Global update:

September 01st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 fall for a fourth day, major averages end August with losses

Stocks fell for a fourth straight day on Wednesday, the last day of August, putting the summer market comeback in doubt as investors weighed the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting efforts.

Dow…….31510 -280.4 -0.88%
Nasdaq.11816 -66.9 -0.56%
S&P 500..3955 -31.2 -0.78%

FTSE…….7284 -77.5 -1.05%
Dax……..12835 -126.2 -0.97%
CAC……..6125 -85.1 -1.37%

Nikkei….28092 -104.1 -0.37%
HSI……..19954 +5.4 +0.03%
Shanghai..3202 -25.1 -0.78%
ST Times..3222 -17.7 -0.55%

IDX…….7178.59 +19.12 +0.27%
LQ45…1022.82 +1.07 +0.11%

IDX Energy…1899.49 +1.51 +0.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1298.48 +1.29 +0.12%
IDX Industrl..1323.15 +1.56 +0.12%
IDXNONCYC..707.62 -0.51 -0.07%
IDX Hlthcare.1436.72 +10.77 +0.76%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.58 -1.55 -0.17%
IDX Techno..7816.57 -106.07 -1.34%
IDX Transp…1970.40 +9.34 +0.48%
IDX Infrast…..1043.12 +3.43 +0.33%
IDX Finance 1515.90 +23.76 +1.59%
IDX Banking..1151.02 +15.62 +1.38%
IDX Property…701 -3.70 -0.53%

Indo10Yr….7.1498 -0.0063 -0.09%
ICBI……..336.3969 +0.1477 +0.04%
US10Yr……3.1330 +0.0230 +0.74%
VIX……….25.87 -0.34 -1.30%

USDIndx 108.6860 -0.0870 -0.08%
Como Indx..290.41 -3.17 -1.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.43 -1.12 -0.72%
.
IndoCDS…116.42 – %
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14842.50 unch +0%
Jisdor..14853.00 -22.00 -0.15%

Euro………1.0054 +0.0035 +0.35%

TLKM……..30.07 +0.42 +1.42%
(4466)
EIDO………23.76 +0.04 +0.17%
EEM………39.43 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…………..88.79 -3.69 -3.99%‼️
Gold ……..1722.50 -12.50 -0.72%
Timah. .23652.00 -1098 -4.44%‼️
( Closed 30/8)
Nickel….21428.00 +11.5 +0.05%
(Closed 31/8)
Silver…….17.86 -0.41 -2.24%
Copper….351.45 -4.05 -1.14%

Nturl Gas…..9.127 +0.046 +0.51%

Ammonia….3783.33 +33.33 +0.89%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/8)

Coal price….420.00 +10.45 +2.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….415.50 +8.00 +1.96%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.75 +6.30 +1.58%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….367.00 +12.00 +3.38%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….358.00 +4.00 +1.13%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….349.75 +3.25 +0.94%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4133 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..670.250 -6.75 -1.00%
SoybeanOil…67.48 +1.13 +1.70%
Wheat……..831.50 +11.25 +1.37%

Wood pulp…6730.00 +16 +0.24%
(Closed 31/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah lagi, europe juga, asia Hangseng sama IHSG aja yang ijo. Itu juga hangseng ijo tipis banget

Oil drop lagi, metal2an turun kecuali nikeluang ijo tipis. Gas naik, coal naik lagi, CPO flat. Harusnya Coal lanjut naik. Ini kasian banget ELSA ga sempet dapet momentum lari. MEDC udah selesai geraknya untuk sementara keliatannya

Selama masih belum break 7257, technically tetep kemungkinan besar akan lanjut kebawah, wave 2

Dipaksa stay ijo 2 hari terakhir, stochastic index seperti yang mau reverse up, PSAR sudah balik buy, bandar akum foreign entry, tapi MFI tetep turun dan MACD tambah melebar garis antara MACD dan signal nya, masih lanjut kebawah

Kemarin big banks dipake naikin index, sebelumnya GOTO yang jalan, mungkin banyak orang yang melihat ini sebagai sentimen bagus di bursa, tapi saya melihatnya malah ini dipaksa ditahan dengan market making di beberapa saham big caps. Ga sehat ini… Kalo ujungnya retail FOMO dan entry apalagi di saham2 gorengan, nanti pada jadi nyangkuters semua…

Langsung jadi nongol di RSI quadrant chart Finance… Energy, Healthcare, Finance, Consumer both Cyclicals and Non-Cyclicals, tapi 2 ini sepertinya sisa sisa doang, udah siap berhenti gerak dulu

Global update:

August 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Powell comments fuel 1,000-point market rout Friday as stocks slide for a second week

Stocks plummeted Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in his Jackson Hole speech the central bank won’t back off in its fight against rapid inflation.

Dow…….32283 -1000.4 -3.03%‼️
Nasdaq.12142 -497.6 -3.94%‼️
S&P 500..4058 -141.5 -3.37%‼️

FTSE…….7427 -52.4 -0.70%
Dax……..12972 -248.6 -1.88%
CAC……..6274 -107.3 -1.68%

Nikkei….28641 +162.4 +0.57%
HSI……..20170 +201.7 +1.01%
Shanghai..3236 -10.02 -0.31%
ST Times..3250 +1.7 +0.05%

IDX…….7135.25 -38.96 -0.54%
LQ45…1014.27 -7.21 -0.71%

IDX Energy…1904.45 +14.65 +0.78%
IDX Bsc Mat.1293.23 -6.09 -0.47%
IDX Industrl..1307.06 -9.66 -0.73%
IDXNONCYC..708.78 -1.63 -0.23%
IDX Hlthcare.1405.16 +1.88 +0.13%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.39 +0.04 +0.08%
IDX Techno..7976.84 -91.82 -1.14%
IDX Transp…1978.52 -19.78 -0.99%
IDX Infrast…..1035.59 +2.03 +0.20%
IDX Finance 1499.65 -4.63 -0.31%
IDX Banking..1134.19 -3.91 -0.34%
IDX Property…712 +2.80 +0.40%

Indo10Yr….7.1619 +0.0082 +0.12%
ICBI……..336.3949 -0.1514 -0.04%
US10Yr…..3.0350 +0.0090 +0.30%
VIX……….25.56 +3.78 +17.36%‼️

USDIndx 108.8030 +0.4020 +0.37%
Como Indx..299.09 +2.34 +0.79%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..159.48 +1.07 +0.67%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14816.50 -8.00 -0.05%
Jisdor..14814.00 -13.00 -0.09%

Euro………0.9966 -0.0012 -0.12%

TLKM……..29.93 -0.48 -1.58%
(4434)
EIDO………23.56 -0.37 -1.55%
EEM………40.01 -0.60 -1.48%

Oil…………..93.06 +0.37 +0.40%
Gold ……..1749.80 -20.70 -1.17%
Timah. .24750.00 +440.00 +1.81%
( Closed 26/8)
Nickel….21695.50 +18.50 +0.09%
(Closed 27/8)
Silver…….18.83 -0.33 -1.72%
Copper….369.70 -0.25 -0.07%

Nturl Gas…..9.320 -0.041 -0.44%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(25/8)

Coal price….427.00 +14.25 +3.45%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….419.85 +9.85 +2.40%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.00 +7.30 +1.81%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….383.10 +8.85 +2.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….374.65 +9.65 +2.64%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….365.85 +9.50 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4181 -74 -1.74%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..664.25 +14.25 +2.19%
SoybeanOil…66.88 +0.97 +1.47%
Wheat……..805.25 +16.25 +2.06%

Wood pulp…6714.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US DJI NASDAQ drop 3% pas jum’at, ngeri banget… Europe merah juga tapi ga separah itu. Asia masih ada ijo di Nikkei Hangseng sama Kospi. Semoga IHSG ga separah itu dibantingnya. Sudah diperkirakan mau wave 2 tapi kalo terlalu dalem turunnya juga saham yang harusnya jadwal jadi ganjel index bisa ikut keseret

Gold silver copper merah, timah nikel ijo, oil ijo coal tipis, gas merah, semoga masih on track energy healthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals jagain index

Sudah firm ya, MACD sell signal… Brace yourself for the ride downhill. Yang diluar healthcare energy dan consumer non-cyclicals mending dibuang kalo perlu cutloss dulu. Nanti belanja lagi dibawah. US merah dalem banget, IHSG kemungkinan besar ikut merah dalem, bisa jadi semua sektor juga keseret kebawah

IHSG – semua menunjukkan mau turun dulu, stoch down, macd sell, bandar distribusi, FNS, MFI down, LR down, PSAR down, ada gap dibawah, memang alligator dan supertrend masih up, tapi lagging indicator buat main major trend kan memang suka telat.

