January 19th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks close near record highs
Big Tech led a stock market rally on Tuesday as Apple (AAPL) had its best day since May 2023.

Dow……37469 +201.9 +0.54%
Nasdaq15056 +200.03+1.35%
S&P 500.4780 +41.7 +0.88%

FTSE…..7459 +12.8. +0.17%
Dax……16567 +135.7 +0.83%
CAC……7401 +82.7 +1.13%

Nikkei..35466 -11.6 -0.03%
HSI…….15392 +114.9 +0.75%
Shanghai.2845 +12.2 +0.43%

IDX…..7252.97 +52.33 +0.73%
LQ45….972.96 +4.02 +0.41%
IDX30…498.80 -1.13 -0.23%

IDXEnergy..2180.61 +1.26 +0.06%
IDX BscMat.1283.51 +34.75+2.78%
IDX Indstrl…1113.24 -1.14 -0.10%
IDXNONCYC.703.37 -2.26 -0.32%
IDX Hlthcare1320.50+20.33 +1.56%
IDXCYCLIC…862.35 +2.35 +0.27%
IDX Techno4264.01 -4.02 -0.09%
IDX Transp 1695.63 -13.44 -0.79%
IDX Infrast 1542.32 +14.76 +0.97%
IDX Finance.1504.08+0.28 -0.55%
IDX Banking.1324.28 -1.84 -0.14%
IDX Property.. 705 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6837 -0.0157 -0.23%
ICBI…374.9675 +0.2794 +0.07%
US2Yr.4.354 -0.007 -0.16%
US5Yr 4.045 -0.061 -1.51%
US10Yr4.147 +0.041 +1.00%
US30Yr.4.365 +0.052 +1.21%
VIX….14.13 -0.66 -4.46%

USDIndx 103.5360❗️ +0.086 +0.08%
Como Indx..265.46 +2.42 +0.92%
BCOMIN……134.38 +0.09 +0.06%

IndoCDS..78.18 +2.49 +3.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) (17/01)

IDR…..15623.50 -19.50 -0.12%
Jisdor.15630.00 -9.00 -0.06%

Euro….1.0875 -0.0002 -0.02%

TLKM…25.50 -0.09 -0.39%
(3986)
EIDO……22.20 +0.07 +0.29%
EEM……37.99 +0.31 +0.82%

Oil……..74.08 +1.52 +2.09%
Gold..2021.60 +15.10 +0.75%
Timah..25175.00 +58.00 +0.23%
(Closed 17/01)
Nickel..16162.00 +64.5 +0.40%
(Closed 18/01)
Silver……22.81 +0.14 +0.61%
Copper.374.50 +1.20 +0.32%

Iron Ore 62% 135.79 -0.96 -0.70%
(17/01)
Nturl Gas..2.714 -0.153 -5.34%‼️
Ammonia China.3250.0 – -%
(Domestic Price)(17/02)

Coal price.128.90 -0.60 -0.46%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.75 -0.45 -0.36%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.122.70 -1.00 -0.80%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 122.60 -0.50 -0.41%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.05 -0.05 -0.50%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price .99.40 -1.30 -1.29%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price…95.75 -1.50 -1.54%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…94.10 -1.50 -1.57%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3901 +83 +2.17%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……444.00 +1.75 +0.40%
SoybeanOil 47.62 -0.08 -0.17%
Wheat…585.50 +13.25 +0.51%

Wood pulp..5066.00+4.00 +0.08%
(Closed 17/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe rebound, asia rebound duluan, semoga lanjut tudei,

US bond rate yang pendek turun, yang panjang naik, fine aja kalo yang panjang tinggi mah, harusnya ga terlalu ngaruh dibanding yang pendek. USD index naik lagi, tapi ga banyak, metal2 naik kecuali iron ore, MDKA udah jalan duluan, baru buy signal kemaren. Oil up, gas drop, coal down, CPO up rada tinggi, semoga AALI LSIP finally jalan

IHSG – stoch revup, macd still down, 33 buy, MFI sw, w% sw, BD acc, FNS walau mengecil, kalo dari level harga, ada 2 target titik koreksi, ke suppport 7046 dan closing dap dibawah 6900, kayanya sih akan dibawa ke support, kalo dibanting tutup gap bisa goyang Indonesia

Yang confirmed tinggal Healthcare, Infrastructure sama Basic Materials mengintai gantian jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: BUKA INTP MDKA TPIA BMTR HMSP WIFI, big accum MDKA WIFI

MACD Buy Signal: TINS WIFI

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: ICBP ISAT

Alligator Buy Signal: INDF ELSA. INDF spike, ELSA Big accum

January 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes slightly lower as stocks’ early 2024 struggles linger

The S&P 500
trimmed an earlier decline Tuesday, boosted by tech shares, but still ended the day with modest losses.

Dow……37525 -157.9 -0.42%
Nasdaq14857 +13.9 +0.09%
S&P 500.4757 -7.05 -0.15%

FTSE…..7684 -10.2 -0.13%
Dax……16688 -28.1 -0.17%
CAC……7427 -22.6 -0.32%

Nikkei..33377 closed +0%
HSI…….16190 -34.4 -0.62%
Shanghai.2893+5.7 +0.20%

IDX…..7200.20 -83.37 -1.14%
LQ45….970.08 -6.36 -0.65%
IDX30…497.85 -0.29 -0.06%

IDXEnergy..2156.90 -13.52 -0.62%
IDX BscMat.1241.32 -55.67 -4.29%‼️
IDX Indstrl…1102.94 +2.18 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.708.58 -4.91 -0.69%
IDX Hlthcare1326.71 -2.10 -0.16%
IDXCYCLIC…845.35 +10.28 +1.23%
IDX Techno4338.89 -14.42 -0.33%
IDX Transp 1652.31 -27.48 -1.64%
IDX Infrast 1532.96 -23.06 -1.48%
IDX Finance.1502.59+9.75 +0.65%
IDX Banking.1315.00+10.65 +0.82%
IDX Property.. 717 +1.10 +0.15%

Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.0164 +0.25%
ICBI…373.7378 -0.3219 -0.097%
US2Yr.4.366 -0.009 -0.21%
US5Yr 3.972 -0.014 -0.35%
US10Yr4.015-0.012 -0.30%
US30Yr.4.185+0.001+0.02%
VIX….12.76 -0.32 -2.45%

USDIndx 102.5080 +0.096 +0.09%
Como Indx..264.69 +3.04 +1.16%
BCOMIN……136.48 -0.57 -0.42%

IndoCDS..77.70‼️ +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (08/01)

IDR…..15520.00 -5.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.15518.00 -4.00 -0.03%

Euro….1.0932 -0.0019 -0.17%

TLKM…25.18 -0.01 -0.04%
(3907)
EIDO….22.28 -0.24 -1.07%
EEM….38.99 -0.56 -1.42%

Oil……..72.24 +1.47 +2.08%
Gold..2033.00 -0.50 -0.02%
Timah..24500.00 -122.00 -0.50%
(Closed 08/01)
Nickel..16226.00 -32 -0.20%
(Closed 09/01)
Silver……23.09 -0.22 -0.94%
Copper.375.86 -5.15 -1.35%

Iron Ore 62% 140.87 -0.58 -0.41%
(08/01)
Nturl Gas..2.943 +0.037 +1.27%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ -50.00 -1.45%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.135.65 +3.65 +2.77%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.20 +4.70 +3.63%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.25 +4.00 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.25 +3.75 +2.96%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.111.25 -1.50 -1.33%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.15 -1.55 -1.41%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.105.35 -0.75 -0.71%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.30 +0.30 +0.29%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3734 +40 +1.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……459.25 +4.25 +0.93%
SoybeanOil 48.45 +0.64 +1.34%
Wheat…610.00 +13.75 +2.31%

Wood pulp..5060.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 09/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US market merah, nasdaq masih ijo tipis, europe juga, asia merah kecuali shanghai

US bond rates turun lagi, harusnya bagus ini buat ngangkat saham. IHSG dua hari plunged down hard masa ga ada rebound sih…

USD index up, metal2 down, ga jadi jalan ini basic materials versi mineral mineral, consider exit ANTM INCO MDKA TINS dll di DCB hari ini

Oil rebound, gas up, coal newcastle up lumayan tinggi, CPO lanjut ijo, harusnya AALI LSIP jadi lanjut jalan ini walau market merah

IHSG – firm collapse after wave 5, stoch sell macd sell, mfi sw, w% down, BD dist masih FNB, ayo cuci gudang yang ga yakin contrarian ganjel bursa…

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials, Property

January 9th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq Composite closes 2% higher Monday as tech stocks’ revival lifts major averages

The major averages rose Monday, boosted by tech shares, as Wall Street tried to recover from a tough week

Dow……37683 +216.9 +0.58%
Nasdaq14844 +319.7 +2.20%
S&P 500.4764 +66.3 +1.41%

FTSE…..7694 +4.6 +0.06%
Dax……16716 +122.3 +0.74%
CAC……7450 +29.6 +0.40%

Nikkei..33377 closed +0%
HSI…….16225 -310.9 -1.88%
Shanghai.2888 -41.7 -1.42%

IDX…..7283.58 -67.05 -0.91%
LQ45….977.44 -9.82 -1.00%
IDX30…498.14 -3.58 -0.71%

IDXEnergy..2170.42 -10.32 -0.47%
IDX BscMat.1297.00 -28.84 -2.18%
IDX Indstrl…1100.76 -3.01 -0.27%
IDXNONCYC.713.49 -5.56 -0.77%
IDX Hlthcare1328.81+2.92 +0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…835.07 +0.58 +0.07%
IDX Techno4353.31 -28.10 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1679.79 -11.12 -0.66%
IDX Infrast 1556.02 -14.14 -0.90%
IDX Finance.1492.85+1.17 +0.08%
IDX Banking.1304.35 -6.90 -0.53%
IDX Property.. 716 +3.60 +0.51%

Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.0164 +0.25%
ICBI…373.7378 -0.3219 -0.097%
US2Yr.4.375 -0.018 -0.41%
US5Yr 3.986 -0.119 -2.96%
US10Yr4.027-0.024 -0.59%
US30Yr.4.184-0.022 -0.52%
VIX….13.08 -0.27 -2.02%

USDIndx 102.4120 -0.010 -0.01%
Como Indx..261.65 -4.26 -1.60%
BCOMIN……137.05 -1.31 -0.95%

IndoCDS..77.69‼️ – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/01)

IDR…..15525.00 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.15518.00 +4.00 +0.03%

Euro….1.0951 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.19 -0.13 -0.51%
(3909)
EIDO….22.52 -0.07 -0.31%
EEM….39.55 +0.11 +0.28 %

Oil……..70.77 -3.04 -4.12%‼️
Gold..2033.50 -16.30 -0.80%
Timah..24622.00 – -%
(Closed 05/01)
Nickel..16258.00 -86 -0.53%
(Closed 08/01)
Silver……23.31 -0.01 -0.04%
Copper.381.00 +0.40 +0.11%

Iron Ore 62% 141.45. – -%
(05/01)
Nturl Gas..2.943 +0.037 +1.27%
Ammonia China.3640.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(05/02)

Coal price.132.00 +0.45 +0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 129.50 -1.00 -0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.25 -0.25 -0.19%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.50 -0.75 -0.59%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.112.75 -3.25 -2.88%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 -3.65 -3.22%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.106.10 -2.65 -2.44%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.00 -2.65 -2.51%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3694 +13 +0.35%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……455.00 -5.75 -1.25%
SoybeanOil 47.81 +0.18 +0.38%
Wheat…596.25 -19.75 -3.21%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 08/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, nasdaq jump, Europe ijo, asia merah dalem termasuk IHSG. US Bond rate turun, vix turun, USD index turun tipis, IHSG harusnya rebound hari ini…

Metal2 masih tipis2 merah kecuali copper, oil lanjut merah dalem, gas ijo, coal newcastle ijo, rotterdam merah tebel, future nya merah semua, abis winternya. CPO ijo lagi, harusnya AALI LSIP jalan

IHSG – stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI doen w% down, bd dist, masih FNB bagusnya… kalo dari MA masih uptrend, dari elliot wave udah bahaya karena udah wave 5 dan udah lewat target minimal run nya, berharap sampe ke fibo ext 1.618 nya tapi. trailing stop on, stop loss ketat, siap2 cash buat beli lagi di bawah

bagusnya bahwa arah financials bagus,deket 45 derajat, semoga bisa gendong index. arah bagus consumer non-cyclicals, industrials, consumer cyclicals, property, transportation. Energy masih di leading quadrant tapi ga jelas

Stochastic Buy Signal: SIDO MSIN PNIN RMKE

Stochastic Continuation Signal: ITMG big accum, SCMA spike

Supertrend Buy Signal: EXCL

Alligator Buy Signal: BBTN INDF SMGR TINS

SIDO – kecuali stoch buy, jelek semua, skip…

ITMG – stoch up OB flattening, MACD up, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, udah jalan 14% lebih dari bottom kemaren tanpa koreksi berarti… wait higher low deh, index belum tentu lanjut dan oscillators pada overbought

Spike nya sih bagus

CC YU buang, wait dulu deh

SCMA – wah, saham LQ45 tapi chart nya kaya gorengan, ga berani dulu ah… tar kalo index nya jinak baru berani

EXCL – stoch up, macd up, mfi up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, supertrend buy, alligator buy, udah bikin higher low, bisa sih ini buy harusnya, agak high risk tapi dengan posisi index begini dan sektor infrastrukturnya masih lemes

Spike nya ok

Average ok, 3 holder terbesar accum, seandainya index ga beresiko gini udah pasti ikut entry

tapi ga deh, sabar dulu aja, kecuali emang porto kosong dan mau speculative buy

INDF – stoch sell, macd still up, MFI still up, tapi BD FF dist, buat entry sekarang ga ok, buat saya yang udah ada masih hold sih, tapi stoploss udah dipasang, just in case

Masih firm price aman dan YP accum sih, hold

SMGR – kena hidbear dan turun, stoch sell, macd rev down, bd ff rev dist, cutloss di macd sell signal

Harga aman, tapi emang 2 holder gede lagi distribusi pelan pelan

Masih ada unclosed spike, masih hoping jalan, watch MACD

TINS – batal jalan keliatannya, stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI down, w% down, BD FF dist, testing support dulu, skip…

Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike