January 24th, 2024

S&P 500 clinches first record close of 2025, Dow pops after Trump takes spotlight at Davos

US stocks closed in the green on Thursday with the S&P 500 nabbing a fresh record close as investors stayed attuned to remarks from President Donald Trump, who addressed the World Economic Forum in Davos

Dow……44565 +408.3 +0.92%
Nasdaq 20054 +44.3 +0.22%
S&P 500 6119 +32.4 +0.53%

FTSE…..8565 +20.1 +0.23%
Dax……21412 +157.3 +0.74%
CAC……7893 +55.2 +0.70%

Nikkei…39959 +312.6 +0.79%
HSI…….19701 -78.2 -0.40%
Shanghai.3230 +16.5 +0.51%

IDX…7232.64 -24.49 -0.34%
LQ45…843.59 -2.59 -0.31%
IDX30.434.23 -1.19 -0.27%

IDXEnergy…2892.80 +6.03 +0.21%
IDX BscMat 1234.96 -13.23 -1.06%
IDX Indstrl… ..978.06 -7.35 -0.75%
IDXNONCYC.705.84 -4.48 -0.63%
IDX Hlthcare1383.94 -10.48 -0.75%
IDXCYCLC…830.46 +1.35 +0.16%
IDX Techno.4380.20 +24.43 +0.56%
IDX Transp 1278.97 +2.10 +0.16%
IDX Infrast 1531.30 +5.05 +0.33%
IDX Finance1425.44 -2.87 -0.20%
IDX Banking1178.43 -4.58 -0.39%
IDX Property. 750 -22.8 -2.95%

Indo10Yr.7.1562❗-0.00193 -0.27%
ICBI….394.0210❗+0.4446 +0.11%
US2Yr.4.289 -0.013 -0.30%
US5Yr 4.453 +0.024 +0.54%
US10Yr4.646 +0.033 +0.72%
US30Yr.4.871+0.044 +0.91%
VIX..15.02 -0.08 -0.53%

USDIndx 108.1350❗-0.105 -0.10%
Como Indx..309.36 -0.02 -0.01%
BCOMIN..144.25 -0.33 -0.23%

IndoCDS…74.22 -2.00 -2.62%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/01)

IDR…….16283.00❗+4.00 +0.02%
Jisdor..16276.00❗-51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0418 +0.0011 -0.20%

TLKM…16.96 -0.03 -0.18%
( 2760)
EIDO….18.86 +0.03 +0.16%
EEM…42.67 +0.12 +0.27%

Oil………74.62 -0.82 -1.09%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………77.88 -1.09 -1.38%
(Brent)
Gold…2765.00 -0.70 -0.03%
(Comex)
Gold…2754.87 +0.08 +0.002%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.30272.00 +39.00 +0.13%
(Closed 22/01)
.Nickel.15660.00 -60.00 -0.38%
(Closed 22/01)
Silver……31.39 -0.11 -0.35%
Copper.429.40 -4.70 -1.08%

Iron Ore 62% 101.40 +0.19 +0.19%
(22/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.960 -0.020 -0.51%
Ammonia China. 2393.33 _ -%
(Domestic Price)(23/01)

Coal price.116.50 -0.25 -0.21%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.10 -2.90 -2.38%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.80 -1.65 -1.34%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.70 -1.95 -1.55%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.10 +0.60 +0.55%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.75 -1.65 -1.52%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.00 -1.50 -1.38%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.65 -1.45 -1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4191 -17 -0.40%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………489.75 +5.50 +1.14%
SoybeanOil 45.04 +0.62 +1.42%
Wheat……554.00 unch +0%

Wood pulp…..6580 +36 +0.55%
(Closed 23/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe ijo asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah walau opening gap up, ada gap sih dibawah, kayanya hari ini tutup gap dulu dip sebentar baru jalan lagi, itu juga kalau BBCA ga langsung di gas karena LK nya. US treasury bond yang 2 tahun turunm yang panjang2 naik, ga terlalu gimana2 harusnya

USD index down, metal kebanyakan down kecuali tins sama iron ore, oil gas coal down, cpo down, lesu dulu ini, tapi bisa jadi kesempatan untuk buy ADRO. selama coal price nya masih bullish

IHSG – tech indicators masih ok, dari retracement pattern bisa jadi mau bawa ke fibo 23 dulu sebelum ke fibo 61, plus ada gap di bawah jadi makin besar kemungkinannya, semoga ga sampe fibo 23, dip aja tutup gap terus lanjut. kemaren FNS lagi, merah deh… Semoga FNB hari ini

