March 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow falls for a fifth day despite emergency backstop of Silicon Valley Bank

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
dropped on Monday as a plan to backstop all the depositors in failed Silicon Valley Bank, along with other extraordinary measures, failed to boost bank shares.

The losses were contained as some investors bet the financial shock could cause the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate hikes.

Dow……31819 -90.5 -0.28%
Nasdaq11189 +49.95 +0.45%
S&P 500.3856 -5.8 -0.15%

FTSE…….7549 -199.7 -2.58%
Dax……..14959 -468.5 -3.04%
CAC……..7012 -209.2 -2.90%

Nikkei…..27833 -311.01 -1.11%
HSI………19696 +376.1 +1.95%
Shanghai.3269 +38.6 +1.20%

IDX…..6786.96 +21.65 +0.32%
LQ45….939.84 +2.70 +0.29%
IDX30…490.07 +2.39 +0.49%

IDXEnergy…2074.25 +23.96 +1.17%
IDX BscMat 1160.55 -16.52 -1.40%
IDX Indstrl..1174.59 +4.41 +0.38%
IDXNONCYC..726.72 -0.93 -0.13%
IDX Hlthcare1536.76 -7.30 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…828.46 -1.49 -0.18%
IDX Techno.5355.44 -2.63 -0.05%
IDX Transp.1786.86 -27.43 -1.51%
IDX Infrast….829.91 -1.87 -0.23%
IDX Finance1383.43 -10.20 -0.73%
IDX Banking1129.53 -3.31 -0.29%
IDX Property….680 -0.17 -0.20%

Indo10Yr.6.9204 -0.0509 -0.73%‼️
ICBI….350.2165 +1.0221 +0.29%‼️
US2Yr4.0158 -0.5767 -12.56%‼️
US5Yr 3.6818-0.3520 -8.89%‼️
US10Yr3.5450-0.1590-4.29%‼️
US30Yr.3.6940 -0.018 -0.48%
VIX…… 26.52 +1.72 +6.94%‼️

USDIndx103.5950-0.981 -0.94%👍
Como Indx.264.67 -0.32 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.49 +1.20 +0.77%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15376.50 -73.50 -0.48%
Jisdor.15374.00 -94.00 -0.61%

Euro……1.0727 +0.00840 +0.79%

TLKM….26.09 +0.10 +0.38%
(4011)
EIDO……22.14 +0.10 +0.38%
EEM……37.90 +0.06 +0.16%

Oil….74.69 -1.99 -2.60%‼️
Gold1916.60+48.40 +2.59%‼️
Timah .22912.00 – -%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel..23166.00 +478.0 +2.11%
(Closed 03/13)
Silver…21.88 +1.38 +6.73%‼️
Copper.404.20 +4.15 +1.04%

Nturl Gas.2.436 -0.0560 -2.25%

Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/08)

Coal price.182.90 -2.35 -1.27%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.50 -1.50 -0.78%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.50 +0.15 +0.08%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.00 -0.50 -0.25%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.138.65 +3.65 +2.70%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 138.70 +6.70 +5.08%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 137.85 +6.35 +4.83%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 137.55 +6.05 +4.60%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4045 -53 -1.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..613.50 -3.75 -0.61%
SoybeanOil.55.86 -0.75 -1.32%
Wheat…..684.50 +5.25 +0.77%

Wood pulp…5670.00 -20 -0.35%
(Closed 03/13)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional lanjut pada merah, Nasdaq ijo tapi. Asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali nikkei.

Oil Gas Coal merah, metal2 naik semua, pada tinggi malah, siap2 entry di ANTM MDKA, CPO masih merah lagi

IHSG – kirain mau terus NFB, ternyata kemarin walau ijo tapi NFS tipis banget. Stoch rev up,MACD down,MFI up, W% sw, BD flat, masih sideways dulu sih

Financials belum jadi, Energy rada gerak, tapi hari ini kemungkinan besar turun lagi, technology yang RSI nya masih nanjak

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT KLBF TLKM TKIM WSKT

MACD Buy Signal Sector Energy, tapi ga meyakinkan, komoditasnya pada turun

March 03rd 2023

Good morning,

Dow…..33034 +341.7 +1.05%
Nasdaq11463 +84.5 +0.73%
S&P 500.3981 +29.96 +0.76%

FTSE…….7944 +29.1 +0.37%
Dax……..15328 +22.6 +0.15%
CAC……..7284 +49.97 +0.69%

Nikkei…..27499 -17.7 -0.06%
HSI……..20429 -190.3 -0.92%
Shanghai.3311 -1.7 -0.05%

IDX…..6857.42 +12.48 +0.18%
LQ45….947.15 +1.33 +0.14 %
IDX30…493.17 +0.87 +0.18%

IDXEnergy…2114.76 +21.21 +1.01%
IDX BscMat 1221.67 -17.63 -1.42%
IDX Indstrl..1206.77 +12.35 +1.03%
IDXNONCYC..740.00 +3.00 +0.41%
IDX Hlthcare1560.95 +4.43 +0.28%
IDXCYCLIC…847.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Techno.5412.25 -4.87 – 0.09%
IDX Transp..1869.62 -33.57 -1.76%
IDX Infrast….844.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Finance1415.12 +5.57 +0.39%
IDX Banking1140.36 +6.21 +0.55%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9105 +0.0364 +0.53%‼️
ICBI….349.1696 -0.7977 -0.23%‼️
US5Yr 4.3143‼️ +0.0490 +1.16%
US10Yr4.0620‼️ +0.0660 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.0010‼️+0.0480 +1.21%
VIX……. 19.59 -0.99 -4.81%

USDIndx104.9840 +0.6210 +0.60%‼️
Como Indx.271.30 -1.51 -0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.59 -2.95 -1.79%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15280.00 +45.50 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor.15273.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……1.0599 -0.0069 -0.64%

TLKM….25.71 -0.17 -0.66%
(3927)
EIDO……22.82 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM…….39.19 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…….78.16 +0.47 +0.61%
Gold.. 1840.50 -4.90 -0.27%
Timah 25334 +371 +1.49%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24232 -899.00 -3.58%‼️
(Closed 03/02)
Silver…….20.90 -0.19 -0.92%
Copper..407.60 -8.40 -2.02%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4390.00 -16.66 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price.193.00 -0.50 -0.26%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.198.00 +1.25 +0.64%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.65 +1.40 +0.70%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.35 +1.20 +0.59%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.25 -0.60 -0.42%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 140.00 -3.55 -2.47%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.00 -4.40 -3.03%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.70 -4.90 -3.34%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4293 +105 +2.51%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.75 -2.00 -0.31%
SoybeanOil..61.90 +1.07 +1.76%
Wheat……712.75 +2.75 +0.39%

Wood pulp…5840.00 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 03/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lumayan tebel, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG ijo kemaren tapi ada 26 saham ARB, rada anomali

Oil ijo gas coal merah, metal2 merah kecuali timah, nikel malah drop. Belum saatnya belanja saham tambang mineral logam, dikit lagi…

CPO naik tinggi, mungkin ini saatnya mulai rally. Kita check detail di emitennya nanti

IHSG – kemaren sudah FNB, stoch buy, macd masih down but flattening, MFI sw, W% sw, masih jadwal wave 3, keliatan bentuk triangle pattern, semoga breakout ke atas

Industrials Energy Property. Bank2 sudah mulai buy signal tapi sektor Financials nya belum firm

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO BBCA BBNI BUKA TINS AALI BRMS

MACD Buy Signal: INCO PGAS MAPI

Alligator Buy Signal: DOID IGAR

Supertrend Buy Signal: ITMG IGAR

ARTO skip

BBCA – buat indikasi aja, bukan mau dibeli, hehehe… stoch buy, macd still down, BD FF net sell, MFI down, w% downtrend, masih jadwal wave 3 tapi lagi jatahnya sideways dulu, belum…

BUKA – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, W% downtrend, BD dist, FF acc tipis, dari IPO drop, belum retrace, pelan2 bottom nya tambah tinggi, sektor bukan leading, belum sih

TINS – stoch buy macdbuy, MFI up, W% uptrend, BD acc, masih NFS tipis, ew reverse done, ketemu regbull div terus mantul, kejedot fibo 23, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy harusnya

Ternyata spike nya ok, spike tinggi pas harga sideways

Harga aman. Ada gap juga di atas, bisa spec buy half, half lagi tunggu firm acc BD dan FF

AALI – stoch buy bolak balik, macd up MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, abis drop mulai gerak naikpelan2 belum ada gerakan signifikan yang diikuti higher low, WNS deh

BRMS – Technical ok, tapi saham bakrie nggak deh

INCO – stoch up macd buy, 833 sell, MFI up, BD FF acc, w% sw, masih konsol di sekitar fibo 61 terjunan abc correction, belum lanjut wave 3. Kalo mau entry tunggu 833 buy lagi while MACD masih firm. Nikel drop jadi agak khawatir dulu

PGAS – stoch up macd buy, MFI sw, BD FF acc, w%up, belum breakout resistance, hold, kalo breakout neckline nambah

MAPI – saham hajatan, baru kemaren sell signal MACD sekarang ngebalik lagi, masalahnya udah naik tinggi, udah wave 5 dan udah ketemu bearish divergence, ga ok buat new entry, kalo yang udah pegang berani hold sambil pasang trailing stop

DOID – coal emang pada gerak, stoch up, macd up, alligator buy, MFI sw, W% uptrend, mau breakout patternd double bottom, yang belum punya coal boleh beli ini… Saya pegang HRUM

ITMG – kalo masuk sekarang nanggung, belum pasti breakout resistance, kalo entry dari kemaren pas buy signal MACD ok hold, entry baru mending nunggu konfirmasi breakout resistance 38.675

IGAR skip

March 01st, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 200 points lower Tuesday, major averages end February with losses

The major averages fell on Tuesday to round out a tough month for the stock market

Dow…..32657 -232.4 -0.71%
Nasdaq11456 -11.4 -0.10%
S&P 500.3970 -12.1 -0.30%

FTSE…….7876 -58.8 -0.74%
Dax……..15365 -16.3 -0.11%
CAC……..7268 -27.6 -0.38%

Nikkei…..27446 +21.6. +0.08%
HSI………19786 -157.6 -0.79%
Shanghai.3280 +21.6 +0.66%

IDX…..6843.24 -11.5 -0.17%
LQ45….942.97 -5.11 -0.54%
IDX30…490.50 -2.75 -0.56%

IDXEnergy…2101.21 +30.17 +1.46%
IDX BscMat 1243.21 +2.49 +0.20%
*IDX Indstrl.1198.81 +40.13 +3.46%‼️*
IDXNONCYC..742.11 -4.63 -0.62%
IDX Hlthcare1565.08 +6.16 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…845.29 -2.67 -0.32%
IDX Techno.5385.85 -11.18 -0.21%
*IDX Transp1936.02 +53.34 +2.83%*
IDX Infrast….844.52 -8.20 -0.96%
IDX Finance1401.26 -5.92 -0.42%
IDX Banking1125.88 -14.52 -1.27%
IDX Property….699 +3.50 +0.51%

*Indo10Yr.6.8724 +0.0167 +0.24%*
*ICBI..349.8168 +0.0284 +0.01%*
*US5Yr 4.1853* +0.0120 +0.29%
*US10Yr3.9226* +0.0040 +0.10%
*US30Yr.3.9180* -0.0010 -0.03%
*VIX……. 20.70 -0.25 -1.19%*

*USDIndx104.9440+0.2710 +0.26%‼️*
Como Indx.269.84 +1.24 +0.46%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.71 +0.56 +0.35%

*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR…..15260.50 -0.50 -0.06%‼️*
*Jisdor.15240.00 -34.00 -0.22%‼️*

*Euro……1.0579 -0.0003 -0.28%*

TLKM….25.76 -0.18 -0.69%
*(3926)*
EIDO……22.91 -0.14 -0.61%
EEM……38.23 -0.27 -0.70%

*Oil…….76.79 +1.11 +1.47%*
*Gold 1836.80* +11.80 +0.65%
*Timah 25651 – -%*
*(Closed 02/24)*
*Nickel.24928.50 -469.50 -1.85%*
(Closed 02/28)
Silver…….21.07 +0.28 +1.34%
Copper..407.35 +6.25 +1.56%

*Nturl Gas.2.776 +0.056 +2.06%*

*Ammonia 4440.00 -50.00 -1.11%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/27)

Coal price.192.85 -3.65 -1.86%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.194.10 -2.90 -1.47%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.75 -2.25 -1.13%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.200.50 -2.20 -1.09%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.145.90 -2.25 -1.52%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 145.60 -2.50 -1.69%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.80 -1.35 -0.91%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 147.20 -1.75 -1.17%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

*CPO(May)….4136 -92 -2.17%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn……630.25 -13.25 -2.06%*
SoybeanOil..60.19 -0.15 -0.25%
Wheat……707.00 -3.00 -0.42%

*Wood pulp…5930.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 02/28)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US europe merah, asia kemaren varied, IHSG merah, kayanya masih belum rally dulu hari ini juga

OIl Gas ijo, coal merah lagi, kalo dari chart coal saatnya gerak tapi harga nya udah 2 hari turun, bisa jadi ini kesempatan beli di pullback. Metal naik semua kecuali nickel, perlu dicermati ANTM MDKA. CPO merah lagi, masih bolak balik AALI LSIP, minornya koreksi dulu

IHSG – stoch down, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, NFS BD dist, masih belum okay, jangan agressive, yang profit dan chartnya meragukan TP dulu aja just to be safe, atau sell setengah botol lah karena major nya masih ok wave 3

Sempet leading dan jalan lagi: Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals, yang emerging: Industrials (shout out to ASII and UNTR), Energy, Basic Materials dan Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO HRUM SRTG RAJA WIKA UNIC EKAD

MACD Buy Signal: CTRA LPPF TOBA MBSS

Alligator Buy Signal: TLKM

Supertrend Buy: ASII UNTR

February 23th,, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches fourth day of losses after Fed minutes reaffirm tough stance on inflation

Stocks ended lower on Wednesday as traders parsed through a summary of the Federal Reserve’s most recent meeting, looking for clues on the central bank’s next move against inflation.

