Global Update:

August 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow slips as Wall Street awaits July jobs report

The Dow ticked down Thursday as traders awaited Friday’s July jobs report, which will give the latest snapshot on the labor market and the health of the economy.

Dow…….32723 -85.7 -0.26%
Nasdaq.12721 +52.4 +0.41%
S&P 500..4152 -3.23 -0.08%

FTSE…….7448 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..13663 +75.1 +0.55%
CAC……..6513 +41.3 +0.64%

Nikkei….27932 +190.3 +0.69%
HSI……..20174 +406.95+2.06%
Shanghai..3189 +25.4 +0.80%
ST Times..3270 +17.8 +0.55%

IDX…….7057.35 +10.71 +0.15%
LQ45…1003.77 +3.72 +0.38%

IDX Energy…1766.29 -45.54 -2.57%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.91 +9.94 +0.77%
IDX Industrl..1321.32 -6.29 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC..703.38 +1.24 +0.18%
IDX Hlthcare.1430.38 -0.99 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.52 +6.72 +0.76%
IDX Techno..8125.73 +242.45 +3.08%
IDX Transp…2015.22 -5.04 -0.25%
IDX Infrast…..1027.86 +26.79 +1.36%
IDX Finance 1517.57 -1.42 -0.09%
IDX Banking..1143.34 +0.81 +0.07%
IDX Property……. – -%

Indo10Yr….7.3039 -0.0210 -0.29%
ICBI……..332.7187 +0.3500 +0.11%
US10Yr…..2.6760 -0.0720 -2.62%
VIX…………21.44 -0.51 -2.32%‼️

USDIndx 105.6930 -0.8130 -0.76%‼️
Como Indx..281.21 -0.51 -0.18%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..154.70 +2.23 +1.46%

IndoCDS…120.12 -7.03 -5.53%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14932.50 +21.00 +0.14%‼️
Jisdor..14929 .00 +12.00 +0.08%‼️

Euro………1.0247 +0.0083 +0.75%

TLKM……..29.93 +0.05 +0.17%
(4468)
EIDO………23.47 +0.09 +0.38%
EEM………40.02 +0.28 +0.70%

Oil…………87.36 -3.06 -3.36%‼️
Gold ……1806.90 +26.30 +1.48%‼️
Timah. .24245.00 -4.00 -0.02%
( Closed 03/8)
Nickel…22288.00 -264.00 -1.17%
(Closed 04/8)
Silver…….20.15 +0.15 +0.75%
Copper….347.95 +0.70 +0.20%

Nturl Gas…..8.141 -0.147 -1.77%

Ammonia….3856.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/8)

Coal price….385.00 -8.50 -2.16%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….365.00 -13.55 -3.58%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….329.50 -25.50 -7.18%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…313.20 -23.25 -6.91%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3818 -42 -1.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………606.25 +10.00 +1.69%
SoybeanOil…61.42 +0.42 +0.69%
Wheat………782.50 +18.75 +2.45%

Wood pulp…6726.00 +4 +0.06%
(Closed 04/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah tipis tapi ga ada apa apa, regional lain ijo semua…

Oil turun coal turun gas turun, sektor energy keliatannya koreksi dulu. Beware kemaren entry PGAS, kita liat signalnya. Semoga contrarian sama sektornya dia

Gold Silver Copper naik, timah nikel turun, bagus buat holder MDKA, holder ANTM INCO TINS SOS ya, sebagian aja bagusnya kalo punya modal bawah

IHSG – kelihatannya akan dibawa lanjut sampe tutup gap…

Global Update:

August 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally to reverse two-day slide, surging on rosy earnings results and economic data

U.S. stocks rallied Wednesday, clawing back losses from earlier in the week, as traders cheered better-than-expected economic data that helped allay recession fears.

Dow…….32813 +416.3 +1.29%
Nasdaq.12668 +319.4 +2.59%
S&P 500..4155 +63.98 +1.56%

FTSE…….7446 +36.6 +0.49%
Dax……..13588 +138.4 +1.03%
CAC……..6472 +62.3 +0.97%

Nikkei….27742 +147.2 +0.53%
HSI……..19767 +77.9 +0.40%
Shanghai..3164 -22.6 -0.71%
ST Times..3252 +12.9 +0.40%

IDX…….7046.64 +58.48 +0.84%
LQ45…..999.95 +11.34 +1.15%

IDX Energy…1812.83 -2.89 -0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1294.97 +7.38 +0.57%
IDX Industrl..1327.61 -1.01 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC..702.14 -3.05 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1431.37 -3.15 -0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.80 -9.53 -1.06%
IDX Techno..7883.27 +246.11 +3.22%
IDX Transp…1988.43 -5.04 -0.25%
IDX Infrast…..1021.65 +22.64+2.27%
IDX Finance 1518.99 +14.22 +0.94%
IDX Banking..1142.53 +10.67 +0.94%
IDX Property…….69r +o.94 -0.26%

Indo10Yr….7.3249 +0.0394 +0.54%
ICBI……..332.3687 -0.5567 -0.17%
US10Yr…..2.74i0 +0.0070 +0.26%
VIX…………21.95 -1.87 -8.27%‼️

