Daily Analysis 20240108
January 08th, 2024
Good morning,
S&P 500 closes slightly higher Friday, but major averages end 9-week win streak
The S&P 500
ended Friday modestly higher, but all three of the major averages snapped a nine-week winning streak following a stronger-than-expected jobs report.
Dow……37466 +25.8 +0.07%
Nasdaq14524 +13.8 +0.09%
S&P 500.4697 +8.6 +0.18%
FTSE…..7690 -33.5 -0.43%
Dax……16594 -23.1 -0.14%
CAC……7421 -29.9 -0.40%
Nikkei..33377 +89.1 +0.27%
HSI…….16535 -110.7 -0.66%
Shanghai.2929 -25.2 -0.85%
IDX…..7359.76 +80.67 +1.11%
LQ45….988.64 +15.26 +1.57%
IDX30…502.23 +7.97 +1.61%
IDXEnergy..2180.74 +9.54 +0.43%
IDX BscMat.1325.84 -5.07 -0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1103.76 -6.68 -0.60%
IDXNONCYC.719.06 -4.62 -0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1325.89 -10.44 -0.78%
IDXCYCLIC…834.49 +1.87 +0.22%
IDX Techno4381.41 -17.49 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1690.91 -4.11 -0.24%
IDX Infrast 1570.16 -8.60 -0.54%
IDX Finance.1491.68+12.89 +0.87%
IDX Banking.1311.25+9.74 +0.75%
IDX Property.. 713 +3.20 +0.45%
Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.1034 +1.55%
ICBI…373.9196 -0.1226 -0.03%
US2Yr.4.393 +0.006 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.015 +0.035 +0.88%
US10Yr4.051+0.044 +1.09%
US30Yr.4.206+0.054 +1.30%
VIX….13.35 -0.78 -5.52%👍
USDIndx 102.4120 -0.010 -0.01%
Como Indx..265.91 +0.91 +0.34%
BCOMIN……138.36 +0.04 +0.03%
IndoCDS..77.69‼️ +1.97 +2.60%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/01)
IDR…..15516.00 +25.50 +0.16%
Jisdor.15518.00 -7.00 -0.05%
Euro….1.0943 -0.0003 -0.03%
TLKM…25.32 -0.15 -0.59%
(3929)
EIDO….22.59 +0.20 +0.89%
EEM….39.44 +0.05 +0.13%
Oil……..73.81 +1.11 +1.53%
Gold..2049.80 -0.20 -0.01%
Timah..24622.00 -212 -0.85%
(Closed 05/01)
Nickel..16344.00 -81 -0.49%
(Closed 05/01)
Silver……23.32 +0.13 +0.55%
Copper.380.60 -3.80 -0.99%
Iron Ore 62% 141.45 -1.50 -1.05%*
(06/01)
Nturl Gas..2.906 +0.058 +2.04%
Ammonia China.3640.00 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(04/02)
Coal price.131.55 +0.65 +0.50%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.50 +1.30 +1.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.50 +0.60 +0.47%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.25 -0.05 -0.04%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.116.00 +3.70 +3.29%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.35 +5.05 +4.66%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.108.75 +5.20 +5.02%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.65 +4.30 +4.24%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3681 +25 +0.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……460.75 -5.75 -1.23%
SoybeanOil 47.63 -0.53 -1.10%
Wheat….616.00 +2.50 +0.41%
Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US jum’at ijo tipis, europe merah, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG abis bikin new record high terus closing merah. Rada bahaya longsor ini…
US bond rates naik, USD index turun tipis, ga bagus buat saham, metal2 merah kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, cpo ijo. Semoga energy sama CPO bisa jalan ganjel index biar ga dibanting, sideways correction idealnya, atau turun sambil ada sektor yang gantian ganjel
IHSG – stoch sell macd up MFI sw, w% mau keluar area uptrend, wave 5 udah bisa dianggap kena target nya, udah diantara 1-1,618 fibo extension. ATH sambil vol kecil, bagusnya masih FNB. Awas pasang stoploss ketat khawatir ngebalik
Financials yang kemaren gendong index, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation
Daily Analysis 20240105
January 05th, 2024
Good morning,
Nasdaq closes lower for a fifth day, its longest losing streak since October 2022
The Nasdaq Composite
closed lower on Thursday for a fifth consecutive session — its longest losing streak since October 2022.
Dow……37440 +10.2 +0.03%
Nasdaq14510 -81.9 -0.56%
S&P 500.4689 -16.1 -0.34%
FTSE…..7723 +40.7 +0.53%
Dax……16617 +78.9 +0.48%
CAC……7451 +38.8 +0.52%
Nikkei..33288 -175.9 -0.53%
HSI…….16646 -0.4 -0.00%
Shanghai.2954 -12.90 -0.43%
IDX…..7359.76 +80.67 +1.11%
LQ45….988.64 +15.26 +1.57%
IDX30…502.23 +7.97 +1.61%
IDXEnergy..2171.31 +36.50 +1.71%
IDX BscMat.1330.91 +4.60 +0.35%
IDX Indstrl…1110.45 +6.64 +0.60%
IDXNONCYC.723.68 +5.23 +0.73%
IDX Hlthcare1336.32 -4.84 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…832.62 +7.38 +0.89%
IDX Techno4398.90 -28.19 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1695.01 +38.04 +2.30%
IDX Infrast 1578.76 +1.48 +0.09%
IDX Finance.1478.79+30.77 +2.13%
IDX Banking.1301.50+33.51+2.64%
IDX Property.. 709 +0.20 +0.03%
Indo10Yr.6.6570+0.0076 +0.11%
ICBI…374.0422 -0.1536 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.387 +0.054 +1.25%
US5Yr 3.980 +0.075 +1.92%
US10Yr4.007+0.087 +2.22%
US30Yr.4.152+0.082 +2.01%$
VIX….14.13 +0.09 +0.64%
USDIndx 102.4220 -0.035 -0.03%
Como Indx..265.00 -0.26 -0.10%
BCOMIN……138.33 -1.60 -1.14 %
IndoCDS..75.20 +5.97 +8.62%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/01)
IDR…..15490.00 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.15525.00 +30.00 +0.19%
Euro….1.0946 +0.0026 +0.24%
TLKM…25.47 -0.15 -0.59%
(3954)
EIDO….22.39 +0.34 +1.54%
EEM….39.39 -0.13 -0.33%
Oil……..72.70 -0.51 -0.70%
Gold..2050.00 +7.20 +0.35%
Timah..25294.00 +110 +0.44%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..16425.00 -291 -1.77%
(Closed 04/01)
Silver……23.19 +0.03 +0.13%
Copper.384.40 -1.75 -0.45%
Iron Ore 62% 144.16 +7.79 %‼️
(03/01)
Nturl Gas..2.848 +0.161 +5.99%‼️
Ammonia China.3640.00 -16.67 -0.46%
(Domestic Price)(03/02)
Coal price.130.90 +2.40 +1.87%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 129.20 +2.20 +1.73%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.90 +2.15 +1.71%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.30 +2.90 +2.33%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.30 +3.05 +2.80%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.30 +4.55 +4.39%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.103.55 +4.30 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.35 +4.15 +4.27%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3656 +32 +0.88%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……466.50 +1.25 +0.27%
SoybeanOil 48.16 -0.44 -0.91%
Wheat….613.50 +13.25 +2.21%
Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Asia kemaren IHSG kenceng sendiri, yang lain merah, Europe ijo, US DJI tipis2 tapi nasdaq merah. US bond rates pada naik, USD index turun tipis, agak khawatir buat saham, tapi yang commodities sih ok.
Gold Tin Silver Iron ore ijo, nickel copper merah. Oil merah gas coal ijo tebel, CPO ijo, Hayo ANTM PTBA AALI jalan yok
IHSG – masih lanjut, stoch ob macd up MFI up w% uptrend BD acc FNB udah deket banget sama level ATH
Kalo hari ini rejection candle bisa jadi longsor
Cosumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation
Stochastic Buy Signal: ADMR ERAA RMKE SMDR IPOL. Big acc ADMR, Spike SMDR
MACD Buy SIgnal: ISAT PNIN AMFG
Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: PTBA ELSA MNCN
Supertrend Buy Signal BBTN ELSA
Alligator Buy Signal: PTBA SCMA AVIA HEAL
Daily Analysis 20240104
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023
GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K
Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%
Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M
U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7
ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8
ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3
By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –
US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil
US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga
IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…
Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus
Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR
MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP
Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike
Daily Analysis 20240103
January 03rd, 2024
Good morning,
S&P 500 closes lower to begin 2024, Nasdaq notches worst day since October
The S&P 500
fell Tuesday, the first trading day of the year, as bond yields inched higher and investors took some money off the table following a surprisingly strong 2023.