Masih Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, disusul lagi sama Consumer Cyclicals. Industrials emerging, tapi index mau turun gini kayanya belum jalan lagi dulu

Global Update:

August 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks soar, S&P 500 hits highest level in three months after key report shows slowdown in inflation

Stocks rose sharply on Wednesday after a key inflation reading showed a better-than-expected slowdown for rising prices.

Dow…….33310 +535.1 +1.63%
Nasdaq.12855 +360.9 +2.89%
S&P 500..4210 +87.8 +2.13%

FTSE…….7507 +18.96 +0.25%
Dax……..13701 +165.96+1.23%
CAC……..6523 +33.4 +0.52%

Nikkei….27819 -180.6 -0.65%
HSI……..19611 -392.6 -1.96%
Shanghai..3230 -17.4 -0.54%
ST Times..3266 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7086.24 -16.64 -0.23%
LQ45…1007.80 -0.91 -0.09%

IDX Energy…1804.40 -8.29 -0.46%
IDX Bsc Mat.1331.39 -2.06 -0.15%
IDX Industrl..1304.12 -6.47 -0.49%
IDXNONCYC..703.96 +0.88 +0.12%
IDX Hlthcare.1410.29 -0.76 -0.05%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.33 -4.75 -0.53%
IDX Techno..8034.75 +68.02 +0.85%
IDX Transp…2092.28 -24.32 -1.15%
IDX Infrast…..1032.41 -6.30 -0.61%
IDX Finance 1528.26 -2.14 -0.14%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..696 -3.10 -0.44%

Indo10Yr….7.2089 -0.0166 -0.23%
ICBI……..334.4811 -0.1082 -0.03%
US10Yr…..2.7860 -0.0110 -0.39%
VIX…………19.74 -2.03 -9.32%👍

USDIndx 105.2290 -1.069 -1.01%‼️
Como Indx..289.27 +4.73 +1.66%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.47 +2.89 +1.83%

IndoCDS…112.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14870.50 +18.00 +0.12%
Jisdor..14875 .00 +13.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0303 +0.0089 +0.87%

TLKM……..30.65 -0.38 -1.22%
(4559)
EIDO………24.00 +0.20 +0.84%
EEM………40.46 +0.50 +1.25%

Oil…………..91.58 +1.08 +1.19%
Gold ……..1808.30 -4.30 -0.24%
Timah. .24426.00 +126 +0.52%
( Closed 09/8)
Nickel…22436.00 +909.50 +4.23%‼️
(Closed 10/8)
Silver…….20.57 -0.10 -0.48%
Copper….363.70 +5.20 +1.45%

Nturl Gas…..8.221 +0.382 +4.87%‼️

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(09/8)

Coal price….398.65 +14.15 +3.68%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….401.00 +26.00 +6.93%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….390.00 +25.50 +7.00%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +13.25 +4.03%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….342.00 +24.35 +7.79%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….329.00 +25.00 +8.22%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)……4106 -19 -0.46%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………618.50 +4.50 +0.73%
SoybeanOil…65.99 +1.37 +2.12%
Wheat………816.25 +17.00 +2.13%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 10/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Fixed ini sih tutup gap atas, hehehe… US ijo tebel, komoditas pada naik, yang turun cuma gold sama silver

Kalo misalnya dikejar tutup gap hari ini langsung, ada bagusnya SOS, ada kemungkinan jum’at jadi hari profit taking sedunia, hehehe

Sell 1/2 muatan dulu sih prudentnya di saham2 yang sudah naik tinggi. Kalo yang baru mulai jalan kita assess detail dulu

Semua indicator masih firm per sekarang, tapi stochastic sudah sangat overbought dan MACD sudah ada pelandaian curve, histogram mulai turun. Jadi untuk rally lebih jauh kemungkinannya lebih kecil dibanding koreksi dulu setelah tutup gap

Industrial dan energy secara umum sudah melemah, infra property techno yang keliatan mau jalan, basic material mantul lagi setelah melemah. Isi porto dan watchlist yang ada di sektor yang melemah nanti kita bahas, jangan sampai telat exit kalo memang sudah selesai manggung

Global Update:

August 09th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq slip to start the week as Nvidia warning puts brakes on market rally

Stocks struggled to hold their ground on Monday, following the S&P 500′s third straight weekly gain, as demand concerns for the semiconductor industry weighed on tech names.