USDIndx 106.5060 +0.2650 +0.25%‼️
Como Indx..281.72 -1.98 -0.70%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.47 -1.83 -1.19%

*IndoCDS…127.15 – – *
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14911.50 +22.50 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14917.00 +29.00 +0.19%‼️

Euro………1.0164 -0.0006 -0.06%

TLKM……..29.88 +1.28 +4.48%‼️
(4457)
EIDO………23.38 +0.24 +1.04%
EEM………39.74 +0.31 +0.79%

Oil…………91.02 -2.68 -2.86%
Gold ……1780.60 +7.00 +0.39%
Timah. .24249.00 -651.00 -2.61%
( Closed 02/8)
Nickel…22552.00 +210.00 +0.94%
(Closed 03/8)
Silver…….20.00 +0.08 +0.40%
Copper….347.25 -0.15 -0.04%

Nturl Gas…..8.288 +0.612 +7.97%‼️

Ammonia….3856.67 +83.34 +2.21%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/8)

Coal price….393.50 -10.00 -2.48%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.55 -17.20 -4.35%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 -11.05 -3.01%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…336.45 -14.55 -4.15%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3860 +19 +0.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +2.00 +0.34%
SoybeanOil…61.00 -0.39 -0.64%
Wheat………763.75 -11.00 -1.42%

Wood pulp…6722.00 +6 +0.09%
(Closed 03/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren IHSG ijo tebel, closing market rata2 ijo semua, kecuali shanghai yang minus. US kenceng banget, semoga jadi pendorong index kita ijo tebel lagi hari ini, biar cepet tutup gap diatas dulu

Oil turun lagi, terus stay dibawah 100 usd per barrel, coal dibawah 400 usd per MT, rada cocok buat bawa energy koreksi wave c. Metal tipis tipis kecuali timah yang agak jauh turunnya. ANTM TINS INCO sideways dulu kayanya. Gas naik tinggi, semoga PGAS lanjut jalan. CPO naik dikit, belum jadi bawa AALI sama LSIP ke atas

Terlalu optimis dengan outlook IHSG dengan elliot wave nya? Mungkin, tapi gpp lah, namanya juga forecast optimistic…

Stochastic signal buy lagi, MACD masih Up, supertrend masih up, alligator up, bagu breakout cloud ichimoku, parabolic sar masih UP, LR channel target cocok sama gap closing. Semoga bener sampe minimal gap closing sebelum wave 2

Global Update:

August 03rd, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks fall a second day on U.S.-China tensions, hawkish comments from Fed leaders

Stocks slumped on Tuesday as investors weighed increased tensions between the U.S. and China with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s Taiwan visit and reacted to comments from Federal Reserve presidents about the central bank’s path forward.

Dow…….32396 -402.2 -1.23%
Nasdaq.12349 -20.2 -0.16%
S&P 500..4091 -27.4 -0.67%

FTSE…….7409 -4.3 -0.06%
Dax……..13449 -30.4 -0.23%
CAC……..6410 -27.1 -0.42%

Nikkei….27595 -398.6 -1.42%
HSI……..19689 -473.6 -2.36%
Shanghai..3186 -73.7 -2.26%
ST Times..3239 +0.4 +0.01%

IDX…….6988.16 +19.37 +0.28%
LQ45…..988.61 +6.62 +0.67%

IDX Energy…1815.73 -51.05 -2.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1287.59 -8.66 -0.67%
IDX Industrl..1328.62 +23.6 +1.81%
IDXNONCYC..705.19 -2.9 -0.41%
IDX Hlthcare.1434.52 +1.08 +0.08%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.33 -0.08 -0.01%
IDX Techno..7637.16 -17.54 -0.23%
IDX Transp…1993.47 -7.10 -0.35%
IDX Infrast……999.00 +2.92 +0.29%
IDX Finance 1504.78 +0.28 +0.02%
IDX Banking..1131.86 +10.06 +0.90%
IDX Property…….689 -1.80 -0.26%

Indo10Yr….7.2855 +0.0080 +0.11%
ICBI……..332.9254 -0.1759 -0.05%
US10Yr…..2.7410 +0.1350 +5.18%
VIX…………23.94 +1.09 +4.77%

USDIndx 106.2410 +0.7910 +0.75%‼
Como Indx..283.11 -5.95 -2.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..154.30 -2.46 -1.57%

IndoCDS…127.15 +7.07 +5.89%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14889.00 +16.00 +0.11%
Jisdor..14888.00 +14.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0170 -0.0092 -0.90%

TLKM……..28.60 -0.14 -0.49%
(4258)
EIDO………23.14 -0.09 -0.39%
EEM………39.43 -0.19 -0.48%

Oil…………93.70 -0.21 -0.22%
Gold ……1773.60 -15.30 -0.86%
Timah. .25047.00 – –
( Closed 29/7)
Nickel…22342.00 -2002.00 -8.22%‼
(Closed 02/8)
Silver…….19.92 -0.40 -1.97%
Copper….347.55 -6.05 -1.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.676 -0.542 -6.59%‼

Ammonia….3773.33 +83.33 +2.26%
China
(Domestic Price)(01/8)

Coal price….403.50 -1.50 -0.37%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….395.75 +2.35 +0.60%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….366.05 +0.55 +0.15%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…351.00 -2.30 -0.65%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3841 -232 -5.69%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………594.25 -15.50 -2.54%
SoybeanOil…61.39 -1.87 -2.96%
Wheat………774.75 -25.50 -3.19%‼

Wood pulp…67160.00 +26 +0.39%
(Closed 02/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Semua index regional closing merah kecuali IDX sama ST times. Tensi US-China ceritanya

Semua commodity juga turun, nikel cpo gas drop significant. Coal tipis tipis

IHSG – stochastic sell signal, bilang harus turun, MACD masih mungkin lanjut, alligator buy, supertrend juga buy, LR indikasi lanjut ke upper channel sekalian tutup gap atas

Kemaren sempet minus rada dalam, pas closing ditarik sampe ijo lagi. Semoga memang skenarionya tutupgap atas dulu baru koreksi wave2

Masih industrials sama energy

Global Update:

Agust 02nd, 2022

Good morning,

Stock were flat in overnight trading after a new month of trading kicked off for the markets.

Dow…….32798 -46.7 -0.14%
Nasdaq.12368 -21.7 -0.18%
S&P 500..4119 -11.7 -0.28%

FTSE…….7413 -10.01 -0.13%
Dax……..13480 -4.4 -0.03%
CAC……..6437 -11.6 -0.18%

Nikkei….27933 +191.7 +0.69%
HSI……..20166 +9.3 +0.05%
Shanghai..3260 +6.7 +0.21%
ST Times..3239 +27.2 +0.85%

IDX…….6968.78 +17.66 +0.25%
LQ45…..981.99 +3.36 +0.34%

IDX Energy…1866.79 +9.07 +0.49%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.25 +12.65 +0.99%
IDX Industrl..1305.00 -3.51 -0.27%
IDXNONCYC..708.11 +5.51 +0.78%
IDX Hlthcare.1433.44 -20.03 -1.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.41 -6.94 -0.77%
IDX Techno..7654.70 -59.61 -0.77%
IDX Transp…2000.56 +36.50 +1.86%
IDX Infrast……996.08 +7.38 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1504.50 +4.66 +0.31%
IDX Banking..1121.79 +2.80 +0.25%
IDX Property…….691 +1.60 +0.23%

Indo10Yr….7.2101 -0.0236 -0.32%👍
ICBI……..333.1013 +0.3337 +0.10%👍
US10Yr…..2.6060 -0.0360 -1.36%
VIX…………22.84 +1.51 +7.08%

USDIndx 105.4500 -0.4530 -0.43%‼️
Como Indx..286.11 -5.95 -2.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.76 -1.23 -0.78%

IndoCDS…120.08 +5.04 +4.38%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14873.00 +39.00 +0.26%
Jisdor..14874.00 +14.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0262 +0.0042 +0.41%

TLKM……..28.74 +0.24 +0.84%
(4275)
EIDO………23.23 +0.12 +0.52%
EEM………39.62 -0.34 -0.85%

Oil…………93.91 -5.01 -5.08%‼️
Gold ……1788.90 +7.10 +0.40%
Timah. .25047.00 – –
( Closed 29/7)
Nickel…24344.00 +490.00 +2.05%‼️
(Closed 01/8)
Silver…….20.32 +0.12 +0.59%
Copper….353.60 -3.75 -1.05%

Nturl Gas…..8.218 -0.068 -0.82%

Ammonia….3690.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/7)

Coal price….405.00 -0.50 -0.12%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….393.40 -1.10 -0.28%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.00 -6.50 -1.75%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…353.30 -6.20 -1.72%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4073 -233 -5.41%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………609.75 -10.25 -1.65%
SoybeanOil…63.26 -2.40 -3.66%
Wheat………800.25 -7.50 -0.93%

Wood pulp…6690.00 +30 +0.45%
(Closed 01/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Kebanyakan index regional tipis tipis, ada yang ijo tipis ada yang merah tipis. Jepang sama Singapore aja yang rada tebel.

Harga komoditas terkait energy turun semua,mungkin ini mulai mau pullback dulu di energy, walau sebenernya oil belum jalan jalan amat sih. Long run masih ok, yang masih mau hold asal punya modal bawah masih ok, TP sebagian lebih rekomended, nanti re buy di saat rebound

Metal2 an naik kecuali copper, CPO drop lagi, padahal diperkirakan saham CPO mau start rally tadinya

IHSG – Alligator Buy, Supertrend Up, ada gap di atas, LR seems to test upper channel, MACD looking good, inside ichimoku cloud, hopefully breaks upwards. Stochastic nya yang udah sell signal, minta turun…

Semoga sesuai skenario yang diharapkan, tutup gap dulu terus pullback pas efek LK big banks lewat, pas tutup gap kita profit taking dulu