Global Update:

September 23th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower, major averages on pace for weekly declines as recession fears mount

Stocks on Thursday posted their third straight daily decline, as mounting fears that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate hikes will push the economy into a recession dented risk appetite for investors.

Dow…….30077 -107.1 -0.35%
Nasdaq.11067 -153.4 -1.37%
S&P 500..3758 -31.9 -0.84%

FTSE…….7160 -78.1 -1.08%
Dax……..12532 -235.5 -1.84%
CAC……..5919 -112.8 -1.87%

Nikkei….27154 -159.3 -0.58%
HSI……..18148 -296.7 -1.61%
Shanghai..3109 -8.3 -0.27%
ST Times..3263 +1.3 +0.04%

IDX…….7218.91 +30.59 +0.43%
LQ45…1032.65 +3.43 +0.32%

IDX Energy..2020.15 +43.58 +2.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.60 +16.79 +1.30%
IDX Industrl..1368.75 +15.23 +1.12%
IDXNONCYC..703.64 +2.49 +0.36%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.79 -6.56 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…..878.25 -3.25 -0.37%
IDX Techno..7438.12 -33.59 -0.45%
IDX Transp…1852.54 +10.07 +0.55%
IDX Infrast…..1018.79 +6.57 +0.65%
IDX Finance 1507.53 +0.28 +0.02%
IDX Banking..1170.80 -1.88 -0.16%
IDX Property….720 +0.80 +0.11%

Indo10Yr….7.2763 +0.0130 +0.18%
ICBI……..335.2135 -0.4724 -0.14%
US10Yr……3.7080 +0.1980 +5.64%‼️
VIX……….27.35 -0.64 -2.29%

USDIndx 111.3530 +0.7110 +0.64%‼️
Como Indx..277.85 -0.38 -0.14%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.75 +0.03 +0.02%
.
IndoCDS…111.84 -11.04 -8.98%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……15022.00 +26.00 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor..15033.00 +22.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……..0.9837 -0.0124 -1.29%

TLKM……..29.30 +0.27 +0.93%
(4405)
EIDO………24.34 +0.12 +0.50%
EEM………36.89 -0.18 -0.49%

Oil…………..83.66 +0.64 +0.77%
Gold ……..1679.40 -0.20 -0.01%
Timah. .21170.00 -11 -0.05%
( Closed 21/9)
Nickel…24378.50 -448.50 -1.81%
(Closed 22/9)
Silver…….19.65 +0.12 +0.61%
Copper….346.50 +2.90 +0.84%

Nturl Gas…..7.204 -0.546 -7.05%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/9)

Coal price….435.65 -8.85 -1.99%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.65 -27.35 -6.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.9 -27.35 -6.10%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -0.40 -0.12%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….290.00 -2.00 -0.68%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….293.00 -1.55 -0.53%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3891 -62 -1.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………688.15 +2.75 +0.40%
SoybeanOil…66.46 +1.46 +2.25%
Wheat………910.75 +7.00 +0.77%

Wood pulp…6730.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 22/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren US merah IDX ijo, sekarang US merah lagi, IDX ikut merah kayanya… Yang lain pada kompak merah kecuali Indonesia sama Singapore

Komoditi hampir kebalikan kemaren, oil naik gold turun, nikel naik silver naik, gas turun coal turun. saham coal pullback dulu lah… naiknya nanti aja bareng wave 3 index, idealnya…

IHSG – all technical technical says down…

Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Healthcare – selain foreign yang exit, semua ok sih

HEAL, udah buy signal dari kemarin di stochastic, sekarang MACD

HEAL – bandar dan foreign sudah mulai entry lagi, harusnya firm, technical ok semua, kalo breakout 1540 with volume tambah muatan

Rada ketinggian diatas average bandar, tapi technical firm ok lah

Consumer Cyclicals – belum sih masih sideways…

Belum ada lagi… Terakhir SCMA kemaren

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Itungan ABC correctionnya belum beres, tapi udah ada bullish divergence baru… MACD buy tapi sideways, Stoch abis buy terus sw juga, foreign masih inside. Belum ok sih, mungkin nanti dah rada turun indexnya lebih jauh baru mulai gerak

CPIN ICBP

CPIN – stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, ada freq spike, bandar sama foreign masih flat, MFI up, retracement pattern mantul di fibo 23, bullish divergence confirmed by MA 10, LR nempel bawah channel siap mantul, berani spec buy, pantau ketat stoploss di breakdown support 5500. Masuk setengah botol dulu, nunggu resistance and volume breakout baru entry lagi.