Financials nya melemah, Energy slow down, Basic Materials Consumer Cyclicals sama Infrastructure

Coal Price – abis supertrend buy signal dia slow down, tapi ga sejauh oil, semoga lanjut rally seperti biasanya pas winter

Stochastic Buy Signal: JSMR SSIA SSMS, big accum JSMR

MACD Buy Signal: CMRY

Alligator Buy Signal: AKRA AVIA GJTL tapi malah big dist

January 20th, 2024

Dow leads weekly stock market rally ahead of Trump inauguration

US stocks jumped on Friday amid a tech stock revival as investors assessed a week of key data and earnings reports alongside potential policy shifts under a Trump administration.

Dow……43488 +334.7 +0.78%
Nasdaq 19630 +291.9 +1.51%
S&P 500 5997 +59.3 +1.00%

FTSE…..8505 +113.3 +1.35%
Dax……20903 +248.0 +1.20%
CAC……7710 +75.01 +0.98%

Nikkei…38452 -121.1 -0.31%
HSI……..19584 +61.2 +0.31%
Shanghai.3242 +5.8 +0.18%

IDX…7154.66 +47.14 +0.66%
LQ45…832.28 +4.41 +0.53%
IDX30.428.62 +2.76 +0.65%

IDXEnergy…2849.61 +22.31 +0.79%
IDX BscMat 1230.84 -5.02. -0.41%
IDX Indstrl… ..989.93 +1.74 +0.18%
IDXNONCYC.704.55 +0.90 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare1394.49 -10.83 -0.77%
IDXCYCLC…818.18 +17.36 +2.17%
IDX Techno.4213.5/ +51.93 +1.25%
IDX Transp 1271.68 -9.96 -0.78%
IDX Infrast 1475.89 -1.26 -0.09%
IDX Finance1406.85 +0.17 +0.01%
IDX Banking1150.90 +0.17 +0.01%
IDX Property. 788 +13.50 +1.75%

Indo10Yr.7.1733❗-0.0541 -0.75%
ICBI….392.5929❗+1.1160 +0.29%
US2Yr.4.282 +0.048 +1.13%
US5Yr 4.429 +0.033 +0.75%
US10Yr4.622 +0.009 +0.20%
US30Yr.4.854 -0.001 -0.02%
VIX..15.97 -0.63 -3.80%‼️

USDIndx 109.3470❗+0.417 +0.38%
Como Indx..311.08 -0.27 -0.09%
BCOMIN..147.21 +0.62 +0.42%

IndoCDS…77.19 +1.01 +1.31%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/01)

IDR…….16380.00‼️+4.00 +0.02%
Jisdor.. 16373.00‼️-5.00 -0.03%

Euro…1.0273 -0.0029 -0.28%

TLKM…16.48 +0.30 +1.82%
( 2698)
EIDO….18.50 +0.14 +0.76%
EEM…42.11 +0.35 +0.84%

Oil………77.88 -0.87 -1.10%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………80.79 -0.54 -0.66%
(Brent)
Gold…2748.70❗-2.20 -0.88%
(Comex)
Gold…2703.25 -10.82 -0.40%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29775.00 +199.00 +0.67%
(Closed 17/01)
.Nickel.16080.00 +115.00 +0.72%
(Closed 17/01)
Silver……31.14 -0.59 -1.85%
Copper.436.85 -4.25 -1.63%

Iron Ore 62% 101.21 +0.72 +0.72%
(17/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.948 -0.333 -7.78%‼️
Ammonia China. 2500.00 -6.67 -0.26%
(Domestic Price)(17/01)

Coal price.117.25 +2.55 +2.22%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.75 +3.65 +3.14%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.60 +3.35 +2.83%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 122.70 +2.80 +2.34%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.90 +1.70 +1.59%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.50 +1.30 +1.22%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.15 +1.40 +1.34%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.80 +1.25 +1.20%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4193 +11 +0.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………484.25 +9.75 +2.05%
SoybeanOil 45.69 +0.66 +1.47%
Wheat……538.75 +1.25 +0.23%

Wood pulp…..6524 -16 -0.24%
(Closed 17/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US Europe Asia semua ijo… Tapi US Treasury Bond Yield juga naik, masih berharap senin ini IHSG ijo sih, price action nya bilang waktunya mantul

USD index up metal2 down kecuali tin nickel iron ore, oil gas down, coal up significantly, CPO up, kayanya perlu dipantau ADRO

