Daily Analysis 20221102
November 02nd, 2022 Good morning, Stocks finish lower as Wall Street braces for key Fed decision Stocks dipped on Tuesday as traders assessed better-than-expected economic data and prepared for another…
Daily Analysis 2022029
Global update: September 29th, 2022 Good morning, Stocks rebound from 2022 low, Dow closes up more than 500 points and snaps six-day losing streak The Dow Jones Industrial Average mounted…
Daily Analysis 20220927
Global Update:
September 27th, 2022
Good morning,
S&P 500 notches new closing low for 2022, Dow falls into bear market as dollar surges
The S&P 500 notched a new closing low for 2022 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped into a bear market as interest rates surged and turmoil rocked global currencies.
Dow…….29261 -329.6 -1.11%
Nasdaq.10803 -65.0 -0.60%
S&P 500..3655 -38.2 -1.03%
FTSE…….7021 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..12228 -56.3 -0.46%
CAC……..5769 -14.02 -0.24%
Nikkei….26432 -722.3 -2.66%
HSI……..17855 -78.1 -0.44%
Shanghai..3051 -37.1 -1.20%
ST Times..3182 -45.1 -1.40%
IDX…….7127.50 -51.08 -0.71%
LQ45…1020.20 -5.44 -0.53%
IDX Energy…1912.36 -79.32 -3.98%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.21 -17.44 -1.34%
IDX Industrl..1318.18 -36.96 -2.73%
IDXNONCYC..704.29 -4.28 -0.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1461.51 -3.75 -0.26%
IDXCYCLIC…..872.80 -2.52 -0.29%
IDX Techno..7219.13 -166.50 -2.25%
IDX Transp…1837.53 -24.35 -1.31%
IDX Infrast…..1005.88 -11.88 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1508.33 +3.22 +0.21%
IDX Banking..1167.25 +3.68 +0.32%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%
Indo10Yr….7.3547 +0.0364 +0.50%
ICBI……..333.6174 -0.9262 -0.28%
US10Yr……3.8780 +0.1810 +4.90%‼️
VIX……….32.26 +2.34 +7.82%‼️
USDIndx114.1030+0.9110 +0.80%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.40 -3.77 -2.58%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)
IDR……15129.50 +92.00 +0.61%‼️
Jisdor..15119.00 +84.00 +0.56%‼️
Euro……..0.9590 -0.0097 -1.00%‼️
TLKM……..28.91 +0.20 +0.70%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.77 -0.17 -0.71%
EEM……….35.54 -0.44 -1.22%
Oil…………..76.52 -2.22 -2.82%‼️
Gold ……1631.60 -24.00 -1.45%‼️
Timah. .20243.00 – –
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…22143.00 -1246.50 -5.33%‼️
(Closed 26/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.57 -3.01%‼️
Copper….329.10 -5.20 -1.56%
Nturl Gas…..7.029 +0.038 +0.54%
Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)
Coal price….438.00 +2.80 +0.64%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.90 +12.70 +3.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 +13.85 +3.37%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.75 -1.25 -0.38%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.60 -2.40 -0.81%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….296.00 -2.75 -0.92%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des)……3546 -187 -5.00%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………666.25 -10.50 -1.55%
SoybeanOil…62.46 -1.22 -1.92%
Wheat………858.50 -22.50 -2.56%
Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 26/9)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Dari semua index, cuma FTSE yang closing ijo tipis, sisanya merah. Komoditi yang ijo cuma coal sama natural gas, masih dukung lanjut bursa merah hari ini. Masih jadwal lanjut wave2, walau minggu rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin
IHSG – masih half way ke perkiraan ujung wave 2 di closing gap 6740. Masih hati2 banget belanja. Mungkin hari ini rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin. Tapi belum waktunya untuk agresif belanja
Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Transportation
Daily Analysis 20220826
Global Update:
August 26th, 2022
Good morning,
Dow closes 300 points higher, extends rally to second day ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped Thursday, extending a two-day rally ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech.
Dow…….33292 +322.6 +0.98%
Nasdaq.12639 +207.7 +1.67%
S&P 500..4199 +58.4 +1.41%
FTSE…….7480 +0.2 +0.11%
Dax……..13272 +51.9 +0.39%
CAC……..6382 -5.2 -0.08%
Nikkei….28479 +165.5 +0.58%
HSI……..19968 +699.6 +3.63%
Shanghai..3246 +31.04 +0.97%
ST Times..3247 +14.3 +0.44%
IDX…….7174.21 -20.50 -0.28%
LQ45…1021.48 -5.13 -0.50%
IDX Energy…1889.80 +29.97 +1.61%
IDX Bsc Mat.1299.32 +2.74 +0.21%
IDX Industrl..1316.72 +0.75 +0.06%
IDXNONCYC..710.41 -1.11 -0.16%
IDX Hlthcare.1403.28 -10.55 -0.75%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.35 -4.85 -0.54%
IDX Techno..8068.66 +10.02 +0.12%
IDX Transp…1998.30 -3.72 -0.19%
IDX Infrast…..1033.56 -5.35 -0.51%
IDX Finance 1504.28 +0.52 +0.03%
IDX Banking..1138.10 -0.14 -0.01%
IDX Property…709 -0.30 -0.04%
Indo10Yr….7.1292 -0.0299 -0.41%
ICBI……..336.5463 +0.2077 +0.06%
US10Yr…..3.0260 -0.0800 +1.70%
VIX……….21.78 -1.04 -4.56%
USDIndx 108.4010 -0.2760 -0.25%
Como Indx..296.65 -2.11 -0.71%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..158.41 +1.58 +1.01%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14824.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14827 .00 -24.00 -0.16%
Euro………0.9978 +0.0009 +0.09%
TLKM……..30.41 -1.22 -3.86%‼️
(4509)
EIDO………23.93 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM………40.61 +0.86 +2.16%
Oil…………..92.69 -2.56 -2.78%
Gold ……..1770.50 +6.10 +0.35%
Timah. .24505.00 -225.00 -0.92%
( Closed 24/8)
Nickel….21903.50 +496.00 +2.32%‼️
(Closed 25/8)
Silver…….19.16 +0.08 +0.42%
Copper….369.95 +5.45 +1.50%
Nturl Gas…..9.361 +0.125 +1.35%
Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(24/8)
Coal price….417.50 +4.90 +1.19%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.75 -7.25 -1.73%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….413.00 +1.75 +0.43%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00 -1.25 -0.34%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….375.50 -1.40 -0.37%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….366.00 -2.40 -0.65%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
CPO(Nov)……4255 -49 -1.14%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………..650.75 -6.50 -0.99%
SoybeanOil…65.86 -0.12 -0.18%
Wheat……..786.75 -26.50 -3.26%‼️
Wood pulp…6714.00 +4 +0.15%
(Closed 25/8)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US ijo europe mostly ijo, asia ijo, ihsg merah. Sideways dulu kayanya, belum cukup dalem koreksinya ini buat wave 2
Gold nikel silver copper gas coal naik, oil timah cpo turun. Lanjut lagi ini coal keliatannya, mau nambah muatan cari momentum yang tepat ini harus
IHSG – Foreign mulai exit, MACD hampir sell, stoch down,LR jenuh, PSAR down, waspada koreksi…
Energy Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property kurang meyakinkan tapi kita liat nanti
Daily Analysis 20220824
Global Update:
August 24th, 2022
Good morning,
Dow, S&P 500 fall Tuesday, notching three-day losing streak
Stocks fell Tuesday following its worst day since June as investors braced for a hawkish message from the Federal Reserve.
Dow…….32910 -154.02 -0.47%
Nasdaq.12381 -0.3 -0.00%
S&P 500..4129 -9.3 -0.22%
FTSE…….7488 -46.7 -0.61%
Dax……..13194 -36.3 -0.27%
CAC……..6362 -16.7 -0.26%
Nikkei….28453 -341.8 -1.19%
HSI……..19503 -153.7 -0.78%
Shanghai..3276 -1.6 -0.05%
ST Times..3246 -16.4 -0.50%
IDX…….7163.27 +55.8 +0.78%
LQ45…1023.00 +8.32 +0.82%
IDX Energy…1844.28 +58.98 +3.30%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.17 +21.23 +1.66%
IDX Industrl..1305.95 +8.32 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..714.18 +0.95 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1413.88 +8.63 +0.61%
IDXCYCLIC…..897.39 +4.75 +0.53%
IDX Techno..7875.48 +51.01 +0.65%
IDX Transp…2010.54 -7.43 -0.37%
IDX Infrast…..1038.13 +8.32 +0.81%
IDX Finance 1501.17 +5.51 +0.37%
IDX Banking..1138.31 +2.75 +0.24%
IDX Property…707 +3.00 +0.43%
Indo10Yr….7.1870 +0.009 +0.13%
ICBI……..335.7238 -0.2426 -0.07%
US10Yr…..3.0540 +0.0170 +0.56%
VIX……….24.11 +0.31 +1.30%
USDIndx 108.6240 -0.4220 -0.39%
Como Indx..296.31 +3.48 +1.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.63 +0.08 +0.05%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14837.50 -54.00 -0.36%
Jisdor..14893 .00 +11.00 +0.07%
Euro………0.9970 +0.0028 +0.28%‼️
TLKM……..31.08 -0.03 -0.10%
(4629)
EIDO………23.76 +0.41 +1.76%
EEM………39.76 +0.21 +0.53%
Oil…………..93.75 +3.52 +3.90%
Gold ……..1760.90 +12.50 +0.71%
Timah. .24795.00 -330.00 -1.33%
( Closed 22/8)
Nickel….21851.00 -543.00 -2.42%‼️
(Closed 23/8)
Silver…….19.10 +0.10 +0.53%
Copper….367.90 +2.55 +0.70%
Nturl Gas…..9.242 -0.551 -5.63%‼️
Ammonia….3733.33 -16.67 -0.44%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/8)
Coal price….417.60 -0.75 -0.18%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 -20.50 -4.60%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.00 -20.25 -4.60%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00 -7.75 -2.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….379.00 -27.10 -6.67%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….371.00 -26.45 -6.65%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
CPO(Nov)……4237 +74 +1.78%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………..655.25 +26.25 +4.17%‼️
SoybeanOil…66.92 +0.57 +0.86%
Wheat………800.50 +12.25 +1.55%
Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 23/8)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US masih lanjut merah walau ga terlalu dalem, europe sama asia juga, kecuali IDX yang maksa tutup gap jadi ijo sendiri, so kemungkinan besar lanjut kebawah hari ini, sesuai jadwal wave 2
Oil naik, ELSA sama MEDC lanjut kayanya, gold silver copper ijo, timah nikel merah, kayanya tapi ga akan ngaruh banyak ke MDKA ANTM INCO TINS. Market globalnya lagi jelek
Gas turun gede, coal turun dikit, masih diatas 400, masih long bullish
CPO naik, consumer lagi naik juga, kita assess AALI sama LSIP nanti
Udah beres tutup gap, keliatannya lanjut ke bawah, hati hati yang pegang barang, kalo profit TP setengah dulu lah, kalo masih pede mau naik, jaga2 ready cash untuk belanja lagi nanti di ujung wave 2
IHSG – prepare worst case scenario, dibawa tutup gap 6740. Walau dari theory elliot wave 2 berhenti di fibo 38 @6973 juga sah sah aja
Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals
Daily Analysis 20220822
Global Update:
August 22th, 2022
Good morning,
Stocks fall Friday to notch weekly loss, S&P 500 snaps 4-week-long rally
Stocks tumbled on Friday as Wall Street’s summer rally faltered and rate hike fears resurfaced, leading the major averages to end the week on a sour note.
Dow…….33707 -292.3 -0.86%
Nasdaq.12705 -260.1 -2.01%
S&P 500..4228 -55.3 -1.29%
FTSE…….7550 +8.5 +0.11%
Dax……..13545 -152.9 -1.12%
CAC……..6496 -61.6 -0.94%
Nikkei….28930 -11.8 -0.04%
HSI……..19773 +9.1 +0.05%
Shanghai..3258 -19.5 -0.59%
ST Times..3247 -26.97 -0.82%
IDX…….7172.43 -14.12 -0.29%
LQ45…1022.99 -3.35 -0.33%
IDX Energy…1825.18 +9.81 +0.54%
IDX Bsc Mat.1310.37 -5.91 -0.45%
IDX Industrl..1322.31 -8.32 -0.63%
IDXNONCYC..713.09 +1.38 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1407.90 +8.32 +0.59%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.77 +2.22 +0.25%
IDX Techno..8045.99 -6.50 -0.08%
IDX Transp…2075.11 -11.61 -0.56%
IDX Infrast…..1042.69 -1.80 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1506.21 -6.01 -0.40%
IDX Banking..1141.81 -9.99 -0.83%
IDX Property…715 -4.7 -0.65%
Indo10Yr….7.1655 +0.0140 +0.20%
ICBI……..336.2590 -0.1379 -0.04%
US10Yr…..2.9890 +0.1090 +3.78%
VIX………….19.56 -0.34 -1.71%
USDIndx 108.1690 +0.6850 +0.64%‼
Como Indx..292.03 +1.70 +0.59%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.48 +1.08 +0.69%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 +3.65 +3.40%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14838.00 +1.50 +0.01%
Jisdor..14858 .00 +38.00 +0.24%
Euro………1.0040 -0.0049 -0.49%
TLKM……..30.66 -0.14 -0.45%
(4555)
EIDO………23.61 -0.25 -1.05%
EEM………39.90 -0.55 -1.36%
Oil…………..90.77 +0.14 +0.15%
Gold ……..1762.90 -9.60 -0.54%
Timah. .24795.00 +200. 00 +0.81%
( Closed 18/8)
Nickel….22071.00 +198.00 +0.91%
(Closed 18/8)
Silver…….19.18 -0.37 -1.89%
Copper….367.10 +2.20 +0.60%
Nturl Gas…..9.280 +0.108 +1.18%
Ammonia….3750.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(18/8)
Coal price….416.25 +2.35 +0.57%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….443.75 +8.75 +2.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.90 +8.60 +2.02%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….371.25 +6.25 +1.71%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….391.80 +12.70 +3.35%‼