Harga dibanding average harga broker aman…

ICBP – udah dua kali vol breakout, Stoch up macd up, MFI SW, bandar&foreign inside, EW impulse wave 3, harusnya ok banget.PSAR up LR mantul jalan test midline. BOW

 

ICBP sedikit lebih tinggi, karena sekarang lagi jadwal index merah ada bagusnya pasang buy dibawah atau sama dengan harga bandar, siapa tau kejemput…

ICBP PTBA ESSA

BBTN CPIN PRDA

ARTO BRPT HEAL SRTG

Financials skip dulu ah… Apalagi ARTO

 

PTBA – stoch down macd sw MFI down bandar dan foreign mulai akum lagi, ABC flat style correction bisa lah dianggap selesai, sektor energy nya lagi galau, lagi duduk di MA 50, ada gap diatas belum ketutup, ada regular dan hidden divergence juga sudah confirmed by MA 10 tapi nanti dulu deh…

Belum feel safe, BOW kalo drop lagi di bawah harga bandar baru confident

BRPT – biasanya tertib divergence dan nurut sama stochastic, tapi kalo kondisi index wave 2 gini ga berani sembarangan… LR nya belum firm, bandar dan foreign kemaren keluar terus, baru 2 hari akum lagi, sektor belum jalan lagi, MA dan alligator masih bilang downtrend, WNS deh

Dari harganya menarik… Tapi saya pribadi skip dulu sih, yang mau speculative buy mangga… DYOR ya… Inget cutloss kalau breakdown support di latest low kemaren, 800

Global update:

September 01st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 fall for a fourth day, major averages end August with losses

Stocks fell for a fourth straight day on Wednesday, the last day of August, putting the summer market comeback in doubt as investors weighed the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting efforts.

Dow…….31510 -280.4 -0.88%
Nasdaq.11816 -66.9 -0.56%
S&P 500..3955 -31.2 -0.78%

FTSE…….7284 -77.5 -1.05%
Dax……..12835 -126.2 -0.97%
CAC……..6125 -85.1 -1.37%

Nikkei….28092 -104.1 -0.37%
HSI……..19954 +5.4 +0.03%
Shanghai..3202 -25.1 -0.78%
ST Times..3222 -17.7 -0.55%

IDX…….7178.59 +19.12 +0.27%
LQ45…1022.82 +1.07 +0.11%

IDX Energy…1899.49 +1.51 +0.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1298.48 +1.29 +0.12%
IDX Industrl..1323.15 +1.56 +0.12%
IDXNONCYC..707.62 -0.51 -0.07%
IDX Hlthcare.1436.72 +10.77 +0.76%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.58 -1.55 -0.17%
IDX Techno..7816.57 -106.07 -1.34%
IDX Transp…1970.40 +9.34 +0.48%
IDX Infrast…..1043.12 +3.43 +0.33%
IDX Finance 1515.90 +23.76 +1.59%
IDX Banking..1151.02 +15.62 +1.38%
IDX Property…701 -3.70 -0.53%

Indo10Yr….7.1498 -0.0063 -0.09%
ICBI……..336.3969 +0.1477 +0.04%
US10Yr……3.1330 +0.0230 +0.74%
VIX……….25.87 -0.34 -1.30%

USDIndx 108.6860 -0.0870 -0.08%
Como Indx..290.41 -3.17 -1.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.43 -1.12 -0.72%
.
IndoCDS…116.42 – %
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14842.50 unch +0%
Jisdor..14853.00 -22.00 -0.15%

Euro………1.0054 +0.0035 +0.35%

TLKM……..30.07 +0.42 +1.42%
(4466)
EIDO………23.76 +0.04 +0.17%
EEM………39.43 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…………..88.79 -3.69 -3.99%‼️
Gold ……..1722.50 -12.50 -0.72%
Timah. .23652.00 -1098 -4.44%‼️
( Closed 30/8)
Nickel….21428.00 +11.5 +0.05%
(Closed 31/8)
Silver…….17.86 -0.41 -2.24%
Copper….351.45 -4.05 -1.14%

Nturl Gas…..9.127 +0.046 +0.51%

Ammonia….3783.33 +33.33 +0.89%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/8)

Coal price….420.00 +10.45 +2.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….415.50 +8.00 +1.96%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.75 +6.30 +1.58%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….367.00 +12.00 +3.38%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….358.00 +4.00 +1.13%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….349.75 +3.25 +0.94%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4133 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..670.250 -6.75 -1.00%
SoybeanOil…67.48 +1.13 +1.70%
Wheat……..831.50 +11.25 +1.37%

Wood pulp…6730.00 +16 +0.24%
(Closed 31/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah lagi, europe juga, asia Hangseng sama IHSG aja yang ijo. Itu juga hangseng ijo tipis banget

Oil drop lagi, metal2an turun kecuali nikeluang ijo tipis. Gas naik, coal naik lagi, CPO flat. Harusnya Coal lanjut naik. Ini kasian banget ELSA ga sempet dapet momentum lari. MEDC udah selesai geraknya untuk sementara keliatannya

Selama masih belum break 7257, technically tetep kemungkinan besar akan lanjut kebawah, wave 2

Dipaksa stay ijo 2 hari terakhir, stochastic index seperti yang mau reverse up, PSAR sudah balik buy, bandar akum foreign entry, tapi MFI tetep turun dan MACD tambah melebar garis antara MACD dan signal nya, masih lanjut kebawah

