May 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes higher as Powell says Fed’s next move is unlikely to be a hike

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell largely ruled out that the central bank’s next move could be a hike, easing investor worries that it was losing control of sticky inflation. The broader market finished lower, however, with losses from

Dow……37903 +87.4 +0.23%
Nasdaq15606 -52.3 -0.33%
S&P 500.5018 -17.3 -0.34%

FTSE…..8121 -22.9 -0.28%
Dax……17932 -186.2 -1.03%
CAC……7985 -80.2 -0.99%

Nikkei..38274 -131.6 -0.34%
HSI…..17763 +16.1 +0.09%
Shanghai.3104 -8.2 -0.26%

*IDX…..7234.20 +78.41* +1.10%
LQ45..926.73 +11.38 +1.24%
IDX30..470.64 +6.24 +1.34%

IDXEnergy..2228.96 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1346.47 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl..1062.90 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.693.58 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1389.52 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…764.27 closed +0%
IDXTechno3359.23 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1329.47 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1621.18 closed +0%
IDX Finance1433.33 closed. +0%
IDX Banking.1265.80closed +0%
IDX Property.. 626 closed +0%

*Indo10Yr.7.1237‼️ closed +0%*
*ICBI…373.3950‼️ closed +0%*
*US2Yr.4.969 -0.077 -1.54%*
*US5Yr 4.660 -0.063 -1.33%*
*US10Yr4.633 -0.054 -1.15%*
*US30Yr.4.759 -0.030 -0.63%*
*VIX…….15.39 -0.26 -1.66%*

*USDIndx 105.7550❗️-0.47 -0.44%*
*Como Indx..285.44 ‼️ -6.02 -2.07%*
*BCOMIN..156.90 -1.53 -0.97%*

*IndoCDS..75.71👍* – 1.02 -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) *(30/04)*

*IDR…..16259.00‼️closed +0%*
*Jisdor.16276.00‼️closed +0%*

*Euro….1.0717* +0.000 +0.05%

TLKM…19.45 unch +0%
*( 3166)*
EIDO……20.83 +0.06 +0.29%
EEM……41.03 -0.55 -1.31%

*Oil…….79.12‼️* +0.12 +0.15%
*Gold..2311.00* +8.10 +0.35%
*Timah..31216.00 -1350.00 -4.15%*
*(Closed 30/04)*
*Nickel..18926.50 -312.00 -1.62%*
(Closed 01/04)
Silver…….26.75 +0.09 +0.35%
Copper…454.60 -1.85 -0.41%

*Iron Ore 62% 110.91* +0.37 +0.33%
(30/04)
*Nturl Gas..1.931 -0.060 -3.01%‼️*
*Ammonia China.2983.33* -16.67 -0.56%
(Domestic Price)(29/04)

*Coal price 147.00 +4.75 +3.38%‼️*
(May/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.40 +4.40 +3.08%‼️*
(Jun/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.60 +4.20 +2.93%‼️*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.24 +3.30 +2.42%*
(Agt/Newcastle)

*Coal price..107.10 +4.20 +4.08%‼️*
(May/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.108.55 +3.40 +3.23%‼️*
(Jun/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.108.70 +2.85 +2.69%*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 108.25 +2.25 +2.11%*
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3900 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….450.75 +4.00 +0.90%
SoybeanOil 43.26 +0.25 +0.58%
Wheat….599.25 -4.00 -0.66%

*Wood pulp..5860* unch +0%
(Closed 01/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US DJI ijo, nasdaq merah, europe merah, asia kebanyakan merah, IDX closing ijo sebelum mayday, US bond yield down semua, harusnya lanjut ijo lagi hari ini.

USD index merah, gold silver iron ore ijo, tin nickel copper merah, oil ijo gas merah, coal ijo tebel, harusnya start jalan ini ADRO dkk

IHSG – MACD nya buy signal kalo closing di harga yang sama hari ini, harusnya beneran udah mau gerak ke atas lagi sih, yang jeleknya ada opening gap kemaren dan FF masih net sell. technically udah ok buat aggessive belanja. Beware aja gerakan tutup gap dulu

Berduyun duyun bergerak, tapi jelas kalo index mau naik, yang pasti gerak itu big banks, Financials, disusul property biasanya. Di chart ini terlihat Healthcare dan Technology ikutan

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS BRPT HRUM ITMG PGAS SMGR ASSA BFIN ELSA GTRA HRTA JSMR MPMX SMAR ANJT AALI. Big accum BRPT HRUM ITMG BFIN

MACD Buy Signal: BRPT BUKA PTMP TOWR AUTO BSDE CTRA IMAS MARK RAJA AUTO. Big Accum BRPT BTPS CTRA

February 05th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes at a record, rises for a fourth-straight week on strong tech earnings

The S&P 500
notched a fresh record high on Friday as quarterly results from technology companies including Facebook-parent Meta topped expectations and the January jobs report came in much better than expected.

Dow……38654 +134.6 +0.35%
Nasdaq15629 +267.3 +1.74%
S&P 500.4959 +52.4 +1.07%

FTSE…..7616 -6.6 -0.09%
Dax……16918 +59.2 +0.35%
CAC……7592 +3.5 +0.05%

Nikkei..36158 +146.6 +0.41%
HSI……15533 -32.7 -0.21%
Shanghai.2730 -40.6 -1.46%

IDX…..7238.79 +37.09 +0.52%
LQ45….984.67 +7.40 +0.76%
IDX30…499.60 +3.80 +0.77%

IDXEnergy..2077.88 -8.11 -0.39%
IDX BscMat.1286.32 +5.98 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1088.65 +1.59 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC.701.14 +4.87 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1345.94 +9.82 +0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…857.21 -0.25 -0.03%
IDX Techno4094.79. -13.25 -0.32%
IDX Transp 1561.00 -1.25 -0.32%
IDX Infrast 1526.94 +2.59 +0.17%
IDX Finance.1495.04+0.88 +0.06%
IDX Banking.1335.30+10.31+0.78%
IDX Property.. 690 -1.50 -0.22%

Indo10Yr.6.6086👍 -0.0119 -0.18%
ICBI…377.6006👍 +0.3813 +0.10%
US2Yr.4.372 +0.167 +3.97%‼️
US5Yr 3.986 +0.173 +4.54%‼️
US10Yr4.024 +0.150 +3.88%‼️
US30Yr.4.224+0.106 +2.57%‼️
VIX…13.85 -0.03 -0.22%

USDIndx 103.9220 ❗️+0.852 +0.83%
Como Indx..267.74 -1.97 -0.73%
BCOMIN……136.61 -0.89 -0.65%

IndoCDS..74.69 -2.02 -2.63%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/02)

IDR…..15660.00 -104.50👍 -0.66%
Jisdor.15688.00 -87.00 -0.55%

Euro….1.0788 -0.0085 -0.78%

TLKM…25.29 -0.53 -2.05%
(3967)
EIDO……22.06 +0.03 +0.14%
EEM……38.65 -0.11 -0.28%

Oil…….72.28 -1.54 -2.09%
Gold..2053.70 -17.40 -0.84%
Timah..25550.00 -253.00 +0.98%
(Closed 03/03)
Nickel..16243.00 +1.00 +0.01%
(Closed 02/02)
Silver……22.80 -0.44 -1.89%
Copper.382.15 -3.20 -0.83%

Iron Ore 62% 128.63 -4.04 -3.05%‼️
(02/02)
Nturl Gas..2.092 +0.045 +2.20%
Ammonia China.3150.00 -86.67 -2.68%‼️
(Domestic Price)(02/02/02)

Coal price 119.90 +0.75 +0.65%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.90 +2.90 +2.48%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.90 +3.00 +2.59%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.30 +2.75 +2.36%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .98.40 +0.60 +0.61%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.50 +2.30 +2.44%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.05 +0.05 +0.05%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.20 +0.70 +0.77%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3780 -15 -0.40%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……442.75 -4.50 -1.01%
SoybeanOil 44.73 -0.87 -1.91%
Wheat….589.75 -1.75 -0.29%

Wood pulp..5098.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, SP500 set new record high, europe mostly ijo, asia varied. US bond rates naik tinggi semua, USD index juga, jelek buat saham ini in general

Gold silver copper iron ore merah, tin nickel ijo, oil merah, gas coal ijo tebel, CPO merah. MDKA ANTM belum jadi, ELSA AKRA MEDC juga jadi ga asik, AALI LSIP belum aja, ADRO yang firm, coal yang lain belum

IHSG – stoch buy lagi, macdrev up, MFI w% sw, BD flat FNB, ikut efek US bond rates turun dulu ini mah…

Tinggal Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS

January 25th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq, S&P 500 close higher for fifth straight day as Netflix shares surge

The S&P 500
rose Wednesday as Netflix
led a broader rally among technology names, pushing the broader market to new heights.

Dow……37806 -99.1 -0.26%
Nasdaq15482 +55.98 +0.36%
S&P 500.4869 +3.95 +0.08%
:
FTSE…..7528 +41.94 +0.56%
Dax……16890 +262.8 +1.58%
CAC……7456 +67.6 +0.91%

Nikkei..36227 -291.1 -0.80%
HSI…..15900 +545.9 +3.56%‼️
Shanghai.2821 +49.8 +1.80%

IDX…..7227.82 -28.41 -0.39%
LQ45….966.25 -5.52 -0.57%
IDX30…490.21 -2.85 -0.58%

IDXEnergy..2114.88 -13.00 -0.61%
IDX BscMat.1284.89 -14.85 -1.14%
IDX Indstrl…1081.56 -5.73 -0.53%
IDXNONCYC.700.77 +1.12 +0.16%*
IDX Hlthcare1325.02 +27.72+2.14%
IDXCYCLIC…860.90 -2.45 -0.28%
IDX Techno4145.07 -31.35 -0.75%
IDX Transp 1635.86 +13.91 +0.86%
IDX Infrast 1538.75 -8.56 -0.55%
IDX Finance.1543.67 +12.22+0.80%
IDX Banking.1301.20 -13.32 -1.01%
IDX Property.. 697 +1.20 +0.17%

Indo10Yr.6.6653 -0.0219 -0.33%
ICBI…375.5941 -0.3896 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.384 +0.012 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.092 +0.005 +1.24%
US10Yr4.179 +0.047 +1.14%
US30Yr.4.411 +0.044+1.01%
VIX….13.14 +0.59 +4.70%‼️

USDIndx 103.2360 -0.382 -0.37%
Como Indx..270.99 +2.78 +1.04%
BCOMIN……139.43 +2.25 +1.64%

IndoCDS..74.22 -0.50 -0.67%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/01)

IDR…..15713.00 +76.00 +0.49%
Jisdor.15719.00 +63.00 +0.40%

Euro….1.0886 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…25.55 +0.02 +0.08%
(4016)
EIDO……21.84 -0.03 -0.14%
EEM……38.81 +0.43 +1.12’%

Oil……..75.42 +1.05 +1.41%
Gold..2035.00 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..26239.00 +622.00 +2.43%
(Closed 23/01)
Nickel..16292.50 +269.00 +1.68%
(Closed 24/01)
Silver……22.79 +0.33 +1.47%
Copper.387.30 +7.95 +2.09%

Iron Ore 62% 135.48 +0.06 +0.04%
(23/01)
Nturl Gas..2.288 +0.097 +4.43%‼️
Ammonia China.3343.33. – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/02)

Coal price.127.20 -0.10 -0.08%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 121.65 -1.60 -1.30%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.60 -1.40 -1.17%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.15 -2.10 -1.75%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.80 +0.30 +0.28%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price .94.80 +2.30 +2.49%
..(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price..92.00 +2.20 +2.45%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…90.00 +1.90 +2.16%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3992 +95 +2.44%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……452.25 +5.75 +1.29%
SoybeanOil 47.32 -0.89 -1.85%
Wheat…610.75 +14.25 +2.39%

Wood pulp..5070.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI masih merah, nsadaq SP500 ijo, europe ijo, asia varied, tapi hangseng closing ijo tebel, kemaren IHSG merah harusnya bisa ijo lah hari ini. US bond rates naik semua, VIX naik, wah ga bagus… USD index turun, bagus buat commodities

Metal naik semua kecuali gold, Oil Gas up, coal newcastle down rotterdam up, CPO lanjut ijo tebel. Kita tunggu geraknya ANTM INCO TINS MDKA AALI LSIP

IHSG – masih FNS, stoch up, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD flat, itungan mau wave C, target either fibo 61 @6931, atau support 7046, atau gap dibawah 6900. Either way, masih beresiko, bagus banyak pegang cash

Still, Basic Materials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ICBP INCO INTP KLBF SMGR TOWR UNVR ADMR HEAL MIKA MSIN. Big accum ICBP INCO INTP TOWR ADMR

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF, ada freq spike juga