IHSG – udah 3 hari FNB, semoga sudah confirm jalan ya, technical sih udah ok, double bottom terget pas di resistance 7354 an

Energy, Property, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget: ADRO MAPI MEDC PTBA ADMR BBYB BFIN BMTR CTRA DOID ENRG GJTL HMSP PTMP SMRA SSIA TKIM, big accum cuma SMRA, BMTR vol breakout, saham invest ADRO GJTL TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: ACES ASII ITMG MBMA ADMR MAHA, big accum dan value invest ASII

Alligator Buy Signal: WIFI, vol breakout juga

January 16th, 2024

Dow jumps 700 points, Nasdaq soars 2.5% after cool CPI reading

US stocks ripped higher on Wednesday as high hopes for bank earnings paid off and a crucial consumer inflation update showed key prices increased less than expected in December.

Dow……43221 +703.1 +1.65%
Nasdaq 19511 +466.8 +2.45%
S&P 500 5950 +107.0 +1.83%

FTSE…..8301 +99.6 +1.21%
Dax……20575 +303.4 +1.50%
CAC……7475 +50.9 +0.69%

Nikkei…38445 -29.7 -0.08%
HSI……..19286 +66.3 +0.34%
Shanghai.3227 -13.8 -0.43%

IDX…7079.56 +122.90 +1.77%
LQ45…827.11+25.88 +3.23%‼️
IDX30.425.04 +13.62 +3.31%‼️

IDXEnergy…2807.40 +16.09 +0.58%
IDX BscMat 1237.21 -6.84. -0.55%
IDX Indstrl… ..987.40 -1.79 -0.18%
IDXNONCYC.706.06 +7.15 +1.02%
IDX Hlthcare1417.18 +7.57 +0.54%
IDXCYCLC…817.05 +10.38 +1.29%
IDX Techno.4181.17 +45.56 +1.10%
IDX Transp 1280.02 +9.84 +0.77%
IDX Infrast 1471.64 +14.70 +1.01%
IDX Finance1397.69 +42.24 +3.12%‼️
IDX Banking1139.49+57.00 +5.27%‼️
IDX Property. 747 +2.50 +0.34%

Indo10Yr.7.2617‼️+0.0319 +0.44%
ICBI….390.2582‼️-0.2243 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.268 -0.101 -2.31%
US5Yr 4.451 -0.148 -3.21%‼️
US10Yr4.655 -0.140 -2.91%
US30Yr.4.880 -0.098 -1.97%
VIX..16.12 -2.59 -13.84%‼️

USDIndx 109.0930❗️-0.120 -0.11%
Como Indx..312.17 +4.35 +1.58%
BCOMIN..145.04 +0.94 +0.65%

IndoCDS…81.16 -0.97 -1.16%
(5-yr INOCD5) (14/01)

IDR…….16311.00‼️+46.00 +0.28%
Jisdor.. 16325.00‼️+55.00 +0.34%

Euro…1.0293 -0.0015 -0.15%

TLKM…16.41 +0.02 +0.09%
( 2679)
EIDO….18.50 +0.48 +2.66%
EEM…41.81 +0.52 +1.26%

Oil………80.04 +1.22 +1.55%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………82.43 +2.01 +2.50%
(Brent)
Gold…2717.80 +34.50 +1.29%
(Comex)
Gold…2694.21 +22.04 +0.82%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29771.00 -95.00 -0.32%
(Closed 14/01)
.Nickel.15825.00 -105.00 -0.66%
(Closed 15/01)
Silver……31.53 +1.18 +3.89%
Copper.438.90 +4.65 +1.07%

Iron Ore 62% 99.99 +1.27 +1.29%
(13/01)
Nturl Gas ..4.135 +0.168 +4.23%‼️
Ammonia China. 2506.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(15/01)

Coal price.114.45 -0.95 -0.82%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.60 -1.70 -1.46%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.15 -1.75 -1.47%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.85 -1.45 -1.21%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.35 +1.00 +0.95%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.25 +0.50 +0.48%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.10 +0.20 +0.19%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.35 +0.05 +0.05%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar) 4362 -81 -1.82%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………478.75 +4.25 +0.90%
SoybeanOil 46.27 +0.05 +0.11%
Wheat……547.00 +0.75 +0.14%

Wood pulp…..6540 +40 +0.61%
(Closed 15/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, europe varied, Asia ijo tebel, treasury bond yield turun jauh, harusnya lanjut ijo IHSG hari ini, palling dip dikit lah ya ada yang pofit taking

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali tin nickel, oil up gas up coal down, hayo lanjut AKRA MEDC, CPO down, masih belum aja nih

IHSG – akhirnya FNB, MFI up, stoch masih down, w% up, BD flat, harusnya lanjut rally lah

Energy, Technology, Basic materials, dan karena suku bunga BI turun ya Bank dan Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM ASII BBCA BBRI BMRI BUKA ESSA INKP SMGR UNTR BSDE JPFA VKTR, big accum ANTM ASII BBRI BUKA ESSA UNTR BSDE JPFA

MACD Buy Signal BBCA BBNI BMRI BRIS EXCL HRUM INDF INKP UNTR BBYB BTPS CTRA EMTK PNLF, big accum BBNI HRUM INDF UNTR BBYB

Supertrend Buy Signal: AKRA

CGS International Sekuritas Indonesia:
Kamis, 2 Januari 2025

Dow… 42,544.22 -29.51 -0.07%
S&P 500… 5,881.63 -25.31 -0.43%
FTSE 100… 8,173.02 +52.01 +0.64%
Nikkei… 39,894.54 -386.62 -0.96%

Indo 10 Yr… 7.00 -0.05 -0.31%
VIX… 17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
Indo CDS 5Y… 78.89 +0.75 +0.96%

TLKM (US)… 16.45 +0.02 +0.12%
EIDO… 18.48 -0.05 -0.27%

Oil… 71.72 +0.73 +1.03%
Gold… 2,624.50 +18.00 +0.69%
Timah… 28,846.00 -237.01 -0.81%
Nikel… 15,110.95 -78.88 -0.52%
Silver… 28.90 -0.05 -0.17%
Copper… 8,652.67 -142.18 -1.62%
Natural Gas… 3.63 -0.30 -7.70%
CPO… 4,861.00 -64.00 -1.30%
Coal*… 125.25 +0.70 +0.56%
Softwood Kraft Pulp 5,864.00 -14.00 -0.24%
*(Newcastle/Desember)
**majority closed per 31 Dec-24

Phintraco ga release data seperti biasa, kita cari dari beberapa sumber

US closing 30 des merah, europe ijo, asia merah, US treasury bond yield merah, masih belum menentu mau kemana, tapi kalo technical sih bilang mantul, cocok sama arah US treasury bond

USD index up, gold up metal2 lain down, oil up, gas down, coal up, coal sama oil ini menarik

IHSG – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, w% flat, elliot wave reverse done, lagi bikin higher low, reg bull div MACD RSI, confirmed by 2 bull candle, belum cancelled, sempet NFB tapi last day net sell lagi. Tanda2nya udah mau mantul sih

Terlihat mulai meriah, Infrastructure leading sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, yang paling penting financials terlihat gerak

Stochastic Buy Signal Banyak, yang big accum AMMN, BUKA, GOTO, PTBA, AUTO, menarik dicermati BBCA BBNI

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTBA UNVR CMRY CTRA GJTL MPMX MYOR ULTJ, big accum PTBA UNVR SILO, GJTL kita liat juga

PTBA – abis reg bull div lanjut jalan, loncat kemaren 5% jadi stoch and macd buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, yang kosong portonya kayanya bisa bow di tengah candle kemaren

Coal price macd buy signal, menarik ini ADRO INDY ITMG PTBA

Abis spike jual ada spike kecil

AUTO – valuation ok, stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI still down, w%up, bd acc, FF masih dist, ada spike, kita check dulu

Harusnya sih target 2600 an ya, apalagi kalo liat retracement pattern harusnya bawa ke fibo 61 di 2900 an. Januari group astra suka jalan, kita liat AUTO gimana januari

Kurang ok ternyata… Nanti dulu deh

BBCA – stoch buy macd rev up MFI masih down, w%sw, BD FF udah sempet acc,last day rev dist lagi,reg bull div belum cancelled, confirmed by 2 bull candle

no spike… tapi Index sama BBCA seringnya searah, so 2 2 nya udah keliatan mau mantul, bisa spec buy

SILO – overpriced, skip

GJTL – stoch buy, macd buy, mfi sw, w% up, BD dist tipis, FF rev acc, abc correction seems down, valuation ok, harusnya bisa spec buy

Hajatan ini mah, saham LKH dan ada spike begini, dan bagusnya lagi ini valuation masih rendah ga kaya PTRO yang udah dihajatin sampe 4x lipat. BOW GJTL, idealnya dapet di fibo 23 di 1115