Daily Analysis 20220811

Daily Analysis 20220811

Global Update:

August 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks soar, S&P 500 hits highest level in three months after key report shows slowdown in inflation

Stocks rose sharply on Wednesday after a key inflation reading showed a better-than-expected slowdown for rising prices.

Dow…….33310 +535.1 +1.63%
Nasdaq.12855 +360.9 +2.89%
S&P 500..4210 +87.8 +2.13%

FTSE…….7507 +18.96 +0.25%
Dax……..13701 +165.96+1.23%
CAC……..6523 +33.4 +0.52%

Nikkei….27819 -180.6 -0.65%
HSI……..19611 -392.6 -1.96%
Shanghai..3230 -17.4 -0.54%
ST Times..3266 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7086.24 -16.64 -0.23%
LQ45…1007.80 -0.91 -0.09%

IDX Energy…1804.40 -8.29 -0.46%
IDX Bsc Mat.1331.39 -2.06 -0.15%
IDX Industrl..1304.12 -6.47 -0.49%
IDXNONCYC..703.96 +0.88 +0.12%
IDX Hlthcare.1410.29 -0.76 -0.05%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.33 -4.75 -0.53%
IDX Techno..8034.75 +68.02 +0.85%
IDX Transp…2092.28 -24.32 -1.15%
IDX Infrast…..1032.41 -6.30 -0.61%
IDX Finance 1528.26 -2.14 -0.14%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..696 -3.10 -0.44%

Indo10Yr….7.2089 -0.0166 -0.23%
ICBI……..334.4811 -0.1082 -0.03%
US10Yr…..2.7860 -0.0110 -0.39%
VIX…………19.74 -2.03 -9.32%👍

USDIndx 105.2290 -1.069 -1.01%‼️
Como Indx..289.27 +4.73 +1.66%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.47 +2.89 +1.83%

IndoCDS…112.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14870.50 +18.00 +0.12%
Jisdor..14875 .00 +13.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0303 +0.0089 +0.87%

TLKM……..30.65 -0.38 -1.22%
(4559)
EIDO………24.00 +0.20 +0.84%
EEM………40.46 +0.50 +1.25%

Oil…………..91.58 +1.08 +1.19%
Gold ……..1808.30 -4.30 -0.24%
Timah. .24426.00 +126 +0.52%
( Closed 09/8)
Nickel…22436.00 +909.50 +4.23%‼️
(Closed 10/8)
Silver…….20.57 -0.10 -0.48%
Copper….363.70 +5.20 +1.45%

Nturl Gas…..8.221 +0.382 +4.87%‼️

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(09/8)

Coal price….398.65 +14.15 +3.68%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….401.00 +26.00 +6.93%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….390.00 +25.50 +7.00%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +13.25 +4.03%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….342.00 +24.35 +7.79%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….329.00 +25.00 +8.22%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)……4106 -19 -0.46%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………618.50 +4.50 +0.73%
SoybeanOil…65.99 +1.37 +2.12%
Wheat………816.25 +17.00 +2.13%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 10/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Fixed ini sih tutup gap atas, hehehe… US ijo tebel, komoditas pada naik, yang turun cuma gold sama silver

Kalo misalnya dikejar tutup gap hari ini langsung, ada bagusnya SOS, ada kemungkinan jum’at jadi hari profit taking sedunia, hehehe

Sell 1/2 muatan dulu sih prudentnya di saham2 yang sudah naik tinggi. Kalo yang baru mulai jalan kita assess detail dulu

Semua indicator masih firm per sekarang, tapi stochastic sudah sangat overbought dan MACD sudah ada pelandaian curve, histogram mulai turun. Jadi untuk rally lebih jauh kemungkinannya lebih kecil dibanding koreksi dulu setelah tutup gap

Industrial dan energy secara umum sudah melemah, infra property techno yang keliatan mau jalan, basic material mantul lagi setelah melemah. Isi porto dan watchlist yang ada di sektor yang melemah nanti kita bahas, jangan sampai telat exit kalo memang sudah selesai manggung

Daily Analysis 20220810

Daily Analysis 20220810

Global Update:

August 10th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq falls more than 1% as chip stocks struggle, key inflation report looms

Stocks fell on Tuesday as investors navigated a batch of disappointing company reports ahead of a key inflation reading.

Dow…….32774 -58.1 -0.18%
Nasdaq.12494 -150.5 -1.19%
S&P 500..4123 -17.5 -0.42%

FTSE…….7488 +5.8 +0.08%
Dax……..13535 -152.7 -1.12%
CAC……..6490 -34.4 -0.53%

Nikkei….27999 -249.3 -0.88%
HSI……..20003 -42.3 -0.21%
Shanghai..3247 +10.50 +0.32%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7102.88 +16.03 +0.23%
LQ45…1009.71 +1.56 +0.16%

IDX Energy…1812.69 +43.65 +2.47%
IDX Bsc Mat.1333.45 +6.55 +0.42%
IDX Industrl..1310.58 -0.43 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..703.09 -3.76 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare.1411.05 -12.06 -0.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.08 -0.09 -0.01%
IDX Techno..7966.73 +11.57 +0.15%
IDX Transp…2116.60 +16.11 +0.77%
IDX Infrast…..1038.71 +1.17 +0.11%
IDX Finance 1530.40 +5.95 +0.39%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..699 +0.90 +0.13%

Indo10Yr….7.2267 -0.0412 -0.57%👍
ICBI……..334.5894 +0.8171 +0.34%👍
US10Yr…..2.7970 +0.0320 +1.16%
VIX…………21.77 +0.48 +2.25%

USDIndx 106.3010 -0.1340 -0.13%
Como Indx..284.54 +2.74 +0.97%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.58 +1.53 +0.98%

IndoCDS…112.24 -5.02 -4.28%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14852.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14862 .00 -53.00 -0.36%

Euro………1.0214 +0.0020 +0.20%

TLKM……..31.03 -0.31 -0.99%
(4612)
EIDO………23.80 +0.09 +0.38%
EEM………39.96 -0.15 -0.37%

Oil…………..90.50 -0.09 -0.10%
Gold ……1812.30 +7.30 +0.40%
Timah. .24300.00 -155 -0.63%
( Closed 08/8)
Nickel…21526.50 -115.50 -0.53%
(Closed 09/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.839 +0.183 +2.39%

Ammonia….3806.67 -83.33 -2.14%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/8)

Coal price….384.50 +13.50 +3.64%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.00 +14.50 +4.02%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +8.75 +2.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….312.65 +16.40 +5.54%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4125 +49 +1.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………614.00 +6.75 +1.11%
SoybeanOil…64.62 +0.30 +0.47%
Wheat………781.50 +1.75 +0.22%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 09/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

Index regional hampir semua merah kecuali Inggris sama China. IHSG juga sempet ijo tebel tapi closing rada tipis. Energy sama banking yang mimpin gerakan

Oil turun dikit, gold silver copper naik – good for MDKA hold, timah nikel turun harusnya ngaruh ke INCO TINS tapi news tesla kayanya tetep bikin gorengan

Gas coal cpo naik, semoga PGAS kebawa naik, coal long bullish sampe januari, tapi kayanya ga mungkin sih 5 bulan rally terus, hehehe

AALI sama LSIP belum ada tanda2 jalan, secara umum consumer belum sih

Dari closing price kemaren ke gap closing selisih 1.01%, angka yang kalo dipaksain dapet dalam sehari, tapi kayanya ga akan kejadian. Tapi kalo bener dipaksain bisa jadi bahaya, bisa rejection candle terus langsung dibanting. Kalo kejadian di pump and dump, bagusnya pasang trailing stop di yang udah profit, atau cutloss di saham yang chart nya jelek

Secara umum indicators masih ngasih isyarat lanjut naik. Semoga kenceng, tapi begitu tutup gap kita pantau ketat

Infrastructure, Tech, Transport, Industrials

Daily Analysis 20220809

Daily Analysis 20220809

Global Update:

August 09th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq slip to start the week as Nvidia warning puts brakes on market rally

Stocks struggled to hold their ground on Monday, following the S&P 500′s third straight weekly gain, as demand concerns for the semiconductor industry weighed on tech names.

Dow…….32833 +29.1 +0.09%
Nasdaq.12645 -13.1 -0.10%
S&P 500..4140 -5.1 -0.12%

FTSE…….7482 +42.6 +0.57%
Dax……..13688 +113.8 +0.84%
CAC……..6524 +52.1 +0.80%

Nikkei….28249 +73.4 +0.26%
HSI……..20046 -156.2 -0.77%
Shanghai..3237 +9.91 +0.31%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7086.85 +2.19 +0.03%
LQ45…1007.14 -0.66 -0.07%

IDX Energy…1769.03 +1.13 +0.06%
IDX Bsc Mat.1327.89 +12.85 +0.98%
IDX Industrl..1311.02 +5.69 +0.44%
IDXNONCYC..706.85 +3.04 +0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1423.11 +0.28 +0.02%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.17 +2.62 +0.29%
IDX Techno..7955.16 -119.49 -1.48%
IDX Transp…2100.49 +36.44 +1.77%
IDX Infrast…..1037.54 -0.66 -0.06%
IDX Finance 1524.45 +0.21 +0.01%
IDX Banking..1153.32 +0.39 +0.03%
IDX Property…..698 +2.30 +0.33%

Indo10Yr….7.2679 +0.0084 +0.12%
ICBI……..333.7723 +0.1448 +0.14%👍
US10Yr…..2.7650 -0.0750 -2.64%
VIX…………21.29 +0.14 +0.66%

USDIndx 106.4350 -0.1860 -0.17%
Como Indx..281.80 +0.76 +0.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.05 -0.26 -0.16%

IndoCDS…117.26 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14876.00 -18.00 -0.12%
Jisdor..14915 .00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro………1.0194 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM……..31.34 +0.14 +0.45%
(4674)
EIDO………23.71 +0.25 +1.07%
EEM………40.11 +0.05 +0.12%

Oil…………90.59 +1.58 +1.78%
Gold ……1805.00 +13.80 +0.77%
Timah. .24455.00 – -%
( Closed 05/8)
Nickel…21642.00 -828.00 -3.68%‼
(Closed 08/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.656 -0.345l -4.36%

Ammonia….3890.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/8)

Coal price….371.00 +10.00 +2.77%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….360.50 +13.75 +3.96%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.00 +6.35 +2.02%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…296.25 +8.40 +2.92%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4076 +188 +4.82%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………607.25 -2.75 -0.45%
SoybeanOil…64.32 +0.35 +0.55%
Wheat………779.75 +4.00 +0.52%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 08/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe masih lanjut ijo, asia varied, hongkong sama singapore merah, IDX juga merah tapi tipis, kita liat hari ini apakah mau lanjut ke atas tutup gap atau udahan

Oil rebound tapi masih stay dibawah 100 USD/barrel, Coal juga, naik tapi masih dibawah 400 USD /MT. Keliatannya masih lanjut koreksi dulu. Gas malah lanjut merah, jadi mengkhawatirkan buat PGAS

Gold silver copper naik, good for MDKA, nikel drop, kayanya akan nyeret ANTM TINS INCO kebawah dulu, yang kemaren2 keliatan masih menolak turun

CPO akhirnya ada kenaikan tinggi, LSIP menarik buat re-entry kayanya

Masih Industrials Infrastructure, Transportation nyusul, property keliatannya next. Tapi, walau finance melemah BBCA diangkat terus lho, semoga lanjut sampai index tutup gap

IHSG – masih fine di semua indic, semoga hajatan tutup gap tercapai dulu sebelum wave 2, jadi trading plan nya bisa dieksekusi dengan baik

Daily Analysis 20220808

Daily Analysis 20220808

Global Update: August 08th, 2022 Good morning, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall Friday, but notch weekly gains after blowout July jobs report Stocks wavered Friday in a volatile trading session after…
Daily Analysis 20220805

Daily Analysis 20220805

Global Update:

August 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow slips as Wall Street awaits July jobs report

The Dow ticked down Thursday as traders awaited Friday’s July jobs report, which will give the latest snapshot on the labor market and the health of the economy.

Dow…….32723 -85.7 -0.26%
Nasdaq.12721 +52.4 +0.41%
S&P 500..4152 -3.23 -0.08%

FTSE…….7448 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..13663 +75.1 +0.55%
CAC……..6513 +41.3 +0.64%

Nikkei….27932 +190.3 +0.69%
HSI……..20174 +406.95+2.06%
Shanghai..3189 +25.4 +0.80%
ST Times..3270 +17.8 +0.55%

IDX…….7057.35 +10.71 +0.15%
LQ45…1003.77 +3.72 +0.38%

IDX Energy…1766.29 -45.54 -2.57%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.91 +9.94 +0.77%
IDX Industrl..1321.32 -6.29 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC..703.38 +1.24 +0.18%
IDX Hlthcare.1430.38 -0.99 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.52 +6.72 +0.76%
IDX Techno..8125.73 +242.45 +3.08%
IDX Transp…2015.22 -5.04 -0.25%
IDX Infrast…..1027.86 +26.79 +1.36%
IDX Finance 1517.57 -1.42 -0.09%
IDX Banking..1143.34 +0.81 +0.07%
IDX Property……. – -%

Indo10Yr….7.3039 -0.0210 -0.29%
ICBI……..332.7187 +0.3500 +0.11%
US10Yr…..2.6760 -0.0720 -2.62%
VIX…………21.44 -0.51 -2.32%‼️

USDIndx 105.6930 -0.8130 -0.76%‼️
Como Indx..281.21 -0.51 -0.18%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..154.70 +2.23 +1.46%

IndoCDS…120.12 -7.03 -5.53%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14932.50 +21.00 +0.14%‼️
Jisdor..14929 .00 +12.00 +0.08%‼️

Euro………1.0247 +0.0083 +0.75%

TLKM……..29.93 +0.05 +0.17%
(4468)
EIDO………23.47 +0.09 +0.38%
EEM………40.02 +0.28 +0.70%

Oil…………87.36 -3.06 -3.36%‼️
Gold ……1806.90 +26.30 +1.48%‼️
Timah. .24245.00 -4.00 -0.02%
( Closed 03/8)
Nickel…22288.00 -264.00 -1.17%
(Closed 04/8)
Silver…….20.15 +0.15 +0.75%
Copper….347.95 +0.70 +0.20%

Nturl Gas…..8.141 -0.147 -1.77%

Ammonia….3856.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/8)

Coal price….385.00 -8.50 -2.16%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….365.00 -13.55 -3.58%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….329.50 -25.50 -7.18%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…313.20 -23.25 -6.91%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3818 -42 -1.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………606.25 +10.00 +1.69%
SoybeanOil…61.42 +0.42 +0.69%
Wheat………782.50 +18.75 +2.45%

Wood pulp…6726.00 +4 +0.06%
(Closed 04/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah tipis tapi ga ada apa apa, regional lain ijo semua…

Oil turun coal turun gas turun, sektor energy keliatannya koreksi dulu. Beware kemaren entry PGAS, kita liat signalnya. Semoga contrarian sama sektornya dia

Gold Silver Copper naik, timah nikel turun, bagus buat holder MDKA, holder ANTM INCO TINS SOS ya, sebagian aja bagusnya kalo punya modal bawah

IHSG – kelihatannya akan dibawa lanjut sampe tutup gap…

Daily Analysis 2220804

Daily Analysis 2220804

Global Update:

August 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally to reverse two-day slide, surging on rosy earnings results and economic data

U.S. stocks rallied Wednesday, clawing back losses from earlier in the week, as traders cheered better-than-expected economic data that helped allay recession fears.

Dow…….32813 +416.3 +1.29%
Nasdaq.12668 +319.4 +2.59%
S&P 500..4155 +63.98 +1.56%

FTSE…….7446 +36.6 +0.49%
Dax……..13588 +138.4 +1.03%
CAC……..6472 +62.3 +0.97%

Nikkei….27742 +147.2 +0.53%
HSI……..19767 +77.9 +0.40%
Shanghai..3164 -22.6 -0.71%
ST Times..3252 +12.9 +0.40%

IDX…….7046.64 +58.48 +0.84%
LQ45…..999.95 +11.34 +1.15%

IDX Energy…1812.83 -2.89 -0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1294.97 +7.38 +0.57%
IDX Industrl..1327.61 -1.01 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC..702.14 -3.05 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1431.37 -3.15 -0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.80 -9.53 -1.06%
IDX Techno..7883.27 +246.11 +3.22%
IDX Transp…1988.43 -5.04 -0.25%
IDX Infrast…..1021.65 +22.64+2.27%
IDX Finance 1518.99 +14.22 +0.94%
IDX Banking..1142.53 +10.67 +0.94%
IDX Property…….69r +o.94 -0.26%

Indo10Yr….7.3249 +0.0394 +0.54%
ICBI……..332.3687 -0.5567 -0.17%
US10Yr…..2.74i0 +0.0070 +0.26%
VIX…………21.95 -1.87 -8.27%‼️

USDIndx 106.5060 +0.2650 +0.25%‼️
Como Indx..281.72 -1.98 -0.70%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.47 -1.83 -1.19%

*IndoCDS…127.15 – – *
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14911.50 +22.50 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14917.00 +29.00 +0.19%‼️

Euro………1.0164 -0.0006 -0.06%

TLKM……..29.88 +1.28 +4.48%‼️
(4457)
EIDO………23.38 +0.24 +1.04%
EEM………39.74 +0.31 +0.79%

Oil…………91.02 -2.68 -2.86%
Gold ……1780.60 +7.00 +0.39%
Timah. .24249.00 -651.00 -2.61%
( Closed 02/8)
Nickel…22552.00 +210.00 +0.94%
(Closed 03/8)
Silver…….20.00 +0.08 +0.40%
Copper….347.25 -0.15 -0.04%

Nturl Gas…..8.288 +0.612 +7.97%‼️

Ammonia….3856.67 +83.34 +2.21%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/8)

Coal price….393.50 -10.00 -2.48%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.55 -17.20 -4.35%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 -11.05 -3.01%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…336.45 -14.55 -4.15%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3860 +19 +0.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +2.00 +0.34%
SoybeanOil…61.00 -0.39 -0.64%
Wheat………763.75 -11.00 -1.42%

Wood pulp…6722.00 +6 +0.09%
(Closed 03/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren IHSG ijo tebel, closing market rata2 ijo semua, kecuali shanghai yang minus. US kenceng banget, semoga jadi pendorong index kita ijo tebel lagi hari ini, biar cepet tutup gap diatas dulu

Oil turun lagi, terus stay dibawah 100 usd per barrel, coal dibawah 400 usd per MT, rada cocok buat bawa energy koreksi wave c. Metal tipis tipis kecuali timah yang agak jauh turunnya. ANTM TINS INCO sideways dulu kayanya. Gas naik tinggi, semoga PGAS lanjut jalan. CPO naik dikit, belum jadi bawa AALI sama LSIP ke atas

Terlalu optimis dengan outlook IHSG dengan elliot wave nya? Mungkin, tapi gpp lah, namanya juga forecast optimistic…

Stochastic signal buy lagi, MACD masih Up, supertrend masih up, alligator up, bagu breakout cloud ichimoku, parabolic sar masih UP, LR channel target cocok sama gap closing. Semoga bener sampe minimal gap closing sebelum wave 2