Global update:

September 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rebound from 2022 low, Dow closes up more than 500 points and snaps six-day losing streak

The Dow Jones Industrial Average mounted a big comeback from its 2022 low as the Bank of England said it would buy bonds to stabilize its financial markets, a stunning reversal in the monetary tightening policies implemented this year by most central banks to stifle inflation.

Dow…….29684 +548.8 +1.88%
Nasdaq.11052 +222.1 +2.05%
S&P 500..3719 +71.8 +1.97%

FTSE…….7005 +20.8 +0.30%
Dax……..12183 +43.6 +0.36%
CAC……..5765 +11.2 +0.19%

Nikkei….26174 -397.9 -1.50%
HSI……..17251 -609.4 -3.41%
Shanghai..3045 -48.8 -1.58%
ST Times..3116 -49.2 -1.55%

IDX…….7007.03 -35.42 -0.50%
LQ45…1013.51 -2.48 -0.24%

IDX Energy…1905.14 -33.53 -1.73%
IDX Bsc Mat.1247.94 -23.93 -1.88%
IDX Industrl..1298.12 -23.93 -1.88%
IDXNONCYC..702.01 -0.22 -0.03%
IDX Hlthcare.1463.85 -1.79 -0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.06 -7.96 -0.92%
IDX Techno..7185.88 -64.96 -0.89%
IDX Transp…1812.69 -32.73 -1.77%
IDX Infrast…….999.58 -9.89 -0.98%
IDX Finance 1496.09 -7.18 -0.48%
IDX Banking..1161.15 -1.49 -0.13%
IDX Property….703 -7.10 -1.00%

Indo10Yr….7.4103 +0.0239 +0.32%
ICBI……..332.7745 -0.5936 -0.18%
US10Yr……3.7050 -0.2590 -6.53%‼️
VIX……….30.18 -2.42 -7.42%‼️

USDIndx112.6040 -1.4990 -1.31%‼️
Como Indx..271.82 +5.85 +2.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..141.77 +1.05 +0.75%
.
IndoCDS 165.45 +53.61 +47.93%‼️‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15266.50 +142.50 +0.94%‼️
Jisdor..15243.00 +86.00 +0.58%‼️

Euro……..0.9724 +0.0135 +1.41%‼️

TLKM……..29.55 +0.71 +2.46%
(4504)
EIDO……….23.87 +0.28 +1.19%
EEM……….35.81 +0.31 +0.87%

Oil…………..81.81 +3.59 +4.59%‼️
Gold ……1667.30 +30.70 +1.88%‼️
Timah. .20680.00 +40 +0.19%
( Closed 27/9)
Nickel…22063.00 +380.00 +1.75%
(Closed 28/9)
Silver…….18.88 +0.54 +2.94%
Copper….338.05 +8.60 +2.61%

Nturl Gas…..7.019 +0.207 +3.04%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/9)

Coal price….436.00 -1.65 -0.38%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….419.75 -3.25 -0.77%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….424.00 -1.25 -0.29%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.15 +2.55 +0.78%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….305.25 +7.70 +2.59%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….302.00 +7.00 +2.37%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3225 -305 -8.84%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………670.50 +3.00 +0.45%
SoybeanOil…62.15 -0.24 -0.38%
Wheat………903.25 +31.75 +3.64%‼️

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US dan europe rebound, asia closing masih merah, kayanya hari ini ijo IHSG…

Oil rebound, semua metal ijo, gas naik, coal turn, cpo drop jauh

 

IHSG – masih jadwal koreksi wave 2, mungkin technical rebound hari ini ikut US dan europe

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – masih sideways, foreign masih inside, kita tunggu breakout triangle ke atas…

HMSP sama GGRM vol breakout

HMSP – naik tembus resistance minor with volume, stoch dan MACD jadi buy signal, MFIup, Bandar ngebalik jadi akum, foreign lanjut akum, bullish divergence confirmed by MACD buy signal, 2 bull candle and close above MA 10. Yang masih ok beli saham rokok, bisa pasang BOW di tengah candle kearen, di 905. saya pribadi skip…

GGRM – mirip HSMP, stoch buy macd buy MFI up, bandar dan foreign akum, supertrend buy, breakout minor resistance with volume, bullish divergence confirmed by MACD buy signal, 2 bull candle and close above MA 10, BOW tengah candle kemaren 23600 plus 1 tick

Infrastuctures – oscillators masih jelek, tapi dari elliot wave sekarang itungan fibonaccinya udah sampe level biasa mantul, lanjut wave 3

Belum ada buy signal baru…

TLKM big akum, FNB

TLKM – stoch buy macd belum, MFI flat, bandar dan foreign akum, elliot wave keliatannya lagi wave 3, bisa spec buy setengah, BOW. Firm macd dan vol breakut tambah setengah lagi

 

Global Update:

September 28th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends Tuesday down after notching a fresh bear market low, Dow slips more than 100 points

The S&P 500 fell deeper into a bear market on Tuesday after setting a new 2022 low, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield continued to climb to levels not seen in at least a decade.

Dow…….29135 -125.8 -0.43%
Nasdaq.10830 +26.6 +0.25%
S&P 500..3647 -7.8 -0.21%

FTSE…….6985 -36.4 -0.52%
Dax……..12140 -88.2 -0.72%
CAC……..5754 -15.6 -0.27%

Nikkei….26572 +140.3 +0.53%
HSI……..17860 +5.2 +0.03%
Shanghai..3094 +42.6 +1.40%
ST Times..3166 -16.5 -0.52%

IDX…….7112.45 -15.05 -0.21%
LQ45…1015.98 -4.2q -0.41%

IDX Energy…1938.67 +26.31 1.38%
IDX Bsc Mat.1271.67 -12.34 -0.96%
IDX Industrl..1321.48 +3.30 +0.25%
IDXNONCYC..702.23 -2.06 -0.29%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.65 +4.14 +0.28%
IDXCYCLIC…..870.02 -2.78 -0.32%
IDX Techno..7250.75 +31.61 +0.44%
IDX Transp…1845.42 +7.88 +0.43%
IDX Infrast…..1009.48 +3.60 +0.36%
IDX Finance 1503.28 -5.05 -0.34%
IDX Banking..1162.64 -4.61 -0.39%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3864 +0.0317 +0.43%
ICBI……..333.3681 -0.2493 -0.07%
US10Yr……3.9640 +0.0860 +2.22%‼️
VIX……….32.60 +0.34 +1.06%

USDIndx114.1030+0.0030 +0.00%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..140.72 -1.68 -1.18%
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (27/9)

IDR……15124.00 -5.50 -0.04%‼️
Jisdor..15155.00 +36.00 +0.24%‼️

Euro……..0.9589 -0.0001 -0.01%‼️

TLKM……..28.84 -0.07 -0.24%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.59 -0.18 -0.76%
EEM……….35.50 -0.04 -0.11%

Oil…………..78.22 +1.70 +2.22%
Gold ……1636.60 +5.20 +0.32%
Timah. .20640.00 +397 +1.96%
( Closed 26/9)
Nickel…21683.00 -460.00 -2.08%
(Closed 27/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.01 -0.05%
Copper….329.45 +0.35 +0.11%

Nturl Gas…..6.812 -0.217 -3.09%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/9)

Coal price….437.65 -0.35 -0.08%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.00 +0.10 +0.02%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.25 +0.25 +0.06%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.60 -0.15 -0.05%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.55 +2.95 +1.00%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….295.00 -1.00 -0.34%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3530 -16 -0.45%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………667.50 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil…62.39 -0.07 -0.11%
Wheat………871.50 +13.50 +1.57%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 27/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali singapore sama indonesia

Kayanya kita ijo tipis dulu hari ini…

Oil gold timah copper naik, silver nikel gas cpo turun. Coal spot turun tipis, future nya naik tipis, masih belum kuat buat angkat saham coal

Basic materials mungin rada rebound hari ini

IHSG – closing price kemarin sudah dibawah MA 50, pemain MA bilang udah downtrend. Sudah koreksi sampe fibo 38, belum firm buat mulai buy, tunggu fibo 50, jaga2 kalo harus tutup gap

Healthcare melemah, techno ga jadi jalan, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Financials (tapi resiko tinggi ini kalo index masih mau turun), Transportation

Global Update:

September 27th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches new closing low for 2022, Dow falls into bear market as dollar surges

The S&P 500 notched a new closing low for 2022 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped into a bear market as interest rates surged and turmoil rocked global currencies.

Dow…….29261 -329.6 -1.11%
Nasdaq.10803 -65.0 -0.60%
S&P 500..3655 -38.2 -1.03%

FTSE…….7021 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..12228 -56.3 -0.46%
CAC……..5769 -14.02 -0.24%

Nikkei….26432 -722.3 -2.66%
HSI……..17855 -78.1 -0.44%
Shanghai..3051 -37.1 -1.20%
ST Times..3182 -45.1 -1.40%

IDX…….7127.50 -51.08 -0.71%
LQ45…1020.20 -5.44 -0.53%

IDX Energy…1912.36 -79.32 -3.98%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.21 -17.44 -1.34%
IDX Industrl..1318.18 -36.96 -2.73%
IDXNONCYC..704.29 -4.28 -0.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1461.51 -3.75 -0.26%
IDXCYCLIC…..872.80 -2.52 -0.29%
IDX Techno..7219.13 -166.50 -2.25%
IDX Transp…1837.53 -24.35 -1.31%
IDX Infrast…..1005.88 -11.88 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1508.33 +3.22 +0.21%
IDX Banking..1167.25 +3.68 +0.32%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3547 +0.0364 +0.50%
ICBI……..333.6174 -0.9262 -0.28%
US10Yr……3.8780 +0.1810 +4.90%‼️
VIX……….32.26 +2.34 +7.82%‼️

USDIndx114.1030+0.9110 +0.80%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.40 -3.77 -2.58%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)

IDR……15129.50 +92.00 +0.61%‼️
Jisdor..15119.00 +84.00 +0.56%‼️

Euro……..0.9590 -0.0097 -1.00%‼️

TLKM……..28.91 +0.20 +0.70%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.77 -0.17 -0.71%
EEM……….35.54 -0.44 -1.22%

Oil…………..76.52 -2.22 -2.82%‼️
Gold ……1631.60 -24.00 -1.45%‼️
Timah. .20243.00 – –
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…22143.00 -1246.50 -5.33%‼️
(Closed 26/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.57 -3.01%‼️
Copper….329.10 -5.20 -1.56%

Nturl Gas…..7.029 +0.038 +0.54%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)

Coal price….438.00 +2.80 +0.64%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.90 +12.70 +3.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 +13.85 +3.37%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.75 -1.25 -0.38%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.60 -2.40 -0.81%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….296.00 -2.75 -0.92%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3546 -187 -5.00%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………666.25 -10.50 -1.55%
SoybeanOil…62.46 -1.22 -1.92%
Wheat………858.50 -22.50 -2.56%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 26/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dari semua index, cuma FTSE yang closing ijo tipis, sisanya merah. Komoditi yang ijo cuma coal sama natural gas, masih dukung lanjut bursa merah hari ini. Masih jadwal lanjut wave2, walau minggu rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin

IHSG – masih half way ke perkiraan ujung wave 2 di closing gap 6740. Masih hati2 banget belanja. Mungkin hari ini rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin. Tapi belum waktunya untuk agresif belanja

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Transportation

Global Update:

September 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow drops nearly 500 points to close at new low for 2022 on rising recession fears

Stocks tumbled Friday to cap a brutal week for financial markets, as surging interest rates and foreign currency turmoil heightened fears of a global recession.

Dow…….29590 -486.3 -1.62%
Nasdaq.10868 -198.9 -1.80%
S&P 500..3693 -64.8 -1.72%

FTSE…….7019 -140.9 -1.97%
Dax……..12294 -247.4 -1.97%
CAC……..5783 -135.1 -2.28%

Nikkei….27154 closed +0%
HSI……..17933 -214.7 -1.18%
Shanghai..3088 -20.5 -0.66%
ST Times..3227 -35.97 -1.10%

IDX…….7178.58 -40.32 -0.56%
LQ45…1025.63 -7.01 -0.58%

IDX Energy…1991.67 -23.5 -1.41%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.65 -2.95 -0.23%
IDX Industrl..1355.13 -13.61 -0.99%
IDXNONCYC..708.57 +4.93 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.26 -0.53 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..875.32 -2.93 -0.33%
IDX Techno..7385.64 -52.48 -0.71%
IDX Transp…1861.89 +9.35 +0.50%
IDX Infrast…..1017.76 -1.03 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1505.11 -2.42 -0.16%
IDX Banking..1163.56 -7.23 -0.62%
IDX Property….712 -8.00 -1.11%

Indo10Yr….7.3183 +0.0420 +0.57%
ICBI……..334.4139 -0.7996 -0.24%
US10Yr……3.6970 -0.0110 -0.30%‼️
VIX……….29.92 +2.57 +9.40%‼️

USDIndx113.1920+1.8390 +1.65%‼️‼️
Como Indx..268.47 -9.38 -3.38%‼️
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.17 -5.58 -3.68%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)

IDR……15037.50 +14.50 +0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15035.00 +2.00 +0.01%‼️

Euro……..0.9687 -0.015 -1.52%‼️

TLKM……..28.71 -0.59 -2.01%
(4316)
EIDO………23.94 -0.40 -1.64%
EEM………35.98 -0.91 -2.47%

Oil…………..78.74 -4.92 -5.88%‼️
Gold ……1655.60 -23.80 -1.41%‼️
Timah. .2p243.00 -1407 -6.50%‼️
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…23389.50 -989.00 -4.21%‼️
(Closed 23/9)
Silver…….18.91 -0.74 -3.77%‼️
Copper….334.30 -12.20 -3.52%

Nturl Gas…..6.992 -0.212 -2.94%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)

Coal price….435.20 -0.45 -0.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.20 -10.45 -2.48%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.15 -9.80 -2.33%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….327.00 +3.35 +1.04%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.00 +7.00 +2.41%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….298.75 +5.75 +1.96%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3733 -93 -2.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………676.75 -11.50 -1.67%
SoybeanOil…63.68 -2.78 -4.18%‼️
Wheat………880.50 -30.25 -3.32%‼️

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 25/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional merah closing jum’at, semua komoditi, makin kuat bawa IHSG kebawah

IHSG – semua indicator kompak bilang down, even harga udah close dibawah EMA 20

Healthcare mulai melemah, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer, Non-Cyclicals. Yang mau nyusul Transportation, Technology, Infrastructure.

Healthcare – seharusnya masih nanjak, retracement pattern ote to fibo 61, MACD up stoch up alligator up supertrend up, kejedot cloud ichimoku semoga besok tembus ke atas. Foreign yang masih entry

MIKA HEAL FNB, MIKA ada Spike 22 sep

MIKA – Stoch sell, MACD sw, MFI flat, bandar and foreign akum lagi, kejedot supertrend masuk lagi ke cloud, supposedly masih wave 3, ada bearish divergence confirmed by 2 red candles dan MA10, kalo ga break high diatas candle divergence nya bisa terus longsor. Closing candle terakhir sih diatas MA10.

MIKA – dari spike nya sih menarik…

MIKA – dari harga dibanding avg bandar juga aman, hold deh…

HEAL – all good, harus break resistance 1545 biar wave 3 nya firm. Yang belum punya bisa BOW yang udah punya hold

SAME – beda sendiri, setelah ada vol breakout malah lanjut dibanting, udah nongol bullish divergence sih, bisa masuk lagi tunggu MACD buy lagi.

Bandarnya lagi becanda ini…

Consumer Cyclicals – Keliatan belum jadi jalan… Stoch sell, macd sell lagi, MFI sw, bandar dan foreign distribusi lagi, padahal nungguin ACES sama ERAA mantul, belum waktunya ternyata…

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Malah ini yang keliatan mau jalan, MACD buy stoch up, PSAR up, walau ABC correctionnya belum bikin lower low. Bandar akum lagi, foreign ga pernah exit

Banyak FNB dan bandar akum, JPFA PMMP DSNG buy signal

JPFA – Stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, foreign distribusi, bandar sw, inside cloud ga tembus bawah, semoga break up cloud, dikit lagi price tembus EMA 20 dan 50, ada vol breakout tgl 16 sambil tembus resistance minor.

Price aman, bisa BOW, volume udah sepi, enak buat ngangkat harga…

PMMP – technically lumayan ok, vol breakout, gerak setelah ada hidden bullish divergence, stoch up macd buy bandar dan foreign akum, alligator buy, supertrend up… Tapi ini saham relatif baru, listing desember 2020, gagal di IPO nya, hari pertama naik lanjut ARB melulu. Personally skip dulu deh mending JPFA aja

Kalo mungkin dapet BOW dibawah modal GR sih masih ok

DSNG – belum ah, indic nya masih ga kompak

EMA Golden Cross – BRIS ISAT LPPF PMMP

Stoch Buy – BRPT EXCL TBIG TPIA MMLP

MACD Buy – BFIN JPFA DSNG MPMX PMMP

BRIS – Stoch up, MACD up, bandar akum, foreign akum, MFI up, alligator buy, Supertrend buy, ada freq spike 21 sept, retracement pattern harusnya bawa test fibo 23 di 1855, PSAR Up, LR cross up midline, breakout resist minor with volume kemaren, bagus banget sih ini… Harusnya berani BOW, sepertinya market akan koreksi dulu hari ini, cocok buat ambil di bawah, tapi stop loss kalo breakdown 1500

BRIS – BOW di closing candle kamis, 1530, sedikit diatas YP, dibawah harga AK

ISAT – ada gap belum ketutup di atas, stoch hampir buy, macd juga, 833 udah buy, MFI up, bandar akum, foreign masih distribusi, ada freq spike 21 sept sebelum harga mulai naik, triangle breakout belum sampe ke targetnya, PSAR baru rubah jadi buy, LR slope up. Bagus sih ini…

Berani pasang buy, on weakness, dibawah harga KZ, dibawah 7100

LPPF – abis terjun jauh, bandar dan foreign masih distribusi, amannya nunggu bikin higher low dulu yang firm, skip

BRPT – abc correction belum sampe levelnya, udah buy di stoch dan macd, foreign masih buang, bandar akum tipis, curiga masih sideways dulu

EXCL – stoch buy, macd belum, MFI up, bandar dan foreign belum akum, lagi di area fibo 23, kalo ikut retracement pattern standar harusnya mantul. tapi belum semua firm, wns dulu

TBIG – ini infrastructure jalan bareng2 signalnya, jadi mikir mungkin mau jalan, emang di chart cacingnya udah mau bangun sih… Tapi ada candle volbuangan beberapa hari lalu, dan emang ga ada yang nampung, bukan tukeran barang, jadi wns dulu juga ini TBIG

MPMX – dari retracement pattern mungkin koreksi lagi ke fibo 23 atau lanjut ke fibo38, macd buy, stoch up, bandar dan foreign akum, breakout minor resistance with volume, tembus cloud ichimoku ke atas, sektor tapi kaya udahan belum jadi jalan, consumer cyclicals… Seandainya bukna index lagi wave 2, berani buy, sekarang mending play safe, WNS dulu