Global Update:

August 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks soar, S&P 500 hits highest level in three months after key report shows slowdown in inflation

Stocks rose sharply on Wednesday after a key inflation reading showed a better-than-expected slowdown for rising prices.

Dow…….33310 +535.1 +1.63%
Nasdaq.12855 +360.9 +2.89%
S&P 500..4210 +87.8 +2.13%

FTSE…….7507 +18.96 +0.25%
Dax……..13701 +165.96+1.23%
CAC……..6523 +33.4 +0.52%

Nikkei….27819 -180.6 -0.65%
HSI……..19611 -392.6 -1.96%
Shanghai..3230 -17.4 -0.54%
ST Times..3266 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7086.24 -16.64 -0.23%
LQ45…1007.80 -0.91 -0.09%

IDX Energy…1804.40 -8.29 -0.46%
IDX Bsc Mat.1331.39 -2.06 -0.15%
IDX Industrl..1304.12 -6.47 -0.49%
IDXNONCYC..703.96 +0.88 +0.12%
IDX Hlthcare.1410.29 -0.76 -0.05%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.33 -4.75 -0.53%
IDX Techno..8034.75 +68.02 +0.85%
IDX Transp…2092.28 -24.32 -1.15%
IDX Infrast…..1032.41 -6.30 -0.61%
IDX Finance 1528.26 -2.14 -0.14%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..696 -3.10 -0.44%

Indo10Yr….7.2089 -0.0166 -0.23%
ICBI……..334.4811 -0.1082 -0.03%
US10Yr…..2.7860 -0.0110 -0.39%
VIX…………19.74 -2.03 -9.32%👍

USDIndx 105.2290 -1.069 -1.01%‼️
Como Indx..289.27 +4.73 +1.66%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.47 +2.89 +1.83%

IndoCDS…112.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14870.50 +18.00 +0.12%
Jisdor..14875 .00 +13.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0303 +0.0089 +0.87%

TLKM……..30.65 -0.38 -1.22%
(4559)
EIDO………24.00 +0.20 +0.84%
EEM………40.46 +0.50 +1.25%

Oil…………..91.58 +1.08 +1.19%
Gold ……..1808.30 -4.30 -0.24%
Timah. .24426.00 +126 +0.52%
( Closed 09/8)
Nickel…22436.00 +909.50 +4.23%‼️
(Closed 10/8)
Silver…….20.57 -0.10 -0.48%
Copper….363.70 +5.20 +1.45%

Nturl Gas…..8.221 +0.382 +4.87%‼️

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(09/8)

Coal price….398.65 +14.15 +3.68%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….401.00 +26.00 +6.93%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….390.00 +25.50 +7.00%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +13.25 +4.03%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….342.00 +24.35 +7.79%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….329.00 +25.00 +8.22%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)……4106 -19 -0.46%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………618.50 +4.50 +0.73%
SoybeanOil…65.99 +1.37 +2.12%
Wheat………816.25 +17.00 +2.13%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 10/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Fixed ini sih tutup gap atas, hehehe… US ijo tebel, komoditas pada naik, yang turun cuma gold sama silver

Kalo misalnya dikejar tutup gap hari ini langsung, ada bagusnya SOS, ada kemungkinan jum’at jadi hari profit taking sedunia, hehehe

Sell 1/2 muatan dulu sih prudentnya di saham2 yang sudah naik tinggi. Kalo yang baru mulai jalan kita assess detail dulu

Semua indicator masih firm per sekarang, tapi stochastic sudah sangat overbought dan MACD sudah ada pelandaian curve, histogram mulai turun. Jadi untuk rally lebih jauh kemungkinannya lebih kecil dibanding koreksi dulu setelah tutup gap

Industrial dan energy secara umum sudah melemah, infra property techno yang keliatan mau jalan, basic material mantul lagi setelah melemah. Isi porto dan watchlist yang ada di sektor yang melemah nanti kita bahas, jangan sampai telat exit kalo memang sudah selesai manggung

Global Update:

August 10th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq falls more than 1% as chip stocks struggle, key inflation report looms

Stocks fell on Tuesday as investors navigated a batch of disappointing company reports ahead of a key inflation reading.

Dow…….32774 -58.1 -0.18%
Nasdaq.12494 -150.5 -1.19%
S&P 500..4123 -17.5 -0.42%

FTSE…….7488 +5.8 +0.08%
Dax……..13535 -152.7 -1.12%
CAC……..6490 -34.4 -0.53%

Nikkei….27999 -249.3 -0.88%
HSI……..20003 -42.3 -0.21%
Shanghai..3247 +10.50 +0.32%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7102.88 +16.03 +0.23%
LQ45…1009.71 +1.56 +0.16%

IDX Energy…1812.69 +43.65 +2.47%
IDX Bsc Mat.1333.45 +6.55 +0.42%
IDX Industrl..1310.58 -0.43 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..703.09 -3.76 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare.1411.05 -12.06 -0.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.08 -0.09 -0.01%
IDX Techno..7966.73 +11.57 +0.15%
IDX Transp…2116.60 +16.11 +0.77%
IDX Infrast…..1038.71 +1.17 +0.11%
IDX Finance 1530.40 +5.95 +0.39%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..699 +0.90 +0.13%

Indo10Yr….7.2267 -0.0412 -0.57%👍
ICBI……..334.5894 +0.8171 +0.34%👍
US10Yr…..2.7970 +0.0320 +1.16%
VIX…………21.77 +0.48 +2.25%

USDIndx 106.3010 -0.1340 -0.13%
Como Indx..284.54 +2.74 +0.97%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.58 +1.53 +0.98%

IndoCDS…112.24 -5.02 -4.28%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14852.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14862 .00 -53.00 -0.36%

Euro………1.0214 +0.0020 +0.20%

TLKM……..31.03 -0.31 -0.99%
(4612)
EIDO………23.80 +0.09 +0.38%
EEM………39.96 -0.15 -0.37%

Oil…………..90.50 -0.09 -0.10%
Gold ……1812.30 +7.30 +0.40%
Timah. .24300.00 -155 -0.63%
( Closed 08/8)
Nickel…21526.50 -115.50 -0.53%
(Closed 09/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.839 +0.183 +2.39%

Ammonia….3806.67 -83.33 -2.14%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/8)

Coal price….384.50 +13.50 +3.64%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.00 +14.50 +4.02%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +8.75 +2.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….312.65 +16.40 +5.54%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4125 +49 +1.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………614.00 +6.75 +1.11%
SoybeanOil…64.62 +0.30 +0.47%
Wheat………781.50 +1.75 +0.22%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 09/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

Index regional hampir semua merah kecuali Inggris sama China. IHSG juga sempet ijo tebel tapi closing rada tipis. Energy sama banking yang mimpin gerakan

Oil turun dikit, gold silver copper naik – good for MDKA hold, timah nikel turun harusnya ngaruh ke INCO TINS tapi news tesla kayanya tetep bikin gorengan

Gas coal cpo naik, semoga PGAS kebawa naik, coal long bullish sampe januari, tapi kayanya ga mungkin sih 5 bulan rally terus, hehehe

AALI sama LSIP belum ada tanda2 jalan, secara umum consumer belum sih

Dari closing price kemaren ke gap closing selisih 1.01%, angka yang kalo dipaksain dapet dalam sehari, tapi kayanya ga akan kejadian. Tapi kalo bener dipaksain bisa jadi bahaya, bisa rejection candle terus langsung dibanting. Kalo kejadian di pump and dump, bagusnya pasang trailing stop di yang udah profit, atau cutloss di saham yang chart nya jelek

Secara umum indicators masih ngasih isyarat lanjut naik. Semoga kenceng, tapi begitu tutup gap kita pantau ketat

Infrastructure, Tech, Transport, Industrials

Global Update:

August 09th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq slip to start the week as Nvidia warning puts brakes on market rally

Stocks struggled to hold their ground on Monday, following the S&P 500′s third straight weekly gain, as demand concerns for the semiconductor industry weighed on tech names.

Dow…….32833 +29.1 +0.09%
Nasdaq.12645 -13.1 -0.10%
S&P 500..4140 -5.1 -0.12%

FTSE…….7482 +42.6 +0.57%
Dax……..13688 +113.8 +0.84%
CAC……..6524 +52.1 +0.80%

Nikkei….28249 +73.4 +0.26%
HSI……..20046 -156.2 -0.77%
Shanghai..3237 +9.91 +0.31%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7086.85 +2.19 +0.03%
LQ45…1007.14 -0.66 -0.07%

IDX Energy…1769.03 +1.13 +0.06%
IDX Bsc Mat.1327.89 +12.85 +0.98%
IDX Industrl..1311.02 +5.69 +0.44%
IDXNONCYC..706.85 +3.04 +0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1423.11 +0.28 +0.02%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.17 +2.62 +0.29%
IDX Techno..7955.16 -119.49 -1.48%
IDX Transp…2100.49 +36.44 +1.77%
IDX Infrast…..1037.54 -0.66 -0.06%
IDX Finance 1524.45 +0.21 +0.01%
IDX Banking..1153.32 +0.39 +0.03%
IDX Property…..698 +2.30 +0.33%

Indo10Yr….7.2679 +0.0084 +0.12%
ICBI……..333.7723 +0.1448 +0.14%👍
US10Yr…..2.7650 -0.0750 -2.64%
VIX…………21.29 +0.14 +0.66%

USDIndx 106.4350 -0.1860 -0.17%
Como Indx..281.80 +0.76 +0.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.05 -0.26 -0.16%

IndoCDS…117.26 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14876.00 -18.00 -0.12%
Jisdor..14915 .00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro………1.0194 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM……..31.34 +0.14 +0.45%
(4674)
EIDO………23.71 +0.25 +1.07%
EEM………40.11 +0.05 +0.12%

Oil…………90.59 +1.58 +1.78%
Gold ……1805.00 +13.80 +0.77%
Timah. .24455.00 – -%
( Closed 05/8)
Nickel…21642.00 -828.00 -3.68%‼
(Closed 08/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.656 -0.345l -4.36%

Ammonia….3890.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/8)

Coal price….371.00 +10.00 +2.77%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….360.50 +13.75 +3.96%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.00 +6.35 +2.02%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…296.25 +8.40 +2.92%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4076 +188 +4.82%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………607.25 -2.75 -0.45%
SoybeanOil…64.32 +0.35 +0.55%
Wheat………779.75 +4.00 +0.52%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 08/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe masih lanjut ijo, asia varied, hongkong sama singapore merah, IDX juga merah tapi tipis, kita liat hari ini apakah mau lanjut ke atas tutup gap atau udahan

Oil rebound tapi masih stay dibawah 100 USD/barrel, Coal juga, naik tapi masih dibawah 400 USD /MT. Keliatannya masih lanjut koreksi dulu. Gas malah lanjut merah, jadi mengkhawatirkan buat PGAS

Gold silver copper naik, good for MDKA, nikel drop, kayanya akan nyeret ANTM TINS INCO kebawah dulu, yang kemaren2 keliatan masih menolak turun

CPO akhirnya ada kenaikan tinggi, LSIP menarik buat re-entry kayanya

Masih Industrials Infrastructure, Transportation nyusul, property keliatannya next. Tapi, walau finance melemah BBCA diangkat terus lho, semoga lanjut sampai index tutup gap

IHSG – masih fine di semua indic, semoga hajatan tutup gap tercapai dulu sebelum wave 2, jadi trading plan nya bisa dieksekusi dengan baik

Global Update:

August 08th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq fall Friday, but notch weekly gains after blowout July jobs report

Stocks wavered Friday in a volatile trading session after the July jobs report was much better than expected, as investors assessed what a strong labor market would mean for the Federal Reserve’s rate tightening campaign.

Dow…….32803 +76.7 +0.23%
Nasdaq.12658 -63.03 -0.50%
S&P 500..4145 -6.8 -0.16%

FTSE…….7440 -8.3 -0.11%
Dax……..13574 -88.8 -0.65%
CAC……..6472 -41.04 -0.63%

Nikkei….28176 +243.7 +0.87%
HSI……..20202 +27.9 +0.14%
Shanghai..3227 +37.99 +1.19%
ST Times..3283 +13.02 +0.40%

IDX…….7084.65 +27.31 +0.39%
LQ45…1007.80 +4.03 +0.40%

IDX Energy…1767.91 +1.61 +0.09%
IDX Bsc Mat.1315.05 +10.14+0.78%
IDX Industrl..1305.32 -15.99 -1.21%
IDXNONCYC..703.81 +0.43 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1422.82 -7.55 -0.53%
IDXCYCLIC…..898.55 +5.04 +0.56%
IDX Techno..8074.65 -51.08 -0.63%
IDX Transp…2064.05 +48.83 +2.42%
IDX Infrast…..1038.20 +10.33 +1.01%
IDX Finance 1524.23 +6.66 +0.44%
IDX Banking..1152.93 +9.59 +0.84%
IDX Property…..696 +1.50 +0.22%

Indo10Yr….7.2595 -0.0444 -0.61%👍
ICBI……..333.4994 +0.7807 +0.23%👍*
US10Yr…..2.8400 +0.1640 +6.13%‼
VIX…………21.15 -0.29 -1.35%

USDIndx 106.6210 +0.9280 +0.88%‼
Como Indx..281.04 -0.17 -0.06%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.30 +1.60 +1.04%

IndoCDS…117.26 -2.86 -2.38%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14894.00 -38.50 -0.26%
Jisdor..14904 .00 -25.00 -0.17%

Euro………1.0183 -0.0064 +0.62%

TLKM……..31.20 +1.27 +4.24%‼
(4650)
EIDO………23.46 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM………40.06 +0.04 +0.10%

Oil…………89.01 +1.65 +1.89%
Gold ……1791.20 -15.70 -0.87%
Timah. .24455.00 -90.00 -0.37%
( Closed 05/8)
Nickel…22470.00 +182.00 +0.82%
(Closed 05/8)
Silver…….19.84 -0.31 -1.54%
Copper….355.20 +7.25 +2.08%

Nturl Gas…..8.005 -0.136 -1.67%

Ammonia….3890.00 +33.33 +0.86%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/8)

Coal price….361.00 -24.00 -6.23%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….346.75 -18.25 -5.01%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….313.65 -15.85 -4.81%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…287.85 -25.35 -8.09%‼
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3900 +82 +2.15%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………610.00 +3.75 +0.62%
SoybeanOil…63.97 +2.55 +4.15%‼
Wheat………775.75 -6.75 -0.86%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US jum’at closing ijo tipis, asia market masih ijo, europe kena sentiment negatif jadi merah

Oil nikel copper cpo naik, gold timah silver turun, coal drop gede. Lanjut wave C ini saham coal…

IHSG masih keliatan firm mau tutup gap dulu

Candle nya trading view sama stockbit dan mansek beda, ga ada gap di 6740

Industrials, Infrastructure. Energy lagi lesu, finance surprisingly juga, padahal perlu buat angkat index

Industrials – stoch sell, macd mau reversal, vol transaksi menurun terus, bandar mulai distribusi, foreign masih akum. Lagi wave5dan udah ketemu MACD bearish divergence, confirmed by 2 bear candle. Prepare exit…

ASII KBLI masih…

BMTR UNTR udah sell signal, ASII mulai overbought

ASII – masih firm retracement pattern going to 6975, kecuali stochastic yang mulai overbought, everything else is AOK

KBLI – suppposedly OTW fibo 61 juga @384 tapi stoch lagi sell. LR sama parabolic sar masih ok, MACD mulai tanda2 reversal. Hold, kita tunggu mau dibawa kemana ini KBLI

Infrastructure – Lagi running up, dari target wave 3 elliot wave sudah tercapai dan sudah nongol bearish divergence MOM, Parabolic SAR masih ok, MACD masih OK, MFI up, bandar & foreign akum, LR sudah break upper channelnya, suggest buat turun koreksi wave 4

Keliatan banyak yang mau lari… ISAT, EXCL, TLKM, PTPP, WSKT

Banyak yang menarik, yang ada signal Buy baru: TLKM dengan buy signal stoch barunya, WIKA yang sudah bikin higher low, buy signal di H4 dan FNB bandar akum

ISAT – kemaren pas breakout triangle nya kelewat euy ga ikutan, pas tgl breakout infra nya belum ada sign running. Tapi targetnya tutup gap, jadi masih ok buat entry sekarang kebeneran ada sedikit pullback

EXCL – setelah vol breakout belum lari, BOW… Target sell di gap closing juga @3170

TLKM – udah tutup gap, waktunya koreksi dulu harusnya, bikin higher low, udah run panjang dari 4000 ke 4650

WIKA – massive vol breakout, MACD H4 buy, alligator buy, supertrend up, breakout cloud, BOW

PTPP

PTPP – Mirip dengan WIKA, spec buy deh follow the volume breakout.

Tapi kalo disuruh milih, mending buy WIKA aja

ACES

ACES – vol breakout, Stoch MACD Buy, SpecBuy, stoploss @650 minus 2tick