February 13th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises more than 100 points to close at a record

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose to a new high on Monday as investors awaited fresh inflation and earnings data.

Dow……38797 +125.7 +0.33%
Nasdaq15943 -48.1 -0.30%
S&P 500.5022 -4.8 -0.09%

FTSE…..7574 +1.1 +0.01%
Dax……17037 +110.9 +0.65%
CAC……7690 +42.3 +0.55%

Nikkei..36897 closed +0%
HSI……15747 closed +0%
Shanghai.2866 closed +0%

IDX…..7297.67 +62.52 +0.86%
LQ45….995.17 +12.03 +1.22%
IDX30…505.97 +6.37 +1.27%

IDXEnergy..2085.75 +2.57 +0.24%
IDX BscMat.1247.75 +3.73 +0.30%
IDX Indstrl…1085.47 +2.57 +0.24%
IDXNONCYC.700.76 -2.48 -0.35%
IDX Hlthcare1335.29 -1.26 -0.09%
IDXCYCLIC…848.48 -2.86 -0.34%
IDX Techno4014.65. +20.80.+0.52%
IDX Transp 1560.18 -5.90 -0.38%
IDX Infrast 1530.18 +12.89 +0.85%
IDX Finance.1521.20 +17.73 +1.18%
IDX Banking.1379.50 +33.06 +2.46%
IDX Property.. 700 +4.30. +0.61%

Indo10Yr.6.6891 +0.0202+0.30%
ICBI…376.6831 -0.238 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.480 -0.006 -0.13%
US5Yr 4.139 -0.003 -0.07%
US10Yr4.183 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4.380+0.006 +0.14%
VIX…13.93 +1.00 +7.73%‼️

USDIndx 104.1700 ‼️+0.059 +0.06%
Como Indx..273.31 -1.03 -0.38%
BCOMIN……133.12 +0.95 +0.72%

IndoCDS..74.22 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/02)

IDR…..15594.50 -40.50.0.26%
Jisdor.15685.00 -73.00.0.46%

Euro….1.0771 -0.0013 -0.12%

TLKM…25.79 +0.29 +1.12%
(4045)
EIDO……22.65 +0.24 +1.07%
EEM……39.89 +0.32 +0.81%

Oil…….76.92 +0.08 +0.10%
Gold..2033.00 -5.70 -0.28%
Timah..26367.00 +472.00 +1.82%
(Closed 09/03)
Nickel..15921.00 -86.00 -0.54%
(Closed 09/02)
Silver……22.77 +0.18 +0.80%
Copper.372.40 +4.25 +1.15%

Iron Ore 62% 128.75 – -%
(09/02)
Nturl Gas..1.753 -0.108 -5.80%‼️
Ammonia China.2866.67‼️ -66.66 -2.27%
(Domestic Price)(07/02/02)

Coal price 126.00 -0.60 -0.47%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.10 -2.10 -1.67%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.00 -2.30 -1.82%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..124.40 -2.15 -1.70%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .94.50 -1.50 -1.56%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.10 -2.45 -2.59%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..89.15 -2.15 -2.35%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..87.60 -2.20 -2.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……430.50 +1.50 +0.35%
SoybeanOil 47.40 -0.35 -0.73%
Wheat….597.50 +0.75 +0.13%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 12/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI touch record high, Nasdaq SP500 koreksi dulu dikit, europe ijo, asia tutup libur imlek, USbond rate pendek turun, yang panjang naik, ok sih ini wajar, harusnya masih ijo hari ini

USD index up, gold nickel down, tin silver copper up, oil up, gas drop, coal down, CPO closed. Belum terlalu gimana gimana ini, TINS mungkin yang perlu dicermati apa udah mau reversal

IHSG – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD flat FNB naik terus, semoga bukan technical trap tapi emang wave B nya tinggi. Spec buy di yang firm bisa, tapi hati2 jebakan betmen, pantau ketat

Ga ada yang firm jalan dan leading, so extra caution, energy industrials property boleh dilirik

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN INCO CTRA ISAT MAPA MTMH TINS. Big accum BBTN INCO ISAT

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO INCO SIDO SRTG BSDE MTMH NISP INCI ECII. Big accum INCO, SRTG spike

Stochastic continuation Signal and Big Accum: INCO JSMR

February 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower, S&P 500 slips from record as bond yields surge

Stocks fell Monday as Treasury yields spiked higher on concerns that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates as much as expected. Lackluster results from McDonald’s also dampened investor sentiment.