Dow…..33045 -84.5 -0.26%
Nasdaq11507 +14.8 +0.13%
S&P 500..3991 -6.3 -0.16%

FTSE…….7931 -47.1 -0.59%
Dax……..15400 +2.3 +0.01%
CAC……..7299 -9.4 -0.13%

Nikkei…..27104 -368.8 -1.34%
HSI………20424 -105.7 -0.51%
Shanghai.3291 -15.4 -0.47%

IDX…..6809.97 -63.44 -0.92%
LQ45….939.99 -10.51 -1.11%
IDX30…488.37 -5.52 -1.12%

IDXEnergy…2047.85 -4.56. -0.22%
IDX BscMat 1242.66 -13.95 -1.11%
IDX Indstrl…1141.44 +1.19 +0.10%
IDXNONCYC..758.23 -5.89 -0.77%
IDX Hlthcare1577.95 -30.61 -1.90%
IDXCYCLIC…844.19 -4.16 -0.49%
*IDX Techno.5382.56 -129.25 -2.35%*
IDX Transp1873.92 -4.99 -0.27%
IDX Infrast….860.15 -13.20 -1.51%
IDX Finance1405.28 -16.88 -1.19%
IDX Banking1132.43 -16.04 -1.40%
IDX Property….687 -3.20 -0.46%

*Indo10Yr.6.8119 +0.0196+0.29%*
*ICBI..350.3620-0.2267 -0.06%*
*US5Yr 4.1640* -0.0090 -0.22%
*US10Yr3.9270* -0.0260 -0.65%
*US30Yr.3.9230 -0.0530 -1.33%*
*VIX…..22.29 -0.58 -2.54%*

*USDIndx104.1830+0.3150 +0.30%‼️*
Como Indx.266.10 -2.38 -0.89%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….165.56 -2.86 -1.70%

*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR…..15200.00 +10.00 +0.07%*
*Jisdor.15218.00 +39.00 +0.26%*

Euro……1.0606 -0.0038 -0.36%

TLKM….25.54 +0.45 +1.79%
*(3886)*
EIDO……22.09 -0.17 -0.74%
EEM……38.99 -0.19 -0.48%

*Oil…….73.95 -2.21 -3.16%‼️*
Gold 1841.50 -2.20 -0.12%
*Timah 26700 +826.00 +3.09%‼️*
*(Closed 02/21)*
Nickel.26576.50 -123.50.00 -0.46%
(Closed 02/22)
Silver…….21.82 -0.18 -0.82%
Copper..418.50 -1.50 -0.36%

*Nturl Gas.2.290 +0.106+4.85%‼️*

Ammonia 4306.67 +16.67 +0.39%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/21)

Coal price.209.65 +0.65 +0.31%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price199.65 +12.65 +6.76%‼️*
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price197.00 +9.00 +4.79%‼️*
(Apr/Newcastle)
*Coal price200.35 +4.35 +2.22%*
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.15 +0.15 +0.11%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 139.30 +3.35 +2.46%*
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.30 +3.80 +2.83%*
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.20 +5.20 +3.91%*
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4148 +9 +0.22%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..674.25 -6.25 -0.92%
SoybeanOil..63.05 +0.10 +0.16%
Wheat…….750.00 -12.75 -1.67%

*Wood pulp…5950.00 -40 -0.67%*
(Closed 02/21)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI masih merah tapi ga segila kemaren yang drop 2%, Nasdaw malah ijo tipis, europe majority merah, asia merah semua, dicermati yang kemaren nongol sell signal gara2 drop, yang perlu cutloss ya cutloss dulu, gampang beli lagi belakangan pas bullish

Oil, Gas rebound, coal lanjut naik, CPO ngebalik ijo, metal2 rata2 merah kecuali timah yang naik tinggi. Dari sisi ini sih market masih ok harusnya. Index walau ada kemungkinan tetep merah tapi keliatannya saham2 energy akan melawan gravitasi

IHSG – stoch down, MACD down, MFI down, w% downtrend, FF dist tipis, BD flat ga jagain harga, dari fibonacci last low pas di 38, ini deket 50, udah cukup lah ya, semoga langsung tutup gap hari ini, atau sideways dulu ga drop lagi

Healthcare, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation, disusul Basic Materials sama Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: TOBA ANJT WINS SGRO EKAD

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM

Alligator Buy Signal: TBIG MTEL TAPG