Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

January 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

The market in US & almost the entire global market is currently on holiday due to the New Year

Dow……37690 closed +0%
Nasdaq15011 closed +0%
S&P 500.4770 closed +0%

FTSE…..7733 +10.5 +0.14%
Dax……16752 +50.1 +0.30%
CAC……7543 +8.02 +0.11%

Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….17047 closed +0%
Shanghai.2975 closed +0%

IDX…..7272.80 closed +0%
LQ45….970.57 closed +0%
IDX30…495.21 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2100.86 closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1307.47 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1093.76 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.722.40 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1376.16 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…821.42. closed +0%
IDX Techno4435.61 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1601.51. closed. +0%
IDX Infrast 1570.03. closed +0%
IDX Finance.1458.32 closed. +0%
IDX Banking.1269.55 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 714 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.5991 closed +0%
ICBI…374.6140 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.250 closed +0%
US5Yr 3.840 closed +0%
US10Yr3.866 closed +0%
US30Yr.4.019 closed +0%
VIX….12.45 closed +0%

USDIndx 101.3330 closed +0%
Como Indx..263.83 closed +0%
BCOMIN……142.65 closed +0%

IndoCDS..69.28 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/12)

IDR…..15399.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15439.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.1063 -0.0043 -0.39%

TLKM…25.76 closed +0%
(3978)
EIDO….22.31 closed +0%
EEM….40.21 closed +0%

Oil……..71.65 closed +0%
Gold..2071.80 closed +0%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16671.00 – -%
(Closed 30/12)
Silver……24.09 closed +0%
Copper.389.05 closed +0%

Iron Ore 62% 136.37 +0.21 +0.15%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas…2.497 closed +0%
Ammonia China.3806.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(28/12)

Coal price.136.95 closed +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 133.80 closed +0%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.95 closed +0%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.45 closed +0%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.30 closed +0%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.85 closed +0%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 99.85 closed +0%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .98.55 closed +0%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3740 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……471.25 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 48.18 closed +0%
Wheat……628.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua tutup tahun baruan, eropa terakhir masih buka closing ijo. New year di januari kebanyakan turun sih, kecuali ada beberapa saham yang sering jalan di januari

Kita fokus baca technical analysis nya dulu hari ini

IHSG – stoch overbought, macd up, MFI sw, w%uptrend, BD FF acc, masih berharap lanjut tapi ini jelas rawan koreksi, udah sampe target minimal wave 5 soalnya, dan santa claus rally udah selesai

Property, Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Healthcare, Transportation, malah financials kaya belum jadi jalan, hati hati

Stoch Buy Signal: BBNI GGRM TBIG HEAL OMED PNLF WIFI. Yang big accum cuma BBNI, ADRO sell dan big dist, perlu dicermati coal yang lain, bisa jadi batal jalan dan harus exit

MACD Buy Signal: BBTN SCMA TOWR HEAL HMSP MMIX TAPG WIKA. WIKA kan suspended, koq buy signal…

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: AKRA BUKA CPIN TOWR BMTR HEAL MMIX TKIM. BMTR waive dulu, tar tengah taun kita ikut gorengannya

August 16th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow slides more than 300 points, breaking a 3-day win streak, as bank names tumble

Stocks fell Tuesday as concern over the state of the global economy — China in particular — and a decline in U.S. banks combined to pressure Wall Street.

Dow……34946 -361.2 -1.02%
Nasdaq13631 -157.3 -1.14%
S&P 500.4438 -51.9 -1.16%

FTSE…..7390 -117.5 -1.57%
Dax……15767 -136.97 -0.86%
CAC……7268 -81.1 -1.10%

Nikkei…32239 +178.98 +0.56%
HSI…….18581 -192.4 -1.03%
Shanghai.3176 -2.3 -0.07%

IDX…..6915.10 +4.93 +0.07%
LQ45….966.25 -2.41 -0.25%
IDX30…500.92 -1.43 -0.28%

*IDXEnergy…2001.56 +41.76 +2.13%*
IDX BscMat.1135.01 +5.55 +0.49%
IDX Indstrl…1203.00 -3.75 -0.31%
IDXNONCYC.755.51 +0.27 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1476.05 -3.73 -0.25%
IDXCYCLIC….922.66 +2.88 +0.31%
IDX Techno.4511.20 +45.58 +1.02%
IDX Transp..1858.13 -0.46 -0.02%
IDX Infrast… .873.32 +13.79 +1.53%
IDX Finance.1423.70 -5.29 -0.37%
IDX Banking.1215.09 -12.90 -1.05%
IDX Property..764 +5.20 +0.69%

*Indo10Yr.6.4343*+0.0194 +0.30%
*ICBI….369.1220* -0.1901 -0.05%
*US2Yr.4.9590* -0.014 -0.28%
*US5Yr 4.3780* +0.006 +0.14%
*US10Yr4.2210* +0.030 +0.72%
*US30Yr.4.3250* +0.041 +0.96%
*VIX…….16.46 +1.64 +11.07%‼️*

*USDIndx 103.2090‼️* +0.019 +0.02%
Como Indx…274.30 -3.79 -1.36%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN….138.10* -1.29 -0.92%

*IndoCDS.83.17 +1.96 +2.41%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(14/08)*

*IDR…..15341.50‼️+26.50 +0.17%*
*Jisdor.15346.00 ‼️+23.00 +0.15%*

*Euro……1.0903 -0.0005 -0.05%*

TLKM…24.50 -0.16 -0.65%
*(3760)*
EIDO….22.98 -0.04 -0.17%
EEM…..38.92 -0.45 -1.14%

*Oil………81.03* -1.38 -1.67%
*Gold…1932.30* -6.90 -0.36%
*Timah..25325.00 -1132 -4.28%‼️*
*(Closed 14/08)*
*Nickel..19765.50 -562.00 -2.76%‼️*
(Closed 15/08)
Silver…… 22.58 -0.06 -0.27%
Copper.369.50 -3.20 -0.86%

*Iron Ore 62% 104.63 -0.74 -0.70%*
(14/08)
*Nturl Gas.2.6540 -0.1600 -5.69%‼️*
*Ammonia China..3366.67 unch +0%*
(Domestic Price)(14/08)

Coal price..147.15 +0.65 +0.44%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.65 +1.15 +0.75%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.10 +0.60 +0.38%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.160.40 +0.40 +0.25%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price116.75 +1.15 +0.99%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.10 -0.90 -0.75%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.65 -1.30 -1.07%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.60 +0.65 +0.54%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Oct)..3788 +93 +2.51%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………475.50 -12.25 -2.51%
SoybeanOil 61.88 +0.73 +1.19%
*Wheat….623.75 -17.75 -2.77%*

*Wood pulp..4640.00* unch +0%
(Closed 15/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US merah dalem, eropa juga merah, asiamerah kecuali nikkei sama IHSG, hati hati koreksi…

USD index lanjut naik lagi, metals drop lagi, sekarang tanpa kecuali, oil gas juga merah, coal sama CPO yang ijo. Beware yang udah profit pasang trailing stop, stop loss di semua posisi

IHSG – Stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD acc, FF masih dist, triangel breakout upwards, harusnya lanjut ke atas, tapi US europe merah dalem kayanya pullback dulu

Property, Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure. Basic Materials udahan dulu keliatannya. TPIA BRPT yang kemaren kenceng ati2 ya, bisa jadi udahan atau pullback, trailing stop on…

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT INTP MAPI ASSA BFIN JKON JSMR

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO SRTG TOWR UNVR PNLF RAJA SMRA

Alligator Buy Signal: BBNI JPFA MYOR

Supertrend Buy Signal: BRIS TBIG MYOR

August 11th, 2023

 

Good morning,

 

Dow ends Thursday slightly higher, lifted by weaker-than-expected inflation data, Disney pops nearly 5%

 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

edged higher Thursday, helped by a post-earnings Disney

rally and a key inflation reading showing slightly less year-over-year inflation growth than expected.