Dow……38380 -274.3 -0.71%
Nasdaq15598 -31.3 -0.20%
S&P 500.4943 -15.8 -0.32%

FTSE…..7613 -2.7 -0.04%
Dax……16904 -14.2 -0.08%
CAC……7590 -2.3 -0.03%

Nikkei..36354 +196.2 +0.54%
HSI……15510 -23.6 -0.15%
Shanghai.2702-27.97 -1.02%

IDX…..7198.62 -40.17 -0.55%
LQ45….975.49 -9.18 -0.93%
IDX30…495.28 -4.32 -0.87%

IDXEnergy..2077.88 -8.11 -0.39%
IDX BscMat.1286.32 +5.98 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1088.65 +1.59 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC.701.14 +4.87 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1338.64 -7.30 -0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…852.04 -5.17 -0.60%
IDX Techno4069.31 -25.47 -0.62%
IDX Transp 1563.64 +2.63 +0.17%
IDX Infrast 1519.13 -7.81 -0.51%
IDX Finance.1492.16 -2.88 -0.19%
IDX Banking.1332.38 -2.91 -0.22%
IDX Property.. 690 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6531 +0.0445 +0.67%
ICBI…376.6494 -1.0915 -0.29%
US2Yr.4.474 +0.102 +2.33%
US5Yr 4.122 +0.136 +3.41%‼️
US10Yr4.160 +0.138 +3.43%‼️
US30Yr.4.343+0.119 +2.82%
VIX…13.67 -0.18 -1.33%

USDIndx 104.4520 ‼️+0.530 +0.51%
Como Indx..269.19 +0.45 +0.17%
BCOMIN……134.80 -1.81 -1.33%

IndoCDS..74.69 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/02)

IDR…..15708.00‼️ +48.00 +0.31%
Jisdor.15705.00‼️ +17.00 +0.11%

Euro….1.0743 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM…25.14 -0.15 -0.61%
(3948)
EIDO……21.89 -0.17 -0.77%
EEM……38.70 +0.05 +0.13%

Oil…….72.78 +0.50 +0.69%
Gold..2041.40 -12.30 -0.60%
Timah..25550.00 – -%
(Closed 03/03)
Nickel..15948.00 -294.50 -1.81%
(Closed 02/02)
Silver……22.42 -0.38 -1.67%
Copper.377.40 -4.75 -1.24%

Iron Ore 62% 128.63 – -%
(02/02)
Nturl Gas..2.062 -0.029 -1.39%
Ammonia China.2983.33 -166.67-5.29%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/02/02)

Coal price 119.00 -0.90 -0.75%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.65 +3.75 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.60 +4.70 +3.95%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.124.00 +4.70 +3.94%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .98.15 -0.25 -0.25%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.20 -0.30 -0.31%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.80 -0.25 -0.27%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.90 -0.30 -0.33%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3799 +19 +0.60%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……442.75 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 45.33 +0.60 +1.34%
Wheat….590.25 -9.50 -1.58%

Wood pulp..5104.00 +6.00 +0.12%
(Closed 05/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nyusul merah semua after asia market kemaren… Udah curiga begitu dari bond rate yang naik tinggi. Ini masih naik lagi, USD index juga naik, lanjut merah lagi sepertinya IHSG hari ini.

Metal2 lanjut merah semua, ANTM MDKA INCO TINS bubar dulu ini… Oil ijo, gas merah, coal spot merah dikit, future newcastle ijo tebel. Semoga ADRO lanjut. CPO naik dikit, AALI LSIP belum jelas kemana

IHSG – stoch up, macd ga jadi rev up, malah lanjut down, MFI sw, w% sw, masih FNB tapi agak turun, keliatannya bener lanjut wave C. Hati hati prefer keep cash

Tinggal heakthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ESSA KLBF ADHI AGRO DSNG ERAA GTRA INDY PNLF SCMA INDS CINT. Big Accum KLBF AGRO SCMA

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI UNVR HEAL PTRO AMFG CINT, Big Accum UNVR

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: PTPP

February 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 350 points higher, Nasdaq jumps 1% in rebound from Fed Day sell-off

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose Thursday, recovering from a brutal sell-off after the Federal Reserve held steady on rates but signaled that a March cut is unlikely