Dow…….32833 +29.1 +0.09%
Nasdaq.12645 -13.1 -0.10%
S&P 500..4140 -5.1 -0.12%

FTSE…….7482 +42.6 +0.57%
Dax……..13688 +113.8 +0.84%
CAC……..6524 +52.1 +0.80%

Nikkei….28249 +73.4 +0.26%
HSI……..20046 -156.2 -0.77%
Shanghai..3237 +9.91 +0.31%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7086.85 +2.19 +0.03%
LQ45…1007.14 -0.66 -0.07%

IDX Energy…1769.03 +1.13 +0.06%
IDX Bsc Mat.1327.89 +12.85 +0.98%
IDX Industrl..1311.02 +5.69 +0.44%
IDXNONCYC..706.85 +3.04 +0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1423.11 +0.28 +0.02%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.17 +2.62 +0.29%
IDX Techno..7955.16 -119.49 -1.48%
IDX Transp…2100.49 +36.44 +1.77%
IDX Infrast…..1037.54 -0.66 -0.06%
IDX Finance 1524.45 +0.21 +0.01%
IDX Banking..1153.32 +0.39 +0.03%
IDX Property…..698 +2.30 +0.33%

Indo10Yr….7.2679 +0.0084 +0.12%
ICBI……..333.7723 +0.1448 +0.14%👍
US10Yr…..2.7650 -0.0750 -2.64%
VIX…………21.29 +0.14 +0.66%

USDIndx 106.4350 -0.1860 -0.17%
Como Indx..281.80 +0.76 +0.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.05 -0.26 -0.16%

IndoCDS…117.26 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14876.00 -18.00 -0.12%
Jisdor..14915 .00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro………1.0194 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM……..31.34 +0.14 +0.45%
(4674)
EIDO………23.71 +0.25 +1.07%
EEM………40.11 +0.05 +0.12%

Oil…………90.59 +1.58 +1.78%
Gold ……1805.00 +13.80 +0.77%
Timah. .24455.00 – -%
( Closed 05/8)
Nickel…21642.00 -828.00 -3.68%‼
(Closed 08/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.656 -0.345l -4.36%

Ammonia….3890.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/8)

Coal price….371.00 +10.00 +2.77%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….360.50 +13.75 +3.96%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.00 +6.35 +2.02%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…296.25 +8.40 +2.92%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4076 +188 +4.82%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………607.25 -2.75 -0.45%
SoybeanOil…64.32 +0.35 +0.55%
Wheat………779.75 +4.00 +0.52%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 08/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe masih lanjut ijo, asia varied, hongkong sama singapore merah, IDX juga merah tapi tipis, kita liat hari ini apakah mau lanjut ke atas tutup gap atau udahan

Oil rebound tapi masih stay dibawah 100 USD/barrel, Coal juga, naik tapi masih dibawah 400 USD /MT. Keliatannya masih lanjut koreksi dulu. Gas malah lanjut merah, jadi mengkhawatirkan buat PGAS

Gold silver copper naik, good for MDKA, nikel drop, kayanya akan nyeret ANTM TINS INCO kebawah dulu, yang kemaren2 keliatan masih menolak turun

CPO akhirnya ada kenaikan tinggi, LSIP menarik buat re-entry kayanya

Masih Industrials Infrastructure, Transportation nyusul, property keliatannya next. Tapi, walau finance melemah BBCA diangkat terus lho, semoga lanjut sampai index tutup gap

IHSG – masih fine di semua indic, semoga hajatan tutup gap tercapai dulu sebelum wave 2, jadi trading plan nya bisa dieksekusi dengan baik