Daily Analysis 20250103

Daily Analysis 20250103

January 03rd 2024

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as comeback bid falters and Tesla, Apple slide

Stocks erased session gains on Thursday to kick off the first trading day of the new year as Wall Street returned from a holiday break.

Dow……42392 -151.95 -0.36%
Nasdaq 19281 -30.00 -0.16%
S&P 500 5869 -13.08 -0.22%

FTSE…..8260 +87.1 +1.07%
Dax……20025 +115.5 +0.58%
CAC……7394 +13.02 +0.18%

Nikkei…39895 closed +0%
HSI……..19623 -436.63 -2.18%
Shanghai.3252 -89.20 -2.66%

IDX…7163.21 +83.30 +1.18%
LQ45…837.21 +10.56 +1.28%
IDX30.429.23 +5.85 +1.38%

IDXEnergy…2729.65 +40.38 +1.50%
IDX BscMat 1274.20 +22.33 +1.78%
IDX Indstrl..1021.66 -13.91 -1.34%
IDXNONCYC.716.97 -12.52 -1.72%
IDX Hlthcare1435.68 -20.82 -1.43%
IDXCYCLC…825.07 -9.84 -1.18%
IDX Techno..4050.75 +52.93 +1.32%
IDX Transp 1297.26 -3.46 -0.27%
IDX Infrast 1465.97 -12.92 -0.87%
IDX Finance1413.51 +20.93 +1.50%
IDX Banking1164.34 +33.38 +2.95%
IDX Property. 764 +7.80 +1.03%

Indo10Yr.7.0442❗-0.0252 -0.36%
ICBI….393.3270❗+0.5181 +0.13%
US2Yr.4.240 +0.006 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.380 -0.007 -0.16%
US10Yr4.573 -0.010 -0.22%
US30Yr.4.786 -0.004 -0.08%
VIX..17.93 +0.58 +3.34%❗

USDIndx 109.2420‼️+0.755 +0.70%
Como Indx..293.98 +2.26 +0.76%
BCOMIN..139.11 -1.21 -0.86%

IndoCDS…79.17❗ -0.02 -0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/12)

IDR…….16198.00‼️+66.00 +0.41%
Jisdor.. 16236.00‼️+79.00 +0.49%

Euro…1.0266 -0.009 -0.87%

TLKM…16.59 +0.13 +0.76%
( 2694)
EIDO…18.77 +0.29 +1.54%
EEM…41.76 -0.08 -0.19%

Oil………73.13 +1.41 +1.97%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.86 +1.22 +1.63%
(Brent)
Gold…2669.00 +28.00 +1.06%
(Comex)
Gold…2624.50 +33.35 +1.27%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.28083.00 -212.00 -0.72%
(Closed 31/12)
.Nickel.15300.00 -5.00 -0.03%
(Closed 31/12)
Silver……29.90 +0.66. +2.25%
Copper.402.60 -0.05 -0.01%

Iron Ore 62% 103.61 -0.17 -0.16%
(31/12)
Nturl Gas 3.662 +0.045 +1.24%
Ammonia China. 2573.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(02/01)

Coal price.127.00 closed +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.126.55 -0.45 -0.35%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.00 -1.10 -0.85%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 128.85 -1.05 -0.81%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.50 +0.55 +0.48%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.70 +0.55 +0.49%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.20 +0.50 +0.45%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 111.30 +0.05. +0.04%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar) 4336 -108 -2.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………459.50 +1.00 +0.22%
SoybeanOil 40.27 -0.09 -0.22%
Wheat……545.75 -5.75 -1.04%

Wood pulp…..6320 closed +0%
(Closed 27/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe ijo, asia china hongkong merah ihsg ijo tebel. US treasury bond 2 tahun naik, yang panjang turun, sideways dulu atau koreksi dikit ini keliatannya IHSG

USD index up, gold silver up, metal lain down, oil up, gas up, coal newcastle down rotterdam up, koreksi sehat dulu coal kayanya tudei, CPO drop lagi, belum boleh jalan

IHSG – stoch buy macd rev rev up, MFI still down, w% up, reg bull div confirmed by ma10, BD FF masih dist tipis, harusnya tinggal nunggu momentum mantul. Sayangnya kemaren mantuk kenceng bikin opening gap, jadi ada utang lagi deh, beware long ower shadow dip

FInancials, Healthcare, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, AKRA ANTM ASII HRUM ISAT ITMG MBMA SMGRUNTR BRMS ELSA ENRG ERAA MARK PANI PTPP SRTG TINS TKIM TPIA yang ada FNB dan Big Accum ASII ENRG MARK PANI PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BBTN PGAS AUTO MAPA MARK NISP PTMP TINS, big accum BBTN

Supertrend Buy Signal kemaren INDY SILO, yang baru NISP

Daily Analysis 20240927

Daily Analysis 20240927

September 27th, 2024

Dow…….42175 +260.4 +0.62%
Nasdaq. 18190 +108.1 +0.60%
S&P 500 5745 +23.1 +0.40%

FTSE…8285 +16.2 +0.20%
Dax……19238 +319.9 +1.69%
CAC……7742 +176.5 +2.33%

Nikkei..38925 +1055.4 +2.79%
HSI…..19924 +795.5 +4.16%‼️
Shanghai.3001+104.6 +3.61%‼️

IDX…7744.52 +3.62 +0.05%
LQ45…970.55 -6.61 -0.68%
IDX30.497.08 -2.70 -0.56%

IDXEnergy. 2733.11 +20.79 +0.77%
IDX BscMat1381.37 +17.43 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1082.30 +1.72 +0.16%
IDXNONCYC.752.77 +4.81 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1585.01 +35.42 +2.29%
IDXCYCLIC…891.05 -3.68 -0.41%
IDXTechno 3899.70 +60.68 +1.58%
IDX Transp 1499.64 -11.92 -0.79%
IDX Infrast 1582.60 +7.96 +0.51%
IDX Finance1547.22 -6.29 -0.40%
IDX Banking1360.31 -16.13 -1.17%
IDX Property..799 +15.30 +0.15%

Indo10Yr.6.4968 +0.0182+0.28%
ICBI….396.9007 -0.3972 -0.10%
US2Yr.3.627 +0.066 +1.85%
US5Yr 3.565 +0.036 +1.02%
US10Yr3.802 +0.014 +0.37%
US30Yr.4.131 -0.014 -0.34%
VIX..15.37 -0.04 -0.26%

USDIndx 100.5620❗️-0.350 -0.35%
Como Indx….284.63 -1.53 -0.53%
BCOMIN….153.98 +3.87 +2.58%‼️

IndoCDS..69.75 -0.53 -0.75%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/09)

IDR…….15165.00 +63.00 +0.42%
Jisdor..15171.00 +79.00 +0.52%

Euro…1.1177❗️ +0.0044 +0.40%

TLKM.20.66 +0.05 +0.25%
( 3134)
EIDO…23.20 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM..46.70 +1.66 +3.69%‼️

Oil………..67.55 -2.00 -2.88%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..71.60 -1.86 -2.53%
(Brent)
Gold…2695.00 ‼️ +12.10 +0.45%
(Comex)
Gold…2672.56 +14.28 +0.54%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32435.00 +333.00 +1.04%
(Closed 26/09)
Nickel..16806.00 -12.00 -0.07%
(Closed 26/09)
Silver… ..32.30 +0.16 +0.50%
Copper.464.40 +15.50 +3.45%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 92.25 +0.37 +0.40%
(25/09)
Nturl Gas 2.742 -0.085 -3.01%
Ammonia China 2800.00* -10.00 +0.36%
(Domestic Price)(25/09)

Coal price.139.60 -0.15 -0.11%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.45 +0.55 +0.38%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 +0.60 +0.42%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +0.90 +0.62%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.95 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..116.50: +0.75 +0.65%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.05 +1.10 +0.95%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.35 +1.20 +1.03%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4052 +108 +2.67%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………413.25 -2.00 -0.48%
SoybeanOil 42.)0 -1.25 -2.83%
Wheat……584.25 -5.00 -0.85%

Wood pulp.4790.00 -10 -0.21%
(Closed 25/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional ijo semua, IHSG sempet merah dalem closing ijo tipis. China Hongong masih ijo tebel dengan stimulusnya. US T-bond yield up, masih berbahaya

USD index down, metal2 lanjut up, oil down lagi, prepare traiilng stop kena di AKRA MEDC, gss down coal up, congrats yang pegang coal, CPO lanjut up tinggi, bisa jadi ini Basic Materials versi tambang mineral dan CPO yang jalan even index wave 4

IHSG – technical nya ngeri banget, Stoch MACD down, itungan wave 4 agak dalem, udah 2 hari FNS dan vol besar, brace for impact

Technology, awas udah jalan jauh, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Energy, Basic Materials, Industrials

Oil prepare exit

Stochastic Buy Signal: GGRM GOTO INDF INKP ISAT TOWR HMSP MYOR PWON. Big Accum cuma PWON, beware technical trap

MACD buy Signal: EXCL CTRA TPIA, CTRA TPIA big accum

Daily Analysis 20240902

Daily Analysis 20240902

September 02nd, 2024 Stocks close higher Friday, S&P 500 posts fourth straight winning month Stocks rose on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average posting a fresh record high as…
Daily Analysis 20240808

Daily Analysis 20240808

August 08th, 2024 Stocks close lower on Wednesday as market’s comeback attempt fizzles out Stocks closed lower on Wednesday as the market’s attempt to fully recover from Monday’s sell-off failed.…
Daily Analysis 20240805

Daily Analysis 20240805

August 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes down 600 points, Nasdaq enters correction after weak jobs report

Stocks fell sharply on Friday as a much weaker-than-anticipated jobs report for July ignited worries that the economy could be falling into a recession.

Dow…….39737 -610.7 -1.51%
Nasdaq16776 -417.98 -2.43%
S&P 500.5347 -100.6 -1.84%

FTSE…..8175 -108.7 -1.31%
Dax……17661 -421.8 -2.33%
CAC……7252 -118.7 -1.61%

Nikkei..35910 -2216.7 -5.81%‼️
HSI…..16946 -359.5 -2.08%
Shanghai.2905 -27.1 -0.92%

IDX….7308.12 -17.86 -0.24%
LQ45…919.37 -6.14 -0.66%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2479.49 +19.86 +0.81%
IDX BscMat1360.74 -10.48 -0.76%
IDX Indstrl.1036.58 +0.01 +0.00%
IDXNONCYC.701.00 -4.02 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1441.80 -6.55 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…764.18 +4.37 +0.57%
IDXTechno.3272.03 -12.19 -0.37%
IDX Transp 1377.07 -14.51 -1.04%
IDX Infrast 1557.37 -11.09 -0.71%
IDX Finance1412.80 -4.35 -0.31%
IDX Banking1259.19 -4.13 -0.33%
IDX Property…..652 +3.10 +0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.9083❗️ -0.0092 -0.13%
ICBI…385.6435❗️ +0.1951 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.878👍 -0.282 -6.78%‼️
US5Yr 3.615👍 -0.229 -5.96%‼️
US10Yr3.792👍 -0.178 -4.48%‼️
US30Yr.4.109 -0.171 -3.99%‼️
VIX..23.39‼️ +4.80 +25.82%‼️

USDIndx 103.2080👍 -1.213 -1.16%
Como Indx….270.13 -3.46 -1.26%
BCOMIN…..138.20 -0.90 -0.66%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16200.00❗️ -37.00 -0.23%
Jisdor.16234.00❗️ -9.00 -0.06%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.55 -0.04 -0.20%*
( 2849)
EIDO….20.30 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM……41.60 -0.61 -1.44%

Oil………..76.79 -3.27 -4.25%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.81 -2.71 -3.41%
(Brent)
Gold…..2469.80 -19.40 -0.78%
(Comex)
Gold……2443.24 -4.76 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30188.00 +234.00 +0.98%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16365.50 +130.50 +0.80%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.39 -0.22 -0.77%
Copper.410.30 +3.60 +0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.144.10 +1.55 +1.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 +1.95 +1.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.90 +1.65 +1.14%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 +1.75 +1.19%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.35 +1.40 +1.17%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.20 +1.40 +1.16%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.75 +1.30 +1.08%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.55 +1.29%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3858 +35 +0.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..403.25 +4.75 +1.19%
SoybeanOil 40.81 -0.64 -1.54%
Wheat…..539.00 +7.009 +1.32%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 04/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index Regional merah semua pas closing jum’at, IHSG malah paling moderate. US bond yield drop, kalo hanya liat itu bisa ijo IHSG hari ini, tapi lebih besar kemungkinan merahnya sih, beresin wave 2, sama double top kemaren

USD index drop tapi metal2 jg drop kecuali iron ore, oil drop jauh, gas juga, coal yang bertahan ijo sama CPO. Waktunya PTBA AALI LSIP gerak

IHSG – stochastic nya seolah olah mau lanjut jalan, tapi MACD nya masih says down, price action juga malah hampir triple top, BD lagi sw, FF mulai net buy tapi curiga rebalancing LQ45 dan Kompas100 yang memicunya. Masih very selective buying

Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: MTEL PGAS PTBA ADMR BMTR BSDE ENRG ERAA PTPP KBLI SMDR, big accum PGAS PTBA ADMR BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: OTMG SIDO ADMR BSDE NISP TPIA, big accum ITMG ADMR BSDE

Daily Analysis 20240711

Daily Analysis 20240711

July 11th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes above 5,600 for the first time, lifted by gains in Big Tech

The S&P 500
climbed Wednesday to a fresh record, breaking above 5,600 for the first time, as a sharp rise in semiconductor stocks led the market higher.

Dow……39721  +429.4  +1.09%
Nasdaq18648  +218.2   +1.18%
S&P 500.5634  +56.9     +1.02%

FTSE…..8193   +53.7     +0.66%
Dax……18407  +171.03 +0.94%
CAC……7574   +64.9      +0.86%

Nikkei..41832   +251.8    +0.61%
HSI…..17472     -51.6       -0.29%
Shanghai.2939 -20.01     -0.68%

IDX….7287.04 +17.24  +0.24%
LQ45..912.33   +2.91    +0.32%
IDX30.455.38   +0.62    +0.14%

IDXEnergy..2419.65  -1.96     -0.08%
IDX BscMat1385.96 +0.07    +0.00%
IDX Indstrl.1013.99  +5.25     +0.52%
IDXNONCYC.710.22 +3.20    +0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1434.08+5.45    +0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…737.03  -2.10      -0.28%
IDXTechno3271.96   -23.48   -0.14%
IDX Transp 1300.73  -3.87      -0.30%
IDX Infrast  1581.77  +4.45     +0.28%
IDX Finance1387.54 -4.33       -0.43%
IDX Banking1225.88 -5.30       -0.43%
IDX Property…..616   +1.60     +0.27%

Indo10Yr.7.0591 +0.0009  +0.01%
ICBI…381.2281  +0.1093  +0.03%
US2Yr.4.624   -0.002  -0.04%
US5Yr 4.237   -0.008  -0.19%
US10Yr4.280 -0.018  -0.42%
US30Yr.4.470 -0.019 -0.42%
VIX..12.82      +0.34    +2.72%

USDIndx 105.0480  -0.081  -0.08%
Como Indx….289.71   -0.27     -0.09%
BCOMIN……   152.50  +0.02    +0.01%

IndoCDS..72.72👍  -0.98   -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/07)

IDR…..16240.00❗️  -10.50  -0.06%
Jisdor.16256.00❗️  -25.00  -0.15%

Euro…1.0833  +0.0018   +0.17%

TLKM…19.34 +0.34   +1.55%
( 3144)
EIDO….20.17  +0.16   +0.80%
EEM…..44.07     +0.23     +0.52%

Oil…….82.39   +0.71  +0.87%
Gold…..2378.30 +8.10  +0.34%
Timah..35007.00‼️ +657.00 +1.91%
(Closed 10/07)
Nickel..16849.00  -300.00  -1.75%
(Closed 10/07)
Silver….31.10     +0.03   +0.10%
Copper.459.10   +1.20   +0.26%

Iron Ore 62% 110.51  +0.49  +0.45%
(09/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.325  -0.026  -1.11%
Ammonia China 2850.00  unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(09/07)

Coal price.133.75  -1.50   -1.11%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00   unch   +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.05   +0.45   +0.33%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 137.10   -0.05    -0.04%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.101.85    -1.15   -1.12%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.65   -1.35   -1.30%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.00   -1.50   -1.42%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.55   -1.45   -1.37%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3918  -40   -1.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..407.25       -1.25    -0.31%
SoybeanOil 45.58  -0.73    -1.58%
Wheat…561.50      -10.50  -1.84%

Wood pulp..5260  -60   -1.13%
(Closed 10/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, europe ijo, asia varied, US bond yield turun, harusnya ijo lagi sih ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali nickel, oil up gas down coal mostly down, cpo down, masih go buat ANTM TINS, AALI masih koreksi dulu lagi, kita tunggu 833 baru masuk nambah muatan

IHSG – kemaren FNS, indicator beberapa bilang udah jenuh, perlu koreksi, tapi US market mendukung ijo, yang jelas bukan saat yang baik buat aggressive belanja dulu, mungkin ngintip2 momen profit taking sebagian lebih cocok, sambil ngosongin sebagian muatan untuk belanja lagi kalo pas koreksi

Industrials, Transportation, Technology, nambah Property yang terlihat gerak, memang banyak buy signal dan udah gerak, tapi kemaren belum firm aman buat masuk, kita assess pas ada yang buy signal lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: HEAL NISP TPIA BRAM, TPIA big accum

Stochastic continuation Signal and Big accum: CPIN MTEL WIIM