Global Update:

July 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow drops more than 100 points, stocks fall ahead of key inflation report

U.S. stocks tumbled on Tuesday as worries over global economic growth dented investor appetite for risk assets and Wall Street braced for June inflation data.

Dow…….30981 -192.5 -0.62%
Nasdaq.11265 -107.9 -0.95%
S&P 500..3819 -35.6 -0.92%

FTSE…….7209 +13.3 +0.18%
Dax……..12906 +73.04 +0.57%
CAC……..6044 +47.9 +0.80%

Nikkei….26337 -475.6 -1.77%
HSI……..20845 -279.5 -1.32%
Shanghai..3281 -32.1 -0.97%
ST Times..3145 +14.5 +0.46%

IDX…….6718.29 -3.85 -0.06%
LQ45…..949.50 -2.70 -0.28%

IDX Energy…1677.98 +25.34 +1.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1220.40 +13.05 +1.08%
IDX Industrl..1172.98 -2.18 -0.19%
IDXNONCYC..707.57 +0.67 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare.1533.00 -9.00 -0.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..873.18 -2.89 -0.33%”
IDX Techno….7701.42 -10.37 -0.13%
IDX Transp…1949.66 +33.44 +1.74%
IDX Infrast……957.07 -1.95 -0.20%
IDX Finance 1416.04 +2.53 +0.18%
IDX Property…….670 +1.40 +0.20%

Indo10Yr….7.3565 -0.0127 -0.17%
ICBI……….331.1587 +0.0922 +0.03%
US10Yr…..2.9580 -0.0330 -1.10%
VIX…………27.29 +1.12 +4.28%

USDIndx 108.1690 +0.1480 +0.14%‼️
Como Indx..276.01 -11.77 -4.09%‼️
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.27 -3.22 -2.17%

IndoCDS…156.70 +11.72 +8.08%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14995.00 +20.00 +0.13%‼️
Jisdor..14993.00 +16.00 +0.12%‼️

Euro………1.0036 -0.0007 -0.07%

TLKM……..26.54 -0.12 -0.45%
(3979)
EIDO………21.75 +0.08 +0.37%
EEM……….38.87 -0.15 -0.38%

Oil………….95.84 -7.15 -6.94%‼️
Gold …….1724.80 -7.10 -0.41%
Timah. .26263.00 +899 +3.54%
( Closed 11/7)
Nickel…21334.00 -546.00 -2.50%
(Closed 12/7)
Silver…….18.96 -0.11 -0.58%
Copper….328.80 -13.05 -3.82%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.234 -0.2510 -3.87%‼️

Ammonia .3856.67 -550.00 -12.48%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(11/7)

Coal price…426.00 +7.00 +1.67%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…438.40 +11.60 +2.72%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…397.50 +7.50 +1.92%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…384.40 -2.25 -0.58%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4133 -30 -0.72%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………586.50 -42.50 -6.76%‼️
SoybeanOil…57.92 -3.39 -5.53%‼️
Wheat………..814.25 -42.25 -4.93%‼️

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 12/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Asia merah kecuali singapore, US merah, Europe ijo. Memang seringkali ketika US menyedihkan investor mindahin dana ke europe sih, tapi kalo issue nya global biasanya turun bareng.

Index sudah 2 hari merah tipis, keliatan belum mau dibawa turun, MACD nya makin menunjukkan mau rebound. Masih ada kemungkinan mau tutup gap, jadi keep cash ya, pegang barang cukup energy sama sebagian basic material aja, 30-50% max dari total equity

Dilihat dari regression mungkin langsung lanjut rebound, kita tunggu konfirmasi aja

Global Update:

July 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 loses 1%, Nasdaq breaks 5-day win streak ahead of earnings season

U.S. equities fell Monday as Wall Street braced for big company earnings reports slated for later in the week which could signal how inflation is impacting businesses.

Dow…….31174 -164.3 -0.52%
Nasdaq.11373 -262.7 -2.26%
S&P 500..3854 -44.95 -1.15%

FTSE…….7197 +0.4 +0.00%
Dax……..12832 -182.8 -1.40%
CAC……..5996 -36.8 -0.61%

Nikkei….26812 +295.1 +1.11%
HSI……..21124 -601.6 -2.77%
Shanghai..3314 -42.5 -1.27%
ST Times..3131 closed +0%

IDX…….6722.15 -18.07 -0.27%
LQ45…..952.20 -7.48 -0.78%

IDX Energy…1652.63 +3.90 +0.24%
IDX Bsc Mat.1207.35 +5.45 +0.45%
IDX Industrl..1175.16 +7.88 +0.67%
IDXNONCYC..706.89 -3.08 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1542.01 +32.01 +2.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..876.07 +6.60 +0.76%
IDX Techno….7711.79 -71.41 -0.92%
IDX Transp…1916.22 +22.32 +1.18%
IDX Infrast……959.02 -1.06 -0.11%
IDX Finance 1413.52 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Property…….670 +1.40 +0.20%

Indo10Yr….7.3692 -0.0137 -0.19%
ICBI……….331.0665 -0.0258 -0.01%
US10Yr…..2.9910 -0.1100 -3.55%
VIX…………26.17 +1.53 +6.21%

USDIndx 107.0070 -0.1230 -0.11%‼️
Como Indx..287.75 +2.67 +0.94%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.49 -2.28 -1.51%

*IndoCDS…144.98 – – *
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14975.00 -4.00 -0.03%‼️
Jisdor..14969.00 -12.00 -0.08%‼️

Euro………1.0043 -0.0142 -1.39%

TLKM……..26.66 +0.15 +0.57%
(3990)
EIDO………21.67 -0.15 -0.69%
EEM……….39.02 -1.07 -2.67%

Oil…………102.99 -1.80 -1.72%
Gold …….1731.90 -10.40 -0.60%
Timah. .25364.00 – –
( Closed 08/7)
Nickel…21880.00 +381.00 +1.77%
(Closed 11/7)
Silver…….19.07 -0.17 -0.88%
Copper….341.85 -10.35 -2.93%

Nturl Gas…..6.485 +0.4180 +6.89%‼️

Ammonia ..4406.67 -66.66 -1.49%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(07/7)

Coal price…419.00 +5.25 +1.27%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…426.80 +11.30 +2.72%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…390.00 +1.10 +0.28%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…386.65 +5.55 +1.46%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4163 +23 +0.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….629.00 +5.50 +0.88%
SoybeanOil…61.31 +0.82 +1.36%
Wheat………856.50 -35.00 -3.93%

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 11/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Pada kompak merah kecuali nikkei. Hangseng sama Nasdaq rada dalem turunnya

Nikel Gas Coal CPO lanjut naik, gas naik tinggi. Yang lain pada turun. Minyak turun tapi masih diatas 100 USD / barrel

Kalo liat MACD nya index,keliatannya bener ga akan dibawa tutup gap 6162 dulu, atau mungkin dibawa ngayun sekali naik minimal sideways dulu.

Energy Basic Material Industrial

Finance sama Property gerak tapi mencurigakan, pada buy signal tapi apakah hanya technical rebound? Belum ada insentif untuk property jalan, kredit ga digenjot, bunga bank naik -> KPR tambah mahal dan susah -> jual property lebih susah

AKRA PGAS ADRO ELSA

Yang buy signal FNB dan ada spike ELSA

AKRA big akum FNB dan ada spike, mau dibawa lari ini kayanya

AKRA – kenceng ya, dari bottom wave C index kemaren dia lari terus, kemaren fokus di ELSA sama ADRO jadi ga entry di AKRA, kirain akan jalan bareng ELSA

Udah naik 20%< tunggu koreksi nya aja bikin higher low baru kita ikut di wave 3

PGAS – all good kecuali FNS kecil, semoga nyusul AKRA ke atas bareng ADRO ELSA

ADRO – Hari ini semoga mulai akum besar, udah ada freq spike, begitu MACD cross kita nambah muatan

ELSA – All good, tunggu MACD nambah muatan

ANTM INCO TINS (satu paket yang ini) MDKA BRPT tapi agak berlawanan sama harga minyak ini BRPT

ANTM – MACD buy tambah muatan…

MDKA – ABC correction dah beres, LR siap mantul, stoch macd siap tinggal nunggu MACD firm, bandar sama foreign yang masih buang, tapi ada freq spike. kayanya MACD cross pas bandar akum dan FNB

BRPT – LR nya suram, retracement pattern bilang koreksi dulu setelah deket ke fibo 38, bisa jadi failed divergence juga sih, Stoch 833 oersold dan mulai ngebalik, koreksi dulu keliatannya, kalo lanjut kita entry di 833 buy signal

NKP menarik, BRPT juga dari sisi akumulasi bandar nya menarik sih

Wah ga deh ini belum saatnya industrial…

Belum terlihat buy signal yang firm reversal juga

Global Update:

July 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq rises for fifth-straight day after strong jobs report as Wall Street notches winning week

The Nasdaq Composite rose in choppy trading on Friday as investors reacted to a stronger-than-expected jobs report that will likely keep the Federal Reserve on track for its aggressive rate hikes.

Dow…….31338 -46.4 -0.15%
Nasdaq.11635 +13.96 +0.12%
S&P 500..3899 -3.2 -0.08%

FTSE…….7196 +7.2 +0.10%
Dax……..13015 +172.01 +1.34%
CAC……..6033 +26.4 +0.44%

Nikkei….26517 +26.7 +0.10%
HSI……..21726 +82.2 +0.38%
Shanghai..3356 -8.3 -0.25%
ST Times..3131 +1.9 +0.06%

IDX…….6740.22 +87.63 +1.32%
LQ45…..959.68 +13.10 +1.38%

IDX Energy…1648.73 +17.12 +1.05%
IDX Bsc Mat.1201.90 +31.48 +2.69%
IDX Industrl..1167.29 +11.86 +1.03%
IDXNONCYC..709.97 +2.84 +0.40%
IDX Hlthcare.1510.00 -1.14 -0.08%
IDXCYCLIC…..869.47 +0.39 +0.04%
IDX Techno….7783.19 +226.28 +2.99%
IDX Transp…1893.90 +30.51 +1.64%
IDX Infrast……960.07 +0.72 +0.07%
IDX Finance 1413.10 +23.03 +1.66%
IDX Property…….668 -1.10 -0.16%

Indo10Yr….7.3829 +0.0109 +0.15%
ICBI……….330.9639 -0.1308 -0.04%
US10Yr…..3.1010 +0.0930 +3.09%
VIX…………24.64 -1.44 -5.52%

USDIndx 107.0070 -0.1230 -0.11%‼
Como Indx..287.75 +2.67 +0.94%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.77 -0.82 -0.54%

IndoCDS…144.98 -5.32 -3.54%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14979.00 -22.50 -0.15%‼
Jisdor..14981.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼

Euro………1.0185 +0.0023 +0.23%

TLKM……..26.51 -0.37 -1.38%
(3971)
EIDO………21.82 +0.12 +0.55%
EEM……….40.09 unch +0%

Oil…………104.79 +2.24 +2.18%
Gold …….1742.30 +3.00 +0.17%
Timah. .25364.00 -620 -2.39%‼
( Closed 08/7)
Nickel…21499.00 +248.50 +1.16%
(Closed 09/7)
Silver…….19.24 +0.09 +0.47%
Copper….352.20 -2.05 -0.58%

Nturl Gas…..6.067 +0.5260 +9.49%‼

Ammonia ..4473.33 -67.33 -1.51%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(07/7)

Coal price…413.75 +3.75 +0.91%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…415.50 +3.50 +0.85%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…388.90 +3.90 +1.01%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…381.+10 +6.10 +1.63%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4288 +153 +3.79%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………623.50 +27.25 +4.57%‼
SoybeanOil…60.49 +0.90 +1.51%
Wheat………891.50 +55.00 +6.57%‼

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 10/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Hampir semua index ijo di jum’at, US DJI sama Shanghai merah tipis. Commodity naik semua kecuali timah dan tembaga. Oil stay diatas 100usd/ barrel, coal sampe 413 USD/MT, energy soaring lagi harusnya.

Kita assess kemungkinan pola flat style correction yang kejadian… Akan confirm bila MACD nya lanjut golden cross

Global Update:

July 08th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 gains for fourth day to match year’s longest win streak, Dow jumps 300 points

U.S. stocks rose on Thursday as Wall Street built on its modest winning streak ahead of a key jobs report.

Dow…….31385 +346.9 +1.12%
Nasdaq.11621 +259.5 +2.28%
S&P 500..3903 +57.5 +1.50%

FTSE…….7189 +81.3 +1.14%
Dax……..12843 +248.7 +1.97%
CAC……..6007 +94.3 +1.60%

Nikkei….26491 +382.9 +1.47%
HSI……..21644 +56.9 +0.26%
Shanghai..3364 +9.1 +0.27%
ST Times..3129 +25.7 +0.83%

IDX…….6652.59 +6.18 +0.09%
LQ45…..946.58 -0.57 -0.06%

IDX Energy…1631.61 -2.51 -0.15%
IDX Bsc Mat.1170.42 +8.16 +0.70%
IDX Industrl..1155.42 -2.18 -0.19%
IDXNONCYC..707.14 -0.67 -0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1511.14 -1.48 -0.10%
IDXCYCLIC…..869.08 +5.52 +0.64%
IDX Techno….7556.91 +142.63 +1.92%
IDX Transp…1863.39 +32.72 +1.79%
IDX Infrast……959.35 +3.90 +0.41%
IDX Finance 1390.08 +9.64 +0.70%
IDX Property…….670 +7.30 +1.11%

Indo10Yr….7.3720 -0.0100 -0.14%
ICBI……….331.0947 +0.3341 +0.10%
US10Yr…..3.0080 +0.0950 +3.26%
VIX…………26.08 -0.65 -2.43%

USDIndx 107.1300 +0.0340 +0.03%‼
Como Indx..285.08 +8.95 +3.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.58 +3.45 +2.33%

IndoCDS…150.30 +3.78 +2.58%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……15001.50 +2.50 +0.02%‼
Jisdor..15015.00 -29.00 -0.19%‼

Euro………1.0162 -0.0023 -0.23%

TLKM……..26.88 +0.19 +0.71%
(4036)
EIDO………21.70 +0.10 +0.46%
EEM……….40.09 +0.79 +2.01%

Oil…………102.55 +4.34 +4.42%‼
Gold …….1739.30 +1.80 +0.10%
Timah. .24712.00 -1288 -4.95%‼
( Closed 06/7)
Nickel…21499.00 -198.00 -0.91%
(Closed 07/7)
Silver…….19.15 -0.03 -0.16%
Copper….354.25 +1.06 +3.08%

Nturl Gas…..5.541 +0.6470 +11.68%‼

Ammonia ..4473.33 -116.67 -2.54%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(06/7)

Coal price…410.00 +10.30 +2.58%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…412.00 +15.60 +3.92%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…385.00 +0.25 +0.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…369.30 +5.70 +1.54%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4135 +79 +1.95%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +11.25 +1.92%
SoybeanOil…59.59 +2.95 +5.21%‼
Wheat………836.50 +32.00 +3.98%‼

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Semua regional index ijo kemaren, idx juga ijo walau tipis. Good sign untuk koreksi mungkin sudah beres di level 6500 an, ga jadi dibawa tutup gap 6162

Tetep very selective buying di saham saham yang punya hajat sendiri, yang tetep ijo walau index merah

Oil Gas Coal naik tinggi, semakin besar tanda rebound untuk sektor energy yang rata2 memang sudah mulai keluar signal buy di stochastic

Kalo MACD buy signal keluar, kita entry

BRPT kemaren rally 10%, hari ini kemungkinan besar dibanting dulu, selain biasanya, pasti retrace dulu karena oil naik tinggi, bahan baku industri petrokimia kan dari minyak. Minyak naik biaya produksi naik

Gold CPO Copper ijo, solver nickel merah. Timah drop. Ngehambat trio kwek kwek ANTM INCO TINS aja nih, heu

Seandainya koreksi beres di level 6500, kita bisa proyeksikan gerakan selanjutnya kesini