Global update:

September 16th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq drops more than 1% as market comeback stumbles, Dow closes at lowest level in two months

U.S. stocks dropped in choppy trading on Thursday as investors mulled over several economic reports that showed a muddy picture of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….30962 -173.3 -0.56%
Nasdaq.11552 -167.3 -1.43%
S&P 500..3901 -44.7 -1.13%

FTSE…….7282 +4.8 +0.07%
Dax……..12957 -71.3 -0.55%
CAC……..6158 -64.6 -1.04%

Nikkei….27876 +57.3 +0.21%
HSI……..18930 +83.3 +0.44%
Shanghai..3200 -37.6 -1.16%
ST Times..3268 +9,96 +0.31%

IDX…….7305.60 +39.94 +0.38%
LQ45…1041.04 +6.52 +0.53%

IDX Energy..2079.26 -1.67 -0.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1303.30 -14.90 -1.13%
IDX Industrl..1385.43 +9.87 +0.72%
IDXNONCYC..706.15 +0.92 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1454.78 +2.44 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 +3.01 +0.34%
IDX Techno..7519.08 -87.50 -1.15%
IDX Transp…1917.18 -10.38 -0.54%
IDX Infrast…..1030.79 -1.41 -0.14%
IDX Finance 1541.72 +14.89 +0.98%
IDX Banking..1200.51 +17.04 +1.44%
IDX Property…745 +15.60 +2.14%‼️

Indo10Yr….7.2068 +0.0176 +0.24%
ICBI……..336.3188 -0.1789 -0.05%
US10Yr……3.4590 +0.0470 +1.38%
VIX……….26.27 +0.11 +0.42%

USDIndx 109.7390 +0.0810 +0.07%
Como Indx..281.00 -5.33 -1.86%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.00 -1.84 -1.19%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14897.50 -10.00 -0.07%
Jisdor..14899.00 -24.00 -0.16%

Euro……..0.9994 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM……..29.80 -0.09 -0.30%
(4440)
EIDO………24.75 +0.08 +0.32%
EEM………38.14 -0.41 -1.06%

Oil…………..84.73 -4.15 -4.67%‼️
Gold ……..1671.70 -35.10 -2.06%‼️
Timah. .21177.00 -203.00 -0.95%
( Closed 14/9)
Nickel…23304.00 -1029.00 -4.86%‼️
(Closed 15/9)
Silver…….19.06 -0.54 -2.76%‼️
Copper….346.70 -5.00 -1.42%

Nturl Gas…..8.292 -0.789 -8.69%‼️

Ammonia..4190.00 +33.33 +0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/9)

Coal price….445.50 +1.30 +0.29%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 -1.20 -0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.50 +0.35 +0.08%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.20 +1.20 +0.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….318.00 -1.50 -0.47%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…318.00 -3.00 -0.93%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3744 -114 -2.95%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 -4.75 -0.70%
SoybeanOil…64.30 -0.57 -0.88%
Wheat……..845.00 -27.25 -3.12%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe mostly merah, asia ijo kecuali shanghai, masih ngikutin sisa ijonya US di hari sebelumnya. IHSG kebawa sentimen big banks laporan keuangannya bagus berhasil bikin new record high, walaupun sebetulnya belum ada pemulihan ekonomi yang signifikan. Semoga bukan hanya euforia sesaat terus dibanting dalem tutup gap

Oil dan natural gas drop lagi, metals turun semua, coal naik cpo turun – not a good sign… Kemarin nikel emas timah ada kenaikan dan sector rotation nya pas ke basic materials, diharapkan ANTM INCO TINS MDKA naik lagi, sekarang turun semoga koreksinya tidak terlalu dalam

Kemaren IHSG tembus level previous all time high di 7355, high kemaren di 7371. Opening gap up, jadi memang rawan koreksi hari ini, walau harapan euforia nya semoga nahan untuk tidak langsung koreksi wave 2. Tapi, secara teknikal begitu bikin new record high IHSG juga langsung ada bearish divergence di MACD line dan MACD histogram. Kalau hari ini closing merah, besok closing merah lagi, besar kemungkinan akan drop jauh, firm bearish divergence nya. Per sekarang MACD signal sell nongol, ini yang kemaren saya takutkan,jebakan teknikal, banyak orang yang nunggu untuk re-entry di MACD buy signal, kemaren buy signal sekarang ngebalik, kalo ga ada perubahan bakal banyak nyangkuters yang kena jebakan teknikal ini, persis tahun kemarin

19 Maret 2021 kejadiannya

IHSG – Foreign masih entry, bandar lokal distribusi, stoch sama MACD ngebalik sell lagi, MFI masih up. Kurang kuat euforia break ATH nya nih, WNS tunggu besok harga kemana

Yang firm tinggal property, yang lain melemah cacing RSI nya

Rotationnya seringnya begitu sih, abis bank terus property…

Global Update:

September 15th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. stocks finished higher on Wednesday after an indecisive trading session that saw the major averages spend time on both sides of the flatline throughout the day.

Dow…….31135 +30.1 +0.10%
Nasdaq.11720 +86.1 +0.74%
S&P 500..3946 +13.3 +0.34%

FTSE…….7277 -108.6 -1.47%
Dax……..13028 -160.95 -1.22%
CAC……..6222 -23.3 -0.37%

Nikkei….27819 -796.01 -2.78%
HSI……..18847 -479.8 -2.48%
Shanghai..3238 -26.3 -0.80%
ST Times..3258 -32.1 -0.97%

IDX…….7278.08 -39.94 -0.55%
LQ45…1035.52 -7.12 -0.68%

IDX Energy..2080.93 +17.15 +0.83%
IDX Bsc Mat.1318.20 -16.22 -1.22%
IDX Industrl..1375.56 -14.34 -1.07%
IDXNONCYC..705.24 +1.44 +0.21%
IDX Hlthcare.1452.34 -11.92 -0.81%
IDXCYCLIC…..879.15 -1.64 -0.19%
IDX Techno..7606.59 -41.40 -0.54%
IDX Transp…1927.56 +0.55 +0.03%
IDX Infrast…..1032.19 -2.43 -0.23%
IDX Finance 1526.83 -9.79 -0.64%
IDX Banking..1183.47 -9.60 -0.80%
IDX Property…729 -4.60 -0.63%

Indo10Yr….7.1892 +0.0147 +0.20%
ICBI……..336.4977 -0.2895 -0.09%
US10Yr……3.4120 -0.0100 -0.29%
VIX……….26.16 -1.11 -4.07%

USDIndx 109.6580 -0.1570 -0.14%
Como Indx..286.33 +0.56 +0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.84 -1.28 -0.83%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14907.50 +56.00 +0.38%‼
Jisdor..14923.00 +62.00 +0.42%‼

Euro……..0.9983 +0.0013 +0.13%

TLKM……..29.89 +0.31 +1.05%
(4460)
EIDO………24.67 +0.34 +1.40%
EEM………38.55 +0.19 +0.50%

Oil…………..8.88 +1.17 +1.33%
Gold ……..1706.80 -5.90 -0.34%
Timah. .21380.00 -81.00 -0.38%
( Closed 13/9)
Nickel…24333.00 +190.50 +0.79%
(Closed 14/9)
Silver…….19.60 +0.31 +1.61%
Copper….351.70 -1.40 -0.40%

Nturl Gas…..9.081 +0.683 +8.13%‼

Ammonia..4156.67 +23.34 +0.56%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/9)

Coal price….444.20 +4.85 +1.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….439.20 +10.55 +2.46%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.15 +12.15 +2.88%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.00 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….319.50 +5.00 +1.59%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…321.60 +6.85 +2.17%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3858 -42 -1.07%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..682.25 -10.50 -1.52%
SoybeanOil…64.87 -1.86 -2.79%
Wheat……..872.25 +11.75 +1.37%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US abis drop gede rebound sedikit… Europe merah, asia merah

Commodity terkait energy naik semua, oil natural gas coal, mungkinkah mau extend wave 5 sektor energi? Ya mungkin aja sih…

Gold Timah Copper turun, nickel silver naik

Masih bertahan diatas EMA 20, kita wait and see, bikin new record high atau tidak IHSG, kondisi ekonomi sih belum mendukung

IHSG – stoch sell, macd buy, foreign masih entry, bandar masih akum, MFI slow tapi masih naik, masih dibawah resistance kuat – level harga All Time High, masih galau ini, tapi masih terlalu dini untuk window dressing, jadi kayanya wave 2 dulu tetep

Property yang firm, energy kemaren jalan tapi dari sector rotation kemungkinan bukan gilirannya lagi untuk jalan. Basic Materials dan Financials sedikit melemah, prediction saya Basic Materials yang lanjut, financials udahan dulu. Next nya transport

Global Update:

September 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher for fourth straight session ahead of key inflation report, Dow rises 200 points

Stocks rose on Monday as a weaker dollar and growing confidence that higher prices have peaked helped Wall Street’s relief rally continue ahead of a key inflation report.

Dow…….32381 +299.6 +0.71%
Nasdaq.12266 +154.1 +1.27%
S&P 500..4110 +43.1 +1.06%

FTSE…….7473 +121.96 +1.66%
Dax……..13402 +314.1 +2.40%
CAC……..6334 +121.3 +1.95%

Nikkei….28542 +327.4 +1.16%
HSI……..19362 closed +0%
Shanghai..3262 closed +0%
ST Times..3275 +11.8 +0.36%

IDX…….7254.46 +11.81 +0.16%
LQ45…1032.79 +0.79 +0.08%

IDX Energy..2047.03 +36.30 +1.81%
IDX Bsc Mat.1339.62 +2.82 +0.21%
IDX Industrl..1371.82 +6.44 +0.47%
IDXNONCYC..699.55 +2.60 +0.37%
IDX Hlthcare.1454.40 +16.78 +1.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.64 +0.49 +0.06%
IDX Techno..7693.88 +56.70 +0.74%
IDX Transp…1884.79 -18.48 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1028.46 -6.14 -0.59%
IDX Finance 1508.41 -5.18 -0.34%
IDX Banking..1170.05 -2.50 -0.21%
IDX Property…726 +10.80 +1.50%

Indo10Yr….7.1834 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..336.5187 +0.3920 +0.12%
US10Yr……3.3620 +0.0410 +1.23%
VIX…………23.87 +1.08 +4.74%‼️

USDIndx 108.3300 -0.6730 -0.62%
Como Indx..287.62 +3.50 +1.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.49 +3.14 +2.06%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14842.00 +12.00 +0.08%
Jisdor..14839.00 -7.00 -0.05%

Euro……..1.0122 +0.0080 +0.80%

TLKM……..30.46 +0.02 +0.07%
(4520)
EIDO………24.59 +0.22 +0.90%
EEM………39.58 +0.58 +1.49%

Oil…………..87.99 +1.20 +1.38%
Gold ……..1736.20 +7.60 +0.44%
Timah. .21165.00 +314.00 +1.51%
( Closed 09/9)
Nickel…24432.00 +1400.00 +6.08%‼️
(Closed 12/9)
Silver…….19.81 +1.04 +5.54%
Copper….361.55 +4.75 +1.33%

Nturl Gas…..8.409 +0.371 +4.62%‼️

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/9)

Coal price….437.50 +2.25 +0.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….427.50 -3.10 -0.72%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….418.00 -3.25 -0.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….329.00 -8.00 -2.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.50 -15.50 -4.84%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….305.25 -11.90 -3.75%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3682 +87 +2.42%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..696.00 +11.00 +1.61%
SoybeanOil…66.49 +1.67 +2.58%
Wheat……..858.75 -10.75 -1.24%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 12/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Regional Index Ijo semua, komoditas juga naik semua, kita liat apakah IHSG bisa memperpanjang wave 1 nya dengan break high dan bikin new record high… Tapi tetep jangan FOMO, masuk yang emang keliatan lagi hajatan aja…

Kita liat mau dibawa kemana ini IHSG… Kalo bikin ATH baru pasti euforia, kita ikut disitu, selama belum masih hati2

IHSG – Stoch overbought, MACD rev u, belum GC, bandar relatively diem, FF kemaren flat, harus dicari ini FNB nya kemaren berapa, jangan2 exit lagi… EW masih besar kemungkinan wave 2 dulu, LG bisa kemana aja, tapi ada gap dibawah yang menunggu ditutup

Cacing RSI Quadrant: Basic Materials, Industrials, Property, Consumer Cyclicals

Healthcare sama Energy sepertinya sudah lewat gilirannya, kalo yang sudah punya liat detail chart emitennya kalo mau hold, kalo new entry beware, mending di sektor yang baru jalan aja

Global update:

September 12th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points higher, stocks snap 3-week Fed-induced slide

U.S. stocks rallied Friday as Wall Street caps off a strong weekly performance, recovering from a Federal Reserve-induced slump.

Dow…….32152 +377.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq.12112 +250.2 +2.11%
S&P 500..4067 +61.2 +1.53%

FTSE…….7351 +89.0 +1.23%
Dax……..13088 +183.9 +1.43%
CAC……..6212 +86.4 +1.41%

Nikkei….28215 +149.5 +0.53%
HSI……..19362 +507.6 +2.69%
Shanghai..3262 +26.5 +0.82%
ST Times..3263 +29.3 +0.91%

IDX…….7242.66 +10.64 +0.15%
LQ45…1032.00 +3.94 +0.38%

IDX Energy..2010.73 -6.01 -0.30%
IDX Bsc Mat.1336.80 -0.33 -0.02%
IDX Industrl..1365.38 -0.45 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..696.95 +0.09 +0.01%
IDX Hlthcare.1437.62 +12.35 +0.87%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 -3.78 -0.43%
IDX Techno..7637.19 -19.58 -0.26%
IDX Transp…1903.27 -9.73 -0.51%
IDX Infrast…..1034.61 -3.05 -0.29%
IDX Finance 1513.59 -2.68 -0.18%
IDX Banking..1172.54 +2.41 +0.21%
IDX Property…713 +5.20 +0.74%

Indo10Yr….7.1959 -0.0104 -0.15%
ICBI……..335.9986 +0.2725 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.3210 +0.0290 +0.88%
VIX…………22.79 -0.82 -3.47%

USDIndx 109.0030 -0.6540 -0.60%
Como Indx..284.12 +5.81 +2.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.36 +3.14 +2.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14830.00 -70.50 -0.47%
Jisdor..14846.00 -59.00 -0.40%

Euro……..1.0042 +0.0043 +0.43%

TLKM……..30.44 +0.13 +0.43%
(4519)
EIDO………24.37 +0.15 +0.62%
EEM………39.00 +0.57 +1.48%

Oil…………..86.79 +3.25 +3.89%‼
Gold ……..1728.60 +8.40 +0.49%
Timah. .20851.00 -355.00 -1.67%
( Closed 07/9)
Nickel…23032.00 +1161.00 +5.31%‼
(Closed 09/9)
Silver…….18.77 +0.33 +1.76%
Copper….356.80 +4.10 +1.16%

Nturl Gas…..8.038 +0.072 +0.90%

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/9)

Coal price….435.25 -5.10 -1.16%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….430.60 -3.50 -0.81%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….421.25 -2.00 -0.47%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.00 -4.00 -1.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….320.00 -11.50 -3.47%‼
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….334.50 -17.35 -4.24%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3595 +53 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..685.00 +16.50 +2.47%
SoybeanOil…64.82 +1.59 +2.51%
Wheat……..869.50 +40.50 +4.89%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing semua regional index ijo… Tapi global crisis belum beres

Kita liat chart nya DJI deh

DJI – stoch buy, macd almost buy, alligator sw, supertrend down, 3 white soldiers, ga up jum’at, bullish divergence dan hidden bullish divergence confirmed by MA10, EMA 9-21 baru death cross, price masih dibawah EMA 50. Mungkin hanya technical rebound, karena issue nya belum bener2 solved

Kalo liat ini sih getting ready untuk wave 3…

Sepertinya akan koreksi dulu tutup gap, konsolidasi, baru setelah MA nya firm mulai jalan wave 3

Harga komoditas terkait energy drop, oil sama coal, udah pas lah bawa energy ABC correction dulu. Natural Gas ijo tapi ga terlalu tebel

Gold silver copper naik, pas buat MDKA, nikel naik tinggi, cocok buat ANTM INCO, tin turun tapi. CPO naik, semoga panjang biar AALI LSIP bisa rebound

IHSG – MADC nya masih sideways, belum berhasil cross, selama masih belum bikin new record high masih lebih besar kemungkinan turun bikin wave 2 dulu

IHSG – foreign masih masuk terus, diluar itu sih keliatan mentok mau ke atas…

Basic Materials, Industrials, yang lain belum

Property udah mulai gerak tapi di RSI quadrant belum keliatan