Daily Analysis 20240109
January 9th, 2024 Good morning, Nasdaq Composite closes 2% higher Monday as tech stocks’ revival lifts major averages The major averages rose Monday, boosted by tech shares, as Wall Street…
Daily Analysis 20240108
January 08th, 2024
Good morning,
S&P 500 closes slightly higher Friday, but major averages end 9-week win streak
The S&P 500
ended Friday modestly higher, but all three of the major averages snapped a nine-week winning streak following a stronger-than-expected jobs report.
Dow……37466 +25.8 +0.07%
Nasdaq14524 +13.8 +0.09%
S&P 500.4697 +8.6 +0.18%
FTSE…..7690 -33.5 -0.43%
Dax……16594 -23.1 -0.14%
CAC……7421 -29.9 -0.40%
Nikkei..33377 +89.1 +0.27%
HSI…….16535 -110.7 -0.66%
Shanghai.2929 -25.2 -0.85%
IDX…..7359.76 +80.67 +1.11%
LQ45….988.64 +15.26 +1.57%
IDX30…502.23 +7.97 +1.61%
IDXEnergy..2180.74 +9.54 +0.43%
IDX BscMat.1325.84 -5.07 -0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1103.76 -6.68 -0.60%
IDXNONCYC.719.06 -4.62 -0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1325.89 -10.44 -0.78%
IDXCYCLIC…834.49 +1.87 +0.22%
IDX Techno4381.41 -17.49 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1690.91 -4.11 -0.24%
IDX Infrast 1570.16 -8.60 -0.54%
IDX Finance.1491.68+12.89 +0.87%
IDX Banking.1311.25+9.74 +0.75%
IDX Property.. 713 +3.20 +0.45%
Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.1034 +1.55%
ICBI…373.9196 -0.1226 -0.03%
US2Yr.4.393 +0.006 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.015 +0.035 +0.88%
US10Yr4.051+0.044 +1.09%
US30Yr.4.206+0.054 +1.30%
VIX….13.35 -0.78 -5.52%👍
USDIndx 102.4120 -0.010 -0.01%
Como Indx..265.91 +0.91 +0.34%
BCOMIN……138.36 +0.04 +0.03%
IndoCDS..77.69‼️ +1.97 +2.60%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/01)
IDR…..15516.00 +25.50 +0.16%
Jisdor.15518.00 -7.00 -0.05%
Euro….1.0943 -0.0003 -0.03%
TLKM…25.32 -0.15 -0.59%
(3929)
EIDO….22.59 +0.20 +0.89%
EEM….39.44 +0.05 +0.13%
Oil……..73.81 +1.11 +1.53%
Gold..2049.80 -0.20 -0.01%
Timah..24622.00 -212 -0.85%
(Closed 05/01)
Nickel..16344.00 -81 -0.49%
(Closed 05/01)
Silver……23.32 +0.13 +0.55%
Copper.380.60 -3.80 -0.99%
Iron Ore 62% 141.45 -1.50 -1.05%*
(06/01)
Nturl Gas..2.906 +0.058 +2.04%
Ammonia China.3640.00 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(04/02)
Coal price.131.55 +0.65 +0.50%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.50 +1.30 +1.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.50 +0.60 +0.47%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.25 -0.05 -0.04%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.116.00 +3.70 +3.29%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.35 +5.05 +4.66%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.108.75 +5.20 +5.02%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.65 +4.30 +4.24%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3681 +25 +0.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……460.75 -5.75 -1.23%
SoybeanOil 47.63 -0.53 -1.10%
Wheat….616.00 +2.50 +0.41%
Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US jum’at ijo tipis, europe merah, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG abis bikin new record high terus closing merah. Rada bahaya longsor ini…
US bond rates naik, USD index turun tipis, ga bagus buat saham, metal2 merah kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, cpo ijo. Semoga energy sama CPO bisa jalan ganjel index biar ga dibanting, sideways correction idealnya, atau turun sambil ada sektor yang gantian ganjel
IHSG – stoch sell macd up MFI sw, w% mau keluar area uptrend, wave 5 udah bisa dianggap kena target nya, udah diantara 1-1,618 fibo extension. ATH sambil vol kecil, bagusnya masih FNB. Awas pasang stoploss ketat khawatir ngebalik
Financials yang kemaren gendong index, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation
Daily Analysis 20240105
January 05th, 2024
Good morning,
Nasdaq closes lower for a fifth day, its longest losing streak since October 2022
The Nasdaq Composite
closed lower on Thursday for a fifth consecutive session — its longest losing streak since October 2022.
Dow……37440 +10.2 +0.03%
Nasdaq14510 -81.9 -0.56%
S&P 500.4689 -16.1 -0.34%
FTSE…..7723 +40.7 +0.53%
Dax……16617 +78.9 +0.48%
CAC……7451 +38.8 +0.52%
Nikkei..33288 -175.9 -0.53%
HSI…….16646 -0.4 -0.00%
Shanghai.2954 -12.90 -0.43%
IDX…..7359.76 +80.67 +1.11%
LQ45….988.64 +15.26 +1.57%
IDX30…502.23 +7.97 +1.61%
IDXEnergy..2171.31 +36.50 +1.71%
IDX BscMat.1330.91 +4.60 +0.35%
IDX Indstrl…1110.45 +6.64 +0.60%
IDXNONCYC.723.68 +5.23 +0.73%
IDX Hlthcare1336.32 -4.84 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…832.62 +7.38 +0.89%
IDX Techno4398.90 -28.19 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1695.01 +38.04 +2.30%
IDX Infrast 1578.76 +1.48 +0.09%
IDX Finance.1478.79+30.77 +2.13%
IDX Banking.1301.50+33.51+2.64%
IDX Property.. 709 +0.20 +0.03%
Indo10Yr.6.6570+0.0076 +0.11%
ICBI…374.0422 -0.1536 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.387 +0.054 +1.25%
US5Yr 3.980 +0.075 +1.92%
US10Yr4.007+0.087 +2.22%
US30Yr.4.152+0.082 +2.01%$
VIX….14.13 +0.09 +0.64%
USDIndx 102.4220 -0.035 -0.03%
Como Indx..265.00 -0.26 -0.10%
BCOMIN……138.33 -1.60 -1.14 %
IndoCDS..75.20 +5.97 +8.62%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/01)
IDR…..15490.00 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.15525.00 +30.00 +0.19%
Euro….1.0946 +0.0026 +0.24%
TLKM…25.47 -0.15 -0.59%
(3954)
EIDO….22.39 +0.34 +1.54%
EEM….39.39 -0.13 -0.33%
Oil……..72.70 -0.51 -0.70%
Gold..2050.00 +7.20 +0.35%
Timah..25294.00 +110 +0.44%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..16425.00 -291 -1.77%
(Closed 04/01)
Silver……23.19 +0.03 +0.13%
Copper.384.40 -1.75 -0.45%
Iron Ore 62% 144.16 +7.79 %‼️
(03/01)
Nturl Gas..2.848 +0.161 +5.99%‼️
Ammonia China.3640.00 -16.67 -0.46%
(Domestic Price)(03/02)
Coal price.130.90 +2.40 +1.87%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 129.20 +2.20 +1.73%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.90 +2.15 +1.71%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.30 +2.90 +2.33%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.30 +3.05 +2.80%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.30 +4.55 +4.39%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.103.55 +4.30 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.35 +4.15 +4.27%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3656 +32 +0.88%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……466.50 +1.25 +0.27%
SoybeanOil 48.16 -0.44 -0.91%
Wheat….613.50 +13.25 +2.21%
Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Asia kemaren IHSG kenceng sendiri, yang lain merah, Europe ijo, US DJI tipis2 tapi nasdaq merah. US bond rates pada naik, USD index turun tipis, agak khawatir buat saham, tapi yang commodities sih ok.
Gold Tin Silver Iron ore ijo, nickel copper merah. Oil merah gas coal ijo tebel, CPO ijo, Hayo ANTM PTBA AALI jalan yok
IHSG – masih lanjut, stoch ob macd up MFI up w% uptrend BD acc FNB udah deket banget sama level ATH
Kalo hari ini rejection candle bisa jadi longsor
Cosumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation
Stochastic Buy Signal: ADMR ERAA RMKE SMDR IPOL. Big acc ADMR, Spike SMDR
MACD Buy SIgnal: ISAT PNIN AMFG
Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: PTBA ELSA MNCN
Supertrend Buy Signal BBTN ELSA
Alligator Buy Signal: PTBA SCMA AVIA HEAL
Daily Analysis 20240104
January 04th, 2024
Good morning,
Dow tumbles nearly 300 points Wednesday, Nasdaq closes lower for a 2nd straight day in 2024
The Nasdaq Composite
fell for a second session Wednesday to start the year, building on its worst daily performance in nearly three months.
