March 31th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher a second-straight day, Dow jumps more than 100 points

The S&P 500 rose Thursday, as investors bet the worst of the regional bank crisis has passed.

Dow……32859 +141.4 +0.43%
Nasdaq12015 +87.2 +0.73%
S&P 500.4051 +23.02 +0.57%

FTSE…..7620 +56.2 +0.74%
Dax…..15522. +193.6 +1.26%
CAC……7263 +76.4 +1.06%

Nikkei…..27783 -100.9 +1.33%
HSI………20309 +116.7 +0.58%
Shanghai.3261 +21.2 +0.65%

IDX…..6808.95 -30.49 -0.45%
LQ45….939.61 -7.39 -0.78%
IDX30…489.36 -3.80 -0.77%

IDXEnergy…2086.28 -25.76 -1.22%
IDX BscMat 1182.35 +1.58 +0.13%
IDX Indstrl…1177.18 -3.52 -0.30%
IDXNONCYC.734.71 -5.93 -0.80%
IDX Hlthcare1536.27 -6.54 -0.42%
IDXCYCLIC…..825.62 -5.24 -0.63%
IDX Techno..5138.70 -100.36 -1.92%
IDX Transp..1799.82 -12.11 -0.67%
IDX Infrast…..810.54 -6.06 -0.74%
IDX Finance.1384.10 -3.58 -0.26%
IDX Banking.1137.27 -2.33 -0.20%
IDX Property…682 -3.6 -0.53%

Indo10Yr.6.8082 -0.0051 -0.07%
ICBI…..352.8497 +0.0169 +0.00%
US2Yr.4.1215 +0.0205 +0.50%
US5Yr 3.6802 -0.0017 -0.05%
US10Yr3.5470 -0.0190 -0.53%
US30Yr.3.7300-0.0350 -0.93%
VIX…… 19.02 -0.10 -0.52%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.264.38 +1.67 +0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…159.05 -0.78 -0.49%

IndoCDS..105.920 -0.986 -0.92%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/29)

IDR…..15047.50👍 -8.50 -0.06%
Jisdor.15062.00👍 -32.00 -0.21%

Euro……1.0907 +0.0064 +0.59%

TLKM….27.43 +0.03 +0.11%
(4132)
EIDO……23.51 -0.12 -0.51%
EEM……39.51 +0.39 +1.00%

Oil……74.37 +1.40 +1.92%
Gold.1997.70 +13.20 +0.67%
Timah 25814.00 +44.00 +0.17%
(Closed 03/29)
Nickel..23092.50 -717.50 -3.03%‼️
(Closed 03/30)
Silver…..23.99 +0.52 +2.23%
Copper..409.15 +0.50 +0.12%

Nturl Gas.2.104 -0.080 -3.66%‼️

Ammonia 3966.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.176.75 +0.15 +0.08%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.187.50 -5.25 -2.72%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.40 -2.60 -1.31%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price..200.00 -0.25 -0.12%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.90 +0.15 +0.11%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.137.00 -1.55 -1.12%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 133.25 -2.25 -1.66%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.70 -1.60 -1.19%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3791 +101 +2.73%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..649.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil.54.37 -1.01 -1.82%
Wheat…..692.25 -12.50 -1.77%

Wood pulp…5200.00 -40 -0.76%
(Closed 03/30)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional ijo, IDX aja merah sendirian, hehehe… Tanda2 mau ijo lagi hari ini

Oil up gas down coal spot ijo tipis, future down, metal2 naik semua kecuali nikel yang drop, ANTM MDKA lanjut harusnya. CPO lanjut ijo, menarik dicermati

Nope, CPO belum ok chart nya…

IHSG – masih ok chart nya, despite ada gap dibawah… stoch macd up, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD FF acc, dari retracement pattern setelah wave 5 terakhir pas kemaren rejection candle di fibo 38, ada kemungkinan dibawa ke fibo 23 lagi dulu sebelum lanjut rally, tapi kalo liat index lain bagus kayanya dilanjut ke fibo 50 dulu sebelum koreksi. Pas sama resistace previous high di 6960, bakal jadi double bottom kalo lanjut breakout

sudutnya paling ok Basic Materials, lanjut Financials,Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals. Anehnya Consumer Non-Cyclicals melemah, profit taking dulu mungkin, Property juga, Financials mulai gerak malah melemah

Stochastic Buy Signal: TLKM ISAT

MACD Buy Signal banyak: ACES SMGR TINS GGRM LSIP MTMH SMDR WSKT LSIP MPMX

Kita sort lagi pake FF dan bandarmology

Alligator Buy Signal: DOID

Supertrend Buy Signal: MPMX

March 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday as investors try to shake off latest bank fears

Stocks rose Friday after a volatile trading session. Although Friday began with fears that the banking crisis was spilling over to Deutsche Bank, the markets rebounded to end the week on a higher note.

Dow……32238 +132.3 +0.41%
Nasdaq11824 +36.6 +0.31%
S&P 500.3971 +22.3 +0.56%

FTSE…..7405 -94.2 -1.26%
Dax…..14957 -253.2 -1.66%
CAC……7015 -124.2 -1.74%

Nikkei…..27385 -34.4 -0.13%
HSI………19915 -133.96 -0.67%
Shanghai.3266 -21.0 -0.64%

IDX…..6762.25 +70.64 +1.06%
LQ45….941.04 +11.05 +1.19%
IDX30…490.93 +5.66 +1.17%

IDXEnergy…1995.06 +12.02 +0.61%
IDX BscMat 1154.73 +15.12 +1.33%
IDX Indstrl…1151.67 +11.08 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC..728.32 +11.04 +1.54%
IDX Hlthcare1540.35 -5.32 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…..801.84 +11.48 +1.45%
IDX Techno..5026.10 +118.54+2.42%
IDX Transp..1773.55 +25.12 +1.44%
IDX Infrast…..806.17 -3.49 -0.43%
IDX Finance.1390.07+16.96 +1.23%
IDX Banking.1157.91 +23.41 +2.06%
IDX Property….677 +12.1 +1.83%

Indo10Yr.6.8609 -0.045 -0.66%👍
ICBI…..352.0677 +1.1141+0.32%👍
US2Yr3.7667 -0.0579 -1.51%
US5Yr 3.4075 -0.0232 -0.68%
US10Yr3.3720 -0.0790 -2.29%
US30Yr.3.644 -0.0370 -1.01%
VIX…… 21.75 -0.87 -3.85%

USDIndx103.1160 +0.5840 +0.57%
Como Indx.258.49 +0.71 +0.28 %
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.83 +0.37 +0.23%

IndoCDS..112.800 +6.892 +6.51%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/24)

IDR…..15153.00 -192.00 -1.25%👍
Jisdor.15189.00 -160.00 -1.05%👍

Euro……1.0760 -0.0068 -0.63%

TLKM….27.04 +0.03 +0.11%
(4107)
EIDO……22.89 +0.31 +1.37%
EEM……38.67 -0.10 -0.26%

Oil……69.26 -0.28 -0.40%
Gold.2001.70 -9.70 -0.48%
Timah .24830.00 +482.00 +1.98%
(Closed 03/24)
Nickel..23652.00 +1141.00 +5.07%‼️
(Closed 03/24)
Silver…..23.34 +0.16 +0.69%
Copper..407.50 -2.20 -0.54%

Nturl Gas.2.181 +0.031 +1.44%

Ammonia 4016.67 -83.33 -2.03%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/23)

Coal price.175.35 -1.30 -0.74%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.35 +9.20 +5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.34 +10.25 +5.60%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.95 +7.90 +4.29%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.135.15 -0.65 -0.48%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.05 -3.00 -2.34%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.75 -2.25 -1.80%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.90 -2.70 -2.18%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3531 -40 -1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..643.00 +11.25 +1.78%
SoybeanOil.53.27 +1.10 +2.11%
Wheat…..688.00 +26.50+4.00%‼️

Wood pulp…5320.00 -7.0 -1.30%
(Closed 03/25)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US jum’at closing ijo, Europe merah, Asia merah, IDX ijo sendiri… Harusnya lanjut tapi ada gap tipis kemaren, prepare closing gap dulu sebelum naik, semoga cuma dikasih long lower shadow aja

Oil Merah, Coal rotterdam dan newcastle spot merah, NCF future nya ijo tebel, gas ijo, metal2 varied, gold copper merah, silver ijo, timah nikel ijo tebel, INCO jalan kayanya ini, signalnya udah kemaren

IHSG – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI w% up, BD FF acc, ABC correction level seems done, ew reset keliatannya, udah close diatas MA10, mantul dari lower channel, cross midline LR, semoga lanjut

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials nyusul

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO ASII BBCA BRIS INDY MEDC SCMA TINS TOWR BMTR SMRA MBSS MPMX

Yang Big Accum BBCA

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT BBCA CPIN ICBO INKP, AMRT BBCA CPIN ICBP big accum, pas sama suasana ramadhan/lebaran

March 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Dow breaks 4-week losing streak as 10-year Treasury yield retreats

Stocks rose Friday as Treasury yields eased from their recent highs and investors weighed the cumulative impact from Fed hikes already implemented and digested this week’s comments from the central bank.

Dow…..33391 +387.4 +1.17%
Nasdaq11689 +226.02+1.97%
S&P 500.4046 +64.3 +1.61%

FTSE…….7947 +3.1 +0.04%
Dax……..15578 +250.8 +1.64%
CAC……..7348 +63.9 +0.88%

Nikkei…..27927 +428.6 +1.56%
HSI……. .20568 +138.1 +0.68%
Shanghai.3328 +17.7 +0.54%

IDX…..6813.64 -43.78 -0.64%
LQ45….938.96 -6.81 -0.32 %
IDX30…488.79 -4.47 -0.91%

IDXEnergy…2107.96 -6.81 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1218.98 -2.68. -0.22%
IDX Indstrl..1197.20 -9.57 -0.79%
IDXNONCYC..731.63 -8.37 -1.13%
IDX Hlthcare1555.33 -5.62 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…845.42 -1.61 -0.19%
IDX Techno.5455.78 +43.53 + 0.80%
IDX Transp..1844.09 -25.53 -1.37%
IDX Infrast….848.99 +4.13 +0.49%
IDX Finance1404.95 -10.17 -0.72%
IDX Banking1127.75 -12.61 -1.11%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9361 +0.0256 +0.37%‼️
ICBI….349.0803 -0.0894 -0.03%‼️
US2Yr 4.8606‼️-0.0004 -0.01%
US5Yr 4.2492‼️ -0.0038 -0.09%
US10Yr3.9580‼️ -0.0050 -0.14%
US30Yr.3.8780‼️-0.0090 -0.24%
VIX……. 18.49 -1.10 -5.62%

USDIndx104.5210 -0.4630 -0.44%‼️
Como Indx.275.05 +3.75 +1.38%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….162.00 +0.42 +0.26%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15311.00 +30.50 +0.20%‼️
Jisdor.15306.00 +33.00 +0.22%‼️

Euro……1.0635 +0.0036 +0.34%

TLKM….26.02 +0.31 +1.21%
(39283)
EIDO……22.61 -0.21 -0.92%
EEM……39.54 +0.35 +0.89%

Oil……79.68 +1.52 +1.94%
Gold.1854.60 +14.10+0.77%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24675 +443.00 +1.83%
(Closed 03/03)
Silver…….21.24 +0.34 +1.61%
Copper..406.70 -0.90 -0.22%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4406.67 -16.67 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/02)

Coal price.188.90 -4.10 -2.12%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.40 -2.60 -1.31%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.30 -2.35 -1.17%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.00 -4.35 -2.12%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.131.75 -11.50 -8.03%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.25 -13.75 -9.82%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.80 -14.20-10.07%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.35 -14.35 -10.13%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4357 +64 +1.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..639.75 +6.00 +0.95%
SoybeanOil..61.19 -0.71 -1.15%
Wheat……708.75 -4.00 -0.56%

Wood pulp…5800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at ijo tebel, in fact malah IHSG doang yang closing merah, semua asia eropa ijo… 😅

Oil Ijo Gas Coal merah, metal2 ijo semua, kecuali copper, CPO ijo, TINS udah buy signal, mungkin MDKA hari ini kalo closing ijo

IHSG – retest fibo 38, dan pas mantul disitu seperti sebelumnya. Stoch buy, macd down, BD FF dist, MFI W% down, masih optimis false break jadi mantul

Industrials, Property, Energy

Stoch Buy Signal: INTP MDKA TBIG DSNG MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO TBIG TINS

Alligator Buy Signal: ASII ITMG UNTR APIC CTRA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BSSR

March 03rd 2023

Good morning,

Dow…..33034 +341.7 +1.05%
Nasdaq11463 +84.5 +0.73%
S&P 500.3981 +29.96 +0.76%

FTSE…….7944 +29.1 +0.37%
Dax……..15328 +22.6 +0.15%
CAC……..7284 +49.97 +0.69%

Nikkei…..27499 -17.7 -0.06%
HSI……..20429 -190.3 -0.92%
Shanghai.3311 -1.7 -0.05%

IDX…..6857.42 +12.48 +0.18%
LQ45….947.15 +1.33 +0.14 %
IDX30…493.17 +0.87 +0.18%

IDXEnergy…2114.76 +21.21 +1.01%
IDX BscMat 1221.67 -17.63 -1.42%
IDX Indstrl..1206.77 +12.35 +1.03%
IDXNONCYC..740.00 +3.00 +0.41%
IDX Hlthcare1560.95 +4.43 +0.28%
IDXCYCLIC…847.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Techno.5412.25 -4.87 – 0.09%
IDX Transp..1869.62 -33.57 -1.76%
IDX Infrast….844.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Finance1415.12 +5.57 +0.39%
IDX Banking1140.36 +6.21 +0.55%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9105 +0.0364 +0.53%‼️
ICBI….349.1696 -0.7977 -0.23%‼️
US5Yr 4.3143‼️ +0.0490 +1.16%
US10Yr4.0620‼️ +0.0660 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.0010‼️+0.0480 +1.21%
VIX……. 19.59 -0.99 -4.81%

USDIndx104.9840 +0.6210 +0.60%‼️
Como Indx.271.30 -1.51 -0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.59 -2.95 -1.79%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15280.00 +45.50 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor.15273.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……1.0599 -0.0069 -0.64%

TLKM….25.71 -0.17 -0.66%
(3927)
EIDO……22.82 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM…….39.19 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…….78.16 +0.47 +0.61%
Gold.. 1840.50 -4.90 -0.27%
Timah 25334 +371 +1.49%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24232 -899.00 -3.58%‼️
(Closed 03/02)
Silver…….20.90 -0.19 -0.92%
Copper..407.60 -8.40 -2.02%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4390.00 -16.66 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price.193.00 -0.50 -0.26%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.198.00 +1.25 +0.64%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.65 +1.40 +0.70%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.35 +1.20 +0.59%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.25 -0.60 -0.42%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 140.00 -3.55 -2.47%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.00 -4.40 -3.03%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.70 -4.90 -3.34%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4293 +105 +2.51%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.75 -2.00 -0.31%
SoybeanOil..61.90 +1.07 +1.76%
Wheat……712.75 +2.75 +0.39%

Wood pulp…5840.00 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 03/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lumayan tebel, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG ijo kemaren tapi ada 26 saham ARB, rada anomali

Oil ijo gas coal merah, metal2 merah kecuali timah, nikel malah drop. Belum saatnya belanja saham tambang mineral logam, dikit lagi…

CPO naik tinggi, mungkin ini saatnya mulai rally. Kita check detail di emitennya nanti

IHSG – kemaren sudah FNB, stoch buy, macd masih down but flattening, MFI sw, W% sw, masih jadwal wave 3, keliatan bentuk triangle pattern, semoga breakout ke atas

Industrials Energy Property. Bank2 sudah mulai buy signal tapi sektor Financials nya belum firm

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO BBCA BBNI BUKA TINS AALI BRMS

MACD Buy Signal: INCO PGAS MAPI

Alligator Buy Signal: DOID IGAR

Supertrend Buy Signal: ITMG IGAR

ARTO skip

BBCA – buat indikasi aja, bukan mau dibeli, hehehe… stoch buy, macd still down, BD FF net sell, MFI down, w% downtrend, masih jadwal wave 3 tapi lagi jatahnya sideways dulu, belum…

BUKA – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, W% downtrend, BD dist, FF acc tipis, dari IPO drop, belum retrace, pelan2 bottom nya tambah tinggi, sektor bukan leading, belum sih

TINS – stoch buy macdbuy, MFI up, W% uptrend, BD acc, masih NFS tipis, ew reverse done, ketemu regbull div terus mantul, kejedot fibo 23, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy harusnya

Ternyata spike nya ok, spike tinggi pas harga sideways

Harga aman. Ada gap juga di atas, bisa spec buy half, half lagi tunggu firm acc BD dan FF

AALI – stoch buy bolak balik, macd up MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, abis drop mulai gerak naikpelan2 belum ada gerakan signifikan yang diikuti higher low, WNS deh

BRMS – Technical ok, tapi saham bakrie nggak deh

INCO – stoch up macd buy, 833 sell, MFI up, BD FF acc, w% sw, masih konsol di sekitar fibo 61 terjunan abc correction, belum lanjut wave 3. Kalo mau entry tunggu 833 buy lagi while MACD masih firm. Nikel drop jadi agak khawatir dulu

PGAS – stoch up macd buy, MFI sw, BD FF acc, w%up, belum breakout resistance, hold, kalo breakout neckline nambah

MAPI – saham hajatan, baru kemaren sell signal MACD sekarang ngebalik lagi, masalahnya udah naik tinggi, udah wave 5 dan udah ketemu bearish divergence, ga ok buat new entry, kalo yang udah pegang berani hold sambil pasang trailing stop

DOID – coal emang pada gerak, stoch up, macd up, alligator buy, MFI sw, W% uptrend, mau breakout patternd double bottom, yang belum punya coal boleh beli ini… Saya pegang HRUM

ITMG – kalo masuk sekarang nanggung, belum pasti breakout resistance, kalo entry dari kemaren pas buy signal MACD ok hold, entry baru mending nunggu konfirmasi breakout resistance 38.675

IGAR skip