Daily Analysis 20250812

Daily Analysis 20250812

Good morning,

August 12th, 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq slump with key inflation report on deck

Stocks slipped on Monday as President Trump reportedly granted another 90-day extension for steeper China tariffs and as traders eyed a key inflation reading on Tuesday.

Dow…..43975 -199.7 -0.45%
Nasdaq 21385 -64.6 -0.30%
S&P 500 6374 -15.9 -0.25%

FTSE…..9130 +33.96 +0.37%
Dax…..24081 -81.5 -0.34%
CAC…..7689 -44.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….41820 closed +0%
HSI………24907 +47.99 +0.19%
Shanghai.3648 +12.4 +0.34%

IDX..7605.93 +72.54 +0.96%
LQ45..799.59 +6.71 +0.85%
IDX30.413.26 +4.37 +1.07%

IDXEnergy.3034.08 +10.48 +0.35%
IDX BscMat1650.255 -17.13 -1.03%
IDX Indstr…1073.49 +3.57 +0.33%
IDXNONCYC.704.39 +4.40 +0.63%
IDX Hlthcare1609.99 +7.71 +0.48%
IDXCYCLC..788.35 +5.09 +0.65%
IDX Techno.8828.91 -56.98 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1539.69 +40.26 +2.69%
IDX Infrast .1891.34 +18.17 +0.97%
IDX Finance 1416.55 +21.92 +1.57%
IDX Banking 1033.38 +26.39 +2.67%
IDX Property..813 +20.50 +2.59%

Indo10Yr.6.5583 +0.0079 +0.12%
ICBI….421.7441 -0.2227 -0.05%
US2Yr.3.766 +0.008 +0.21%
US5Yr 3.833 +0.005 +0.13%
US10Yr4.285 +0.002 +0.05%
US30Yr.4. 847 -0.007 -0.14%
VIX..16.25 +1.10 +7.26%

USDIndx..98.5200❗️+0.340 +0.35%
Como Indx.295.69 +1.62 +0.55%
BCOMIN..141.10 -0.53 -0.37%

IndoCDS 5yr.74.87 -0.15 -0.20%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/08)

IDR…….16279.50❗️ -13.00 -0.08%
Jisdor…16253.00❗️ -46.00 -0.28%

Euro..1.1614❗️-0.0028 -0.24%

TLKM..18.31 -0.09 -1.60%
( 2976)
EIDO….17.98 +0.15 +0.84%
EEM…49.30 -0.14 -0.28%

Oil…64.14 +0.26 +0.41%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…66.63 +0.04 +0.06%
(Brent)

Gold.3394.40‼️-96.90 -2.78%‼️
(Comex)
Gold.3347.59‼️ -50.16 -1.48%‼️
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33805.00 +181.00 +0.54%
(Closed 11/08)
Nickel…15279.63 +172.00 +1.14%
(Closed 11/08)
Silver……37.64 -0.90 -2.39%
Copper.444.95 -2.20 -0.49%

Iron Ore 62% 101.22 +0.74 +0.73%
(11/08)

Nturl Gas .2.984 -0.006 -0.20%

Ammonia China.2476.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price 11/08)

Coal price112.25 -0.95 -0.84%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.55 -0.70 -0.61%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.15 -1.35 -1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.75 -1.75 -1.50%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 101.35 +0.35 +0.35%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.102.60 +0.50 +0.49%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.00 -0.15 -0.15%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.95 -0.05 -0.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4384 +130 +3.06%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..407.75 +2.25 +0.55%
SoybeanOil 53.00 +0.47 +0.89%
Wheat…515.00 +0.50 +0.10%

Wood pulp..5883.33 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe mostly merah, asia ijo, IHSG ijo tebel, US treasury bond yield naik, kemungkinan besar merah IHSG hari ini

USD index up, gold drop silver copper down, nickel tin iron ore up, oil up, gas down, coal down, CPO up, perlu dipantau ini AALI

IHSG – technical masih jelek walau stoch dan macd ada gerakan kaya may reversal up. MFI flat, w% up, BD abis buang flat, FNS udah 2 hari, itungan wave B minor nya belum sampe 7200, masih besar kemungkinan dibawa koreksi dulu

Masih mirip kemaren, tapi Basic Materials nya lesu, yang sudutnya terlihat ok Consumer Cyclicals Energy Healthcare Industrials Consumer Non-Cyclicals Property Transportation. Financials masih melempem

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMMN ARTO ITMG SIDO AUTO BTPS ERAA HMSP TINS, big accum ERAA HMSP

MACD Buy Signal: PTPP

Supertrend Buy Signal: CTRA

Daily Analysis 20250624

Daily Analysis 20250624

Good morning,

June 24th 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq jump, oil slides on Iran’s restrained response to US strikes

US stocks closed near session highs on Monday while oil prices tanked after Iran launched missiles at a US air base in Qatar in what appeared to be a limited retaliation for US strikes against Iranian nuclear sites.

Dow…..42582 +374.96 +0.88%
Nasdaq 19631 +183.6 +0.94%
S&P 500 6025 +57.3 +0.96%

FTSE…..8758 -16.6 -0.19%
Dax…..23269 -81.5 -0.35%
CAC…..7538 -52.1 -0.69%

Nikkei….38354 -49.1 -0.13%
HSI………23689 +158.7 +0.67%
Shanghai.3382 +21.7 +0.65%

IDX..6787.14 -120.00 -1.74%
LQ45..753.83 -11.11 -1.45%
IDX30.390.50 -6.58 -1.66%

IDXEnergy.2745.79 -60.67 -2.16%
IDX BscMat1438.02 -16.81 -1.18%
IDX Indstr…..899.66 -14.60 -1.60%
IDXNONCYC.645.17 -13.94 -2.11%
IDX Hlthcare1432.71-24.22 -1.66%
IDXCYCLC…688.61 -23.96 -3.36%
IDX Techno.6483.43 -169.29 -2.54%
IDX Transp 1424.82 -0.75 -0.05%
IDX Infrast .1368.76 -24.47 -1.76%
IDX Finance.1331.70 -18.89 -1.40%
IDX Banking 1010.67 -13.09 -1.28%
IDX Property..705 -21.60 -2.97%

Indo10Yr.6.8230+0.0329 +0.48%
ICBI….411.4922 -0.6063 -0.15%
US2Yr.3.863 -0.041 -1.05%
US5Yr 3.910 -0.049 -1.24%
US10Yr4.348 -0.028 -0.64%
US30Yr.4.874 -0.015 -0.31%
VIX..19.83 -0.79 -3.83%

USDIndx..98.3540❗️ -0.708 -0.71%
Como Indx.305.05 -7.48 -2.39%
BCOMIN..145.09 +0.96 +0.67%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️ unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/06)

IDR…….16.492.00‼️+95.50 +0.58%
Jisdor…16.484.00❗️+85.00 +0.52%

Euro..1.1594 +0.0108 +0.94%

TLKM..15.90 -0.14 -0.87%
( 2621)
EIDO….16.89 -0.29 -1.69%
EEM..46.71 +0.38 +0.82%

Oil…66.17‼️-9.06 -12.04%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…71.48‼️ -8.00 -10.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3378.00 -16.50 -0.49%
(Comex)
Gold.3357.05 -18.76 -0.56%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32693.00 +10.00 +0.03%
(Closed 23/06)
Nickel…14797.25 -168.38 -1.13%
(Closed 23/06)
Silver….36.37 +0.09 +0.25%
Copper.494.65 +9.50 +5.13%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.02 -0.02%
(23/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2310.00 -43.33 -1.84%
(Domestic Price 23/06)

Coal price.107.25 +0.45 +0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.95 +0.70 +0.62%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price114.20 +0.72 +0.62%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 116.00 +0.90 +0.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 104.45 +0.70 +0.67%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.95 +0.90 +0.84%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.65 +0.85 +0.79%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.25 +0.80 +0.74%
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4125 +10 +0.24%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..433.75 -7.50 -1.70%
SoybeanOil 53.75 -1.35 -2.45%
Wheat..569.50 -14.00 -2.40%

Wood pulp…6083.33 unch +0%
(Closed 23/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe merah asia varied, selain IHSG yang merah dalem cuma nikkei yang merah tipis. Padahal iran nyerang US base di qatar, tapi US market pede karena di intercept 6 6 nya mungkin. US treasury bond yield turun, harusnya sih IHSG rada mantul dulu hari ini, gap down kemaren, mungkin akan tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali tin copper, oil drop gas drop coal up cpo up, agak aneh ini oil drop padahal konflik belum selesai, dan energy price chart nya emang terlihat giliran jalan

Oil Price Chart – dibanting kemaren, lanjut running market hari ini masih merah jadi signal mau ngebalik, beware permainan global untuk make harga minyak buat jadi alat tekan geopolitik

Coal Price Chart – supertrend buy macd up, malah kemaren dibanting harga saham coal ikut index, PTBA malah 13% karena deviden nya 13%, rusak banget sih market maker indonesia ini

IHSG – masih all bad kecuali gap down kemaren yang mungkin ditutup dulu sebelum lanjut koreksi, atau bisa jadi akan berhenti di fibo 38. Kita tunggu saja

Masih kebaca arahnya bagus Financials, Industrials, Infrastructure, Property, Technology, Transportation, tapi kemaren bantingan abis abisan ikut index semua, kita pantau ketat

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES BBRI MTEL UNVR MAPA WIFI, wifi big accum

MACD ga ada buy signal, malah sell signal ITMG UNTR SCMA, UNTR udah pasang stoploss, kalo kena kita tunggu next buy signal

Daily Analysis 20250108

Daily Analysis 20250108

January 08th, 2024

Nasdaq leads stock declines as traders pare rate cut bets, Nvidia plummets after record close

US stocks reversed early gains to close firmly lower as cautious investors weighed new economic data, while Nvidia (NVDA) retreated from its record close despite the company’s big artificial intelligence plans.

Dow……42528 -178.2 -0.42%
Nasdaq 19490 -375.3 -1.89%
S&P 500 5909 -66.4 -1.11%

FTSE…..8245 -4.4 -0.05%
Dax……20341 +124.4 +0.62%
CAC……7489 +43.7 +0.59%

Nikkei..40083 +776.3 +1.97%
HSI……..19448 -240.7 -1.22%
Shanghai.3230 +22.8 +0.71%

IDX…7083.29 +2.81 +0.04%
LQ45…820.45 -5.73 -0.69%
IDX30.419.75 -4.56 -1.07%

IDXEnergy…2703.89 -9.22 -0.34%
IDX BscMat 1252.64 +0.03 +0.00%
IDX Indstrl..1008.65 +3.31 +0.33%
IDXNONCYC.711.82 +0.43 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare1427.25 +12.33 +0.87%
IDXCYCLC…817.18 -3.53 -0.43%
IDX Techno.4223.26 +35.81 +0.86%
IDX Transp 1282.15 -4.73 -0.37%
IDX Infrast 1468.13 -1.64 -0.11%
IDX Finance1383.73 -6.90 -0.50%
IDX Banking1122.96 -13.50 -1.19%
IDX Property. 754 +0.40 +0.06%

Indo10Yr.7.0897❗️+0.0259 +0.37%
ICBI….393.0220❗️-0.4644 -0.12%
US2Yr.4.289 +0.008 +0.19%
US5Yr 4.465 +0.043 +0.97%
US10Yr4.685 +0.061 +1.32%
US30Yr.4.914 +0.065 +1.34%
VIX..17.82 +1.78 +11.10%‼️

USDIndx 108.6790‼️+0.449 +0.41%
Como Indx..299.28 +0.35 +0.12%
BCOMIN..140.94 +0.96 +0.68%

IndoCDS…78.18❗️ -0.01 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/01)

