November 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 400 points higher, but snaps four-week win streak on rising rate fears

Stocks rallied on Friday, but finished the week lower, as investors drew conflicting conclusions about what the latest payroll numbers mean for future Federal Reserve rate hikes

Dow…….32403 +401.97 +1.26%
Nasdaq.10475 +132.3 +1.28%
S&P 500..3771 +50.6 +1.36%

FTSE…….7335 +146.2 +2.03%
Dax……..13460 +329.7 +2.51%
CAC……..6416 +173.2 +2.77%

Nikkei….27200 -463.7 -1.68%
HSI……..16161 +821.7 +5.36%‼️
Shanghai..3071 +72.99 +2.43%
ST Times..3130 +27.6 +0.89%

IDX…….7045.53 +10.95 +0.16%
LQ45…..1005.98 +4.68 +0.47%

IDX Energy..2028.15 -5.98 -0.29%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.29 +21.25 +1.66%
IDX Industrl..1244.36 -4.03 -0.32%
IDXNONCYC..728.97 +0.82 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare.1487.04 -3.07 -0.21%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.97 -1.59 -0.18%
IDX Techno..6646.06 -27.05 -0.41%
IDX Transp…1853.71 +21.94 +1.20%
IDX Infrast……921.06 -7.36 -0.79%
IDX Finance 1474.82 -11.31 -0.76%
IDX Banking.1182.68 -5.3 5 -0.45%
IDX Property….690 -2.80 -0.41 %

Indo10Yr….7.5415 +0.0258 +0.34%
ICBI……..332.2555 -0.4389 -0.13%
US10Yr……4.150 +0.0320 +0.78%
VIX……….24.55 -0.75 -2.96%

USDIndx 110.8770 -2.101 -1.86%👍
Como Indx..287.55 +9.23 +3.32%‼️
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……153.40 +8.13 +5.60%‼️
.
IndoCDS..133.81 -10.90 -7.53%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/11)

IDR……15737.50 +42.50 +0.27%‼️
Jisdor..15736.00 +55 +0.35%‼️

Euro……..0.9957 +0.02090 +2.14%

TLKM……..26.83 +0.76 +2.92%
(4222)
EIDO………23.70 +0.55 +2.38%
EEM……….36.20 +1.47 +4.23%‼️

Oil…………92.61 +4.44 +5.04%‼️
Gold ……1676.60 +45.70 +2.80%
Timah…..18872 +1110.00 +6.25%‼️
(Closed 04/11)
Nickel…22782.00 +1010.00 +4.43%‼️
(Closed 04/11)
Silver………20.78 +1.35 +6.97%‼️
Copper….368.75 +25.95 +7.57%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.459 +0.262 +4.22%‼️

Ammonia..4150.00 +53.33 +1.30%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/11)

Coal price….349.50 -1.50 -0.43%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….349.00 -4.00 -1.13%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….345.75 -4.30 -2.26%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….216.00 -5.00 -2.26%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….216.00 -7.00 -3.14%
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….215.50 -6.55 -2.95%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 -2.70 -2.86%
Indonesial Coal Index (04/11)

CPO(Jan)……4365 -29 -0.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….681.00 +1.75 +0.26%
SoybeanOil…77.17 +1.88 +2.50%
Wheat………847.75 +7.25 +0.86%

Wood pulp…6710.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 06/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound, Europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali nikkei, ayo lanjut rally ISHG… Kita check infobank15 later buat konfirmasi

Semua metal naik tinggi, alias USD nya turun, Oil Gas Naik tinggi, coal masih turun, CPO masih belum firm balik trend jadi bullish. Ini romongan MDKA ANTM INCO TINS harusnya lannjut panen… Saham oil sama gas harusnya naik, tapi sektor energy masih meragukan

IHSG – Stochastic masih down, belum lama sell, MACD masih up, 833 keliatannya mau rev up, MFI masih UP, RSI flat, bandar akum, FF NFS tipis, masih dalam rangka wave 3, LR masih ok, PSAR masih up, DMI down. Masih belum langsung bisa rally kalo secara teknikal, minimal perlu 2-3 bar lagi buat ngebalikin stoch 833 jadi buy

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property, Technology, Transportation

November 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for a fourth day, Nasdaq sheds 1.7% as October jobs report looms

Stocks fell Thursday, declining for a fourth consecutive session. The slide came a day after the Federal Reserve delivered another three-quarter point interest rate hike and signaled that a pivot or rate cut won’t come anytime soon.

Dow…….32001 -146.5 -0.46%
Nasdaq.10343 -181.9 -1.73%
S&P 500..3720 -39.8 -1.06%

FTSE…….7188 +44.49 +0.62%
Dax……..13130 -126.6 -0.95%
CAC……..6243 -33.6 .-0.54%

Nikkei….27663 closed +0%
HSI……..15340 -487.7 -3.08%
Shanghai..2998 -5.6 -0.19%
ST Times..3103 -38.6 -1.23%

IDX…….7034.57 +18.88 +0.27%
LQ45…..1001.30 +2.21 +0.32%

IDX Energy..2034.12 +20.93 +1.04%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.04 -2.80 -0.22%
IDX Industrl..1248.39 +7.01 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC..728.14 -1.23 -0.17%
IDX Hlthcare.1490.11 -2.48 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..883.57 -1.07 -0.12%
IDX Techno..6673.10 +70.32 +1.06%
IDX Transp…1831.77 +15.87 +0.87%
IDX Infrast……928.42 -3.33 -0.36%
IDX Finance 1486.14 +10.25 +0.69%
IDX Banking.1188.03 +7.95 +0.67%
IDX Property….693 +0.80 +0.12%

Indo10Yr….7.5157 +0.0029 +0.04%
ICBI……..332.6944 -0.1941 -0.06%
US10Yr……4.1240 +0.0650 +1.60%
VIX……….25.30 -0.56 -2.17%👍

USDIndx 112.9740 +0.873 +0.78%‼️
Como Indx..278.32 -2.34 -0.83%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.27 -2.69 -1.82%
.
IndoCDS..144.71 +5.18 +3.71%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/11)

IDR……15695.00 +48.50 +0.31%‼️
Jisdor..15681.00 +29 +0.19%‼️

Euro……..0.9748 -0.0076 -0.77%

TLKM……..26.07 -0.47 -1.77%
(4088)
EIDO………23.15 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM……….34.73 +0.20 +0.58%

Oil…………88.17 -1.18 -1.50%
Gold ……1630.90 -7.80 -0.48%
Timah…..18010 +40.00 +0.22%
(Closed 02/11)
Nickel…22782.00 -1228.00 -5.11%‼️
(Closed 03/11)
Silver………19.43 +0.20 +1.04%
Copper….342.70 -1.40 -0.41%

Nturl Gas…..6.197 +0.359 +6.15%‼️

Ammonia..4096.67 -16.66 -0.41%
China
(Domestic Price)(01/11)

Coal price….351.00 -10.00 -2.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….353.00 -9.50 -2.62%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….350.05 -9.70 -2.70%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….221.00 -8.50 -3.70%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….223.00 -9.05 -3.90%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….222.05 -9.05 -3.92%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.75 -0.50 -0.52%
Indonesial Coal Index (02/11)

CPO(Jan)……4336 -62 -1.41%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….679.35 -8.25 -1.20%
SoybeanOil…75.29 -0.32 -0.42%
Wheat………840.50 -5.50 -0.65%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional merah kecuali IHSG sama Inggris… Kalo liat kebiasaannya, suka ikut US dan jum’at, kayanya merah lagi IDX hari ini

OIl Coal merah lagi, gas naik tinggi sendiri, silver timah naik, gold copper turun, nikel turun dalem. CPO juga turun lagi, masih belum ada yang firm ini… PGAS AGII wajib di check chart nya

IHSG – stoch sell, 833 dow, macd masih up, MFI up, masih wave 3 major, minornya lagi wave B keliatannya, LR suggest down, kita tunggu 833 buy, sekarang jangan terlalu agresif dulu

Menurut ini Consumer Cyclicals, Technology, Basic Materials, Transportation, Property

November 03rd, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 500 points lower, Nasdaq sheds 3% as Fed Chair Powell signals intent to continue hiking rates

Stocks tumbled Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said inflation was still too high and indicated that the central bank has more rate hiking ahead.

Dow…….32148 -505.4 -1.55%
*Nasdaq.10525 -366.1 -3.36%*
*S&P 500..3760 -96.4 -2.50%*

FTSE…….7144 -42.02 -0.58%
Dax……..13257 -82.0 -0.61%
CAC……..6277 -51.4 .-0.81%

Nikkei….27663 -15.5 -0.06%
*HSI……..15827 +371.9 +2.41%*
Shanghai..3003 +34.2 +1.15%
ST Times..3141 +10.6 +0.34%

IDX…….7015.69 -36.61 -0.52%
LQ45……999.10 -8.27 -0.82%

IDX Energy..2013.19 +5.08 +0.25%
IDX Bsc Mat.1282.84 +10.97 +0.86%
IDX Industrl..1241.37 -17.44 -1.39%
IDXNONCYC..729.37 -2.75 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1492.59 -4.47 -0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.64 +8.39 +0.96%
IDX Techno..6602.79 +119.63 +1.85%
IDX Transp…1815.90 -21.89 -1.19%
IDX Infrast……931.74 -3.90 -0.42%
IDX Finance 1475.89 -8.35 -0.56%
IDX Banking.1180.08 -14.48 -1.21%
IDX Property….692 -0.80 -0.12%

Indo10Yr….7.5546 -0.0316 -0.42%
ICBI……..331.8430 +0.6152 +0.19%
*US10Yr……4.0590 +0.0070 +0.17%*
*VIX……….25.86 +0.05 +0.19%👍*

*USDIndx 112.1010 +0.571 +0.51%*
Como Indx..280.66 +4.32 +1.56%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……147.96 +0.92 +0.63%
.
*IndoCDS..139.53 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(31/10)*

*IDR……15646.50 +19.00 +0.12%‼️*
*Jisdor..15652.00 +5 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9824 -0.0052 -0.53%*

*TLKM……..26.54 -1.33 -4.77%‼️*
*(4154)*
EIDO………23.61 -0.45 -1.91%
EEM……….34.53 -0.29 -0.83%

*Oil…………89.35 +2.82 +3.26%‼️*
Gold ……1638.70 -10.00 -0.61%
*Timah…..17970 +339.00 +1.92%*
*(Closed 01/1+)*
*Nickel…24010.00 +566.00 +2.41%‼️*
*(Closed 02/11)*
Silver………19.23 -0.44 -2.24%
Copper….344.10 -3.15 -0.91%

*Nturl Gas…..6.197 +0.359 +6.15%‼️*

Ammonia..4113.33 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(31/10)

Coal price….361.00 +2.00 +0.56%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….362.50 +1.50 +0.42%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….359.75 +1.70 +0.47%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….229.50 +4.40 +1.95%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….232.50 +5.10 +2.25%*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….231.10 +4.95 +2.19%*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.25 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (01/11)

*CPO(Jan)……4241 +194 +4.79%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….687.50 -10.25 -1.47%
*SoybeanOil…75.61 +2.24 +3.05%‼️*
*Wheat………846.00 -56.50 -6.26%‼️*

Wood pulp…6730.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 02/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US lanjut koreksi, europe ngikut, Hangseng masih rebound kenceng, asia yang merah cuma IHSG sama nikkei yang turun tipis

Timah Nikel naik tinggi, gold silver copper masih lanjut turun, Oil Gas rebound tinggi, Coal naik dikit. ANTM INCO TINS ELSA AKRA MEDC PGAS wajib dicermati

CPO naik tinggi lagi, AALI LSIP juga harus diliat

IHSG – kalau ditarik fibonacci retracement dari high 2 hari lalu, ret 38 nya sudah, ret 50 nya mungkin yang dikejar hari ini kalo masih merah ikut market US.

IHSG – stoch masih bilang koreksi, kita tungu 833 nya buy lagi… MACD masih up, MFI juga masih up, semoga hari ini atau besok mulai mantul

Terakhir2 RSI relative strength ga bisa dipake sorting awal, kita langsung ke technical indicators sorting aja, baru dikonfirmasi apakah sektornya juga lagi jalan untuk menentukan full lot apa nggak masuknya

Kalo ada buy signal dan cacing RSI nya sejalan baru full lot

Stoch Buy Signal: AKRA LPPF

MACD buy signal: GOTO HEAL

Oversold Stoch 1066: ADHI

AKRA – stoch 1066 buy lagi, MACD signal buy kemarinnya, 2 hari BD FF acc, tapi MFI turun, RSI nya flat. Bearish divergence belum confirmed, bisa cancelled kalo price naik lagi, LR bisa keatas bisa ke bawah

Bukan momentum buy sih AKRA udah agak telat

LPPF – yang ini nggak ok, koreksi ke fibo 23 dulu kayanya

HEAL – kemaren breakout neckline CNH sebelumnya, MACD buy, alligator buy, BD FF acc, berani spec buy, tapi sektornya ga ok jadi setengah aja ya

November 02nd, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks finish lower as Wall Street braces for key Fed decision

Stocks dipped on Tuesday as traders assessed better-than-expected economic data and prepared for another likely rate hike from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….32653 -79.8 -0.24%
Nasdaq.10891 -97.3 -0.89%
S&P 500..3856 -15.8 -0.41%

FTSE…….7186 +91.6 +1.29%
Dax……..13338 +85.0 +0.64%
CAC……..6328 +61.5 +0.98%

Nikkei….27679 +91.5 +0.33%
*HSI……..15455 +768.3 +5.23%‼️*
*Shanghai..2969 +75.7 +2.62%*
ST Times..3131 +37.4 +1.21%

IDX…….7052.30 -46.59 -0.66%
LQ45…1007.37 -6.75 -0.67%

*IDX Energy..2008.11 -61.39 -2.97%*
IDX Bsc Mat.1271.88 +3.65 +0.29%
IDX Industrl..1258.81 -15.14 -1.19%
IDXNONCYC..732.12 -3.19 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.06 -7.07 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..876.24 +7.70 +0.89%
IDX Techno..6483.15 +31.79 +0.49%
IDX Transp…1823.85 -21.89 -1.19%
IDX Infrast……935.64 -4.42 -0.47%
IDX Finance 1484.24 -17.12 -1.14%
IDX Banking.1194.56 -9.20 -0.76%
IDX Property….693 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.5546 -0.0316 -0.42%
ICBI……..331.8430 +0.6152 +0.19%
*US10Yr……4.0520 -0.0250 -0.61%‼️*
*VIX……….25.81 -0.07 -0.27%*

*USDIndx 111.5300 -0.050 -0.04%*
Como Indx..276.34 +2.21 +0.81%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……147.03 +4.84 +3.40%‼️*
.
*IndoCDS..139.53 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(31/10)*

*IDR……15627.50 +30.00 +0.19%‼️*
*Jisdor..15647.00 +51 +0.33%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9876 -0.0006 -0.06%*

TLKM……..27.82 -0.31 -1.10%
*(4353)*
EIDO………23.61 -0.14 -0.59%
EEM……….34.82 +0.63 +1.84%

Oil…………86.53 -1.37 -1.56%
Gold ……1649.70 +9.00 +0.55%
*Timah…..18101 – -%*
*(Closed 28/10)*
*Nickel…23444.00 +1497.50 +6.82%‼️*
*(Closed 01/11)*
*Silver………19.67 +0.55 +2.87%*
*Copper….347.25 +9.75 +2.89%*

*Nturl Gas…..5.838 -0.456 -7.24%‼️*

Ammonia..4113.33 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(31/10)

Coal price….359.00 +2.70 +0.76%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….361.00 +4.95 +1.39%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….358.05 +5.55 +1.57%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….225.10 +5.85 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….226.95 +8.95 +4.10%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….226.15 +8.60 +3.95%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

*Coal(ICI 4)…..95.25 +3.60 +3.93%‼️*
Indonesial Coal Index (31/10)

*CPO(Jan)……4241 +194 +4.79%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….697.75 +6.25 +0.90%
SoybeanOil…73.37 +0.16 +0.22%
*Wheat………902.50 +20.25 +2.25%*

Wood pulp…6750.00 -52 -0.76%
(Closed 01/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Hangseng rebound kenceng banget, ga ikutan US market, shanghai juga. Asia yang merah cuma IHSG, dalem pula. DJI tadi malem closing merah lagi, europe masih ijo, harusnya kita hari ini ijo lah

Oil lanjut turun, gas turun dalem, coal rebound tipis, energy koreksi dulu ya… Metal metal rebound, nikel naik tinggi, kita liat chart INCO dan MDKA. CPO naik tinggi, perlu dicermati chart harga CPO ini, kalo trendnya udah ngebalik bullish kemungkinan besar saham CPO ngikut

IHSG – masih keliatan mau sideways, MFI masih up, macd up, FNB terus, masih aman harusnya lanjut wave 3. Candle terakhir memang bearish engulfing sih, tapi bukan di ujung atas uptrend tapi ada di fase sideways, semoga bukan pertanda bearish reversal. DMI ngebalik sell, stoch 833 sell, 1066 rev down, jangan koreksi dalem ah, sideways correction ajah 😇

CPO future – MACD up, stoch deket overbought, lagi mau rev up, 833 buy. DMI sideways, LR slope masih kebawah, udah deket bates upper channel. Abis terjun udah ketemu bullish divergence terus mantul ke fibo 23, harusnya lanjut ke fibo 38. tunggu momentumnya aja. William Alligator up, buy nya pas sekitar 18 okt an. Amannya ditunggu firm bikin higher low. Harusnya kalo komoditi geraknya ga seliar saham gorengan sih, lebih smooth. Apalagi kalo diperhitungkan bahwa palm oil bisa jadi substitusi fossil fuel, dengan kondisi krisis energi, bisa jadi sentimen positif juga.

Nah lho, financials nya mulai kebawah, harus diganjel yang lain kalo ga index bisa koreksi lebih jauh. Consumer cyclicals, property, transportation, infrastructure, technology

Consumer cyclicals – retracement pattern nya udah running sampe deket fibo38, stochastic udah overbought, ini sih kemungkinan besar mau koreksi or sideways dulu sambil nurunin stochastic, baru nerusin lagi. MACD masih up, mfi up, FNB, bandar akum, kalo akumulasinya naik terus atau minimal diem dulu ga distribusi, koreksinya ga akan jauh harusnya

MAPI

MAPI – ini yang single-handedly naikin Consumer Cyclicals ya… Tunggu wave 4 deh

Property – belum jadi running… stoch sama mfi udah cape…

No new signals

Transportation – nunggu stoch 833 buy lagi baru running lagi, cut short gerakannya, emang belum saatnya IHSG running lagi

Sepi… ga ada FNB ga ada bandar akum

Infrastructure – kenapa masuk di chart cacing sih ini, belum jalan juga… Algoritma RSI quadrant nya harus dibenerin kayanya ini

TOWR TLKM

TOWR – macd buy, retracement pattern suggest udah waktunya lanjut ke fibo 61, stoch up rev, 833 sell, belum saat yang tepat buat entry, idealnya pas firm 833 nya buy lah minimal

TLKM – belum, koreksi dulu ini keliatannya, padahal kemaren ISAT keliatan bagus, tapi kalo TLKM turun rada berat ISAT jalan sendiri