Posts Tagged ‘Technology’

Daily Analysis 20220825

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

Global update:

August 25th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks end Wednesday higher, Dow and S&P 500 snap three-day slide

Stocks rose Wednesday, snapping a three-day decline in the Dow and the S&P 500, as investors awaited more clarity on the Federal Reserve’s fight against inflation.

Dow…….32969 +59.6 +0.18%
Nasdaq.12432 +50.2 +0.41%
S&P 500..4141 +12 +0.29%

FTSE…….7471 -16.6 -0.22%
Dax……..13220 +25.8 +0.39%
CAC……..6387 +24.7 +0.39%

Nikkei….28313 -139.3 -0.49%
HSI……..19269 -234.5 -1.20%
Shanghai..3215 -61.02 -1.86%
ST Times..3233 -12.7 -0.39%

IDX…….7194.71 +31.44 +0.44%
LQ45…1026.61 +3.61 +0.35%

IDX Energy…1859.83 +15.55 +0.84%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.57 -4.59 -0.35%
IDX Industrl..1315.97 +10.02 +0.77%
IDXNONCYC..711.52 -2.66 -0.37%
IDX Hlthcare.1413.83 -0.05 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..898.20 +0.81 +0.09%
IDX Techno..8058.64 +183.16 +2.33%
IDX Transp…2002.03 -8.51 -0.42%
IDX Infrast…..1038.90 +0.78 +0.07%
IDX Finance 1503.76 +2.60 +0.17%
IDX Banking..1138.23 -0.07 -0.01%
IDX Property…709 +2.04 +0.34%

Indo10Yr….7.1587 -0.0283 -0.39%
ICBI……..336.3387 +0.6148 +0.18%
US10Yr…..3.1060 +0.0520 +1.70%
VIX……….22.82 -1.29 -5.35%

USDIndx 108.6770 +0.0530 +0.05%
Como Indx..298.86 +2.55 +0.86%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.83 -0.80 -0.51%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14848.00 +10.50 +0.07%
Jisdor..14851 .00 -42.00 -0.28%

Euro………0.9969 -0.0001 -0.01%‼️

TLKM……..31.63 +0.55 +1.77%
(4697)
EIDO………23.92 +0.16 +0.67%
EEM………39.75 -0.01 -0.03%

Oil…………..95.25 +1.50 +1.60%
Gold ……..1764.40 +3.50 +0.20%
Timah. .24505.00 +40.00 +0.16%
( Closed 23/8)
Nickel….21407.50 -443.50 -2.03%‼️
(Closed 24/8)
Silver…….19.08 -0.02 -0.10%
Copper….364.50 -3.40 -0.92%

Nturl Gas…..9.236 -0.006 -0.06%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(23/8)

Coal price….412.60 -5.00 -1.20%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.00 -5.00 -1.18%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.25 -8.75 -2.08%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….371.25 +1.25 +0.34%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….376.90 -2.05 -0.54%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….368.40 -2.60 -0.70%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4304 +67 +1.58%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..657.25 +2.00 +0.31%
SoybeanOil…65.98 -0.94 -1.40%
Wheat………813.25 +12.75 +1.59%

Wood pulp…6704.00 +4 +0.06%
(Closed 24/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah, US ijo, IDX mau ikut ijo atau merah ya? Karena udah run 2 hari, kayanya opening ijo dulu terus closing merah. Yang pegang sektor non Energy Healthcare dan Consumer Non-cyclicals mending TP TP in dulu, minimal setengahnya

Europe mayoritas ijo, Asia mayoritas merah…

Oil Gold TImah CPO naik, Nikel Silver copper gas coal turun

Kesempatan ini buat BOW coal. CPO naik tapi ga terlalu significant kita coba liat efeknya ke AALI dan LSIP dari signal hari ini

IHSG – berhasil ijo lagi kemaren, disaat index regional lain pada merah. Di diskusi group2 wa dan telegram mulai keluar optimistic forecast: Mau bikin new All Time High… Bukannya ga ngarep itu kejadian, tapi index bikin new ATH itu harusnya gambaran dari keadaan ekonomi Indonesia, dan terpengaruh juga sama kondisi global. Kondisi ancaman perang dunia ke-4 dan krisis energi gini sepertinya sih bukan sentimen positif untuk sekarang2 bisa bikin new record high. Indicator2 technical nya juga kurang mendukung ke arah situ

Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cycicals, Technology

Energy – Still all good…

Kalopun turun keseret index aja keliatannya

Daily Analysis 20220815

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

Global update:

August 15th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up 400 points, S&P 500 rises for fourth straight week as investors warm to cooler inflation

Stocks rose sharply on Friday, clinching the fourth straight positive week for the S&P 500 as investors celebrated signs that inflation may be peaking.

Dow…….33761 +424.4 +1.27%
Nasdaq.13047 +267.3 +2.09%
S&P 500..4280 +72.9 +1.73%

FTSE…….7501 +34.98 +0.47%
Dax……..13796 +101.3 +0.74%
CAC……..6554 +9.2 +0.14%

Nikkei….28547 +727.7 +2.62%
HSI……..20175 +622.0 +2.21%
Shanghai..3277 +93.2 +0.46%
ST Times..3269 -32.7 -0.99%

IDX…….7129.28 -31.11 -0.43%
LQ45…1012.04 -6.29 -0.62%

IDX Energy…1816.88 -6.47 -0.35%
IDX Bsc Mat.1353.09 -4.36 -0.32%
IDX Industrl..1310.33 +3.07 +0.23%
IDXNONCYC..703.50 -1.36 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1414.35 -0.51 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..899.04 +3.88 +0.43%
IDX Techno..8083.54 -172.87 -2.09%
IDX Transp…2088.31 -20.36 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1050.72 +6.68 +0.64%
IDX Finance 1526.29 -11.28 -0.73%
IDX Banking..1156.62 -10.54 -0.50%
IDX Property…..712 +3.0 +0.43%

Indo10Yr….7.1203 -0.0886 -1.23%👍*
ICBI……..336.3364 +0.6001 +0.18%👍
US10Yr…..2.8490 -0.0390 -1.35%
VIX…………19.53 -0.67 -3.32%👍

USDIndx 105.6310 +0.5410 0.51%‼
Como Indx..293.48 -1.58 -0.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.44 -3.83 -2.33%
.
IndoCDS…97.19 – 5.20 -5.73%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14668.00 -97.50 -0.66%👍
Jisdor..14688 .00 -111.00 -0.75%👍

Euro………1.0259 -0.0068 -0.66%

TLKM……..31.31 +0.37 +1.20%
(4593)
EIDO………24.24 +0.14 +0.58%
EEM………41.05 +0.43 +1.06%

Oil…………..92.09 -2.02 -2.15%
Gold ……..1815.50 +10.80 +0.60%
Timah. .25177.00 -208.00 -0.82%
( Closed 12/8)
Nickel…23093.50 -607.50 -2.56%‼
(Closed 12/8)
Silver…….20.85 +0.61 +3.01%
Copper….366.85 -2.55 -0.69%

Nturl Gas…..8.780 +0.0530 +0.61%

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(11/8)

Coal price….407.65 +6.65 +1.66%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….403.00 +5.70 +1.43%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.25 +5.75 +1.48%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….350.50 +6.50 +1.89%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….341.70 +3.45 +1.02%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….331.70 +2.95 +0.90%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4420 +152 +3.56%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………642.25 +14.50 +2.31%
SoybeanOil…67.97 +0.35 +0.52%
Wheat………822.50 -3.75 -0.45%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, Europe Ijo, Asia Varied, Nikkei Ijo tebel.
Gold Silver Coal CPO naik, Nickel Drop, Copper Tin Gas turun. Coal udah diatas 400 USD/MT lagi.

Kalo market normal, harusnya ini bagus buat MDKA ADRO, jelek buat ANTM INCO TINS. Oil sama Gas masih bolak balik aja belum jadi run buat ELSA MEDC PGAS

Worst Case Scenario, walaupun kemunginan besar tidakakan terjadi, tapi melihat gap-gap yang ada, harus siap menghadapi kemungkinan ini

Kalo ikut trend recovery mungkin gini, tutup gap yang bawah nya di skip

IHSG – Secara teknikal kemungkinan besar turun dulu, tutup gap sekalian bikin wave 2 baru lanjut ke atas, tapi US Europe ijo tebel, mungkin juga rada panjangan lagi wave 1 nya ke atas, ga cuma tutup gap aja.

Agribusiness Explained: What It Is, Challenges, and Examples

Written by admin. Posted in A, Financial Terms Dictionary

[ad_1]

What Is Agribusiness?

Agribusiness is the business sector encompassing farming and farming-related commercial activities. It involves all the steps required to send an agricultural good to market, namely production, processing, and distribution. This industry is an important component of the economy in countries with arable land since agricultural products can be exported.

Agribusiness treats the different aspects of raising agricultural products as an integrated system. Farmers raise animals and harvest fruits and vegetables with the help of sophisticated harvesting techniques, including the use of GPS to direct operations. Manufacturers develop increasingly efficient machines that can drive themselves. Processing plants determine the best way to clean and package livestock for shipping. While each subset of the industry is unlikely to interact directly with the consumer, each is focused on operating efficiently in order to keep prices reasonable.

Key Takeaways

  • Agribusiness is a combination of the words “agriculture” and “business” and refers to any business related to farming and farming-related commercial activities.
  • Agribusiness involves all the steps required to send an agricultural good to market, namely production, processing, and distribution.
  • Companies in the agribusiness industry encompass all aspects of food production.
  • Climate change has placed intensifying pressure on many companies in the agribusiness industry to successfully adapt to the large-scale shifts in weather patterns.

Click Play to Learn About Agribusiness

Understanding Agribusiness

Market forces have a significant impact on the agribusiness sector, as do natural forces, such as changes in the earth’s climate.

  • Changes in consumer taste alter what products are grown and raised. For example, a shift in consumer tastes away from red meat may cause demand—and therefore prices—for beef to fall, while increased demand for produce may shift the mix of fruits and vegetables that farmers raise. Businesses unable to rapidly change in accordance with domestic demand may look to export their products abroad. If that fails, they may not be able to compete and remain in business.
  • Climate change has placed intensifying pressure on many companies in the agribusiness industry to remain relevant, and profitable, while adapting to the threats posed by large-scale shifts in weather patterns.

Agribusiness Challenges

Countries with farming industries face consistent pressures from global competition. Products such as wheat, corn, and soybeans tend to be similar in different locations, making them commodities. Remaining competitive requires agribusinesses to operate more efficiently, which can require investments in new technologies, new ways of fertilizing and watering crops, and new ways of connecting to the global market.

Global prices of agricultural products may change rapidly, making production planning a complicated activity. Farmers may also face a reduction in usable land as suburban and urban areas expand into their regions.

Use of New Technology

The use of new technology is vital to remain competitive in the global agribusiness sector. Farmers need to reduce crop costs and increase yield per square acre to remain competitive.

New drone technology is at the cutting edge of the industry. An article published in 2016 by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) identified Six Ways Drones Are Revolutionizing Agriculture. These techniques, including soil and field analysis, planting, and crop monitoring, will be key to improving crop yields and moving the agribusiness sector forward.

Key areas of concern for the use of drone technology remain the safety of drone operations, privacy issues, and insurance-coverage questions.

Agribusiness Examples

Because agribusiness is a broad industry, it incorporates a wide range of different companies and operations. Agribusinesses include small family farms and food producers up to multinational conglomerates involved in the production of food on a national scale.

Some examples of agribusinesses include farm machinery producers such as Deere & Company, seed and agrichemical manufacturers such as Monsanto, food processing companies such as Archer Daniels Midland Company, as well as farmer’s cooperatives, agritourism companies, and makers of biofuels, animal feeds, and other related products.

[ad_2]

Source link

Activist Investor: Definition, Role, Biggest Player

Written by admin. Posted in A, Financial Terms Dictionary

Activist Investor: Definition, Role, Biggest Player

[ad_1]

What Is an Activist Investor?

An activist investor, typically a specialized hedge fund, buys a significant minority stake in a publicly traded company in order to change how it is run.

The activist investor’s goals may be as modest as advising company management or as ambitious as forcing the sale of the company, divestitures or restructuring, or replacing the board of directors.

Unlike private equity firms that buy and restructure companies in order to profit when they are resold, activist investors seldom acquire full or majority stakes. Instead, they use public communications and private discussions to win over other shareholders and company insiders. When such efforts fail, an activist investor may pursue a proxy contest to elect new directors in order to force the company to meet their demands.

Key Takeaways

  • Activist investors buy minority stakes in public companies to change how they are run.
  • If they fail to persuade company managers, they may wage a proxy fight for board seats.
  • Some hedge funds specialize in activist investing while institutional investors may engage in it from time to time.
  • Investor activism may focus on maximizing shareholder value or on the company’s social responsibilities.
  • The SEC has proposed tougher disclosure rules for activist investors that critics contend may make activism unprofitable.

Understanding Activist Investors

Activist investors are sometimes called shareholder activists, a term also used to describe those lobbying companies to improve working conditions for the overseas employees of their contractors, or backers of a dissident board slate elected to fight climate change.

However, many activist investor campaigns seek only to maximize shareholder value, and most of those are the work of hedge funds specializing in the unique mix of public pressure, behind-the-scenes lobbying, and business expertise required.

Unlike the public pension funds and mutual funds that also engage in activism at times, activist hedge funds may hold highly concentrated stakes and supplement them with additional leverage from derivatives like stock options to offset the considerable cost of such campaigns. In contrast with institutional investors that sometimes turn to activism after owning a disappointing investment for years, activist hedge funds typically buy a stake in an underperforming company shortly before calling for change, and hope to profit from the resulting turnaround and price appreciation.

In contrast to institutional investors, activist hedge funds are also more willing to use confrontational tactics, from poison-pen letters to management and unflattering public reports to proxy fights seeking to oust incumbent directors.

The rise of activist investors has been described as an effective market response to the agency problem, which arises when agents (in this case company managements) have the opportunity and the means to enrich themselves at the expense of clients (in this case shareholdersa diffuse group with limited powers to safeguard its ownership interests.)

How Activist Investors Make Their Case

Investor activists often announce their campaigns by filing a Schedule 13D form with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which must be filed within 10 calendar days of acquiring 5% or more of a company’s voting class shares.

Qualified institutional investors and passive investors, meaning those not trying to acquire or influence control of the company, may instead file a simplified Schedule 13G with less stringent disclosure requirements and thresholds. Schedule 13D filers must disclose, among other facts, their reasons for acquiring the stake and any plans they may have for the company in terms of mergers and acquisitions, asset disposals, capitalization or dividends, or other policies.

The initial 13D filing gives the activist investor a golden opportunity to publicize their case for change at the targeted company. At the same time, the filing curtails the activist’s ability to alter their stake in, and plans for, the company out of the public eye. Any changes to the facts disclosed on a Schedule 13D must be reported in an amended filing “promptly,” under current SEC rules.

Activist investors may use amended Schedule 13D filings to comment on a company’s response to their proposals. For example, when Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) adopted a poison pill after funds affiliated with Carl Icahn reported a stake of nearly 10% in the video streaming company, the funds filed an amended disclosure calling the poison pill “an example of poor corporate governance.” Activist investors may also write sharply worded letters to incumbent managers, issue press releases arguing their case to other shareholders, or privately lobby institutional investors to side with them.

Whichever tactics activist investors use must be persuasive, since the only way to overcome opposition from entrenched company management short of a hostile takeover is to persuade a sufficient number of other shareholders to replace the board in a proxy fight, or at least to be able to credibly threaten to do so.

The Future of Shareholder Activism

There has been a claim that “activism is dying,” lamented Carl Icahn in May 2022, contrasting the legendary investor’s few-holds-barred approach seen in the past. Some have feared the changes proposed to the Schedule 13D disclosure requirements in 2022 constitute a pressing threat, with Elliott Investment Management stating publicly that the proposed rules “will virtually shut down activism.”

In February 2022 the SEC had proposed shortening the initial Schedule 13 filing deadline from 10 calendar days to 5, with amendments due within a day of a material change rather than “promptly” as currently. The proposal, if passed, would effectively force 13D filers to specify holdings of derivatives (such as options) that confer an economic interest in the company without the shareholder rights associated with an outright stock position. Perhaps more controversially, the proposed rules would no longer require investors to agree to act in concert and be designated a single group by the SEC for Schedule 13D reporting purposes. Rules have also been proposed to make it harder for activist shareholders to squash a company’s environmental or other pro-ESG initiatives.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler argued the stepped up requirements proposed would address “an information asymmetry” between activist investors and other shareholders. Critics countered the proposed rules would make activism unprofitable by making it more difficult and costly for activist investors to accumulate significant stakes, while inhibiting communication among shareholders.

Despite these proposed rule changes, shareholder activism does not seem to be slowing down (at least, not yet). For example, activist investor Nelson Peltz reportedly made a profit of more than $150 million by acquiring shares of Disney (DIS) in November 2022, in a move that prompted a proxy fight against the returning CEO, Bob Iger; however, this brief fight was called off after Iger announced a restructuring plan that is expected to save the media giant $5.5 billion in costs and cut 7,000 employees. Peltz has expressed satisfaction with the company’s direction and decision to make changes, praising Iger and his management team. In early 2023, ValueAct Capital Management, a San Francisco-based activist hedge fund, took a stake in streaming media company Spotify Technology SA (SPOT), with the goal of cutting costs and streamlining management. ValueAct has also disclosed a major position and board seat in SalesForce (CRM), which now has no less than five large activist investor shareholders on board with long positions, resulting in early 2023 cost cutting measures that include layoffs of 10% of the company’s employees. In all three of the these examples, markets have reacted positively to the inclusion of activist shareholders, seeing their share prices afterwards outperform.

Do Activist Investors Ever Settle With Companies?

Yes, because activist investing is not a zero-sum game. Since activist investors and incumbent managers share an interest in the company’s success, they may sometimes agree to a mutually acceptable compromise. Such agreements typically grant the activist investor representation on the company board in exchange for a pledge to support management and the company’s director nominees for a specified time. The agreements may also specify steps management will take at activist investors’ behest, while including standstill provisions preventing the activist from increasing their stake in the company or requiring them to maintain a specified minimum stake.

Is Shareholder Activism Dying?

While some fear recently proposed SEC rule changes may put a damper on activist investing, it has not yet seemed to slow down. After taking a dip in 2020 and 2021 due to COVID19 restrictions, activist investors were seen back above 2019 levels. In fact, shareholder activism activity hit a record high in 2022. Some predict this upward trend will continue through 2023 and beyond despite regulatory roadblocks that may be put in the way, although only time will tell.

Do Activist Investors Create Value?

Activist investors have been effective at times in addressing the agency problem faced by shareholders whose interests don’t always coincide with those of entrenched management teams. They’ve certainly created value for themselves and other shareholders. Activist investing can’t easily be pigeonholed as good or bad, however. Activist investors look out for themselves and realize the lion’s share of the value they unlock. Their relatively short-term focus on strategies likely to lift the share price, such as return of capital to shareholders in the form of dividends or share buybacks, can prevent companies from making needed long-term investments.

Which Activist Investor Generates the Largest Share-Price Gains at the Outset?

It is difficult to know for sure which activist investors have been the more successful dollar-for-dollar and what other factors may cause particular stocks to rise in addition to an activist taking on a stake, but we can look to SEC disclosures and public statements made by these investors. Elliott Investment Management, for one, claims that its investments receive an average rise of 8% in the shares of the target company on the day the firm made its stake public. According to Elliot, its activist engagements have increased the market values of the targeted companies by an aggregate of more $30 billion.

Who Are the Biggest Activist Investors?

The largest activist shareholders by assets under management (AUM) as of Q1 2023 are listed in the table below, led by New York City-based Third Point Partners:

Largest Activist Investment Firms by AUM (Q1 2023)
Rank Profile Managed AUM Region
1. Third Point Partners $18,1 billion North America
2. Pershing Square Capital Management $16,8 billion North America
3. ValueAct Capital $13,2 billion North America
4. Eminence Capital $10,5 billion North America
5. Pentwater Capital Management $9,9 billion North America
6. Starboard Value LP $9,2 billion North America
7. Trian Fund Management $7.6 billion North America
8. Effissimo Capital Management $6,8 billion Asia
9. Sachem Head Capital Management $6,2 billion North America
10. Scopia Capital Management $2,7 billion North America
Source: Sovereign Wealth Fund Institute (SWFI)

The Bottom Line

When activist investors use their significant but still relatively small minority stakes to push for change at publicly listed companies, they must often exercise their rights as shareholders to the fullest to get the attention of incumbent management and persuade other shareholders. Activists often call for extreme cost cutting measures, including layoffs, more streamlined management, and disposing of unprofitable units. The discipline they impose promotes shareholder-friendly policies at other companies as well. But they are not always right, and any public benefit they provide may be incidental to their pursuit of profits for themselves and their clients.

[ad_2]

Source link

Error: Only up to 6 modules are supported in this layout. If you need more add your own layout.