Dow……37430 -284.9 -0.76%
Nasdaq14592 -173.7 -1.18%
S&P 500.4705 -38.02 -0.80%
FTSE…..7682 -39.2 -0.51%
Dax……16538 -230.97 -1.38%
CAC……7412 -119.0 -1.58%
Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….16646 -142.1 -0.85%
Shanghai.2967 +4.97 +0.17%
IDX…..7379.09 -44.50 -0.61%
LQ45….973.38 -6.05 -0.38%
IDX30…494.25 -4.17 -0.84%
IDXEnergy..2134.80 -8.16 -0.38%
IDX BscMat.1326.31 -5.83 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1103.81 -1.70 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC.718.44 -5.97 -0.82%
IDX Hlthcare1341.16 -12.40 -0.92%
IDXCYCLIC…825.24 +3.63 +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00 +0.19 +0.02%
IDX Transp 1656.97 +2.01 +0.12%
IDX Infrast 1577.29. +0.98 +0.06%
IDX Finance.1448.02 -4.07. -0.28%
IDX Banking.1267.99 -1.01 -0.08%
IDX Property.. 709 -0.90 -0.12%
Indo10Yr.6.6494+0.0333 +0.50%
ICBI…374.1959 -0.4937 -0.13%
US2Yr.4.333 +0.009 +0.21%
US5Yr 3.905 -0.017 -0.43%
US10Yr3.920 -0.021 -0.53%
US30Yr.4.070-0.013 -0.32%
VIX….14.04 +0.84 +6.36%‼️
USDIndx 102.4570 +0.221 +0.22%
Como Indx..265.25 +2.62 +1.00%
BCOMIN……139.93 -1.24 -0.88%
IndoCDS..69.23 -0.06 -0.09%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/01)
IDR…..15481.00 +11.00 +0.07%
Jisdor.15495.00 +22.00 +0.14%
Euro….1.0920 -0.0022 -0.20%
TLKM…25.62 -0.28 -1.08%
(3970)
EIDO….22.05 -0.16 -0.72%
EEM….39.52 -0.22 -0.55%
Oil……..72.70 +2.32 +3.30%‼️
Gold..2042.80 -30.60 -1.48%
Timah..25184.00 -231 -0.91%
(Closed 02/01)
Nickel..16425.00 -140 -0.85%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver……23.16 -0.80 -3.32%
Copper.386.15 -1.90 -0.49%
Iron Ore 62% 136.37 – -%
(02/01)
Nturl Gas..2.687 +0.113 +4.39%‼️
Ammonia China.3656.67 +33.34 +0.92%
(Domestic Price)(02/02)
Coal price.128.50 +0.75 +0.59%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.09 +0.15 +0.67%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.75 +0.90 +0.72%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.40 +0.50 +0.40%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.108.95 +2.80 +2.64%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 +2.20 +2.17%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 99.25 +2.15 +2.21%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .97.20 +2.00 +2.10%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3624 -36 -0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……465.25 +1.50 +0.32%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.31 +0.64%
Wheat….600.25 -6.50 -1.07%
Wood pulp..5050.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 02/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023
GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K
Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%
Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M
U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7
ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8
ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3
By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –
US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil
US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga
IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…
Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus
Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR
MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP
Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike
Daily Analysis 20230802
Selamat pagi 🌻,
2 Agustus 2023
DJIA 35.630 +71.15. (+0.20%)
S&P 500 4.576 -12.23 (-0.27%)
Nasdaq 15.718 -38.99 (-0.25%)
FTSE 7.666 -33.14 (-0.43%)
DAX 16.240 -206.43 (-1.26%)
CAC 7.406 -91.7 (-1.22%)
HSI 20.010 -57.00 (-0.28%)
Nikkei 33.466 +261.5 (+0.79%)
JCI 6.886 -44.86 (-0.65%)
Crudeoil 82.30 +0.93 (+1.14%)
CPO Aug 3792 -82.0 (-2.12%)
Gold 1.987 +9.05 (+0.46%)
Nickel 22.287 -5.5 (-0.02%)
Coal Sep 23 140.90
RK/ CGS-CIMB Sekuritas Bandung
DJI ijo tapi nasdaq dan SP500 merah, europe merah, asia varied, besar kemungkinan hari ini IHSG masih merah, atau mungkin ijo tipis. Ga dapet USD index tadi pas closing US market, per pagi ini sih merah, dan semua metal naik. Harusnya jadi masih ok buat ANTM INCO MDKA. Oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, harusnya perbaikan buat saham2 energy yang kemaren dibanting
IHSG – kemaren merah dalem, harusnya ada perlawanan dikit hari ini, asal bandar lokal mau nahan, ga kaya kemaren ikutan distribusi sama foreign. Stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI down, w% down, hati2 jangan asal pegang barang kecuali saham yang lagi contrarian sama index. Yang ga juat jalan masih tapi profit jual dulu aja. Harusnya sih, kalo nurut sama retracement pattern akan mantul di fibo 38
Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure
Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BRPT CPIN MAPI TOWR JSMR
MACD Buy Signal: AMRT ANTM
Alligator Buy Signal: ASSA
Supertrend Buy Signal: BRPT
Daily Analysis 20230713
July 13th, 2023
Good morning,
Stock closes higher in after the S&P 500 closed at its highest level in over a year. Markets also looked ahead to another key inflation reading.
Dow……34347 +86.01 +0.25%
Nasdaq13981 +158.3 +1.18%
S&P 500.4472 +32.9 +0.74%
FTSE…..7416 +133.6 +1.83%
Dax……16203 +232.7 +1.47%
CAC……7333 +113.0 +1.57%
Nikkei…31943 -259.6 -0.81%
HSI…….18861 +201.1 +1.08%
Shanghai.3196 -25.2 -0.78%
IDX…..6808.21 +11.28 +0.17%
LQ45….957.99 +3.03 +0.32%
IDX30…497.19 +1.71 +0.35%
IDXEnergy…1840.99 -17.48 -0.94%
IDX BscMat.1036.93 -3.01 -0.29%
IDX Indstrl…1194.84 -2.03 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.761.67 -0.10 -0.01%
IDX Hlthcare1523.16 +0.76 +2.88%
IDXCYCLIC….921.48 +0.00 +0.01%
IDX Techno.4815.68 +67.71 +1.43%
IDX Transp..1924.05 -0.29 -0.01%
IDX Infrast… .856.79 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX Finance.1425.15 +2.86 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1188.03 +3.53 +0.47%
IDX Property..751 +4.20 +0.56%
Indo10Yr.6.3102👍 -0.0270 -0.43%
ICBI….368.5678👍 +04692 +0.13%
US2Yr.4.8870 -0.139 -2.84%👍
US5Yr 4.0750 -0.164 -3.86%👍
US10Yr3.8620 -0.111 -2.79%👍
US30Yr.4.0110-0.062 -1.55%
VIX…….13.54 -1.30 -8.76%👍
USDIndx100.5210👍 -1.2110 -1.19%
Como Indx…268.30 +0.70 +0.26%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.40 +4.19 +2.97%
IndoCDS.87.66 -0.98 -1.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/07)
IDR…..15074.50 -78.50 -0.52%
Jisdor.15084.00 -78.00 -0.51%
Euro……1.1136 +0.0126 +1.14%
TLKM…26.41 +0.33 +1.27%
(3983)
EIDO….23.67 +0.63 +2.73%
EEM…..40.71 +0.89 +2.24%
Oil…..74.80 +1.08 +1.44%
Gold…1962.40‼ +24.50 +1.26%
Timah..27956.00 +6.00 +0.02%
(Closed 11/07)
Nickel..21628.00 +918.00 +4.43%‼
(Closed 12/07)
Silver…. 24.34 +1.01 +4.33%‼
Copper.385.65 +8.60 +2.28%
Iron Ore 62% 109.34 +0.13 +0.12%
(11/07)
Nturl Gas.2.6490 -0.083 -3.04%
Coal price.129.05 -1.95 -1.49%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.05 -5.95 -4.44%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.129.25 -6.60 -4.86%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.70 -7.10 -5.08%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price104.05 -1.85 -1.70%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.45 -5.40 -5.41%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…94.10 -5.50 -5.52%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.90 -5.00 -5.00%‼
(Oct/Rotterdam)
CPO(Sept)..3928 +40 +1.02%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…483.75 -17.75 -3.54%‼
SoybeanOil 59.36 -0.57 -0.95%
Wheat…632.75 -27.75 -4.20%‼
Wood pulp..4380.00 +20 +0.46%
(Closed 10/07)
©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Index regional hampir semua ijo kecuali nikkei, kayanya lanjut rally ini IHSG
USD index drop, automatically precious metals naik tinggi semua. Oil ijo Gas drop, coal drop, cpo ijo. Consider exit yang coal coal ya, bahaya ini udha 3 hari berturut2 coal price turun, ini ketahan index jalan makanya masih bertahan emiten coal
IHSG – lanjut FNB, SUpertrend Buy, Alligator up, tembus cloud ichimoku ke atas, IHNS jalan, stoch up, macd up, harusnya lanjut rally sih
Malah property sama Consumer Cyclicals yang kebaca arahnya bagus, tapi dengan harga komoditi naik tinggi gini sih, basic materials harusnya jalan lagi
Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES GOTO KLBF ADHI MIKA MBSS
MACD Buy SIgnal: ICBP MIKA LMSH SGRO
Alligator Buy Signal: MEDC
Supertrend Buy Signal: BABP