July 07th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points lower as hot jobs data raises fears of Fed rate hikes

Stocks slid on Thursday after better-than-expected jobs data increased investors’ anxiety around the state of the economy and path of interest rates.

Dow……33922  -366.4   -1.07%
Nasdaq13679  -112.6   -0.82%
S&P 500.4412  -35.2     -0.79%

*FTSE…..7281   -161.6     -2.17%*
*Dax……15529  -409.04   -2.57%*
*CAC……7082   -228.5      -3.13%*

Nikkei…32773 -565.7     -1.70%
*HSI…….18533 -577.3     -3.02%”‼️*
Shanghai.3206 -17.4      -0.54%

IDX…..6757.33  +38.35  +0.57%
LQ45….956.40  +2.95    +0.31%
IDX30…497.11  +1.61    +0.32%

IDXEnergy…1836.94  +35.66 +1.98%
IDX BscMat.1020.99  +9.66   +0.96%
IDX Indstrl…1192.38  +11.71 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.754.59  +0.19   +0.03%
IDX Hlthcare1480.51 -2.80    -0.19%
*IDXCYCLIC….912.79  +19.42 +2.17%*
IDX Techno.4774.82  +26.04 +0.55%
IDX Transp..1948.89  +5.13.  +0.26%
IDX Infrast… .863.76  +0.59   +0.07%
IDX Finance.1422.70 +0.48   +0.03%
IDX Banking.1189.27  -0.74   -0.06%
IDX Property..736       +5.30   +0.73%

*Indo10Yr.6.3021 +0.0112 +0.18%*
*ICBI….368.3600 -0.2405 -0.07%*
*US2Yr.4.9890*  +0.042   +0.85%
*US5Yr 4.3500  +0.101   +2.35%*
*US10Yr4.0330 +0.094   +2.39%*
*US30Yr.3.9960* +0.050  +1.27%
*VIX…….15.44   +1.26    +8.89%‼️*

*USDIndx103.1660* -0.2070  -0.20%
Como Indx…261.92   -0.89      -0.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……140.76    -0.74      -0.52%

*IndoCDS.85.19👍  -0.97   -1.13%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(05/07)*
*IDR…..15056.50‼️+38.50 +0.26%*
*Jisdor.15062.00‼️+49.00 +0.33%*

*Euro……1.0890* +0.0036  +0.33%

TLKM…26.26   -0.15    -0.57%
*(3955)*
EIDO….22.82   -0.27    -1.17%
*EEM…38.95   -0.81    -2.04%*

Oil…….71.82       -0.06    -0.08%
Gold…1916.30   -7.40    -0.38%
Timah..27633.00  +313.00   +1.15%
*(Closed 05/07)*
Nickel..21198.50   -24.00      -0.11%
(Closed 06/07)
Silver….. 22.91   -0.34     -1.46%
Copper..374.20  -1.90     -0.51%

*Iron Ore 62%  111.84 +0.97  +0.87%*
(05/07)
Nturl Gas.2.636  -0.019  -0.72%

*Coal price.139.65  -5.15  -3.56%‼️*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.143.75  -7.25   -5.04%‼️*
(Agt/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.40  -7.20   -4.66%‼️*
(Sept/Newcastle)
*Coal price.149.45 -6.45   -4.14%‼️*
(Oct/Newcastle)

*Coal price117.25   -6.35  -5.14%‼️*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.90  -7.25  -5.94%‼️*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.90 -6.20  -5.12%‼️*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.115.30 -5.80 -4.79%‼️*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3911  +49  +1.27%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn….506.50       +13.00  +2.53%*
*SoybeanOil 59.24 -2.16     -3.52%‼️*
*Wheat…668.00     -16.25   -2.41%*

*Wood pulp..4290.00* +40  +0.94%
(Closed 06/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Kemaren IHSG berhasil melawan gravitasi, ijo sendiri, sekarang kayanya ga akan kuat sih… Rata2 pada dalem merahnya

Hampir semua komoditas turun,kecuali Timah, Iron Ore dan CPO. Trailing stop guys, hari hari bantingan hari ini

IHSG – bikin minor IHNS, chart pattern besarnya bikin triple bottom lanjut higher low, sudah harusnya tinggal mantul. Stoch buy MACD up,MFI up w% uptrend, FNB terus, tinggal rally nya

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BRPT BUKA ESSA GOTO INCO MEDC SMGR TBIG TINS AGII BABP BFIN DOID ENRG LPPF LTLS SGRO

Yang sambil big accum dan ada faktor lain: BRPT ESSA SMGR

MACD Buy Signal: EXCL AGII BABP BMTR ENRG AMFG

Allgator Buy Signal: BBNI BMTR

Supertrend Buy Signal: SMGR ITMG AGII

July 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow slips 100 points to snap 3-day win streak as investors consider Fed’s latest comments

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
slid on Wednesday as Wall Street resumed a holiday-shortened week and digested the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes for insights into the state of monetary policy.

Dow……34289 -129.8 -0.38%
Nasdaq13792 -25.1 -0.18%
S&P 500.4447 -8.8 -0.20%

FTSE…..7442 -77.6 -1.03%
Dax……15938 -101.6 -0.63%
CAC……7311 -59.1 -0.80%

Nikkei…..33339 -83.8 -0.25%
HSI………19110 -305.3 -1.57%
Shanghai.3223 -22.4 -0.69%

IDX…..6718.98 +37.22 +0.56%
LQ45….953.44 +4.71 +0.50%
IDX30…495.50 +2.54 +0.51%

IDXEnergy…1801.29 +26.50 +1.49%
IDX BscMat.1011.34 +15.97+1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1180.67 +7.99 +0.68%
IDXNONCYC.754.39 +1.75 +0.23%
IDX Hlthcare1483.31 +5.82 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC….893.37 +7.71 +0.87%
IDX Techno.4748.78 +16.41 +0.35%
IDX Transp..1943.76 +21.56 +1.12%
IDX Infrast… .863.17 +8.68 +1.02%
IDX Finance.1422.23 +1.54 +0.11%
IDX Banking.1190.01 +1.23 +0.10%
IDX Property..730 +6.50 +0.90%

Indo10Yr.6.2909👍 -0.0144 -0.23%
ICBI….368.6006👍 +0.1834 +0.05%
US2Yr.4.9470 +0.007 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.2490 +0.058 +1.38%
US10Yr3.9390 +0.085 +2.21%
US30Yr.3.9460 +0.089 +2.31%
VIX…….14.18 +0.48 +3.50%

USDIndx103.3730 +0.3340 +0.32%
Como Indx…262.80 +1.91 +0.73%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.50 -0.17 -0.12%

IndoCDS.85.19👍 -0.97 -1.13%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/07)
IDR…..15017.50‼️+23.00 +0.15%
Jisdor.15013.00‼️-5.00 -0.03%

Euro……1.0854 -0.0025 -0.23%

TLKM…26.41 -0.01 -0.04%
(3965)
EIDO….23.09 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM…..39.76 -0.24 -0.60%

Oil…….71.88 +0.88 +1.24%
Gold…1923.70 -9.40 -0.49%
Timah..27320.00 -57.00 -0.21%
(Closed 04/07)
Nickel..21222.50 +683.0#0 +3.33%‼️
(Closed 05/07)
Silver….. 23.35 +0.18 +0.78%
Copper..376.10 -2.25 -0.59%

Iron Ore 62% 110.87 – -%
(03/07)
Nturl Gas.2.655 -0.087 -3.17%

Coal price.144.80 +1.65 +1.15%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.00 -0.25 -0.17%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.60 -0.45 -0.29%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.155.90 -1.65 -1.05%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price123.60 +0.30 +0.24%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.15 +1.25 +1.03%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.45 +1.21%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.65 +1.38%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3862 -22 -0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..493.50 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 61.40 +1.21 +2.01%
Wheat…674.25 +32.50 +5.06%‼️

Wood pulp..4250.00 +20 +0.47%
(Closed 05/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe asia merah, IHSG aja ijo sendiri, hihihi…. Alamat hari ini merah dulu

USD index up, Gold Copper down, Silver up, tin merah, nickel jump. Perlu liat INCO kita. Oil Coal up, Gas down, CPO down, bagus buat ngejar koreksi LSIP. ELSA MEDC ADRO INDY HRUM dkk lanjut harusnya

IHSG – udah FNB terus, good sign. stoch buy, MACD up,MFI sw, w% up, nyaris double bottom terus mantul, udah bikin higher low, udah diatas EMA20, semoga lanjut rally

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Kalo index lagi ijo emang banyak banget nongol buy signal. Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO CPIN INDY SIDO UNTR AGRO BMTR ERAA HEAL HMSP LSIP MLPL MNCN SMRA AMFG

Kita perhatiin yang beneran Big Akum sama yang freq spike nya fresh, dan multiple factors: UNTR ERAA JSMR  LSIP MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM JSMR MLPL PTPP RMKE IGAR

Alligator Buy Signal: BMRI ELSA INCI

Supertrend Buy Signal: ADRO MDKA

July 03rd, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 rises on Friday to close out big first half, Nasdaq posts best start to a year in 4 decades

Stocks rose Friday and technology names continued their staggering run to cap off a strong start to the year, and the best first half for the Nasdaq Composite since 1983.

Dow……34408 +285.2 +0.84%
Nasdaq13788 +196.6 +1.45%
S&P 500.4450 +53.9 +1.23%

FTSE…..7532 +59.8 +0.80%
Dax……16148 +201.2 +1.26%
CAC……7400 +87.3 +1.19%

Nikkei…..33189 -45.1 -0.14%
HSI………18916 -17.9 -0.09%
Shanghai.3202 +19.7 +0.62%

IDX…..6661.88 closed +0%
LQ45….946.70 closed +0%
IDX30…491.27 closed +0%

IDXEnergy…1737.97 closed +0%
IDX BscMat..993.02 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1162.07 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.742.41 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1481.62 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC….876.22 closed +0%
IDX Techno.4780.31 closed +0%
IDX Transp..1900.69 closed +0%
IDX Infrast… .850.50 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1417.70closed +0%
IDX Banking.1187.95closed +0%
IDX Property..727 closed +0%

*Indo10Yr.6.3449closed +0%*
*ICBI..367.1162 closed +0%*
*US2Yr.4.9040* +0.0270 +0.55%
*US5Yr 4.1570* +0.0240 +0.59%
*US10Yr3.8410* +0.0220 +0.57%
*US30Yr.3.8640*+0.0100 +0.26%
*VIX…….13.59 +0.05 +0.37%*

*USDIndx102.9120* -0.4300 -0.42%
Como Indx…261.99 +2.92 +1.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.35 +1.19 +0.85%

*IndoCDS.88.14 -0.99 -1.11%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(30/06)*
*IDR…..15065.50‼️ +72.50 +0.48%*
*Jisdor.15000.00‼️ closed +0%*

*Euro……1.0909* +0.0044 +0.41%

TLKM…26.67 +0.02 +0.08%
*(4000)*
EIDO….23.05 +0.11 +0.48%
EEM….39.56 +0.31 +0.79%

Oil…….70.64 +0.78 +1.12%
Gold…1929.40 +11.50 +0.60%
*Timah..26787.00 +689.00 +2.64%*
*(Closed 30/06)*
Nickel..20433.50 -200.50 -0.97%
(Closed 30/06)
Silver….. 23.02 +0.22 +0.97%
Copper..375.95 +6.05 +1.64%

*Iron Ore 62% 112.57* -0.05 -0.04%
(30/06)
*Nturl Gas.2.774 +0.073 +2.70%*

*Coal price.149.70 unch +2.32%*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.149.70 +4.80 +3.17%‼️*
(Agt/Newcastle)
*Coal price.157.80 +1.90 +2.73%*
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.159.25 +1.20 +1.89%
(Okt/Newcastle)

*Coal price124.65 +4.15 +3.39%*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.122.05 +3.95 +3.34%*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.120.90 +4.05 +3.47%*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.119.90 +4.20 +3.63%*
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3783 +28 +0.75%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn…..494.75 -33.75 -6.39%‼️*
*SoybeanOil 58.97+4.00 +7.28%‼️*
*Wheat…651.00 -16.50 -2.47%*

*Wood pulp..4210.00* unch +0.23%
(Closed 25/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Closing Jum’at Europe US ijo, Asia ada merah tipis, harusnya hari ini ikutan ijo

USD index merah, semua komoditi ijo kecuali nikel. Coal naik rada tinggi. Cocok ini untuk jalan Basic Materials sama Energy

Dari sini masih Basic Materials, dan Financials mulai bangun

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI BRMS MIKA

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS MBSS. Infobank15 MACD buy juga, harusnya firm bank2 mau jalan

Alligator Buy Signal: MDKA TKIM

July 05th, 2023

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Independence Day

Dow……34418 closed +0%
Nasdaq13817 closed +0%
S&P 500.4456 closed +0%

FTSE…..7520 -7.5 -0.10%
Dax……16039 -41.9 -0.26%
CAC……7370 -16.8 -0.23%

Nikkei…..33423 -330.8 -0.98%
HSI………19416 +109.1 +0.56%
Shanghai.3245 +1.4 +0.04%

IDX…..6681.75 -14.96 -0.22%
LQ45….948.73 -3.84 -0.40%
IDX30…492.96 -2.07 -0.42%

IDXEnergy…1774.79 +8.91 +0.50%
IDX BscMat..995.36 -0.61 -0.06%
IDX Indstrl…1172.67 +6.96 +0.51%
IDXNONCYC.752.65 +5.23 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1477.49 +3.83 +0.26%
IDXCYCLIC….885.66 +7.90 +0.90%
IDX Techno.4732.37 -12.88 -0.27%
IDX Transp..1922.21 +15.46 +0.81%
IDX Infrast… .854.49 +3.42 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1420.69+2.90 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1188.78 -4.24 -0.36%
IDX Property..724 -3.20 -0.44%

*Indo10Yr.6.3053👍 -0.0219-0.28%*
*ICBI….368.4171👍 +0.6973+0.18%*
*US2Yr.4.9400* closed +0%
*US5Yr 4.1910* closed +0%
*US10Yr3.8530* -0.0050 -0.13%
*US30Yr.3.8570* -0.0040 -0.10%
*VIX…….13.57 -0.02 -0.15%*

*USDIndx103.0390* +0.0510 +0.05%
Como Indx…260.90 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.67 closed +0%

*IndoCDS.86.16 -1.98 -2.25%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(03/07)*
*IDR…..14994.50 -35.50 -0.24%*
*Jisdor.15018.00 -16.00 -0.11%*

*Euro……1.0879* -0.0035 -0.32%

TLKM…26.42 closed +0%
*(3968)*
EIDO….23.12 closed +0%
EEM….40.00 closed +0%

Oil…….71.00 +0.85 +1.21%
Gold…1933.10 +4.10 +0.21%
*Timah..27377.00 +590.00 +2.20%*
*(Closed 03/07)*
Nickel..20542.50 +109.00 +0.53%
(Closed 04/07)
Silver….. 23.17 +0.06 +0.26%
Copper..378.35 -1.05 -0.28%

*Iron Ore 62% 110.87 -1.70 -1.51%*
(03/07)
Nturl Gas.2.742 +0.045 +1.67%

*Coal price.143.15 -4.90 -3.31%*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.151.25 -3.20 -2.07%*
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.155.05 -2.25 -1.43%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.55 +0.05 +0.03%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price123.30 +1.85 +1.52%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.99 +1.85 +1.55%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.65 +1.70 +1.44%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.45 +2.25 +1.92%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Sept)..3884 -101 -2.53%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..493.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 60.19 closed +0%
Wheat…641.75 closed +0%

*Wood pulp..4230.00* +20 +0.48%
(Closed 04/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US market tutup due to 4th of July, europe merah, asia varied, IHSG merah dikit seperti perkiraan…

USD index naik tipis, ga ngaruh sama komoditas jadinya, Gold Silver ijo,copper merah,timah nikel ijo iron ore merah, oil gas ijo, coal newcastle merah rotterdam ijo, masih aman harusnya buat emiten coal. CPO merah lagi, pas buat nungu LSIP dibawah

Gold MACD buy, bagus harusnya buat ANTM MDKA BRMS

IHSG – stoch rev up, MACD up, MFI down, w% sw, last day FNS, asih optimis lanjut karena financials udah bangun

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM ITMG BSSR DSNG MAPI MYOR

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT PGAS ELSA

Alligator Buy Signal: ADMR

Supertrend Buy Signal: BRIS WINS

HRUM – kalo mau buy ga sekarang sih, jangan biasa ngejar2 saham yang udah lari. Buy signal MACD nya udah

duluan kemaren, Sekarang yang punya hold,yang belum punya cari yang lain aja, udah kejedot fibo 23 dan ada reg bear div juga

ITMG – belum jalan, tapi emang belum bikin higher low juga, abis drop 46% ga firm reversal kalo belum bikin higher low

MAPI – abis wave 5, harusnya ABC correction dulu, kalo MACD Buy kita liat lagi. BD juga masih dist

MYOR – harusnya masih wave 4, belum sampe fibo 50 atau 38 juga, BDkemaren udah acc, FF masih dist, liat lagi pas MACD buy

PGAS – Stoch buy macd up, BD FF rev acc, ada gap, belum bikin higher low, bisa spec buy half tapi amannya biar tunggu beres higher low

ELSA – stoch up, MACD buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD dist FF acc, slope uptrend sambil bolak balik sideways, kaya dijaga belum boleh gerak jauh dulu, BD masih relatif belum aggressive. Karena pegang MEDC elsa nya skip dulu deh

Ada beberapa kali spike dan abis itu naik tapi ga terlalu firm spike nya dan target udah done. Masih lebih firm spike MEDC

ADMR – stoc ob, rev down, MACD up, BD acc, FF dist, MFIup, w% uptrend, udah bikin higherlow tapi ga terlalu significant, udah sah sih, tapi kayanya akan ketemu koreksi rada besar dulu baru lanjut jalan. Buat spec buy udah lewat momentumnya, buat full load belum firm. Kalo main panjang sih alligator buy bisa masuk, asal emang berani resiko di swing kebawah dulu