Daily Analysis 20220714

Daily Analysis 20220714

Global update:
July 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow slides 200 points, stocks dip as inflation hits highest level since 1981

Stocks slipped on Wednesday after June inflation data hit its highest level since 1981, adding to growing fears that the Federal Reserve will get more aggressive in its fight to tame rising prices.

Dow…….30773 -208.5 -0.67%
Nasdaq.11248 -17.2 -0.15%
S&P 500..3802 -17.02 -0.45%

FTSE…….7156 -53.5 -0.74%
Dax……..12756 -149.2 -1.16%
CAC……..6000 -43.96 -0.73%

Nikkei….26479 +142.1 +0.54%
HSI……..20798 -46.8 -0.22%
Shanghai..3284 +2.8 +0.09%
ST Times..3129 -17.1 -0.54%

IDX…….6640.99 -77.30 -1.15%
LQ45…..936.43 -13.06 -1.38%

IDX Energy…1660.38 -17.60 -1.05%
IDX Bsc Mat.1221.13 +0.72 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1169.52 -3.47 -0.30%
IDXNONCYC..704.65 -2.92 -0.41%
IDX Hlthcare.1530.11 -2.89 -0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…..861.74 -11.44 -1.31%
IDX Techno….7565.83 -136.59 -1.77%
IDX Transp…1930.09 -19.57 -1.00%
IDX Infrast……951.58 -5.49 -0.57%
IDX Finance 1405.88 -10.16 -0.72%
IDX Property…….668 – -%

Indo10Yr….7.3324 -0.0241 -0.33%
ICBI……….331.5352 +0.3765 +0.11%
*US10Yr…..2.9040 -0.0540 -1.83%*
*VIX…………26.82 -0.47 -1.72%*

*USDIndx 107.9570 -0.2120 -0.20%‼️*
Como Indx..277.94 +1.93 +0.70%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..144.75 -0.51 -0.35%

*IndoCDS…159.08 +2.38 +1.52%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5)

*IDR……14991.50 -3.50 -0.02%‼️*
*Jisdor..14985.00 -8.00 -0.05%‼️*

*Euro………1.0054 +0.0018 +0.18%*

TLKM……..26.87 +0.33 +1.24%
*(4026)*
EIDO………21.46 -0.29 -1.33%
EEM……….38.78 -0.09 -0.23%

*Oil………….96.10 +0.26 +0.27%*
*Gold …….1733.60 +8.80 +0.51%*
*Timah. .25574.00 -689 -2.62%*
*( Closed 12/7)*
*Nickel…21026.50 -271.50 -1.27%*
*(Closed 13/7)*
Silver…….19.15 +0.19 +1.00%
Copper…..330.70 +1.90 +0.58%

*Nturl Gas…..6.598 +0.3640 +5.84%‼️*

Ammonia….3856.67 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(12/7)

Coal price…430.00 +4.00 +0.94%
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price…428.85 -9.55 -2.18%*
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…395.00 -2.50 -0.63%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…378.25 -6.15 -1.60%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

*CPO(Sept)…..3762 -371 -8.98%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………595.25 +8.75 +1.49%
SoybeanOil…56.71 -1.21 -2.09%
Wheat………..810.75 -3.50 -0.43%

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 13/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_
.
Inflasi US tertinggi sejak 1981, pasti goyang… Ga lama lagi pasti naikin suku bunga deh. Kalo gini mah siap siap beneran diterusin kebawah ABC correction standar. Diluar energy mending exit kalo ada kesempatan, just to be safe

Kembali ke skenario ini? Mungkin saja, yang jelas kita harus siap kalo itu terjadi

Daily Analysis 20220713

Daily Analysis 20220713

Global Update:

July 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow drops more than 100 points, stocks fall ahead of key inflation report

U.S. stocks tumbled on Tuesday as worries over global economic growth dented investor appetite for risk assets and Wall Street braced for June inflation data.

Dow…….30981 -192.5 -0.62%
Nasdaq.11265 -107.9 -0.95%
S&P 500..3819 -35.6 -0.92%

FTSE…….7209 +13.3 +0.18%
Dax……..12906 +73.04 +0.57%
CAC……..6044 +47.9 +0.80%

Nikkei….26337 -475.6 -1.77%
HSI……..20845 -279.5 -1.32%
Shanghai..3281 -32.1 -0.97%
ST Times..3145 +14.5 +0.46%

IDX…….6718.29 -3.85 -0.06%
LQ45…..949.50 -2.70 -0.28%

IDX Energy…1677.98 +25.34 +1.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1220.40 +13.05 +1.08%
IDX Industrl..1172.98 -2.18 -0.19%
IDXNONCYC..707.57 +0.67 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare.1533.00 -9.00 -0.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..873.18 -2.89 -0.33%”
IDX Techno….7701.42 -10.37 -0.13%
IDX Transp…1949.66 +33.44 +1.74%
IDX Infrast……957.07 -1.95 -0.20%
IDX Finance 1416.04 +2.53 +0.18%
IDX Property…….670 +1.40 +0.20%

Indo10Yr….7.3565 -0.0127 -0.17%
ICBI……….331.1587 +0.0922 +0.03%
US10Yr…..2.9580 -0.0330 -1.10%
VIX…………27.29 +1.12 +4.28%

USDIndx 108.1690 +0.1480 +0.14%‼️
Como Indx..276.01 -11.77 -4.09%‼️
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.27 -3.22 -2.17%

IndoCDS…156.70 +11.72 +8.08%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14995.00 +20.00 +0.13%‼️
Jisdor..14993.00 +16.00 +0.12%‼️

Euro………1.0036 -0.0007 -0.07%

TLKM……..26.54 -0.12 -0.45%
(3979)
EIDO………21.75 +0.08 +0.37%
EEM……….38.87 -0.15 -0.38%

Oil………….95.84 -7.15 -6.94%‼️
Gold …….1724.80 -7.10 -0.41%
Timah. .26263.00 +899 +3.54%
( Closed 11/7)
Nickel…21334.00 -546.00 -2.50%
(Closed 12/7)
Silver…….18.96 -0.11 -0.58%
Copper….328.80 -13.05 -3.82%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.234 -0.2510 -3.87%‼️

Ammonia .3856.67 -550.00 -12.48%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(11/7)

Coal price…426.00 +7.00 +1.67%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…438.40 +11.60 +2.72%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…397.50 +7.50 +1.92%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…384.40 -2.25 -0.58%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4133 -30 -0.72%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………586.50 -42.50 -6.76%‼️
SoybeanOil…57.92 -3.39 -5.53%‼️
Wheat………..814.25 -42.25 -4.93%‼️

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 12/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Asia merah kecuali singapore, US merah, Europe ijo. Memang seringkali ketika US menyedihkan investor mindahin dana ke europe sih, tapi kalo issue nya global biasanya turun bareng.

Index sudah 2 hari merah tipis, keliatan belum mau dibawa turun, MACD nya makin menunjukkan mau rebound. Masih ada kemungkinan mau tutup gap, jadi keep cash ya, pegang barang cukup energy sama sebagian basic material aja, 30-50% max dari total equity

Dilihat dari regression mungkin langsung lanjut rebound, kita tunggu konfirmasi aja

Daily Analysis 20220712

Daily Analysis 20220712

Global Update: July 12th, 2022 Good morning, S&P 500 loses 1%, Nasdaq breaks 5-day win streak ahead of earnings season U.S. equities fell Monday as Wall Street braced for big…
Daily Analysis 20220711

Daily Analysis 20220711

Global Update:

July 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq rises for fifth-straight day after strong jobs report as Wall Street notches winning week

The Nasdaq Composite rose in choppy trading on Friday as investors reacted to a stronger-than-expected jobs report that will likely keep the Federal Reserve on track for its aggressive rate hikes.

Dow…….31338 -46.4 -0.15%
Nasdaq.11635 +13.96 +0.12%
S&P 500..3899 -3.2 -0.08%

FTSE…….7196 +7.2 +0.10%
Dax……..13015 +172.01 +1.34%
CAC……..6033 +26.4 +0.44%

Nikkei….26517 +26.7 +0.10%
HSI……..21726 +82.2 +0.38%
Shanghai..3356 -8.3 -0.25%
ST Times..3131 +1.9 +0.06%

IDX…….6740.22 +87.63 +1.32%
LQ45…..959.68 +13.10 +1.38%

IDX Energy…1648.73 +17.12 +1.05%
IDX Bsc Mat.1201.90 +31.48 +2.69%
IDX Industrl..1167.29 +11.86 +1.03%
IDXNONCYC..709.97 +2.84 +0.40%
IDX Hlthcare.1510.00 -1.14 -0.08%
IDXCYCLIC…..869.47 +0.39 +0.04%
IDX Techno….7783.19 +226.28 +2.99%
IDX Transp…1893.90 +30.51 +1.64%
IDX Infrast……960.07 +0.72 +0.07%
IDX Finance 1413.10 +23.03 +1.66%
IDX Property…….668 -1.10 -0.16%

Indo10Yr….7.3829 +0.0109 +0.15%
ICBI……….330.9639 -0.1308 -0.04%
US10Yr…..3.1010 +0.0930 +3.09%
VIX…………24.64 -1.44 -5.52%

USDIndx 107.0070 -0.1230 -0.11%‼
Como Indx..287.75 +2.67 +0.94%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.77 -0.82 -0.54%

IndoCDS…144.98 -5.32 -3.54%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14979.00 -22.50 -0.15%‼
Jisdor..14981.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼

Euro………1.0185 +0.0023 +0.23%

TLKM……..26.51 -0.37 -1.38%
(3971)
EIDO………21.82 +0.12 +0.55%
EEM……….40.09 unch +0%

Oil…………104.79 +2.24 +2.18%
Gold …….1742.30 +3.00 +0.17%
Timah. .25364.00 -620 -2.39%‼
( Closed 08/7)
Nickel…21499.00 +248.50 +1.16%
(Closed 09/7)
Silver…….19.24 +0.09 +0.47%
Copper….352.20 -2.05 -0.58%

Nturl Gas…..6.067 +0.5260 +9.49%‼

Ammonia ..4473.33 -67.33 -1.51%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(07/7)

Coal price…413.75 +3.75 +0.91%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…415.50 +3.50 +0.85%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…388.90 +3.90 +1.01%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…381.+10 +6.10 +1.63%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4288 +153 +3.79%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………623.50 +27.25 +4.57%‼
SoybeanOil…60.49 +0.90 +1.51%
Wheat………891.50 +55.00 +6.57%‼

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 10/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Hampir semua index ijo di jum’at, US DJI sama Shanghai merah tipis. Commodity naik semua kecuali timah dan tembaga. Oil stay diatas 100usd/ barrel, coal sampe 413 USD/MT, energy soaring lagi harusnya.

Kita assess kemungkinan pola flat style correction yang kejadian… Akan confirm bila MACD nya lanjut golden cross

Daily Analysis 20220708

Daily Analysis 20220708

Global Update:

July 08th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 gains for fourth day to match year’s longest win streak, Dow jumps 300 points

U.S. stocks rose on Thursday as Wall Street built on its modest winning streak ahead of a key jobs report.

Dow…….31385 +346.9 +1.12%
Nasdaq.11621 +259.5 +2.28%
S&P 500..3903 +57.5 +1.50%

FTSE…….7189 +81.3 +1.14%
Dax……..12843 +248.7 +1.97%
CAC……..6007 +94.3 +1.60%

Nikkei….26491 +382.9 +1.47%
HSI……..21644 +56.9 +0.26%
Shanghai..3364 +9.1 +0.27%
ST Times..3129 +25.7 +0.83%

IDX…….6652.59 +6.18 +0.09%
LQ45…..946.58 -0.57 -0.06%

IDX Energy…1631.61 -2.51 -0.15%
IDX Bsc Mat.1170.42 +8.16 +0.70%
IDX Industrl..1155.42 -2.18 -0.19%
IDXNONCYC..707.14 -0.67 -0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1511.14 -1.48 -0.10%
IDXCYCLIC…..869.08 +5.52 +0.64%
IDX Techno….7556.91 +142.63 +1.92%
IDX Transp…1863.39 +32.72 +1.79%
IDX Infrast……959.35 +3.90 +0.41%
IDX Finance 1390.08 +9.64 +0.70%
IDX Property…….670 +7.30 +1.11%

Indo10Yr….7.3720 -0.0100 -0.14%
ICBI……….331.0947 +0.3341 +0.10%
US10Yr…..3.0080 +0.0950 +3.26%
VIX…………26.08 -0.65 -2.43%

USDIndx 107.1300 +0.0340 +0.03%‼
Como Indx..285.08 +8.95 +3.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.58 +3.45 +2.33%

IndoCDS…150.30 +3.78 +2.58%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……15001.50 +2.50 +0.02%‼
Jisdor..15015.00 -29.00 -0.19%‼

Euro………1.0162 -0.0023 -0.23%

TLKM……..26.88 +0.19 +0.71%
(4036)
EIDO………21.70 +0.10 +0.46%
EEM……….40.09 +0.79 +2.01%

Oil…………102.55 +4.34 +4.42%‼
Gold …….1739.30 +1.80 +0.10%
Timah. .24712.00 -1288 -4.95%‼
( Closed 06/7)
Nickel…21499.00 -198.00 -0.91%
(Closed 07/7)
Silver…….19.15 -0.03 -0.16%
Copper….354.25 +1.06 +3.08%

Nturl Gas…..5.541 +0.6470 +11.68%‼

Ammonia ..4473.33 -116.67 -2.54%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(06/7)

Coal price…410.00 +10.30 +2.58%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…412.00 +15.60 +3.92%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…385.00 +0.25 +0.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…369.30 +5.70 +1.54%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4135 +79 +1.95%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +11.25 +1.92%
SoybeanOil…59.59 +2.95 +5.21%‼
Wheat………836.50 +32.00 +3.98%‼

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Semua regional index ijo kemaren, idx juga ijo walau tipis. Good sign untuk koreksi mungkin sudah beres di level 6500 an, ga jadi dibawa tutup gap 6162

Tetep very selective buying di saham saham yang punya hajat sendiri, yang tetep ijo walau index merah

Oil Gas Coal naik tinggi, semakin besar tanda rebound untuk sektor energy yang rata2 memang sudah mulai keluar signal buy di stochastic

Kalo MACD buy signal keluar, kita entry

BRPT kemaren rally 10%, hari ini kemungkinan besar dibanting dulu, selain biasanya, pasti retrace dulu karena oil naik tinggi, bahan baku industri petrokimia kan dari minyak. Minyak naik biaya produksi naik

Gold CPO Copper ijo, solver nickel merah. Timah drop. Ngehambat trio kwek kwek ANTM INCO TINS aja nih, heu

Seandainya koreksi beres di level 6500, kita bisa proyeksikan gerakan selanjutnya kesini

Daily Analysis 20220707

Daily Analysis 20220707

Global Update:

July 07th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 rises for third straight session as Fed restates commitment to bringing down inflation

U.S. stocks moved slightly higher on Wednesday as investors pored over the latest minutes from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….31038 +69.9 +0.23%
Nasdaq.11362 +39.6 +1.75%
S&P 500..3845 +13.7 +0.35%

FTSE…….7108 +82.3 +1.17%
Dax……..12595 +193.3 +1.56%
CAC……..5912 +117.4 +2.03%

Nikkei….26108 -315.8 -1.20%
HSI……..21587 -266.4 -1.22%
Shanghai..3355 -48.7 -1.43%
ST Times..3104 -0.5 -0.01%

IDX…….6646.27 -56.86 -0.85%
LQ45…..947.15 -9.97 -1.04%

IDX Energy…1634.12 -33.36 -2.00%
IDX Bsc Mat.1162.26 -16.81 -1.43%
IDX Industrl..1157.60 -26.81 -2.26%
IDXNONCYC..707.80 +5.50 +0.78%
IDX Hlthcare.1512.61 +7.89 +0.52%
IDXCYCLIC…..863.56 -1.70 -0.20%
IDX Techno….7414.28 -78.28 -1.04%
IDX Transp…1830.67 -21.69 -1.17%
IDX Infrast……955.46 -1.71 -0.18%
IDX Finance 1380.44 -2.41 -0.17%
IDX Property…….662 -2.40 -0.37%

Indo10Yr….7.3820 -0.0120 -0.16%
ICBI……….330.7606 +0.0805 +0.02%
US10Yr…..2.9130 +0.1040 +3.70%
VIX…………27.54 +0.01 +0.04%

USDIndx 107.0960 +0.5210 +0.49%‼️
Como Indx..276.13 -2.03 -0.73%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.14 -0.97 -0.65%

IndoCDS…146.52 +2.50 +1.74%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14999.00 +5.50 +0.04%‼️
Jisdor..15015.00 +25.00 +0.17%‼️

Euro………1.0185 -0.0084 -0.82%

TLKM……..26.69 -0.31 -1.15%
(4007)
EIDO………21.60 -0.04 -0.18%
EEM……….39.30 -0.24 -0.61%

Oil…………..98.21 -2.53 -2.51%‼️
Gold …….1737.50 -29.70 -1.68%‼️
Timah. .26000.00 -600 -2.26%
( Closed 05/7)
Nickel…21697.00 -1029.50 -4.53%‼️
(Closed 06/7)
Silver…….19.15 -0.77 -3.87%‼️
Copper….343.75 -0.05 -0.01%

Nturl Gas…..5.541 -0.030 -0.54%

Ammonia ..4590.00 -116.67 -2.48%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(05/7)

Coal price…399.70 +2.10 +0.53%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…397.00 +4.45 +1.13%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…384.74 +4.75 +1.25%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…369.30 +8.60 +2.38%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4056 -115 -2.76%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………585.00 +6.50 +1.12%
SoybeanOil…56.64 -0.78 -1.36%
Wheat………804.50 -2.50 -0.31%

Wood pulp…6600.00 -8.00 -0.12%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

IHSG langsung dikasih merah dalem lagi, hampir aja jadi candle bearish engulfing. Asia semua merah, kebanyakan drop gede.

Europe Ijo, US ijo, semoga berarti kita akan terus rebound

Semua commodity merah kecuali coal, semoga saham coal kembali naik.