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….380.25 +12.20 +3.29%‼
(Okt/Rotterdam)
CPO(Nov)……4084 +37 +0.91%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………..623.25 +7.50 +1.22%
SoybeanOil…65.70 +1.43 +2.22%
Wheat………771.00 +22.00 +2.94%
Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 21/8)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US closing jum’at merah lumayan dalem, overall merah juga, asia juga. Jadi kayanya ini IHSG wave 2
Harga commodity terkait energy, oil gas coal naik semua, sesuai sama gerakan sektoral nya juga
Metal varied, gold silver turun, timah nikel copper naik. CPO juga naik
FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW
(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)
INDONESIA
• LARGE CAP
Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition
Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
• MID CAP
Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition
Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
• SMALL CAP
Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)
Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
• MICRO CAP
Inclusions :
-ABMM (ABM Investama)
-ARCI (Archi Indonesia)
-NOBU (Bank Nationalnobu)
-BMSR (Bintang Mitra Semestaraya)
-BUDI (Budi Starch & Sweetener)
-DLTA (Delta Jakarta)
-IMAS (Indomobil Sukses Internasional)
-INDR (Indorama Synthetics)
-KAEF (Kimia Farma)
-PBID (Panca Budi Idaman)
-PANS (Panin Sekuritas)
-PTRO (Petrosea)
-RMKE (RMK Energy)
-SAMF (Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur)
-SPMA (Suparma)
-TRIM (Trimegah Sekuritas)
-CARE (Victoria Care)
Exclusions :
-BALI (Bali Towerindo Sentra)
-BULL (Buana Listya Tama)
-UFOE (Damai Sejahtera Abadi)
-INDY (Indika Energy Tbk PT)
-KIJA (Kawasan Industri Jababeka)
-RSGK (Kedoya Adyaraya)
-FILM (MD Pictures)
-MLPL (Multipolar)
-PZZA (Sarimelati Kencana)
-SSMS (Sawit Sumbermas Sarana )
-SMSM (Selamat Sempurna)
-RANC (Supra Boga Lestari)
-ESSA (Surya Esa Perkasa)
-TMAS (Temas)
• FTSE ALL-WORLD (LM)
Inclusions :
-ISAT (Indosat)
-MSIN (MNC Studios International)
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya)
Exclusions : –
• FTSE ALL-CAPS (LMS)
Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)
-MSIN (MNC Studios International)
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya)
Exclusions : –
• FTSE TOTAL-CAP (LMSµ)
Inclusions : (Yang disini harusnya efek rebalancing jadi naik)
-ABMM (ABM Investama)
-ARCI (Archi Indonesia)
-NOBU (Bank Nationalnobu)
-BMSR (Bintang Mitra Semestaraya)
-BUDI (Budi Starch & Sweetener)
-DLTA (Delta Jakarta)
-IMAS (Indomobil Sukses Internasional)
-INDR (Indorama Synthetics)
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-KAEF (Kimia Farma)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)
-MSIN (MNC Studios International)
-PBID (Panca Budi Idaman)
-PANS (Panin Sekuritas)
-PTRO (Petrosea)
-RMKE (RMK Energy)
-SAMF (Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur)
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya)
-SPMA (Suparma)
-TRIM (Trimegah Sekuritas)
-CARE (Victoria Care Indonesia)
Exclusions : -(Yang disini efek rebalancing harusnya turun…)
-BALI (Bali Towerindo Sentra)
-BULL (Buana Listya Tama)
-UFOE (Damai Sejahtera Abadi)
-INDY (Indika Energy Tbk PT)
-KIJA (Kawasan Industri Jababeka)
-RSGK (Kedoya Adyaraya)
-FILM (MD Pictures)
-MLPL (Multipolar)
-PZZA (Sarimelati Kencana)
-SSMS (Sawit Sumbermas Sarana)
-SMSM (Selamat Sempurna)
-RANC (Supra Boga Lestari)
-ESSA (Surya Esa Perkasa)
-TMAS (Temas)
*****
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)
Ini penting buat dicermati pas ujung bulan, fund manager luar akan tuker barang yang keluar dari index FTSE sama yang baru masuk. Ini bentuk pertanggungjawaban dia ke client nya, bahwa mereka invest di saham yang di-rate bagus oleh FTSE. Kalaupun misalnya jual rugi ga masalah mereka
Candle terakhir IHSG kaya candle rejection, Long Upper Shadow, beware mau jadi drop wave 2 dulu…
IHSG – stoch sw, macd sw, FF up, bandar jum’at distribusi, MFI down, LR kaya mentok, PSAR masih UP. Rawan banget koreksi ini…