Global update:

September 22th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 500 points lower after the Fed delivers another aggressive rate hike

Stocks fell in volatile trading Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 75 basis points and forecast more sizable rate hikes ahead in its fight to tame surging inflation.

Dow…….30184 -522.5 -1.70%
Nasdaq.11220 -204.9 -1.79%
S&P 500..3790 -66.00 -1.96%

FTSE…….7238 +44.98 +0.63%
Dax……..12767 +96.3 +0.76%
CAC……..6031 +51.9 +0.87%

Nikkei….27313 -375.3 -1.36%
HSI……..18445 -336.8 -1.79%
Shanghai..3118 -5.2 -0.17%
ST Times..3262 -5.2 -0.16%

IDX…….7188.31 -8.64 -0.12%
LQ45…1029.22 +1.01 +0.10%

IDX Energy..1976.56 -10.35 -0.52%
IDX Bsc Mat.1287.81 -3.18 -0.25%
IDX Industrl..1353.52 -3.20 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC..701.14 +1.20 +0.17%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.35 +0.19 +0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.50 -3.03 -0.34%
IDX Techno..7471.71 +55.44 +0.75%
IDX Transp…1842.46 -6.32 -0.34%
IDX Infrast…..1012.22 -11.72 -1.14%
IDX Finance 1507.25 +1.24 +0.08%
IDX Banking..1172.67 +4.14 +0.27%
IDX Property….719 -10.70 -1.47%

Indo10Yr….7.2633 +0.0197 +0.27%
ICBI……..335.6860 -0.2699 -0.08%
US10Yr……3.5100 -0.0610 -1.71%‼
VIX……….27.99 +0.83 +3.06%

USDIndx 110.6420 +0.4270 +0.39%‼
Como Indx..278.23 -1.31 -0.47%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.72: -1.54 -1.00%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14997.00 +13.50 +0.09%‼
Jisdor..15011.00 +36.00 +0.24%‼

Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%

TLKM……..29.03 -0.46 -1.56%
(4358)
EIDO………24.22 -0.07 -0.29%
EEM………37.07 -0.63 -1.67%

Oil…………..83.02 -1.43 -1.69%
Gold ……..1679.60 +6.30 +0.38%
Timah. .21181.00 +236 +1.13%
( Closed 20/9)
Nickel…24827.00 -138.50 -0.55%
(Closed 21/9)
Silver…….19.53 +0.28 +1.45%
Copper….343.60 -6.35 -1.81%

Nturl Gas…..7.750 +0.030 +0.39%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(20/9)

Coal price….444.50 +3.20 +0.73%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….448.00 +10.00 +2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….448.30 +11.30 +2.59%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….324.05 +0.40 +0.12%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.00 -0.60 -0.21%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.55 -0.60 -0.20%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3891 +152 +4.07%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………685.50 -6.50 -0.94%
SoybeanOil…65.00 -0.91 -1.38%
Wheat………903.75 +10.00 +1.12%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 21/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US drop lagi abis pengumuman kenaikan suku bunga fed, europe ijo, asia merah, most likely lanjut merah hari ini…

Oil kemaren sore naik, closing market us turun lagi, metal2 varied, gold timah silver naik, nikel copper turun, belum langsung ngefek ke basic materials

Gas Coal naik, CPO naik tinggi. kita liat apakah akan jadi start reboundnya saham2 cpo

IHSG – harga sudah dibawah MA 20, buat pemakai ilmu MA untuk trend, sudah mau ngebalik trend nya ini

IHSG – sudah hampir semua indicator bilang mau lanjut turun, tinggal supertrend sama ichimoku yang belum firm

Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Next: Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology, Transportation

Global Update:

September 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points lower in post-Labor Day session as interest rates pop

U.S. stocks slumped on Tuesday in a volatile trading session as investors weighed what strong economic data and rising rates mean for the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening campaign.

Dow…….31145 -173.1 -0.55%
Nasdaq.11545 -85.95 -0.74%
S&P 500..3908 -16.1 -0.41%

FTSE…….7300 +13.01 +0.18%
Dax……..12871 +110.7 +0.87%
CAC……..6105 +11.4 +0.19%

Nikkei….27627 +6.9 +0.03%
HSI……..19203 -22.97 -0.12%
Shanghai..3200 +13.4 +0.42%
ST Times..3234 +18.6 +0.58%

IDX…….7233.15 +1.27 +0.02%
LQ45…1027.01 -2.28 -0.22%

IDX Energy..2071.92 +58.63 +2.91%‼️
IDX Bsc Mat.1307.05 +8.99 +0.69%
IDX Industrl..1372.37 +12.28 +0.90%
IDXNONCYC..706.56 -2.67 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1421.82 +6.04 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.15 -1.00 -0.11%
IDX Techno..7565.93 +8.45 +0.11%
IDX Transp…1941.80 +14.38 +0.75%
IDX Infrast…..1043.29 -4.78 -0.46%
IDX Finance 1518.24 -6.51 -0.43%
IDX Banking..1164.64 -7.52 -0.64%
IDX Property…709 +10.10 +1.45%

Indo10Yr….7.1847 +0.008 +0.11%
ICBI……..335.9016 -0.0317 -0.01%
US10Yr……3.3400 +0.1470 +4.60%‼️
VIX…………26.91 +0.92 +3.54%

USDIndx 110.2140 +0.3950 +0.33%‼️
Como Indx..282.62 -1.85 -0.65%
M(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.35 +1.98 +1.35%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14885.00 -22.00 -0.15%
Jisdor..14885.00 -35.00 -0.23%

Euro………0.9903 -0.0027 -0.27%

TLKM……..30.30 unch +0%
(4510)
EIDO………24.13 +0.09 +0.37%
EEM………38.30 -0.46 -1.19%

Oil…………..86.84 -1.98 -2.22%
Gold ……..1712.60 -8.60 -0.50%
Timah. .21625.00 +565.00 +2.68%‼️
( Closed 05/9)
Nickel…21580.50 -125.00 -0.06%
(Closed 06/9)
Silver…….17.88 -0.14 -0.78%
Copper….345.45 -0.20 -0.06%

Nturl Gas…..8.066 -0.697 -7.95%‼️

Ammonia..4100.00 +233.33 +6.03%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(05/9)

Coal price….450.25 -7.55 -1.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….451.25 -12.50 -2.70%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….439.90 -11.60 -2.57%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.00 -12.50 -3.18%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….381.25 -11.25 -2.87%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….374.70 -10.25 -2.68%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3799 -113 -2.89%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..676.00 +10.25 +1.54%
SoybeanOil…63.28 -2.97 -4.48%‼️
Wheat……..817.00 +6.00 +0.74%

Wood pulp…6740.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 06/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Setelah libur US lanjut merah, europe ijo, asia mostly ijo kecuali hangseng

Oil Gas Coal turun, metal2 turun kecuali timah, CPO juga turun… Ini harusnya mendukung mau wave 2, tapi sektor financials masih up, ga sinkron jadinya

MACD nya almost golden cross… Sudah bikin higher high dibanding wave B, tapi masih belum break wave 5 kemaren… Jadi New Record High kalo break itu, euforia nya bakal luar biasa sepertinya

IHSG – candle kemaren rada rada shooting star, walau shadow nya pendek. Tapi tetep sih, candle reversal itu. Stochastic MACD akumulasi PSAR alligator supertrend, ichimoku masih indicate lanjut naik, tapi tetep, saya masih believe ini bakal turun. Too early to make a new record high tanpa ada recovery ekonomi yang jelas

Energy, Finance, Basic Materials, Industrials

Global Update:

August 18th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes lower Wednesday to end 5-day win streak, Wall Street mulls new retail data

Stocks fell on Wednesday as the rally that has pushed prices higher since mid-June appeared to lose steam. Traders also assessed the latest retail data and minutes from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….33980 -171.7 -1.19%
Nasdaq.12938 -164.4 -1.25%
S&P 500..4274 -31.2 -0.72%

FTSE…….7516 -20.3 -0.27%
Dax……..13623 -283.4 -2.04%
CAC……..6528 -64.3 -0.97%

Nikkei….29223 +353.9 +1.23%
HSI……..19922 +91.9 +0.46%
Shanghai..3293 +14.6 +0.45%
ST Times..3263 +8.97 +0.28%

IDX…….7133.45 closed +0%
LQ45…1016.36 closed +0%

IDX Energy…1793.62 closed +0%
IDX Bsc Mat.1323.86 closed +0%
IDX Industrl..1315.55 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC..704.94 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare.1406.35 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…..890.29 closed +0%
IDX Techno..8085.17 closed +0%
IDX Transp…2080.68 closed +0%
IDX Infrast…..1046.77 closed +0%
IDX Finance 1508.92 closed +0%
IDX Banking..1147.53 closed +0%
IDX Property…..721 closed +0%

Indo10Yr….7.1494 closed +0%
ICBI……..336.2197 closed +0%
US10Yr…..2.8930 +0.0690 +2.44%
VIX………….19.90 +0.21 +1.07%

USDIndx 106.5740 +0.0740 +0.07%‼
Como Indx..288.87 +1.20 +0.42%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.42 -2.30 -1.45%
.
IndoCDS…101.60 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14768.00 closed +0%
Jisdor..14767 .00 closed +0%

Euro………1.0179 +0.0009 +0.09%

TLKM……..30.70 -0.10 -0.32%
(4533)
EIDO………23.84 -0.14 -0.58%
EEM………40.68 -0.17 -0.42%

Oil…………..87.50 +0.49 +0.56%
Gold ……..1777.80 -12.00 -0.67%
Timah. .24600.00 -121. 00 -0.49%
( Closed 16/8)
Nickel…21971.00 -580.50 -2.57%‼
(Closed 17/8)
Silver…….19.85 -0.35 -1.73%
Copper….358.55 -3.90 -1.08%

Nturl Gas…..9.206 -0.142 -1.52%

Ammonia….3750.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(16/8)

Coal price….413.90 +8.90 +2.19%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….436.90 +11.55 +2.71%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.60 +11.60 +3.59%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….359.75 +1.70 +0.47%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….375.40 +6.40 +1.73%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….366.60 +6.10 +1.69%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4200 +17 +0.41%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..612.00 +1.75 +0.29%
SoybeanOil…65.60 -0.46 -0.70%
Wheat………780.50 -22.25 -2.77%

Wood pulp…6710.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 17/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI mau wave 2 juga? Mungkin aja. Yang jelas sering gitu IHSG, pas US ijo tebel kita libur, pas masuk pas US merah, jadi ikut turunnya doang, hehehe…

Closing rabu index di Asia ijo, europe merah, US merah

Metal2 turun semua, oil coal cpo naik, gas turun. Mau masuk winter energy lari lagi kayanya. Kita cari momentum re-entry saham coal dan oil ya.

Walau tgl 16 ijo tebel tapi keliatannya tetep mau wave 2, turun dulu tutup gap

GOTO naik 10% yang ngangkat index banget, yang ijo cuma 192 dari 788 emiten

IHSG – cuma Supertrend dan alligator yang masih up

Masih sama, Infra Property, next Consumer Non-Cyclicals Heathcare

Global Update:

August 16th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. equities rose on Monday as the rally on Wall Street continued and traders prepared for a big week for retail earnings.

Dow…….33912 +151.4 +0.45%
Nasdaq.13128 +80.9 +0.62%
S&P 500..4297 +16.99 +0.32%

FTSE…….7509 +8.3 +0.11%
Dax……..13817 +20.8 +0.15%
CAC……..6570 +16.1 +0.25%

Nikkei….28872 +324.8 +1.14%
HSI……..20041 -134.8 -0.67%
Shanghai..3276 -0.8 -0.02%
ST Times..3257 -12.5 -0.38%

IDX…….7093.28 -36.00 -0.50%
LQ45…1005.79 -6.25 -0.62%

IDX Energy…1806.22 -10.65 -0.59%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.44 -18.65 -1.38%
IDX Industrl..1313.36 +3.03 +0.23%
IDXNONCYC..700.40 -3.10 -0.44%
IDX Hlthcare.1407.71 -6.64 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..892.34 -6.70 -0.74%
IDX Techno..7963.70 -119.84 -1.48%
IDX Transp…2072.23 -20.36 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1057.05 +6.33 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1517.17 -9.12 -0.60%
IDX Banking..1150.18 -6.44 -0.56%
IDX Property…..720 +8.60 +1.21%

Indo10Yr….7.1452 +0.0249 +0.35%
ICBI……..336.1905 -0.2740 -0.08%
US10Yr…..2.7910 -0.0580 -2.04%
VIX…………19.95 +0.42 +2.15%

USDIndx 106.5460 +0.9150 0.87%‼️
Como Indx..289.54 -3.94 -1.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.22 -3.22 -2.01%
.
IndoCDS…99.62 +2.43 +2.50%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14741.50 +73.50 +0.50%
Jisdor..14727 .00 +39.00 +0.27%

Euro………1.0155 -0.0104 -1.01%

TLKM……..30.71 -0.60 -1.92%
(4523)
EIDO………23.93 -0.31 -1.28%
EEM………40.86 -0.19 -0.46%

Oil…………..89.39 -3.70 -4.02%‼️
Gold ……..1795.00 -20.05 -1.13%
Timah. .25177.00 – -%
( Closed 12/8)
Nickel…22039.00 -1054.50 -4.57%‼️
(Closed 12/8)
Silver…….20.36 -0.49 -2.35%
Copper….360.20 -6.65 -1.81%

Nturl Gas…..8.807 +0.0270 +0.31%

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(11/8)

Coal price….407.50 -0.15 -0.04%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.50 +7.50 +1.86%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….402.55 +9.30 +2.36%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….353.90 +3.40 +1.03%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….357.75 +16.05 +4.70%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….348.75 +17.05 +5.14%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4153 -267 -6.04%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..628.25 -14.00 -2.18%
SoybeanOil…66.99 -0.98 -1.44%
Wheat………817.75 -4.75 -0.58%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo, Asia kecuali nikkei merah…

Oil Nikel CPO drop, metal2 turun semua, gas naik, coal tipis2… Ini beneran bawa wave 2 kayanya, dan coal kembali ikutan jadi ganjel index

Keliatannya outlook nya masih begini sih…

Koreksi wave 2 sampe tutup gap 6740

IHSG – stoch sell, macd mulai reversal, ada beberapa gap di bawah, yang paling deket sama fibo 50-61 yang di 6740. Koreksi lebih dalem lagi dari situ udah keitung ga sehat, bisa crash