IDR…….16142.00❗️-55.50 -0.34%
Jisdor.. 16169.00❗️-24.00 -0.15%

Euro…1.0341 +0.0033 +0.32%

TLKM…16.07 -0.73 -4.32%‼️
( 2598)
EIDO…18.38 -0.27 -1.42%
EEM…42.00 -0.30 -0.71%

Oil………74.25 +0.69 +0.94%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………77.25 +1.06 +1.39%
(Brent)
Gold…2665.40 +18.00 +0.68%
(Comex)
Gold…2648.53 +12.15 +0.46%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29289.00 +181.00 +0.62%
(Closed 06/01)
.Nickel.15400.00 +100.00 +1.18%
(Closed 07/01)
Silver……30.69 +0.11 +0.36%
Copper.419.55 +3.40 +0.82%

Iron Ore 62% 99.44 +0.00 +0.00%
(06/01)
Nturl Gas 3.449 -0.223 -6.07%‼️
Ammonia China. 2486.67 – -%*
(Domestic Price)(07/01)

Coal price.118.30 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.00 -1.40 -1.16%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.30 -1.35 -1.11%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 121.35 -1.80 -1.46%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.95 unch +0%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.65 -0.05 -0.05%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.00 -1.05 -0.99%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.60 +0.40 +0.38%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar) 4373 +31 +0.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………458.00 +0.25 +0.05%
SoybeanOil 41.25 +0.92 +2.28%
Wheat…..542.50 +2.00 +0.37%

Wood pulp…..6470 +20 +0.31%
(Closed 07/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Bukannya DJI yang nyusul naik, malah nasdaq yang melorot, europe masiih kebanyakan ijo, asia juga. US treasury bond naik, wah kejegal lagi IHSG hari ini kalo gitu

USD index up lagi, tapi metal2 up, oil up gas down coal down. Kemaren coal down adro dkk naik, udah mulai ga sabar bandarnya. CPO up juga, masih nunggu buy signal AALI LSIP

IHSG – kemaren ijo tipiiiiis, tapi masih FNS jadi belum jalan, RSI udah naik, MFI masih down karena vol nya belum naik, stoch up MACD buy, w% sw, masih belum bisa jalan nunggu FNB kayanya. Tapi yang aman aman udah bisa masuk

Healthcare, Property, Technology, Transportation, Financials nya malah lemes

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AMMN ANDF MBMA SCMA, big accum ADRO AMMN INDF

MACD Buy Signal: BBYB DOID MNCN, big accum BBYB

Daily Analysis 20250103

Daily Analysis 20250103

January 03rd 2024

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as comeback bid falters and Tesla, Apple slide

Stocks erased session gains on Thursday to kick off the first trading day of the new year as Wall Street returned from a holiday break.

Dow……42392 -151.95 -0.36%
Nasdaq 19281 -30.00 -0.16%
S&P 500 5869 -13.08 -0.22%

FTSE…..8260 +87.1 +1.07%
Dax……20025 +115.5 +0.58%
CAC……7394 +13.02 +0.18%

Nikkei…39895 closed +0%
HSI……..19623 -436.63 -2.18%
Shanghai.3252 -89.20 -2.66%

IDX…7163.21 +83.30 +1.18%
LQ45…837.21 +10.56 +1.28%
IDX30.429.23 +5.85 +1.38%

IDXEnergy…2729.65 +40.38 +1.50%
IDX BscMat 1274.20 +22.33 +1.78%
IDX Indstrl..1021.66 -13.91 -1.34%
IDXNONCYC.716.97 -12.52 -1.72%
IDX Hlthcare1435.68 -20.82 -1.43%
IDXCYCLC…825.07 -9.84 -1.18%
IDX Techno..4050.75 +52.93 +1.32%
IDX Transp 1297.26 -3.46 -0.27%
IDX Infrast 1465.97 -12.92 -0.87%
IDX Finance1413.51 +20.93 +1.50%
IDX Banking1164.34 +33.38 +2.95%
IDX Property. 764 +7.80 +1.03%

Indo10Yr.7.0442❗-0.0252 -0.36%
ICBI….393.3270❗+0.5181 +0.13%
US2Yr.4.240 +0.006 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.380 -0.007 -0.16%
US10Yr4.573 -0.010 -0.22%
US30Yr.4.786 -0.004 -0.08%
VIX..17.93 +0.58 +3.34%❗

USDIndx 109.2420‼️+0.755 +0.70%
Como Indx..293.98 +2.26 +0.76%
BCOMIN..139.11 -1.21 -0.86%

IndoCDS…79.17❗ -0.02 -0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/12)

IDR…….16198.00‼️+66.00 +0.41%
Jisdor.. 16236.00‼️+79.00 +0.49%

Euro…1.0266 -0.009 -0.87%

TLKM…16.59 +0.13 +0.76%
( 2694)
EIDO…18.77 +0.29 +1.54%
EEM…41.76 -0.08 -0.19%

Oil………73.13 +1.41 +1.97%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.86 +1.22 +1.63%
(Brent)
Gold…2669.00 +28.00 +1.06%
(Comex)
Gold…2624.50 +33.35 +1.27%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.28083.00 -212.00 -0.72%
(Closed 31/12)
.Nickel.15300.00 -5.00 -0.03%
(Closed 31/12)
Silver……29.90 +0.66. +2.25%
Copper.402.60 -0.05 -0.01%

Iron Ore 62% 103.61 -0.17 -0.16%
(31/12)
Nturl Gas 3.662 +0.045 +1.24%
Ammonia China. 2573.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(02/01)

Coal price.127.00 closed +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.126.55 -0.45 -0.35%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.00 -1.10 -0.85%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 128.85 -1.05 -0.81%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.50 +0.55 +0.48%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.70 +0.55 +0.49%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.20 +0.50 +0.45%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 111.30 +0.05. +0.04%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar) 4336 -108 -2.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………459.50 +1.00 +0.22%
SoybeanOil 40.27 -0.09 -0.22%
Wheat……545.75 -5.75 -1.04%

Wood pulp…..6320 closed +0%
(Closed 27/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe ijo, asia china hongkong merah ihsg ijo tebel. US treasury bond 2 tahun naik, yang panjang turun, sideways dulu atau koreksi dikit ini keliatannya IHSG

USD index up, gold silver up, metal lain down, oil up, gas up, coal newcastle down rotterdam up, koreksi sehat dulu coal kayanya tudei, CPO drop lagi, belum boleh jalan

IHSG – stoch buy macd rev rev up, MFI still down, w% up, reg bull div confirmed by ma10, BD FF masih dist tipis, harusnya tinggal nunggu momentum mantul. Sayangnya kemaren mantuk kenceng bikin opening gap, jadi ada utang lagi deh, beware long ower shadow dip

FInancials, Healthcare, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, AKRA ANTM ASII HRUM ISAT ITMG MBMA SMGRUNTR BRMS ELSA ENRG ERAA MARK PANI PTPP SRTG TINS TKIM TPIA yang ada FNB dan Big Accum ASII ENRG MARK PANI PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BBTN PGAS AUTO MAPA MARK NISP PTMP TINS, big accum BBTN

Supertrend Buy Signal kemaren INDY SILO, yang baru NISP

Daily Analysis 20240926

Daily Analysis 20240926

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo tipis, europe merah, asia varied jepang korea singapore indonesia merah, china hongkong ijo. US Treasury Bond Yield up, kemungkinan besar IHSG merah lagi hari ini

USD index up, metal2 juga up, oil down, gas down, coal flat, CPO up, masih ok ini ANTM INCO MDKA TINS AALI LSIP, oil oil semoga masih lanjut, kemaren uda koreksi dikit, tapi trailing stop on, lagi bahaya index

IHSG – technically udah bahaya, otw wave 4. Nanti kita gambar kemungkinan target level nya. Itu udah mulai FNS, beware longsor

Technology, Healthcare, Transportation, COnsumer non-cyclicals, Basic Materials, Industrials Energy. Yang bisa diharapkan jadi ganjel index yang basic materials, industrials sama energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: BUKA EXCL SMGR DSNG PTPP PTRO AMFG, big accum EXCL

MACD Buy Signal: ESSA BMTR HMSP SMDR, big accum ESSA

Daily Analysis 20240925

Daily Analysis 20240925

September 25th, 2024 S&P 500, Dow hit fresh records, China stocks soar on new stimulus US stocks rose modestly on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average…