Dow……37715 +25.5 +0.07%
Nasdaq14766 -245.4 -1.63%
S&P 500.4743 -27.00 -0.57%
FTSE…..7722 -11.7 -0.16%
Dax……16769 +17.7 +0.11%
CAC……7531 -12.3 -0.16%
Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….16789 -258.8 -1.52%
Shanghai.2962 -12.66 -0.43%
IDX…..7323.59 +50.79 +0.70%
LQ45….979.43 +8.86 +0.91%
IDX30…498.42 +3.21 +0.65%
IDXEnergy..2142.96 +42.+2.00%
IDX BscMat.1332.14 +26.67 +1.89%}
IDX Indstrl…1105.51 +11.74 +1.07%
IDXNONCYC.724.41 +2.01 +0.28%
IDX Hlthcare1353.56 -22.40 -1.64%
IDXCYCLIC…825.05. +3.63 +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00 -17.60 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1654.96 +53.45 +3.34%‼️
IDX Infrast 1576.31. +6.28 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1452.08 -6.24. -0.43%
IDX Banking.1269.00 -0.55 -0.04%
IDX Property.. 710 -3.60 -0.50%
Indo10Yr.6.6161+0.017 +0.26%
ICBI…374.6896 -0.1294 -0.03&%
US2Yr.4.324 +0.074 +1.74%
US5Yr 3.922 +0.082 +2.14%
US10Yr3.941 +0.075 +1.94%
US30Yr.4.083+0.064 +1.59%
VIX….13.20 +0.75 +6.02%‼️
USDIndx 102.2360 +0.903 +0.89%
Como Indx..262.63 -1.19 -0.45%
BCOMIN……141.17 -1.48 -1.04%
IndoCDS..69.29 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/01)
IDR…..15470.00 +71.00 +0.46%
Jisdor.15473.00 +34.00 +0.22%
Euro….1.0942 – -%
TLKM…25.90 +0.14 +0.54%
(4008)
EIDO….22.21 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM….39.74 -0.47 -1.17%
Oil……..70.38 -1.27 -1.77%
Gold..2073.40 +1.60 +0.08%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16565.00 -106 -0.64%
(Closed 02/01)
Silver……23.95 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper.388.05 -1.00 -0.26%
Iron Ore 62% 136.37 – -%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas..2.574 +0.077 +3.08%
Ammonia China.3623.33-183.34 -3.81%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/02)
Coal price.127.75 -9.2 -6.72%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.15 -7.65 -5.72%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.85 -7.10 -5.38%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.90 -6.55 -5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.106.15 -2.15 -1.99%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.55 -2.30 -2.21%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 97.10 -2.75 -2.75%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .95.20 -3.35 -3.40%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3660 -60 -1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……463.75 -7.50 -1.59%
SoybeanOil 48.29 +0.11 +0.23%
Wheat….606.75 -21.25 -3.38%
Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Kemaren IHSG ijo, asia merah europe merah US merah, so hari ini kemungkinan merah… Kalo mau belanja sore lebih ok kayanya
Update Global Economic Calendar
2 Jan 2023
INDONESIA MARKET :
Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 2.61%
Forecast : 2.85%
Previous : 2.86%
Core Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 1.8%
Forecast : 1.85%
Previous : 1.87%
Inflation Rate MoM (Dec)
Actual : 0.41%
Forecast : –
Previous : 0.38%
Tourist Arrivals YoY (Nov)
Actual : 30.17%
Forecast : –
Previous : 33.27%
GERMANY MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 43.3
Forecast : 43.1
Previous : 42.6
EURO AREA MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 44.4
Forecast : 44.2
Previous : 44.2
UNITED KINGDOM MARKET :
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 46.2
Forecast : 46.4
Previous : 47.2
U.S MARKET :
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 47.9
Forecast : 48.2
Previous : 49.4
By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –
Visit our website :
www.phintracosekuritas.com
www.profits.co.id
www.taspro.co.id
Angka Inflasi indonesia lebih baik dari forecast, makanya ijo sendiri kemaren, nah, Europe dan US index manufacture nya dibawah forecast, wajarnya merah, dan hari ini masih pengaruh…
Berita jelek selalu disusul sama naiknya suku bunga, USD index juga naik jadi lengkap untuk bikin merah saham. metal2 merah semua kecuali emas yang ijo tipisoil merah gas ijo, coal DROP, CPO merah, wah masih berantakan ini, semoga ANTM MDKA keganjel harga emas yang lagi tinggi
IHSG – stoch OB, MACD up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, wave 5, hati hati koreksi, curigany mah akan kejedot level all time high baru merosot ABC correction
Index jalan hampir semua sektor jalan,yang arahnya paling deket 45 Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation
Stochastic Buy Signal: BBKP TAPG
MACD Buy Signal banyak banget, yang big acc cuma ASSA, yang ada Spike EMTK, layak dipantau ICBP TBIG AALI
Stochastic Continuation Signal banyak, tapi ga ada yang big accum, malah INKP big dist. Paling SMDR yang ada spike
Daily Analysis 20240102
January 02nd, 2024
Good morning,
The market in US & almost the entire global market is currently on holiday due to the New Year
Dow……37690 closed +0%
Nasdaq15011 closed +0%
S&P 500.4770 closed +0%
FTSE…..7733 +10.5 +0.14%
Dax……16752 +50.1 +0.30%
CAC……7543 +8.02 +0.11%
Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….17047 closed +0%
Shanghai.2975 closed +0%
IDX…..7272.80 closed +0%
LQ45….970.57 closed +0%
IDX30…495.21 closed +0%
IDXEnergy..2100.86 closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1307.47 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1093.76 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.722.40 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1376.16 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…821.42. closed +0%
IDX Techno4435.61 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1601.51. closed. +0%
IDX Infrast 1570.03. closed +0%
IDX Finance.1458.32 closed. +0%
IDX Banking.1269.55 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 714 closed +0%
Indo10Yr.6.5991 closed +0%
ICBI…374.6140 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.250 closed +0%
US5Yr 3.840 closed +0%
US10Yr3.866 closed +0%
US30Yr.4.019 closed +0%
VIX….12.45 closed +0%
USDIndx 101.3330 closed +0%
Como Indx..263.83 closed +0%
BCOMIN……142.65 closed +0%
IndoCDS..69.28 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/12)
IDR…..15399.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15439.00 closed +0%
Euro….1.1063 -0.0043 -0.39%
TLKM…25.76 closed +0%
(3978)
EIDO….22.31 closed +0%
EEM….40.21 closed +0%
Oil……..71.65 closed +0%
Gold..2071.80 closed +0%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16671.00 – -%
(Closed 30/12)
Silver……24.09 closed +0%
Copper.389.05 closed +0%
Iron Ore 62% 136.37 +0.21 +0.15%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas…2.497 closed +0%
Ammonia China.3806.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(28/12)
Coal price.136.95 closed +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 133.80 closed +0%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.95 closed +0%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.45 closed +0%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.108.30 closed +0%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.85 closed +0%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 99.85 closed +0%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .98.55 closed +0%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3740 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……471.25 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 48.18 closed +0%
Wheat……628.00 closed +0%
Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Semua tutup tahun baruan, eropa terakhir masih buka closing ijo. New year di januari kebanyakan turun sih, kecuali ada beberapa saham yang sering jalan di januari
Kita fokus baca technical analysis nya dulu hari ini
IHSG – stoch overbought, macd up, MFI sw, w%uptrend, BD FF acc, masih berharap lanjut tapi ini jelas rawan koreksi, udah sampe target minimal wave 5 soalnya, dan santa claus rally udah selesai
Property, Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Healthcare, Transportation, malah financials kaya belum jadi jalan, hati hati
Stoch Buy Signal: BBNI GGRM TBIG HEAL OMED PNLF WIFI. Yang big accum cuma BBNI, ADRO sell dan big dist, perlu dicermati coal yang lain, bisa jadi batal jalan dan harus exit
MACD Buy Signal: BBTN SCMA TOWR HEAL HMSP MMIX TAPG WIKA. WIKA kan suspended, koq buy signal…
Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: AKRA BUKA CPIN TOWR BMTR HEAL MMIX TKIM. BMTR waive dulu, tar tengah taun kita ikut gorengannya


