 

Dow……35176  +52.8      +0.18%

Nasdaq13738  +15.98    +0.12%

S&P 500.4469  +1.1         +0.03%

 

FTSE…..7619   +31.3       +0.41%

Dax……15997  +143.9     +0.91%

CAC……7434   +111.6     +1.52%

 

Nikkei…32474   +269.3  +0.84%

HSI…….19248   +2.2       +0.01%

Shanghai.3254 +10.1     +0.31%

 

IDX…..6893.23   +18.16    +0.12%

LQ45….966.48   +1.18       +0.12%

IDX30…501.45   +0.28       +0.06%

 

IDXEnergy…1940.94  +28.82 +1.51%

IDX BscMat.1098.97 +0.35   +0.03%

IDX Indstrl…1204.59  -7.90    -0.65%

IDXNONCYC.750.22 +0.17    +0.02%

IDX Hlthcare1490.49+1.59    +0.11%

IDXCYCLIC….913.88  -0.89    -0.10%

IDX Techno.4484.67 +30.83 +0.69%

IDX Transp..1873.52 +15.12 +0.81%

IDX Infrast… .858.21 +3.24   +0.38%

IDX Finance.1428.13 -2.54    -0.18%

IDX Banking.1228.06+1.50   +0.12%

IDX Property..755       -2.00   -2.70%

 

*Indo10Yr.6.3964* -0.0013  -0.02%

*ICBI….369.5720* +0.2564 +0.07%

*US2Yr.4.8500*  -0.040    -0.83%

*US5Yr 4.2340   +0.095   +2.30%*

*US10Yr4.1150  +0.1050 +2.62%*

*US30Yr.4.2680 +0.103   +2.47%*

*VIX…….15.85   -0.11      -0.69%*

 

*USDIndx 102.6230* +0.1330 +0.13%

Como Indx…279.96  -2.08   -0.74%

(Core Commodity CRB)

BCOMIN….142.56    -0.35    -0.24%

 

 

*IndoCDS.80.21  -0.02  -0.02%*

(5-yr INOCD5) *(09/08)*

 

*IDR…..15185.00‼️-4.50    -0.03%*

*Jisdor.15204.00 ‼️-2.00   -0.01%*

 

*Euro……1.0982  +0.0005  +0.05%*

 

TLKM…24.57  -0.01   -0.04%

*(3736)*

EIDO….23.10   +0.03  +0.13%

EEM…..40.15   +0.06  +0.15%

 

*Oil…..82.90‼️  -1.33   -1.58%*

*Gold…1944.90‼️* -4.00  -0.21%

Timah..27259.00  -41.00   -0.15%

*(Closed 09/08)*

Nickel..20430.50  -88.00   -0.43%

(Closed 10/08)

Silver…… 22.76  +0.02   +0.09%

Copper.375.65   -2.95     -0.78%

 

*Iron Ore 62%  104.70 +0.29 +0.28%*

(09/08)

Nturl Gas.2.7850  -0.0070  -0.25%

*Ammonia  China..3366.67 unch  +0%*

(Domestic Price)(10/08)

 

Coal price..143.00 +0.50 +0.35%

(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.149.00 +0.75  +0.51%

(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.152.25 +1.35  +0.89%

(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.155.50 +1.25  +0.81%

(Nov/Newcastle)

 

Coal price117.50  +1.65  +1.42%

(Agt/Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.25  -0.35   -0.29%

(Sept/ Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.55  -0.10   -0.08%

(Oct/Rotterdam)

Coal price.122.10  -0.30   -0.25%

(Nov/Rotterdam)

 

CPO(Oct)..3727  -38   -1.00%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

 

Corn………496.25  +2.00   +0.40%

SoybeanOil 60.48 +0.05   +0.08%

Wheat……663.75  +2.00   +0.40%

 

*Wood pulp..4620.00‼️* +20  +0.43%

(Closed 09/08)

 

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Broker Code: *_AT_*

_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo europe ijo, asia ijo, ayo ijo lagi IHSG hari ini…

USD index naik, kebanyakan commodities turun kecuali silver, iron ore sama coal. Bagus buat PTBA dkk, tapi tambang mineral mineral logam jadi kurang OK

IHSG – stoch rev up almost buy, MACD down rev, BD flat, FNB 5 days straight, triangle keliatan mau breakout ke atas, semoga lanjut

Basic Materials dan Industrials rada slow down, Infrastructure Property Financials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR UNTR ABMM HMSP SMAR. Big accum: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR. Kayanya emang coal mau hajatan ini…

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO ADMR JPFA CEKA

Alligator Buy Signal: BUKA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBNI