Global update:

September 21th, 2022

Good morning,

Major averages close about 1% lower as yields rise ahead of Fed rate decision

Stocks tumbled on Tuesday as the sell-off on Wall Street mounted and investors braced for another large rate hike due out Wednesday from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….30706 -313.5 -1.01%
Nasdaq.11425 -109.97 -0.95%
S&P 500..3855 -43.96 -1.13%

FTSE…….7193 -44.02 -0.61%
Dax……..12671 -132.4 -1.03%
CAC……..5979 -82.1 -1.35%

Nikkei….27688 +120.8 +0.44%
HSI……..18781 +215.5 +1.16%
Shanghai..3122 +6.8 +0.22%
ST Times..3267 +10.63 +0.33%

IDX…….7196.95 +1.46 +0.02%
LQ45…1028.21 +3.48 +0.34%

IDX Energy..1982.92 -10.58 -0.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.99 -4.74 -0.37%
IDX Industrl..1356.73 -6.58 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..699.95 -0.36 -0.05%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.15 +5.26 +0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.53 -0.49 -0.06%
IDX Techno..7416.27 +68.72 +0.94%
IDX Transp…1848.78 -19.38 -1.046%
IDX Infrast…..1023.94 -6.48 -0.63%
IDX Finance 1506.01 -10.91 -0.72%
IDX Banking..1169.53 -11.14 -0.94%
IDX Property….730 -7.30 -0.99%

Indo10Yr….7.2436 -0.0020 -0.03%
ICBI……..335.9559 +0.1485 +0.04%
US10Yr……3.5710 +0.0810 +2.32%‼️
VIX……….27.16 +1.40 +5.43%

USDIndx 110.2150 +0.4780 +0.44%‼️
Como Indx..279.54 -0.24 -0.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.26 +0.17 +0.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14983.50 +6.00 +0.04%‼️
Jisdor..14975.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼️

Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%

TLKM……..29.49 -0.30 -1.01%
(4463)
EIDO………24.29 -0.32 -1.30%
EEM………37.70 -0.21 -0.55%

Oil…………..84.45 -1.28 -1.49%
Gold ……..1673.30 -11.60 -0.69%
Timah. .20945.00 -192 -0.91%
( Closed 19/9)
Nickel…24965.50 +343.50 +0.99%
(Closed 20/9)
Silver…….19.25 -0.33 -1.68%
Copper….349.95 -2.90 -0.82%

Nturl Gas…..7.720 -0.158 -2.01%

Ammonia..4373.33 +116.66 +2.74%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(19/9)

Coal price….441.30 +2.25 +0.51%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 +9.95 +2.32%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….437.00 +11.95 +2.81%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -10.60 -3.17%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.60 -14.95 -4.86%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….295.15 -13.65 -4.42%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3739 +38 +1.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.00 +13.75 +2.03%
SoybeanOil…65.91 +0.75 +1.15%
Wheat……..893.75 +63.25 +7.62%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe merah juga, asia kebanyakan ijo ikut US kemarennya. IHSG ijo tipis banget. Prepare lanjut merah today

Oil Gas turun, Coal naik, energi belum kompak lagi. Metal2 turun kecuali nikel, kurang asik buat basic materials, CPO merah, belum terlihat hilal kenaikan buat LSIP sama AALI

IHSG – masih jadwal wave 2, keep cash… Kecuali yang yakin banget dan sektornya masih jalan

Property, Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Yang keliatan mau nyusul technology, transportation, sama consumer non-cyclicals

Global Update:

September 20th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 200 points higher, stocks snap two-day losing streak to start big Fed week

Stocks closed higher on Monday in a volatile trading session ahead of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting slated to kick off Tuesday.

Dow…….31020 +197.3 +0.64%
Nasdaq.11535 +86.6 +0.76%
S&P 500..3900 +26.6 +0.69%

FTSE…….7237 closed +0%
Dax……..12803 +61.98 +0.49%
CAC……..6062 -15.7 -0.26%

Nikkei….27568 closed +0%
HSI……..18566 -195.7 -1.04%
Shanghai..3116 -10.8 -0.35%
ST Times..3256 -11.98 -0.37%

IDX…….7195.49 +26.62 +0.37%
LQ45…1024.73 +8.72 +0.86%

IDX Energy..1997.50 -37.27 -1.83%
IDX Bsc Mat.1295.73 -8.40 -0.64%
IDX Industrl..1363.31 -0.13 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..700.31 -2.24 -0.32%
IDX Hlthcare.1466.89 +17.68 +1.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..885.02 +4.98 +0.57%
IDX Techno..7347.55 -135.95 -1.82%
IDX Transp…1868.16 -35.32 -1.86%
IDX Infrast…..1030.42 +3.18 +0.31%
IDX Finance 1516.93 +4.26 +0.28%
IDX Banking..1180.67 +13.18 +1.13%
IDX Property….737 +0.40 +0.05%

Indo10Yr….7.2456 +0.0062 +0.09%
ICBI……..335.8074 +0.0016 +0.00%
US10Yr……3.4900 +0.0420 +1.22%
VIX……….25.76 -0.54 -2.05%

USDIndx 109.7370 -0.0270 -0.02%
Como Indx..279.78 +0.90 +0.32%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.09 -0.15 -0.10%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14977.50 +23.00 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14980.00 +41.00 +0.27%‼️

Euro……..1.0031 +0.0015 +0.15%

TLKM……..29.79 +0.59 +2.02%
(4463)
EIDO………24.61 +0.34 +1.40%
EEM………37.91 +0.12 +0.03%

Oil…………..85.73 +0.62 +0.73%
Gold ……..1684.90 +1.40 +0.08%
Timah. .21137.00 – -%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24621.50 +226.00 +0.66%
(Closed 19/9)
Silver…….19.58 +0.20 +1.03%
Copper….352.85 +1.20 +0.34%

Nturl Gas…..7.878 +0.061 +0.78%

Ammonia..4256.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.05 +0.05 +0.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.05 +0.05 +0.01%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.05 +1.55 +0.37%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….334.25 +3.25 +0.98%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….307.55 +3.25 +1.07%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….308.80 +3.25 +1.06%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3701 -100 -2.63%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..678.25 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil…65.16 -0.80 -1.21%
Wheat……..830.50 -29.25 -3.40%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 19/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Fed rencana naikin suku bunga lagi, US ijo tadi malem. Europe ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG yang mantul setelah sebelumnya koreksi hampir 2%.

Kemungkinan hari ini merah lagi sih, udah firm wave 2 nya by bearish divergence. Hati-hati belanja, pilih sektor yang jalan aja atau saham yang contrarian.

Semua komoditas ijo kecuali CPO, semoga bikin jalan Basic Materials

IHSG – akhirnya FNS… Setelah seminggu lebih foreign entry terus. Semua indicator bilang mau turum,atau sideways,ga ada lagi yang bilang up. Lagging line ichimoku sih, tapi udah dikit lagi mau nabrak masuk ke candle

Property, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation. Basic Materials, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure lagi siap siap

Global update:

September 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on Friday, extending sell off for worst week since June for S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street wrapped up one of its worst weeks in months and traders reacted to an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.

Dow…….30822 -139.4 -0.45%
Nasdaq.11448 -103.95 -0.90%
S&P 500..3873 -28.02 -0.72%

FTSE…….7237 -45.4 -0.62%
Dax……..12741 -215.4 -1.66%
CAC……..6077 -80.5 -1.31%

Nikkei….27568 -308.3 -1.11%
HSI……..18762 -168.7 -0.89%
Shanghai..3126 -73.5 -2.30%
ST Times..3268 +0.31 +0.01%

IDX…….7168.87 -136.73 -1.87%
LQ45…1016.01 -25.04 -2.40%

IDX Energy..2034.77 -44.48 -2.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.13 +0.83 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1363.44 -22.00 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..702.55 -3.61 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1449.21 -5.57 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.03 -2.12 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7483.50 -35.58 -0.47%
IDX Transp…1903.48 -13.70 -0.71%
IDX Infrast…..1027.23 -3.55 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1512.67 -29.05 -1.88%
IDX Banking..1167.49 -33.02 -2.75%bangbang
IDX Property….737 -8.50 -1.14%

Indo10Yr….7.2394 +0.0326 +0.45%
ICBI……..335.6762 -0.6426 -0.19%
US10Yr……3.4480 -0.0110 -0.32%
VIX……….26.30 +0.03 +0.11%

USDIndx 109.7640 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx..278.88 -2.12 -0.75%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.24 +1.24 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14954.50 +57.00 +0.38%bangbang
Jisdor..14939.00 +40.00 +0.16%bangbang

Euro……..1.0016 +0.0022 +0.22%

TLKM……..29.20 -0.60 -2.01%
(4362)
EIDO………24.27 -0.48 -1.94%
EEM………37.79 -0.35 -0.92%
Oil…………..85.11 +0.38 +0.45%
Gold ……..1683.50 +11.80 +0.71%
Timah. .21137.00 +327.00 +1.57%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24395.50 +1091.00 +4.68%bangbang
(Closed 16/9)
Silver…….19.38 +0.32 +1.68%
Copper….351.65 +4.96 +1.43%

Nturl Gas…..7.817 -0.475 -5.73%bangbang

Ammonia..4256.67 +66.67 +1.59%bangbang
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.00 -6.50 -1.46%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.00 -10.00 -2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.50 -11.00 -2.53%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.00 -6.20 -1.84%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.30 -13.70 -4.30%bangbang
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..305.55 -12.45 -3.92%bangbang
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3801 -116 -2.96%bangbang
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -0.25 -0.04%
SoybeanOil…65.96 +1.66 +2.58%
Wheat……..859.75 +14.75 +1.75%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/9)

copyrightPhintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at kompak merah semua, IHSG dalem banget dan ada opening gap down, membuka harapan rebound kecil hari ini… Energy dan Banking yang drop paling besar, udahan dulu emang keliatannya dari sisi sektornya.

Komoditas hampir semua naik kecuali natural gas sama coal dan  cpo, metal2 naik bisa berarti basic materials naik. Kita check chart sektornya later ya.

Keliatannya sesuai prediksi, sebelum santa claus rally akan drop dulu, bikin wave 3. Cocok nanti sama jadwal window dressing akhir tahun sekalian wave 3.

IHSG – stoch macd bilang sell, bandar dan foreign buang, MFI SW, ada banyak gap dibawah, LR bisa kemana aja, PSAR sell. Jelek banget ini…

IHSG kena regular bearish divergence MACD line dan MACD histogram, confirmed by MA10. So technically ngeri ini… Dan kemaren hype nya new ATH cuma segitu aja. Prepare buat terjunan wave 2. Kita liat sektor mana yang bakal jadi ganjel index

Bersih bersih dulu, mulai belanja lagi amannya setelah gap 6911 udah ketutup, kalo gap 6740 udah ketutup berani buy sambil merem, hehehe…

FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW

(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)

INDONESIA

• LARGE CAP

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid

• MID CAP

Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large

• SMALL CAP

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
*
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)

Highlight di:

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid

-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Harusnya efek rebalancing akan bikin naik saham-saham ini karena akan diborong para Manager Investasi.

Cuma Property yang firm, tanda tanda perlawanan ada di basic materials, transportation, sama consumer cyclicals. Infra ada dikit tapi ok lah kita liat detailnya

Global update:

August 15th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up 400 points, S&P 500 rises for fourth straight week as investors warm to cooler inflation

Stocks rose sharply on Friday, clinching the fourth straight positive week for the S&P 500 as investors celebrated signs that inflation may be peaking.

Dow…….33761 +424.4 +1.27%
Nasdaq.13047 +267.3 +2.09%
S&P 500..4280 +72.9 +1.73%

FTSE…….7501 +34.98 +0.47%
Dax……..13796 +101.3 +0.74%
CAC……..6554 +9.2 +0.14%

Nikkei….28547 +727.7 +2.62%
HSI……..20175 +622.0 +2.21%
Shanghai..3277 +93.2 +0.46%
ST Times..3269 -32.7 -0.99%

IDX…….7129.28 -31.11 -0.43%
LQ45…1012.04 -6.29 -0.62%

IDX Energy…1816.88 -6.47 -0.35%
IDX Bsc Mat.1353.09 -4.36 -0.32%
IDX Industrl..1310.33 +3.07 +0.23%
IDXNONCYC..703.50 -1.36 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1414.35 -0.51 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..899.04 +3.88 +0.43%
IDX Techno..8083.54 -172.87 -2.09%
IDX Transp…2088.31 -20.36 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1050.72 +6.68 +0.64%
IDX Finance 1526.29 -11.28 -0.73%
IDX Banking..1156.62 -10.54 -0.50%
IDX Property…..712 +3.0 +0.43%

Indo10Yr….7.1203 -0.0886 -1.23%👍*
ICBI……..336.3364 +0.6001 +0.18%👍
US10Yr…..2.8490 -0.0390 -1.35%
VIX…………19.53 -0.67 -3.32%👍

USDIndx 105.6310 +0.5410 0.51%‼
Como Indx..293.48 -1.58 -0.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.44 -3.83 -2.33%
.
IndoCDS…97.19 – 5.20 -5.73%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14668.00 -97.50 -0.66%👍
Jisdor..14688 .00 -111.00 -0.75%👍

Euro………1.0259 -0.0068 -0.66%

TLKM……..31.31 +0.37 +1.20%
(4593)
EIDO………24.24 +0.14 +0.58%
EEM………41.05 +0.43 +1.06%

Oil…………..92.09 -2.02 -2.15%
Gold ……..1815.50 +10.80 +0.60%
Timah. .25177.00 -208.00 -0.82%
( Closed 12/8)
Nickel…23093.50 -607.50 -2.56%‼
(Closed 12/8)
Silver…….20.85 +0.61 +3.01%
Copper….366.85 -2.55 -0.69%

Nturl Gas…..8.780 +0.0530 +0.61%

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(11/8)

Coal price….407.65 +6.65 +1.66%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….403.00 +5.70 +1.43%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.25 +5.75 +1.48%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….350.50 +6.50 +1.89%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….341.70 +3.45 +1.02%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….331.70 +2.95 +0.90%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4420 +152 +3.56%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………642.25 +14.50 +2.31%
SoybeanOil…67.97 +0.35 +0.52%
Wheat………822.50 -3.75 -0.45%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, Europe Ijo, Asia Varied, Nikkei Ijo tebel.
Gold Silver Coal CPO naik, Nickel Drop, Copper Tin Gas turun. Coal udah diatas 400 USD/MT lagi.

Kalo market normal, harusnya ini bagus buat MDKA ADRO, jelek buat ANTM INCO TINS. Oil sama Gas masih bolak balik aja belum jadi run buat ELSA MEDC PGAS

Worst Case Scenario, walaupun kemunginan besar tidakakan terjadi, tapi melihat gap-gap yang ada, harus siap menghadapi kemungkinan ini

Kalo ikut trend recovery mungkin gini, tutup gap yang bawah nya di skip

IHSG – Secara teknikal kemungkinan besar turun dulu, tutup gap sekalian bikin wave 2 baru lanjut ke atas, tapi US Europe ijo tebel, mungkin juga rada panjangan lagi wave 1 nya ke atas, ga cuma tutup gap aja.