Daily Analysis 20250813

Daily Analysis 20250813

Good morning,

August 13th, 2025

S&P 500 closes above 6,400 for first time as rate cut bets jump after CPI inflation report

The S&P 500 closed above 6,400 for the first time ever amid a broad stock market rally on Tuesday as Wall Street digested fresh inflation data.

Dow…..44459 +483.6 +1.10%
Nasdaq 21682 +296.5 +1.39%
S&P 500 6446 +72.4 +1.14%

FTSE…..9148 +18.1 +0.14%
Dax…..24025 -56.6 -0.23%
CAC…..7753 +54.9 +0.71%

Nikkei…42718 +897.7 +2.15%
HSI………24970 +62.9 +0.25%
Shanghai.3666 +18.4 +0.50%

IDX..7791.70 +186.7 +2.44%‼️
LQ45..823.26 +23.67 +2.96%‼️
IDX30.425.82 +12.56 +3.04%‼️

IDXEnergy.3601.98 +27.90 +0.92%
IDX BscMat1635.85 -14.41 -0.87%
IDX Indstr..1127.24 +53.75 +5.01%‼️
IDXNONCYC.705.38 +0.99 +0.14%
IDX Hlthcare1625.99 +15.99+0.99%
IDXCYCLC..790.55 +2.21 +0.28%
IDX Techno.9315.88 +486.96 +5.52%‼️
IDX Transp 1539.78 +0.00. +0.01%
IDX Infrast .1929.302 +37.68 +1.99%
IDX Finance 1457.04 +41.19 +2.91%
IDX Banking 1077.47 +44.10 +4.27%
IDX Property..811 -2.90 -0.25%

Indo10Yr.6.5393 -0.0019 -0.29%
ICBI….422.0445 +0.3004 +0.07%
US2Yr.3.733 -0.033 -0.88%
US5Yr 3.821 -0.011 -0.31%
US10Yr4.291 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4. 878 +0.031 +0.64%
VIX..14.73 -1.52 -9.35%👍

USDIndx..98.0970❗️-0.423 -0.43%
Como Indx.295.36 -0.33 -0.11%
BCOMIN..142.78 +1.69 +1.19%

IndoCDS 5yr.73.93 -0.94 -1.26%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/08)

IDR…….16289.50❗️ +10.00 +0.06%
Jisdor…16298.00❗️ +45.00 +0.28%

Euro..1.1677❗️+0.0063 +0.54%

TLKM..19.31 +1.00 +5.46%‼️
( 3147)
EIDO….18.61 +0.63 +3.50%‼️
EEM…49.90 +0.60 +1.22%

Oil…63.10 -1.04 -1.62%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…66.12 -0.53 -0.77%
(Brent)

Gold.3403.30 +8.90 +0.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3350.79 +3.20 +0.10%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33886.00 +81.00 +0.24%
(Closed 12/08)
Nickel…15293.63 +14.00 +0.09%
(Closed 12/08)
Silver……37.64 -0.90 -2.39%
Copper.444.95 -2.20 -0.49%

Iron Ore 62% 102.41 +1.19 +1.18%
(12/08)

Nturl Gas .2.984 -0.006 -0.20%

Ammonia China.2450.00 -50 -2.02%
(Domestic Price 12/08)

Coal price111.70 -0.55 -0.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.60 -1.95 -1.72%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.113.00 -1.15 -1.01%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..114.25 -0.50 -0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 100.35 -1.00 -0.99%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.35 -2.25 -2.19%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.100.75 -2.25 -2.18%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.55 -2.40 -2.31%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4400 +16 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……394.50 -13.25 -3.25%
SoybeanOil 53.14 +0.14 +0.26%
Wheat…505.00 -10.00 -1.94%

Wood pulp..5876.67 +33.33 +0.74%
(Closed 12/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren hampir semua index regional ijo kecuali german. US treasury bond yield down, cocok buat lanjut ijo hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali silver copper, oil lanjut down, gas down coal down, CPO up, kenapa ini energy belum jadi jalan?

IHSG – stoch buy macd rev buy, MFI flat, w% uptrend, bd acc FNB udah 2 hari, sayangnya nambah gap baru lagi, ketemu reg bear div, bisa jadi ga ketahan emang mau dibawa ke atas ini index, dengan kemaren big banks dan big caps lain pada di gas, secara umum yang buy signal bisa buy tapi jangan lupa trailing stop dan stop loss, euforia berlebihan berbahaya

Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property (tapi sudutnya melemah), Healthcare, Transportation, Financials (finally!!!) Kalo firm Financials jalan berarti lanjut rally wave 3

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BBRI BRIS ICBP JSMR MEDC PTBA BNGA GGRM GJTL PNLF PTRO, big accum ADRO BBRI PTBA GGRM PNLF

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI BBTN EXCL JSMR MAPA SIDO BNGA MIKA, big accum BBRI BBTN EXCL SIDO

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBCA BBNI BBTN BMRI AGRO, Big accum BBCA BBTN BMRI

Daily Analysis 20250213

Daily Analysis 20250213

February 13th, 2025

Dow leads stocks lower as hot inflation data pushes back rate cut hopes

US stocks were largely lower on Wednesday as investors digested a hotter-than-expected January inflation reading and investors pared back bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2025.

Dow……44369 -224.97 -0.50%
Nasdaq 19650 +6.1 +0.03%
S&P 500 6052 -16.5 -0.27%

FTSE…..8807 +30.1 +0.34%
Dax……22148 +110.2 +0.50%
CAC……8042 +13.3 +0.17%

Nikkei…38964 +162.5 +0.42%
HSI……21858 +563.1 +2.64%
Shanghai.3343 +28.4 +0.85%

IDX…6645.78❗️+113.79 +1.74%
LQ45…776.31❗️+14.22 +1.87%
IDX30.401.30❗️ +6.72 +1.70%

IDXEnergy…..2553.73 +31.30 +1.24%
IDX BscMat..1116.57 +10.90 +0.99%
IDX Indstrl… .931.11 +7.67 +0.83%
IDXNONCYC.698.51 +3.59 +0.52%
IDX Hlthcare1366.81 +29.84 +2.23%
IDXCYCLC…796.36 +9.90 +1.26%
IDX Techno.4607.30 +77.50 +1.71%
IDX Transp ..1193.90 +4.17 +0.35%
IDX Infrast 1335.76 +37.63 +2.90%‼️
IDX Finance1350.95 +17.45 +1.31%
IDX Banking1071.30 +19.07 +1.81%
IDX Property. 725 +9.10 +1.28%

Indo10Yr.6.8981❗️+0.0057 +0.08%
ICBI….399.7757❗️+0.0807 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.357 +0.067 +1.56%
US5Yr 4.469 +0.097 +2.22%
US10Yr4.627 +0.091 +2.01%
US30Yr.4.832 +0.081 +1.70%
VIX..15.89 -0.13 -0.81%❗️

USDIndx 107.9780❗️+0.060 +0.06%
Como Indx..313.43 +1.42 +0.46%
BCOMIN..148.32 +1.01 +0.68%

IndoCDS…76.19❗️-0.01 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/02)

IDR…….16376.00❗️-7.50 -0.05%
Jisdor..16364.00❗️-16.00 -0.10%

Euro…1.0387 +0.0023 +0.22%

TLKM…15.21 +0.68 +4.64%‼️
( 2489)
EIDO….17.46 +0.17 +0.95%
EEM…..43.55 -0.18 -0.41%

Oil………71.22 -2.10 -2.86%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.01 -1.76 -2.29%
(Brent)
Gold…2932.60❗️ -6.30 -0.21%
(Comex)
Gold…2903.74❗️ +5.87 +0.20%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31164.00 +19.00 +0.06%
(Closed 12/02)
.Nickel.15427.38 -32.50 -0.21%
(Closed 12/02)
Silver……32.70 +0.37 +1.15%
Copper.469.55 +9.45 +2.05%

Iron Ore 62% 106.32 -0.65 -0.61%
(10/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.441 +0.070 +2.03%
Ammonia China. 2370.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(12/02)

Coal price.104.50 -0.25 -0.24%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.107.40 +0.70 +0.66%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 110.75 +0.65 +0.59%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 114.35 +0.60 +0.53%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.10 +0.20 +0.19%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.25 +0.35 +0.34%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.80 +0.35 +0.34%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.15 +0.20 +0.20%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4624 +29 +0.63%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………504.00 +6.00 +1.20%
SoybeanOil 46.13 -0.48 -1.03%
Wheat….574.25 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 12/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo tipis europe asia ijo, US treasury bond yield jump, ga bagus ini, padahal maunya tutup gap nih IHSG

USD index naik dikit, metal2 naik kecuali iron ore, oil drop, gas up, coal up, CPO up, semoga rebound lanjut ADRO

IHSG – stoch macd mfi down, 833 buy, w% downtrend, masih NFS, BD rev acc, di support kuat 6500, ada gap di atas, reg bull div, semoga hari ini walaupun koreksi tapi terkendali terus lanjut mantul

Dari RSI masih technology dipimpin BUKA lanjut leading, terlihat bagus juga Consumer non-cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Industrials, Healthcare, kaya udah siap2 buat IHSG mantul

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII ESSA HRUM MDKA BBYB PNLF SRTG, big accum ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: MAPI MDKA AUTO BTPS, big accum BTPS