Daily Analysis 20250124

Daily Analysis 20250124

January 24th, 2024

S&P 500 clinches first record close of 2025, Dow pops after Trump takes spotlight at Davos

US stocks closed in the green on Thursday with the S&P 500 nabbing a fresh record close as investors stayed attuned to remarks from President Donald Trump, who addressed the World Economic Forum in Davos

Dow……44565 +408.3 +0.92%
Nasdaq 20054 +44.3 +0.22%
S&P 500 6119 +32.4 +0.53%

FTSE…..8565 +20.1 +0.23%
Dax……21412 +157.3 +0.74%
CAC……7893 +55.2 +0.70%

Nikkei…39959 +312.6 +0.79%
HSI…….19701 -78.2 -0.40%
Shanghai.3230 +16.5 +0.51%

IDX…7232.64 -24.49 -0.34%
LQ45…843.59 -2.59 -0.31%
IDX30.434.23 -1.19 -0.27%

IDXEnergy…2892.80 +6.03 +0.21%
IDX BscMat 1234.96 -13.23 -1.06%
IDX Indstrl… ..978.06 -7.35 -0.75%
IDXNONCYC.705.84 -4.48 -0.63%
IDX Hlthcare1383.94 -10.48 -0.75%
IDXCYCLC…830.46 +1.35 +0.16%
IDX Techno.4380.20 +24.43 +0.56%
IDX Transp 1278.97 +2.10 +0.16%
IDX Infrast 1531.30 +5.05 +0.33%
IDX Finance1425.44 -2.87 -0.20%
IDX Banking1178.43 -4.58 -0.39%
IDX Property. 750 -22.8 -2.95%

Indo10Yr.7.1562❗-0.00193 -0.27%
ICBI….394.0210❗+0.4446 +0.11%
US2Yr.4.289 -0.013 -0.30%
US5Yr 4.453 +0.024 +0.54%
US10Yr4.646 +0.033 +0.72%
US30Yr.4.871+0.044 +0.91%
VIX..15.02 -0.08 -0.53%

USDIndx 108.1350❗-0.105 -0.10%
Como Indx..309.36 -0.02 -0.01%
BCOMIN..144.25 -0.33 -0.23%

IndoCDS…74.22 -2.00 -2.62%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/01)

IDR…….16283.00❗+4.00 +0.02%
Jisdor..16276.00❗-51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0418 +0.0011 -0.20%

TLKM…16.96 -0.03 -0.18%
( 2760)
EIDO….18.86 +0.03 +0.16%
EEM…42.67 +0.12 +0.27%

Oil………74.62 -0.82 -1.09%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………77.88 -1.09 -1.38%
(Brent)
Gold…2765.00 -0.70 -0.03%
(Comex)
Gold…2754.87 +0.08 +0.002%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.30272.00 +39.00 +0.13%
(Closed 22/01)
.Nickel.15660.00 -60.00 -0.38%
(Closed 22/01)
Silver……31.39 -0.11 -0.35%
Copper.429.40 -4.70 -1.08%

Iron Ore 62% 101.40 +0.19 +0.19%
(22/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.960 -0.020 -0.51%
Ammonia China. 2393.33 _ -%
(Domestic Price)(23/01)

Coal price.116.50 -0.25 -0.21%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.10 -2.90 -2.38%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.80 -1.65 -1.34%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.70 -1.95 -1.55%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.10 +0.60 +0.55%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.75 -1.65 -1.52%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.00 -1.50 -1.38%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.65 -1.45 -1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4191 -17 -0.40%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………489.75 +5.50 +1.14%
SoybeanOil 45.04 +0.62 +1.42%
Wheat……554.00 unch +0%

Wood pulp…..6580 +36 +0.55%
(Closed 23/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe ijo asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah walau opening gap up, ada gap sih dibawah, kayanya hari ini tutup gap dulu dip sebentar baru jalan lagi, itu juga kalau BBCA ga langsung di gas karena LK nya. US treasury bond yang 2 tahun turunm yang panjang2 naik, ga terlalu gimana2 harusnya

USD index down, metal kebanyakan down kecuali tins sama iron ore, oil gas coal down, cpo down, lesu dulu ini, tapi bisa jadi kesempatan untuk buy ADRO. selama coal price nya masih bullish

IHSG – tech indicators masih ok, dari retracement pattern bisa jadi mau bawa ke fibo 23 dulu sebelum ke fibo 61, plus ada gap di bawah jadi makin besar kemungkinannya, semoga ga sampe fibo 23, dip aja tutup gap terus lanjut. kemaren FNS lagi, merah deh… Semoga FNB hari ini

Financials nya melemah, Energy slow down, Basic Materials Consumer Cyclicals sama Infrastructure

Coal Price – abis supertrend buy signal dia slow down, tapi ga sejauh oil, semoga lanjut rally seperti biasanya pas winter

Stochastic Buy Signal: JSMR SSIA SSMS, big accum JSMR

MACD Buy Signal: CMRY

Alligator Buy Signal: AKRA AVIA GJTL tapi malah big dist

Daily Analysis 20250120

Daily Analysis 20250120

January 20th, 2024

Dow leads weekly stock market rally ahead of Trump inauguration

US stocks jumped on Friday amid a tech stock revival as investors assessed a week of key data and earnings reports alongside potential policy shifts under a Trump administration.

Dow……43488 +334.7 +0.78%
Nasdaq 19630 +291.9 +1.51%
S&P 500 5997 +59.3 +1.00%

FTSE…..8505 +113.3 +1.35%
Dax……20903 +248.0 +1.20%
CAC……7710 +75.01 +0.98%

Nikkei…38452 -121.1 -0.31%
HSI……..19584 +61.2 +0.31%
Shanghai.3242 +5.8 +0.18%

IDX…7154.66 +47.14 +0.66%
LQ45…832.28 +4.41 +0.53%
IDX30.428.62 +2.76 +0.65%

IDXEnergy…2849.61 +22.31 +0.79%
IDX BscMat 1230.84 -5.02. -0.41%
IDX Indstrl… ..989.93 +1.74 +0.18%
IDXNONCYC.704.55 +0.90 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare1394.49 -10.83 -0.77%
IDXCYCLC…818.18 +17.36 +2.17%
IDX Techno.4213.5/ +51.93 +1.25%
IDX Transp 1271.68 -9.96 -0.78%
IDX Infrast 1475.89 -1.26 -0.09%
IDX Finance1406.85 +0.17 +0.01%
IDX Banking1150.90 +0.17 +0.01%
IDX Property. 788 +13.50 +1.75%

Indo10Yr.7.1733❗-0.0541 -0.75%
ICBI….392.5929❗+1.1160 +0.29%
US2Yr.4.282 +0.048 +1.13%
US5Yr 4.429 +0.033 +0.75%
US10Yr4.622 +0.009 +0.20%
US30Yr.4.854 -0.001 -0.02%
VIX..15.97 -0.63 -3.80%‼️

USDIndx 109.3470❗+0.417 +0.38%
Como Indx..311.08 -0.27 -0.09%
BCOMIN..147.21 +0.62 +0.42%

IndoCDS…77.19 +1.01 +1.31%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/01)

IDR…….16380.00‼️+4.00 +0.02%
Jisdor.. 16373.00‼️-5.00 -0.03%

Euro…1.0273 -0.0029 -0.28%

TLKM…16.48 +0.30 +1.82%
( 2698)
EIDO….18.50 +0.14 +0.76%
EEM…42.11 +0.35 +0.84%

Oil………77.88 -0.87 -1.10%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………80.79 -0.54 -0.66%
(Brent)
Gold…2748.70❗-2.20 -0.88%
(Comex)
Gold…2703.25 -10.82 -0.40%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29775.00 +199.00 +0.67%
(Closed 17/01)
.Nickel.16080.00 +115.00 +0.72%
(Closed 17/01)
Silver……31.14 -0.59 -1.85%
Copper.436.85 -4.25 -1.63%

Iron Ore 62% 101.21 +0.72 +0.72%
(17/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.948 -0.333 -7.78%‼️
Ammonia China. 2500.00 -6.67 -0.26%
(Domestic Price)(17/01)

Coal price.117.25 +2.55 +2.22%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.75 +3.65 +3.14%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.60 +3.35 +2.83%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 122.70 +2.80 +2.34%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.90 +1.70 +1.59%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.50 +1.30 +1.22%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.15 +1.40 +1.34%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.80 +1.25 +1.20%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4193 +11 +0.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………484.25 +9.75 +2.05%
SoybeanOil 45.69 +0.66 +1.47%
Wheat……538.75 +1.25 +0.23%

Wood pulp…..6524 -16 -0.24%
(Closed 17/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US Europe Asia semua ijo… Tapi US Treasury Bond Yield juga naik, masih berharap senin ini IHSG ijo sih, price action nya bilang waktunya mantul

USD index up metal2 down kecuali tin nickel iron ore, oil gas down, coal up significantly, CPO up, kayanya perlu dipantau ADRO

IHSG – udah 3 hari FNB, semoga sudah confirm jalan ya, technical sih udah ok, double bottom terget pas di resistance 7354 an

Energy, Property, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget: ADRO MAPI MEDC PTBA ADMR BBYB BFIN BMTR CTRA DOID ENRG GJTL HMSP PTMP SMRA SSIA TKIM, big accum cuma SMRA, BMTR vol breakout, saham invest ADRO GJTL TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: ACES ASII ITMG MBMA ADMR MAHA, big accum dan value invest ASII

Alligator Buy Signal: WIFI, vol breakout juga

Daily Analysis 20240902

Daily Analysis 20240902

September 02nd, 2024 Stocks close higher Friday, S&P 500 posts fourth straight winning month Stocks rose on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average posting a fresh record high as…
Daily Analysis 20240830

Daily Analysis 20240830

August 30th, 2024

Dow rises 200 points for fresh record close, Nasdaq falls as Nvidia shares tumble

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
climbed to a record Thursday, as Wall Street tried to resume its comeback from a steep sell-off earlier this month.

Dow…….41335 +243.6 +0.59%
Nasdaq. .17516 -39.6 -0.23%
S&P 500 5592 -0.2 -0.00%

FTSE…8380.0 +35.8 +0.43%
Dax……18913 +130.3 +0.69%
CAC……7541 +63.3 +0.84%

Nikkei….38363 -9.2 -0.02%
HSI……..17786 +93.9 +0.53%
Shanghai.2823 -14.3 -0.40%

IDX….7627.61 -31.27 -0.41%
LQ45…942.13 -6.52 -0.69%
IDX30.476.78 -3.76 -0.77%

IDXEnergy. 2677.43 -15.34 -0.57%
IDX BscMat1352.64 -18.96 -1.38%
IDX Indstrl..1084.77 -0.30 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC.710.63 -3.56 -0.50%
IDX Hlthcare1461.65 -11.32 -0.77%
IDXCYCLIC….909.88 +0.42 +0.05%
IDXTechno 3241.86 -6.95 -0.21%
IDX Transp 1434.49 -17.51 -1.21%
IDX Infrast 1609.61 -0.50 -0.03%
IDX Finance1475.28 -2.87 -0.19%
IDX Banking1315.88 -13.22 -0.99%
IDX Property….725 -3.20 -0.45%

Indo10Yr.6.6787 -0.0118 -0.18%
ICBI…391.2176 +0.3429 +0.09%
US2Yr.3.898 +0.031 +0.80%
US5Yr 3.668 +0.004 +0.11%
US10Yr3.868 +0.034 +0.89%
US30Yr.4.150+0.022 +0.53%
VIX..15.65 -1.46 -8.53%👍

USDIndx 101.3430❗️ +0.249 +0.25%
Como Indx….279.88 +2.27 +0.82%
BCOMIN….145.00 -0.79 -0.54%

IndoCDS..67.27 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/08)

IDR…….15423.50👍 +1.50 +0.01%
Jisdor..15409.00👍 -67.00 -0.43%

Euro…1.1080❗️ -0.0043 -0.39%

TLKM…19.46 +0.11 +0.57%
( 2999)
EIDO…..21.85 -0.20 -0.91%
EEM….43.28 +0.02 +0.05%

Oil………..75.89 +1.44 +1.93%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..79.94 +1.29 +1.64%
(Brent)
Gold…2553.90 +12.50 +0.49%
(Comex)
Gold…2520.38 +14.17 +0.57%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32345.00 -260.00 -0.80%
(Closed 29/08)
Nickel..17022.00 +41 +0.24%
(Closed 29/08)
Silver…29.83 +0.23 +0.78%
Copper.420.90 -0.10 -0.02%

Iron Ore 62% 98.51 +0.06 +0.06%
(28/08)
Nturl Gas 2.143 +0.044 +2.10%
Ammonia China 2643.33 -16.67 -0.63%
(Domestic Price)(29/08)

Coal price.145.00 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.25 -0.75 -0.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.55 -1.45 -0.52%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..146.80 -0.20 -0.14%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.30 -0.45 -0.37%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.30 -0.35 -0.29%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.40 -0.45 -0.37%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.10 -0.60 -0.49%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3942 +22 +0.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………396.00 +5.25 +1.34%
SoybeanOil 42.13 +1.41 +3.46%
Wheat……548.75 +7.25 +1.34%

Wood pulp.4900.00 -20 -041%
(Closed 29/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, nasdaq merah, europe ijo, asia kemaren kebenyakan merah ikut US sebelumnya, US bond yield naik, kemungkinan merah tipis hari ini, kalo ijo juga tipis tipis

USD index up, tapi metal2 juga up kecuali tin and copper, oil gas up, coal down, CPO up. harusnya INCO AALI rebound

IHSG – rejection candle pas setelah harga sampe di fibo extension 1.00 di wave 3, bisa jadi mau wave 4. Beware… Stoch udah down tapi MACD masih up, MFI w% sw, BD kemaren dist tapi FNB dan nilainya naik, masih ada harapan lanjut wave 3, tapi kalo hari ini merah berarti reg bear div nya confirmed, mending exit

Tinggal Industrials sama Property, liat dari sini kemungkinan besar wave 4 is on the way

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ESSA ADMR DOID, big accum ESSA

MACD Buy Signal: HEAL SSIA

Daily Analysis 20240725

Daily Analysis 20240725

July 25th, 2024 Good morning, Stocks smoked, Nasdaq falls over 3.5% in worst day since 2022 after Tesla, Alphabet trigger Big Tech sell-off Tesla shares close down 12% after earnings…
Daily Analysis 20240716

Daily Analysis 20240716

July 16th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises 200 points to close at a record after Trump survives assassination attempt

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
advanced on Monday as investors bet the unsuccessful assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump will lead to big gains for the Republican presidential candidate and the GOP at the polls in November.

Friendlier fiscal policies ahead were seen as further spurring a broadening out of the bull market that started to take shape last week. Small-cap shares and banks climbed on Monday.

Dow……40212 +210.8 +0.53%
Nasdaq18473 +74.1 +0.40%
S&P 500.5631 +15.9 +0.28%

FTSE…..8183 -69.96 -0.85%
Dax……18591 -157.3 -0.84%
CAC……7633 -91.6 -1.19%

Nikkei..41191 closed +0%
HSI……18015 -277.4 -1.52%
Shanghai.2974 +2.7 +0.09%,

IDX….7278.86 -46.72 -0.66%
LQ45..912.58 -7.80 -0.85%
IDX30.454.63 -3.77 -0.82%

IDXEnergy..2415.15 +0.67 +0.03%
IDX BscMat1378.96 -7.39 -0.53%
IDX Indstrl.1018.19 -0.65 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC.715.02 +1.14 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1426.43 -6.28 -0.44%
IDXCYCLIC…740.98 +2.22 +0.30%
IDXTechno3293.20 +17.36 +0.53%
IDX Transp 1349.85 +11.97 +0.89%
IDX Infrast 1595.54 -16.88 -1.05%
IDX Finance1395.74 -5.03 -0.36%
IDX Banking1234.43 -10.06 -0.81%
IDX Property…..643 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr.7.0313 +0.0118 +0.17%
ICBI…382.0478 -0.3250 -0.08%
US2Yr.4.460 +0.002 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.135 +0.028 +0.68%
US10Yr4.225 -0.022 -0.52%
US30Yr.4.459 +0.059 +1.34%
VIX..13.12 +0.66 +5.30%‼️

USDIndx 104.1890👍 -0.211 -0.20%
Como Indx….288.39 -2.05 -0.71%
BCOMIN…… 150.67 -1.41 -0.93%

IndoCDS..71.72 -0.08 -0.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/07)

IDR…..16170.00❗️+33.50 +0.21%
Jisdor.16174.00❗️+20.00 +0.11%

Euro…1.0895 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…19.39 -0.37 -1.85%
( 3136)
EIDO….20.16 -0.36 -1.73%
EEM…..44.04 -0.46 -1.02%

Oil…….81.88 -1.07 -1.28%
Gold…..2426.20 +8.80 +0.33%
Timah..33246.00 -449.00 -1.33%
(Closed 15/07)
Nickel..16923.00 -161.50 -0.95%
(Closed 15/07)
Silver….31.63 -0.74 -2.33%
Copper.451.00 -1.15 0.25%

Iron Ore 62% 109.58 +0.84 +0.77%
(12/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.162 -0.151 -6.53%‼️
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(12/07)

Coal price.134.95 +1.10 +0.82%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.75 +2.40 +1.77%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.05 +2.30 +1.68%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.55 +2.00 +1.45%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.15 +1.85 +1.77%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.15 +4.25 +4.05%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.90 +3.69%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.50 +3.30%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3896 -39 -0.99%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..404.25 -10.50 -2.53%
SoybeanOil 44.91 -0.68 -1.49%
Wheat…532.50 -18.25 -3.31%‼️

Wood pulp..5220 unch +0%
(Closed 15/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

dikira akan merah karena percobaan pembunuhan trump, US malah ijo, europe merah, asia mostly merah, US bond yield naik padahal

USD index down, tapi metal2 banyak down, cuma gold sama iron ore up. Oil Gas down, coal up high, CPO down. Harusnya ANTM ijo hari ini, yang lain keliatannya lanjut merah ikut index

IHSG – FNS, awal koreksi ini, harusnya ga akan terlalu pendek karena kemaren rally nya lumayan jauh. Sementara belum bisa short sell sabar aja tunggu koreksi selesai

Liat ini seolah olah financials mau nyusul, yang efeknya akan ngangkar index, tapi hampir pasti ini jadwal minggu ini sih merah dulu, koreksi sehat. Biasanya consumer yang jadi ganjel index biar ga nyungsep2 banget

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN BRMS IMAS SMDR. Big accum BBTN BRMS.

MACD Buy Signal: SSIA, big accum juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal + big accum: BMRS ENRG