Dow……38520 +369.5 +0.97%
Nasdaq15362 +197.6 +1.30%
S&P 500.4906 +60.5 +1.25%

FTSE…..7622 -8.4 -0.11%
Dax……16859 -44.7 -0.26%
CAC……7589 -68.0 -0.89%

Nikkei..36011 -275.3 -0.76%
HSI……15566 +81.1 +0.52%
Shanghai.2771 -17.8 -0.64%

IDX…..7201.70 -6.24 -0.09%
LQ45….977.27 +3.05 +0.31%
IDX30…495.80 +1.09 +0.22%

IDXEnergy..2084.99 -21.36 -1.01%
IDX BscMat.1280.34 -3.72 -0.29%
IDX Indstrl…1087.06 -1.16 -0.11%
IDXNONCYC.696.28 -2.69 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare1336.12 +19.55+1.48%
IDXCYCLIC…857.46 +0.12 +0.01%
IDX Techno4108.04. -20.01 -0.48%
IDX Transp 1587.04 +1.95 +0.12%
IDX Infrast 1526.25 -24.79 -1.56%
IDX Finance.1494.17 -19.73 -1.30%
IDX Banking.1324.99 -1.31 -0.10%
IDX Property.. 698 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6205👍 -0.0215 -0.32%
ICBI…377.2193👍 +0.6214 +0.16%
US2Yr.4.205 -0.004 -0.10%
US5Yr 3.813 -0.026 -0.68%
US10Yr3.874 -0.037 -0.95%
US30Yr.4.118-0.055 -1.32%
VIX…13.88 -0.47 -3.28%‼️

USDIndx 103.0700❗️ -0.209 -0.20%
Como Indx..269.71 -2.70 -0.99%
BCOMIN……137.50 -1.76 -1.27%

IndoCDS..74.74 -1.96 -2.56%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/01)

IDR…..15764.50‼️ -18.00 -0.11%
Jisdor.15775.00 ‼️-28.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0873 +0.0059 +0.55%

TLKM…25.82 +0.66 +2.62%
(4073)
EIDO……22.03 +0.17 +0.78%
EEM……38.76 +0.37 +0.96%

Oil…….73.82 -2.03 -2.68%
Gold..2071.10 +3.70 +0.18%
Timah..26233.00 +228.00 +0.88%
(Closed 31/01)
Nickel..16242.00 -25.00 -0.15%
(Closed 31/01)
Silver……23.24 +0.07 +0.29%
Copper.385.35 -5.25 -1.34%

Iron Ore 62% 135.13 -0.48 -0.35%
(31/01)
Nturl Gas..2.047 -0.088 -4.12%‼️
Ammonia China.3236.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(31/01/02)

Coal price 116.00 -0.50 -0.43%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.00 -1.10 -0.93%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.90 -1.80 -1.53%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.116.55 -1.00 -0.85%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .97.80 -1.80 -1.81%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.20 -2.70 -2.78%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.00: -0.65 -0.69%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.50 -1.20 -1.31%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3795 +3 +0.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.25 -1.00 -0.22%
SoybeanOil 45.60 -0.42 -0.91%
Wheat….602.50 +6.25 +1.05%

Wood pulp..5092.00 +6 +0.12%
(Closed 01/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah… US ijo, europe merah, asia varied, bond rates turun semua, USD index turun, harusnya ijo IHSG hari ini…

Metal2 varied, gold tin, silver ijo, nickel copper iron ore merah. Goldprice MACD buy tapi MDKA dibanting, curiga ada bocoran LK masih merah. Oil gas coal merah, CPO ijo tipis, market belum jelas mau kemana, tapi banyak technical buy signal. Boleh belanja asal tertib cutloss

IHSG – technical masih jelek, stoch down macd down MFI w% sw, BD flat, bagusnya FNB terus minggu ini. Idealnya sih dapet flat style ABC correction, jadi ga dibanting sampe dibawah 6900, kita liat aja gimana jalannya market

Tinggal Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials kebanting MDKA kayanya, tapi semoga BRPT INKP masih tetep manggung sebagai saham2 contrarian sih

Stochastic Buy Signal: SRTG UNTR AUTO BMTR DOID TINS ISSP UNIC KKGI. Big Acc SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO TBIG SGRO

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big acc: SMGR

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS