November 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for a fourth day, Nasdaq sheds 1.7% as October jobs report looms

Stocks fell Thursday, declining for a fourth consecutive session. The slide came a day after the Federal Reserve delivered another three-quarter point interest rate hike and signaled that a pivot or rate cut won’t come anytime soon.

Dow…….32001 -146.5 -0.46%
Nasdaq.10343 -181.9 -1.73%
S&P 500..3720 -39.8 -1.06%

FTSE…….7188 +44.49 +0.62%
Dax……..13130 -126.6 -0.95%
CAC……..6243 -33.6 .-0.54%

Nikkei….27663 closed +0%
HSI……..15340 -487.7 -3.08%
Shanghai..2998 -5.6 -0.19%
ST Times..3103 -38.6 -1.23%

IDX…….7034.57 +18.88 +0.27%
LQ45…..1001.30 +2.21 +0.32%

IDX Energy..2034.12 +20.93 +1.04%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.04 -2.80 -0.22%
IDX Industrl..1248.39 +7.01 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC..728.14 -1.23 -0.17%
IDX Hlthcare.1490.11 -2.48 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..883.57 -1.07 -0.12%
IDX Techno..6673.10 +70.32 +1.06%
IDX Transp…1831.77 +15.87 +0.87%
IDX Infrast……928.42 -3.33 -0.36%
IDX Finance 1486.14 +10.25 +0.69%
IDX Banking.1188.03 +7.95 +0.67%
IDX Property….693 +0.80 +0.12%

Indo10Yr….7.5157 +0.0029 +0.04%
ICBI……..332.6944 -0.1941 -0.06%
US10Yr……4.1240 +0.0650 +1.60%
VIX……….25.30 -0.56 -2.17%👍

USDIndx 112.9740 +0.873 +0.78%‼️
Como Indx..278.32 -2.34 -0.83%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.27 -2.69 -1.82%
.
IndoCDS..144.71 +5.18 +3.71%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/11)

IDR……15695.00 +48.50 +0.31%‼️
Jisdor..15681.00 +29 +0.19%‼️

Euro……..0.9748 -0.0076 -0.77%

TLKM……..26.07 -0.47 -1.77%
(4088)
EIDO………23.15 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM……….34.73 +0.20 +0.58%

Oil…………88.17 -1.18 -1.50%
Gold ……1630.90 -7.80 -0.48%
Timah…..18010 +40.00 +0.22%
(Closed 02/11)
Nickel…22782.00 -1228.00 -5.11%‼️
(Closed 03/11)
Silver………19.43 +0.20 +1.04%
Copper….342.70 -1.40 -0.41%

Nturl Gas…..6.197 +0.359 +6.15%‼️

Ammonia..4096.67 -16.66 -0.41%
China
(Domestic Price)(01/11)

Coal price….351.00 -10.00 -2.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….353.00 -9.50 -2.62%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….350.05 -9.70 -2.70%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….221.00 -8.50 -3.70%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….223.00 -9.05 -3.90%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….222.05 -9.05 -3.92%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.75 -0.50 -0.52%
Indonesial Coal Index (02/11)

CPO(Jan)……4336 -62 -1.41%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….679.35 -8.25 -1.20%
SoybeanOil…75.29 -0.32 -0.42%
Wheat………840.50 -5.50 -0.65%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional merah kecuali IHSG sama Inggris… Kalo liat kebiasaannya, suka ikut US dan jum’at, kayanya merah lagi IDX hari ini

OIl Coal merah lagi, gas naik tinggi sendiri, silver timah naik, gold copper turun, nikel turun dalem. CPO juga turun lagi, masih belum ada yang firm ini… PGAS AGII wajib di check chart nya

IHSG – stoch sell, 833 dow, macd masih up, MFI up, masih wave 3 major, minornya lagi wave B keliatannya, LR suggest down, kita tunggu 833 buy, sekarang jangan terlalu agresif dulu

Menurut ini Consumer Cyclicals, Technology, Basic Materials, Transportation, Property

November 02nd, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks finish lower as Wall Street braces for key Fed decision

Stocks dipped on Tuesday as traders assessed better-than-expected economic data and prepared for another likely rate hike from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….32653 -79.8 -0.24%
Nasdaq.10891 -97.3 -0.89%
S&P 500..3856 -15.8 -0.41%

FTSE…….7186 +91.6 +1.29%
Dax……..13338 +85.0 +0.64%
CAC……..6328 +61.5 +0.98%

Nikkei….27679 +91.5 +0.33%
*HSI……..15455 +768.3 +5.23%‼️*
*Shanghai..2969 +75.7 +2.62%*
ST Times..3131 +37.4 +1.21%

IDX…….7052.30 -46.59 -0.66%
LQ45…1007.37 -6.75 -0.67%

*IDX Energy..2008.11 -61.39 -2.97%*
IDX Bsc Mat.1271.88 +3.65 +0.29%
IDX Industrl..1258.81 -15.14 -1.19%
IDXNONCYC..732.12 -3.19 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.06 -7.07 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..876.24 +7.70 +0.89%
IDX Techno..6483.15 +31.79 +0.49%
IDX Transp…1823.85 -21.89 -1.19%
IDX Infrast……935.64 -4.42 -0.47%
IDX Finance 1484.24 -17.12 -1.14%
IDX Banking.1194.56 -9.20 -0.76%
IDX Property….693 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.5546 -0.0316 -0.42%
ICBI……..331.8430 +0.6152 +0.19%
*US10Yr……4.0520 -0.0250 -0.61%‼️*
*VIX……….25.81 -0.07 -0.27%*

*USDIndx 111.5300 -0.050 -0.04%*
Como Indx..276.34 +2.21 +0.81%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……147.03 +4.84 +3.40%‼️*
.
*IndoCDS..139.53 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(31/10)*

*IDR……15627.50 +30.00 +0.19%‼️*
*Jisdor..15647.00 +51 +0.33%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9876 -0.0006 -0.06%*

TLKM……..27.82 -0.31 -1.10%
*(4353)*
EIDO………23.61 -0.14 -0.59%
EEM……….34.82 +0.63 +1.84%

Oil…………86.53 -1.37 -1.56%
Gold ……1649.70 +9.00 +0.55%
*Timah…..18101 – -%*
*(Closed 28/10)*
*Nickel…23444.00 +1497.50 +6.82%‼️*
*(Closed 01/11)*
*Silver………19.67 +0.55 +2.87%*
*Copper….347.25 +9.75 +2.89%*

*Nturl Gas…..5.838 -0.456 -7.24%‼️*

Ammonia..4113.33 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(31/10)

Coal price….359.00 +2.70 +0.76%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….361.00 +4.95 +1.39%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….358.05 +5.55 +1.57%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….225.10 +5.85 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….226.95 +8.95 +4.10%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….226.15 +8.60 +3.95%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

*Coal(ICI 4)…..95.25 +3.60 +3.93%‼️*
Indonesial Coal Index (31/10)

*CPO(Jan)……4241 +194 +4.79%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….697.75 +6.25 +0.90%
SoybeanOil…73.37 +0.16 +0.22%
*Wheat………902.50 +20.25 +2.25%*

Wood pulp…6750.00 -52 -0.76%
(Closed 01/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Hangseng rebound kenceng banget, ga ikutan US market, shanghai juga. Asia yang merah cuma IHSG, dalem pula. DJI tadi malem closing merah lagi, europe masih ijo, harusnya kita hari ini ijo lah

Oil lanjut turun, gas turun dalem, coal rebound tipis, energy koreksi dulu ya… Metal metal rebound, nikel naik tinggi, kita liat chart INCO dan MDKA. CPO naik tinggi, perlu dicermati chart harga CPO ini, kalo trendnya udah ngebalik bullish kemungkinan besar saham CPO ngikut

IHSG – masih keliatan mau sideways, MFI masih up, macd up, FNB terus, masih aman harusnya lanjut wave 3. Candle terakhir memang bearish engulfing sih, tapi bukan di ujung atas uptrend tapi ada di fase sideways, semoga bukan pertanda bearish reversal. DMI ngebalik sell, stoch 833 sell, 1066 rev down, jangan koreksi dalem ah, sideways correction ajah 😇

CPO future – MACD up, stoch deket overbought, lagi mau rev up, 833 buy. DMI sideways, LR slope masih kebawah, udah deket bates upper channel. Abis terjun udah ketemu bullish divergence terus mantul ke fibo 23, harusnya lanjut ke fibo 38. tunggu momentumnya aja. William Alligator up, buy nya pas sekitar 18 okt an. Amannya ditunggu firm bikin higher low. Harusnya kalo komoditi geraknya ga seliar saham gorengan sih, lebih smooth. Apalagi kalo diperhitungkan bahwa palm oil bisa jadi substitusi fossil fuel, dengan kondisi krisis energi, bisa jadi sentimen positif juga.

Nah lho, financials nya mulai kebawah, harus diganjel yang lain kalo ga index bisa koreksi lebih jauh. Consumer cyclicals, property, transportation, infrastructure, technology

Consumer cyclicals – retracement pattern nya udah running sampe deket fibo38, stochastic udah overbought, ini sih kemungkinan besar mau koreksi or sideways dulu sambil nurunin stochastic, baru nerusin lagi. MACD masih up, mfi up, FNB, bandar akum, kalo akumulasinya naik terus atau minimal diem dulu ga distribusi, koreksinya ga akan jauh harusnya

MAPI

MAPI – ini yang single-handedly naikin Consumer Cyclicals ya… Tunggu wave 4 deh

Property – belum jadi running… stoch sama mfi udah cape…

No new signals

Transportation – nunggu stoch 833 buy lagi baru running lagi, cut short gerakannya, emang belum saatnya IHSG running lagi

Sepi… ga ada FNB ga ada bandar akum

Infrastructure – kenapa masuk di chart cacing sih ini, belum jalan juga… Algoritma RSI quadrant nya harus dibenerin kayanya ini

TOWR TLKM

TOWR – macd buy, retracement pattern suggest udah waktunya lanjut ke fibo 61, stoch up rev, 833 sell, belum saat yang tepat buat entry, idealnya pas firm 833 nya buy lah minimal

TLKM – belum, koreksi dulu ini keliatannya, padahal kemaren ISAT keliatan bagus, tapi kalo TLKM turun rada berat ISAT jalan sendiri

Global update:

October 31st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 800 points higher on Friday, registers fourth straight week of gains

Stocks rose on Friday despite a tumble in Amazon shares after economic data pointed to slowing inflation and a steady consumer.

Dow…….32862  +828.5   +2.59%
Nasdaq.11103   +309.8   +2.87%
S&P 500..3901   +93.8     +2.46%

FTSE…….7048   -26.02       -0.37%
Dax……..13243  +32.1        +0.24%
CAC……..6273   +29.02      +0.46%

Nikkei….27105   -240.04  -0.88%
HSI……..14863   -564.9     -3.66%
Shanghai..2916  -66.98    -2.25%
ST Times..3059  +43.95  +1.46%

IDX…….7056.04   -35.72   -0.50%
LQ45…1009.70    -3.08      -0.30%

IDX Energy..2025.59    -18.66  -0.91%
IDX Bsc Mat.1247.53   -7.92   -0.63%
IDX Industrl..1285.56   -12.86 -0.99%
IDXNONCYC..736.96    -9.60   -1.26%
IDX Hlthcare.1513.43  +1.89   +0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..864.38   -4.22     -0.49%
IDX Techno..6495.62  -142.46  -2.15%
IDX Transp…1810.64   +18.55  +1.03%
IDX Infrast……933.40   -2.89      -0.31%
IDX Finance 1488.65   -12.53    -0.83%
IDX Banking.1187.32   -2.99      -0.25%
IDX Property….691       -1.0         -0.14%

Indo10Yr….7.5899    -0.0177   -0.23%
ICBI……..331.1281   +0.4050  +0.12%
US10Yr……4.0100  +0.0730 +1.85%‼
VIX……….25.75       -1.64       -5.99%👍

USDIndx 110.7520  +0.1800  +0.16%
Como Indx..272.62   -4.19   -1.51%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……144.48   -4.09   -2.75%
.
IndoCDS..133.59  -11.23  -7.86%‼👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/10)

IDR……15554.00   -13.00     -0.08%‼
Jisdor..15542.00   -31          -0.20%‼

Euro……..0.9965  -0.0003  -0.03%

TLKM……..28.13   +0.13   +0.46%
(4372)
EIDO………23.74    +0.13   +0.55%
EEM……….34.29    -0.21     -0.61%

Oil…………87.90     -0.18    -0.20%
Gold ……1644.80  -21.90    -1.31%
Timah…..18101     -589.00   -3.15%‼
(Closed 28/10)
Nickel…22084.00  -209.50  -0.94%
(Closed 28/10)
Silver………19.15   -0.42     -2.14%
Copper….352.45   -9.55     -2.70%

Nturl Gas…..5.800   -0.055  -0.94%

Ammonia..4113.33  unch   +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/10)

Coal price….374.00   +1.65   +0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.05   +1.70   +0.46%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.90    +2.55  +0.69%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….239.95    +0.45   +0.19%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….237.75    -0.25    -0.11%
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..236.75  +0.60   +0.25%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.65   -0.80   -0.87%
Indonesial Coal Index (28/10)

CPO(Jan)……3987   -164    -3.95%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….680.75  -1.50   -0.22%
SoybeanOil…71.79   -0.51    -0.71%
Wheat………829.25   -9.25    -1.10%

Wood pulp…6802.00  unch   +0%
(Closed 30/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas,

US ijo tebel… EU mostly ijo, Hangseng masih kebakaran, asia mostly merah kecuali Singapore. Hari ini ijo ah 😇

Metal turun semua, oil gas juga turun, coal naik dikit, cpo masih drop lagi. Energy masih meragukan ini, nanti kita liat chart detailnya

IHSG – Stochastic mulai overbought, 833 sudah mentok, bisa dibawa sideways, bisa koreksi minor dulu ini index. MACD masih firm sih, kayanya gantian dulu sektor diluar financials yang jalan, sambil financials nya koreksi dulu, baru lanjut lagi

IHSG – inside cloud, semoga breakout keatas sesuai perkiraan, banda rmasih flat, FF last day akum, sebelumnya tipis2, MFI sw, supposedly masih wave 3, LR belum tembus midline, masih ok tapi harusnya cuma sw dulu, DMI bolak balik. Optimis rally akhir tahun, insyaAllah

Masih cuma Financials sama Technology, masalahnya, financials udah jenuh dan technology saham sahamnya gerakannya liar banget, hmm…

Financials – Masih jadwal minor correction, 833 nya buy baru kayanya nerusin wave 3. MACD masih firm, FF last day akum, bandar dist, MFI sw, LR tembus midline kebawah, masih belum rally lagi, semoga langsung gantian sektor lan jagain index biar ga kompak koreksi semua

Masih belum ada buy signal baru…

BTPS menarik FNB dan BD akum

BTPS – yang belum masuk di banks, BTPS menarik, relatively ketinggalan gerak, 2 candle terakhir BD akum dan FNB, pertama breakout vol dan fibo 23, candle terakhir koreksi sampe dikit diatas fibo 23. Bisa BOW di level fibo 23, besar kemungkinan bikin higher low di area itu.

Technology – MACD buy, stoch up, 833 up rev, FF 2 minggu acc last day FNS., bd dist, MFI sw, berasa jebakan ini technology… EW reverse seems done, LR masih ok, DMI belum jadi buy. Check detail emiten sih, di sektornya ga sreg tapi

Ga ada yang bisa di highlight…

Stoch ga ada buy signal, MACD cuma PTRO

PTRO – Stoch buy, MACD buy, 833 still up, bd akum tipis tap terus, FF belum masuk lagi, masih diem, MFI sw, ABC correction seems done, disusul wave 1, sekarang sepertinya dalam rangka wave 2 mau ke wave 3. LR ok, DMI belum. Spec buy setengah, setengah lagi nunggu vol breakout

Global Update:

October 28th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 200 points higher on better-than-expected GDP report, Nasdaq tumbles

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher Thursday after new data showed third-quarter GDP grew faster than expected and hinted at waning inflation, encouraging investors to buy stocks linked to the health of the economy

Dow…….32033 +194.2 +0.61%
Nasdaq.10792 -178.3 -1.63%
S&P 500..3807 -23.3 -0.61%

FTSE…….7074 +17.6 +0.25%
Dax……..13211 +15.4 +0.12%
CAC……..6244 -32.3 -0.51%

Nikkei….27345 -86.6 -0.32%
HSI……..15428 +110.3 +0 .72%
Shanghai..2983 -16.6 -0.55%
ST Times..3015 +6.9 +0.23%

IDX…….7091.76 +42.82 +0.68%
LQ45…1012.7€ +8.59 +0.86%

IDX Energy..2044.25 +7.76 +0.38%
IDX Bsc Mat.1255.45 +12.42 +1.03%
IDX Industrl..1298.42 +10.31 +0.80%
IDXNONCYC..746.55 +6.49 +0.88%
IDX Hlthcare.1511.54 +1.88 +0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..868.60 +10.76 +1.25%
IDX Techno..6638.608 -41.58 -0.62%
IDX Transp…1792.10 +13.85 +0.78%
IDX Infrast……936.29 -1.01 -0.11%
IDX Finance 1501.18 +11.00 +0.94%
IDX Banking.1190.31 +11.06 -1.52%
IDX Property….691 +3.2 +0.47%

Indo10Yr….7.6076 -0.0162 -0.21%
ICBI……..330.7231 +0.5369 +0.16%
US10Yr……3.9370 -0.0780 -1.94%‼️
VIX……….27.39 +0.11 +0.40%

USDIndx 110.5720 +0.8720 +0.79%
Como Indx..276.81 -0.54 -0.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……148.57 -1.64 -1.09%
.
IndoCDS 142.82 -3.44 -2.35%‼️👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/10)

IDR……15567.00 +4.00 +0.03%‼️
Jisdor..15573.00 -23 -0.15%‼️

Euro……..0.9968 -0.0113 -1.12%

TLKM……..28.00 -0.07 -0.26%
(4360)
EIDO………23.61 -0.04 -0.17%
EEM……….34.50 -0.27 -0.78%

Oil…………88.08 +0.83 +0.94%
Gold ……1666.70 -2.70 -0.16%
Timah….18682 +205.00 +1.11%
(Closed 26/10)
Nickel…22293.50 -376.00 -1.66%
(Closed 27/10)
Silver………19.57 +0.03 +0.15%
Copper….352.45 -1.50 -0.42%

Nturl Gas…..5.855 -0.318 -5.15%‼️

Ammonia..4113.33 -16.67 +0.40%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/10)

Coal price….385.50 -0.90 -0.23%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.35 -2.10 -0.56%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….373.35 +1.00 +0.27%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….239.50 -1.20 -2.00%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….244.40 -4.90 -0.49%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..238.00 -4.50 -1.86%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..92.75 -0.65 -0.70%
Indonesial Coal Index (26/10)

CPO(Jan)……4151 +44 +1.07%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….682.25 -2.75 -0.40%
SoybeanOil…72.30 -1.12 -1.53%
Wheat………838.50 -2.00 -0.24%

Wood pulp…6810.00 -6 -0.09%
(Closed 27/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas,

DJI ijo, nasdaq masih merah, europe ijo kecuali perancis, asia varied, mulai sideways kayanya… IDX kemaren ijo lagi, semoga lanjut lah hari ini

Gold Copper Nickel merah, Silver Timah ijo. Kurang bagus buat MDKA ini, heu… Oil ijo gas drop dalem, coal merah tipis. masih meragukan ini sektor energy. Udah pengen buy ELSA tapi ragu2…

IHSG – stoch up dan mulai overbought, macdup, mfi up, 833 mulai mau ngajak koreksi, udah mulai harus liat sektor mana yang jalan selain finance, biasanya pas uptrend wave 3, pas sektor financials sideways/turun diganjel sama sektor lain supaya indexnyaga keseret jauh ke bawah.FF akum, BD rada flat, LR belum cross midline semogabukan kejedot, cuma harus testing beberapa bar sebelum breakout. DMI sideways abis buy sell lagi… Kita fokus check sektor

Masih financials, Industrials, nambah property dan technology