Global Update:

July 08th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 gains for fourth day to match year’s longest win streak, Dow jumps 300 points

U.S. stocks rose on Thursday as Wall Street built on its modest winning streak ahead of a key jobs report.

Dow…….31385 +346.9 +1.12%
Nasdaq.11621 +259.5 +2.28%
S&P 500..3903 +57.5 +1.50%

FTSE…….7189 +81.3 +1.14%
Dax……..12843 +248.7 +1.97%
CAC……..6007 +94.3 +1.60%

Nikkei….26491 +382.9 +1.47%
HSI……..21644 +56.9 +0.26%
Shanghai..3364 +9.1 +0.27%
ST Times..3129 +25.7 +0.83%

IDX…….6652.59 +6.18 +0.09%
LQ45…..946.58 -0.57 -0.06%

IDX Energy…1631.61 -2.51 -0.15%
IDX Bsc Mat.1170.42 +8.16 +0.70%
IDX Industrl..1155.42 -2.18 -0.19%
IDXNONCYC..707.14 -0.67 -0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1511.14 -1.48 -0.10%
IDXCYCLIC…..869.08 +5.52 +0.64%
IDX Techno….7556.91 +142.63 +1.92%
IDX Transp…1863.39 +32.72 +1.79%
IDX Infrast……959.35 +3.90 +0.41%
IDX Finance 1390.08 +9.64 +0.70%
IDX Property…….670 +7.30 +1.11%

Indo10Yr….7.3720 -0.0100 -0.14%
ICBI……….331.0947 +0.3341 +0.10%
US10Yr…..3.0080 +0.0950 +3.26%
VIX…………26.08 -0.65 -2.43%

USDIndx 107.1300 +0.0340 +0.03%‼
Como Indx..285.08 +8.95 +3.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.58 +3.45 +2.33%

IndoCDS…150.30 +3.78 +2.58%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……15001.50 +2.50 +0.02%‼
Jisdor..15015.00 -29.00 -0.19%‼

Euro………1.0162 -0.0023 -0.23%

TLKM……..26.88 +0.19 +0.71%
(4036)
EIDO………21.70 +0.10 +0.46%
EEM……….40.09 +0.79 +2.01%

Oil…………102.55 +4.34 +4.42%‼
Gold …….1739.30 +1.80 +0.10%
Timah. .24712.00 -1288 -4.95%‼
( Closed 06/7)
Nickel…21499.00 -198.00 -0.91%
(Closed 07/7)
Silver…….19.15 -0.03 -0.16%
Copper….354.25 +1.06 +3.08%

Nturl Gas…..5.541 +0.6470 +11.68%‼

Ammonia ..4473.33 -116.67 -2.54%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(06/7)

Coal price…410.00 +10.30 +2.58%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…412.00 +15.60 +3.92%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…385.00 +0.25 +0.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…369.30 +5.70 +1.54%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4135 +79 +1.95%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +11.25 +1.92%
SoybeanOil…59.59 +2.95 +5.21%‼
Wheat………836.50 +32.00 +3.98%‼

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Semua regional index ijo kemaren, idx juga ijo walau tipis. Good sign untuk koreksi mungkin sudah beres di level 6500 an, ga jadi dibawa tutup gap 6162

Tetep very selective buying di saham saham yang punya hajat sendiri, yang tetep ijo walau index merah

Oil Gas Coal naik tinggi, semakin besar tanda rebound untuk sektor energy yang rata2 memang sudah mulai keluar signal buy di stochastic

Kalo MACD buy signal keluar, kita entry

BRPT kemaren rally 10%, hari ini kemungkinan besar dibanting dulu, selain biasanya, pasti retrace dulu karena oil naik tinggi, bahan baku industri petrokimia kan dari minyak. Minyak naik biaya produksi naik

Gold CPO Copper ijo, solver nickel merah. Timah drop. Ngehambat trio kwek kwek ANTM INCO TINS aja nih, heu

Seandainya koreksi beres di level 6500, kita bisa proyeksikan gerakan selanjutnya kesini

Global Update:

July 07th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 rises for third straight session as Fed restates commitment to bringing down inflation

U.S. stocks moved slightly higher on Wednesday as investors pored over the latest minutes from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….31038 +69.9 +0.23%
Nasdaq.11362 +39.6 +1.75%
S&P 500..3845 +13.7 +0.35%

FTSE…….7108 +82.3 +1.17%
Dax……..12595 +193.3 +1.56%
CAC……..5912 +117.4 +2.03%

Nikkei….26108 -315.8 -1.20%
HSI……..21587 -266.4 -1.22%
Shanghai..3355 -48.7 -1.43%
ST Times..3104 -0.5 -0.01%

IDX…….6646.27 -56.86 -0.85%
LQ45…..947.15 -9.97 -1.04%

IDX Energy…1634.12 -33.36 -2.00%
IDX Bsc Mat.1162.26 -16.81 -1.43%
IDX Industrl..1157.60 -26.81 -2.26%
IDXNONCYC..707.80 +5.50 +0.78%
IDX Hlthcare.1512.61 +7.89 +0.52%
IDXCYCLIC…..863.56 -1.70 -0.20%
IDX Techno….7414.28 -78.28 -1.04%
IDX Transp…1830.67 -21.69 -1.17%
IDX Infrast……955.46 -1.71 -0.18%
IDX Finance 1380.44 -2.41 -0.17%
IDX Property…….662 -2.40 -0.37%

Indo10Yr….7.3820 -0.0120 -0.16%
ICBI……….330.7606 +0.0805 +0.02%
US10Yr…..2.9130 +0.1040 +3.70%
VIX…………27.54 +0.01 +0.04%

USDIndx 107.0960 +0.5210 +0.49%‼️
Como Indx..276.13 -2.03 -0.73%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.14 -0.97 -0.65%

IndoCDS…146.52 +2.50 +1.74%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14999.00 +5.50 +0.04%‼️
Jisdor..15015.00 +25.00 +0.17%‼️

Euro………1.0185 -0.0084 -0.82%

TLKM……..26.69 -0.31 -1.15%
(4007)
EIDO………21.60 -0.04 -0.18%
EEM……….39.30 -0.24 -0.61%

Oil…………..98.21 -2.53 -2.51%‼️
Gold …….1737.50 -29.70 -1.68%‼️
Timah. .26000.00 -600 -2.26%
( Closed 05/7)
Nickel…21697.00 -1029.50 -4.53%‼️
(Closed 06/7)
Silver…….19.15 -0.77 -3.87%‼️
Copper….343.75 -0.05 -0.01%

Nturl Gas…..5.541 -0.030 -0.54%

Ammonia ..4590.00 -116.67 -2.48%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(05/7)

Coal price…399.70 +2.10 +0.53%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…397.00 +4.45 +1.13%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…384.74 +4.75 +1.25%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…369.30 +8.60 +2.38%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4056 -115 -2.76%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………585.00 +6.50 +1.12%
SoybeanOil…56.64 -0.78 -1.36%
Wheat………804.50 -2.50 -0.31%

Wood pulp…6600.00 -8.00 -0.12%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

IHSG langsung dikasih merah dalem lagi, hampir aja jadi candle bearish engulfing. Asia semua merah, kebanyakan drop gede.

Europe Ijo, US ijo, semoga berarti kita akan terus rebound

Semua commodity merah kecuali coal, semoga saham coal kembali naik.

Global Update:

July 06th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks stage big comeback Tuesday with S&P 500 finishing slightly higher after erasing 2% loss

Stocks staged an afternoon rally on Tuesday as concerns about a possible recession in the U.S. weighed on investor sentiment but lower interest rates appeared to boost the tech sector.

Dow…….30968 -129.4 -0.42%
Nasdaq.11322 +194.4 +1.75%
S&P 500..3831 +6.1 +0.16%

FTSE…….7025 -207.2 -2.86%
Dax……..12401 -372.2 -2.91%
CAC……..5795 -159.7 -2.68%

Nikkei….26423 +269.7 +1.03%
HSI……..21853 +22.7 +0.10%
Shanghai..3404 -1.4 -0.04%
ST Times..3104 -16.1 -0.52%

IDX…….6703.27 +64.1 +0.97%
LQ45…..957.11 +6.96 +0.73%

IDX Energy…1667.48 +65.34 +4.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1179.06 +16.34 +1.41%
IDX Industrl..1184.42 +23.73 +2.04%
IDXNONCYC..702.31 +4.97 +0.71%
IDX Hlthcare.1504.72 +11.62 +0.78%
IDXCYCLIC…..865.26 +3.36 +0.39%
IDX Techno….7492.55 +52.66 +0.71%
IDX Transp…1852.36 +30.30 +1.66%
IDX Infrast……957.17 +11.35 +1.20%
IDX Finance 1382.86 +11.34 +0.83%
IDX Property…….665 +6.50 +0.98%

Indo10Yr….7.3940 +0.0120 +0.16%
ICBI……….330.6812 -0.2717 -0.08%
US10Yr…..2.8090 -0.0800 -2.77%
VIX…………27.54 +0.01 +0.04%

USDIndx 106.5350 +1.3160 +1.25%‼
Como Indx..278.16 -13.67 -4.68%‼
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..149.11 -2.60 -1.72%

IndoCDS…146.52 +2.50 +1.74%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14993.50 +22.00 +0.15%‼
Jisdor..14990.00 +30.00 +0.20%‼

Euro………1.0269 -0.0155 -1.48%

TLKM……..27.00 -0.25 -0.92%
(4077)
EIDO………21.64 -0.45 -2.04%
EEM……….39.54 -0.31 -0.78%

Oil…………100.74 -9.77 -8.84%‼
Gold …….1767.20 -41.40 -2.28%‼
Timah. .26600.00 -50 -0.19%
( Closed 04/7)
Nickel…22726.50 +74.00 +0.33%
(Closed 05/7)
Silver…….19.92 -0.72 -3.61%‼
Copper…343.80 -13.10 -3.67%‼

Nturl Gas…..5.571 -0.328 -5.58%‼

Ammonia ..4790.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/6)

Coal price…397.60 +1.15 +0.29%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…392.55 +1.10 +0.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…38.00 +4.00 +1.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…360.70 -1.95 -0.64%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4171 -169 -3.89%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………578.50 -29.00 -4.77%‼
SoybeanOil….57.42 -4.96 -7.95%‼
Wheat……….807.00 -39.00 -4.61%‼

Wood pulp…6616.00 -8.00 -0.12%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Kemaren idx ijo tebel, asia tapi sebagian merah,. Singapore sama china merah tipis, Europe merah tebel. Masih galaw ini market. Yang bisa TP mending TP dulu, masih terbuka kemungkinan IHSG drop lagi tutup gap di 6162. Mending day trade dulu jangan pegang panjang panjang

US nutup drop sebelumnya, tapi DJI closing merah, nasdaq sama S&P 500 ijo

Coal lanjut naik, oil drop lagi, energy long term nya ok tapi oil harus hati2 dulu sekarang, coal udah ok keliatannya, kita liat hari ini.

CPO drop lagi, gold silver copper juga, timah nikel tipis tipis

Baru rebound kenceng sehari, asli rebound atau dead cat bounce? Kita tunggu perkembangannya. Memang sulit untuk expect buy at the very bottom and sell at the very peak. Kalo FOMO bisa nyangkut beneran

Konfirmasi reversal selalu lag, jadi paling bisa ya pake teknik bottom fishing sebagian, pas abis konfirmasi sebagian lagi, risk management

Global update:

July 05th, 2022

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to the Independence Day

Dow…….31097 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11128 closed +0%
S&P 500..3825 closed +0%

FTSE…….7233 +64.0 +0.89%
Dax……..12773 -39.7 -0.31%
CAC……..5955 +23.6 +0.40%

Nikkei….26154 +218.2 +0.84%
HSI……..21830 -29.4 -0.13%
Shanghai..3405 +17.8 +0.53%
ST Times..3120 +24.7 +0.80%

IDX…….6639.17 -155.16 -2.28%
LQ45…..950.15 -24.18 -2.48%

IDX Energy…1602.14 -7.39 -0.46%
IDX Bsc Mat.1162.72 -21.62 -1.83%
IDX Industrl..1160.69 -13.21 -1.13%
IDXNONCYC..697.34 -19.06 -2.66%
IDX Hlthcare.1493.10 -22.24 -1.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..861.90 -14.55 -1.56%
IDX Techno.7439.89 -310.35 -4.00%‼️
IDX Transp.1822.06 -67.47 -3.57%‼️
IDX Infrast……945.82 -11.45 -1.20%
IDX Finance 1371.52 -36.36 -2.58%
IDX Property…….658 -11.90 -1.78%

Indo10Yr….7.3820 +0.0234 +0.32%
ICBI……….330.9518 +0.1091 +0.03%
US10Yr…..2.8890 closed +0%
VIX…………26.70 closed +0%

USDIndx 105.21¥0 +0.0810 +0.08%
Como Indx….291.83 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..151.71 closed +0%

IndoCDS…144.02 – –
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14971.50 +29.00 +0.19%‼️
Jisdor..14960.00 +4.00 +0.03%‼️

Euro………1.0424 +0.0010 +0.10%

TLKM……..27.25 closed +0%
(4077)
EIDO……….22.09 closed +0%
EEM……….39.85 closed -0%

Oil………….110.51 +2.08 +1.92%
Gold …… .1808.60 +7.10 +0.39%
Timah. .26650.00 +199 +0.75%
( Closed 01/7)
Nickel..22652.50 +809.00 +3.70%‼️
(Closed 03/7)
Silver……….19.92 +0.25 +1.26%
Copper…..356.90 -3.50 -0.97%

Nturl Gas…..5.876 +0.256 +4.56%

Ammonia ..4790.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/6)

Coal price…396.45 +8.45 +2.18%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…391.44 +16.45 +4.39%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…376.00 +7.00 +1.90%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…350.90 +11.75 +3.35%‼️
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4340 -355 -7.55%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..607.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil…..62.36 closed +0%
Wheat……….846.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6616.00 -8.00 -0.11%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US tutup, hari kemerdekaan. Regional hampir semua ijo, cuma jerman sama hangseng merah tipis, while IHSG merah dalem. Kenapa? Ya ga ada alasan fundamental yang saya jelas, tapi alasan technical ada, memang harus turun menyelesaikan siklus ABC correction nya, minimal sampe level harga sekarang di 6500-an.

Masih mungkin turun tutup gap 6162, tapi kecil kemungkinan disekaliguskan, harusnya ada technical rebound dulu, walau misalnya akan lanjut

Selective buying di saham coal sama minyak, nikel2an kita liat sama sama, mungkin rebound mungkin masih koreksi. Tunggu konfirmasi buy signal aja

Reminder:

Kemungkinan 1: kaya taun kemaren, mantul di area yang sama dengan wave A

Kemungkinan 2: Lanjut tutup gap dan beresin ABC correction pola standar