah botol

ADRO – ada yang aneh ini, hajatan sendiri… stoch macd buy MFI up, BD FF acc, loncat2 pake bikin gap segala, padahal coal price nya melempem… Ga berani ngejar, kalo energy jalan juga masuk di ITMG aja sama INDY yang ketinggalan

KLBF – sedikit overpriced, masih ok lah buat trade, stoch buy macd belum ada reg bull div, MFI masih down, w% mulai up, BD dist, FNS, masuk watchlist dulu, retracement pattern sih harusnya bawa mantul dari fibo 23

PGAS – belum saatnya

 

Daily Analysis 20240926

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo tipis, europe merah, asia varied jepang korea singapore indonesia merah, china hongkong ijo. US Treasury Bond Yield up, kemungkinan besar IHSG merah lagi hari ini

USD index up, metal2 juga up, oil down, gas down, coal flat, CPO up, masih ok ini ANTM INCO MDKA TINS AALI LSIP, oil oil semoga masih lanjut, kemaren uda koreksi dikit, tapi trailing stop on, lagi bahaya index

IHSG – technically udah bahaya, otw wave 4. Nanti kita gambar kemungkinan target level nya. Itu udah mulai FNS, beware longsor

Technology, Healthcare, Transportation, COnsumer non-cyclicals, Basic Materials, Industrials Energy. Yang bisa diharapkan jadi ganjel index yang basic materials, industrials sama energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: BUKA EXCL SMGR DSNG PTPP PTRO AMFG, big accum EXCL

MACD Buy Signal: ESSA BMTR HMSP SMDR, big accum ESSA

Daily Analysis 20240530

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 30th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts first losing day in 3 as Nvidia’s climb fails to lift market, Dow drops 400 points

Stocks slid Wednesday as pressure from rising Treasury yields outweighed a continued rally in artificial intelligence darling Nvidia

Dow……38442 -411.3 -1.06%
Nasdaq16921 -99.3 -0.58%
S&P 500.5266 -39.1 -0.74%

FTSE…..8183 -71.1 -0.86%
Dax……18473 -204.6 -1.10%
CAC……7935 -122.8 -1.52%

Nikkei..38556 -298.5 -0.77%
HSI…..18477 -344.2 -1.83%
Shanghai.3111 +1.5 +0.05%

IDX….7140.23 -113.40 -1.56%
LQ45..886.18 -14.64 -1.62%
IDX30..436.64 -9.32 -2.09%

IDXEnergy..2317.81 +10.49 +0.45%
IDX BscMat1453.12 -4.75 -3.64%
IDX Indstrl..1006.86 -3.27 -0.32%
IDXNONCYC.701.45 -11.76 -1.65%
IDX Hlthcare1404.24 -11.44 -0.81%
IDXCYCLIC…722.97 -3.23 -0.44%
IDXTechno3477.11 -77.69 -2.19%
IDX Transp 1291.67 +8.14 +0.63%
IDX Infrast 1582.20 -36.84 -2.28%
IDX Finance1357.28 -10.48 -0.77%
IDX Banking1132.56 -28.29 -2.44%
IDX Property…..619 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.9178+0.0249 +0.36%
ICBI…380.0732 -0.3327 -0.09%
US2Yr.4.975 +0.027 +0.55%
US5Yr 4.619 +0.106 +2.34%
US10Yr4.619 +0.074 +1.63%
US30Yr.4.736 +0.073 +1.57%
VIX..14.28 +1.36 +10.53%‼️

USDIndx 105.1220‼️ +0.508 +0.49%
Como Indx….297.63 -2.60 -0.87%
BCOMIN………167.08 -0.26 -0.15%

IndoCDS..71.25 -0.99 -1.37%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/05)

IDR…..16160.00‼️ +70.00 +0.44%
Jisdor.16160.00‼️ +65.00 +0.40%

Euro….1.0801 -0.0054 -0.50%

TLKM…17.48 -0.67 -3.66%‼️
( 2824)
EIDO….19.43‼️ -0.47 -2.30%
EEM…..42.32 -0.65 -1.51%

Oil…….79.31 -0.90 -1.12%
Gold..2360.90 -24.00 -1.01%
Timah..34109.00 +181.00 +0.53%
(Closed 29/05)
Nickel..20519.00 -33.50 -0.16%
(Closed 29/05)
Silver…..32.20 -0.02 -0.06%
Copper.477.40 -8.80 -1.81%

Iron Ore 62% 117.68 +0.02 +0.02%
(28/05)
Nturl Gas..2.659 -0.178 -6.27%‼️
Ammonia China.3033.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(28/05)

Coal price 142.40 unch +0%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.90 +0.40 +0.29%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.10 +0.10 +0.07%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.35 +0.35 +0.24%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..105.25 +0.40 +0.38%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.50 +2.80 +2.51%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.05 +1.70 +1.46%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.05 +1.05 +0.89%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..4033‼️ +70 +1.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….455.25 -7.25 -1.57%
SoybeanOil 45.88 +0.36 +0.79%
Wheat…..692.75 -7.50 -1.07%

Wood pulp..5872 unch +0%
(Closed 29/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Merah semua, emang kalo bond yield naik saham biasanya turun… Closing tadi shubuh US market bond yield naik lagi, masih jelek buat saham…

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali timah sama iron ore. oil gas down, coal up, CPO ini menarik… sepertinya AALI LSIP yang gerak

CPO Price setelah MACD buy signal, nyusul supertrend nya buy, semoga firm gerak dan bawa saham produsen CPO ikut rally

IHSG – kemaren brutal banget dibantingnya, foreign net sell gede, macd jadi rev down, MFI sw, w% down, BD juga ga nahan sih, tapi harusnya hari ini ga bantingan lagi, tipis tipis lah

Basic Materials, FInancials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: ITMG ISAT JSMR. ITMG JSMR big accum

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA HRUM UNTR