Kemarin big banks dipake naikin index, sebelumnya GOTO yang jalan, mungkin banyak orang yang melihat ini sebagai sentimen bagus di bursa, tapi saya melihatnya malah ini dipaksa ditahan dengan market making di beberapa saham big caps. Ga sehat ini… Kalo ujungnya retail FOMO dan entry apalagi di saham2 gorengan, nanti pada jadi nyangkuters semua…

Langsung jadi nongol di RSI quadrant chart Finance… Energy, Healthcare, Finance, Consumer both Cyclicals and Non-Cyclicals, tapi 2 ini sepertinya sisa sisa doang, udah siap berhenti gerak dulu

Global Update:

July 20th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow rallies more than 750 points as traders bet that the bottom is in

Stocks rallied Tuesday, with the market resuming a bounce from last month’s lows, as traders bet on strong corporate earnings reports and wagered that markets have found a bottom.

Dow…….31827 +754.4 +2.43%
Nasdaq.11713 +353.1 +3.11%
S&P 500..3937 +105.8 +2.76%

FTSE…….7296 +73.04 +1.01%
Dax……..13308 +348.6 +2.69%
CAC……..6201 +109.3 +1.79%

Nikkei….26962 +173.2 +0.65%
HSI……..20661 -185.1 -0.89%
Shanghai..3279 +1.3 +0.04%
ST Times..3118 -3.97 -0.13%

IDX…….6736.09 +76.84 +1.15%
LQ45…..949.14 +8.37 +0.89%

IDX Energy…1671.12 +55.93 +3.46%
IDX Bsc Mat.1257.64 +41.51 +3.41%
IDX Industrl..1187.86 +7.58 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..715.55 +4.23 +0.59%
IDX Hlthcare.1527.46 +6.17 +0.41%
IDXCYCLIC…..876.92 +14.24 +1.65%
IDX Techno….7725.10 +177.06+2.35%
IDX Transp…1952.17 +19.76 +1.02%
IDX Infrast……968.70 +12.43 +1.30%
IDX Finance 1436.08 +12.66 +0.89%
IDX Property…….672 +9.43 +1.43%

Indo10Yr….7.4732 +0.0487 +0.66%
ICBI……….328.7360 -0.9439 -0.29%
US10Yr…..3.0190 +0.0590 +1.99%
VIX…………24.50 -0.80 -3.16%

USDIndx 106.6820 -0.6840 -0.64%‼️
Como Indx..285.47 -1.07 -0.37%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..143.99 -1.97 -1.35%

IndoCDS…156.49 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14976.50 -4.50 -0.03%‼️
Jisdor..14992.00 +6.00 +0.04%‼️

Euro………1.0239 +0.0094 +0.85%

TLKM……..27.56 +0.38 +1.40%
(4132)
EIDO………22.12 +0.48 +2.22%
EEM……….39.54 +0.64 +1.65%

Oil………..104.22 +2.30 +2.26%
Gold …….1710.10 +3.60 +0.21%
Timah. .24719.00 -131.00 -0.53%
( Closed 18/7)
Nickel..20690.00 +115.00 +0.56%
(Closed 19/7)
Silver…….18.70 +0.03 +0.16%
Copper….329.90 -1.40 -0.42%

Nturl Gas…..7.293 -0.136 -1.83%

Ammonia….3940.00 +43.33 +1.10%
China
(Domestic Price)(18/7)

Coal price…399.65 +3.60 +0.91%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…371.00 +20.95 +5.98%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…375.00 +1.00 +0.26%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…332.65 +2.15 +0.65%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4066 +129 +3.28%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………595.25 -15.50 -2.54%
SoybeanOil…59.52 -1.36 -2.23%
Wheat……….812.25 -0.50 -0.06%

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 19/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Bismillah, semoga lanjut rally long bullish

Terakhir IHSG cross MACD dibawah histogram, rally nya 10% lebih, semoga sekarang juga sampe segitu

Semua index regional closing hijau kemaren, kecuali hangseng dan strait times.

Commodity juga begitu, yang merah cuma timah sama copper

Global Update:

July 08th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 gains for fourth day to match year’s longest win streak, Dow jumps 300 points

U.S. stocks rose on Thursday as Wall Street built on its modest winning streak ahead of a key jobs report.

Dow…….31385 +346.9 +1.12%
Nasdaq.11621 +259.5 +2.28%
S&P 500..3903 +57.5 +1.50%

FTSE…….7189 +81.3 +1.14%
Dax……..12843 +248.7 +1.97%
CAC……..6007 +94.3 +1.60%

Nikkei….26491 +382.9 +1.47%
HSI……..21644 +56.9 +0.26%
Shanghai..3364 +9.1 +0.27%
ST Times..3129 +25.7 +0.83%

IDX…….6652.59 +6.18 +0.09%
LQ45…..946.58 -0.57 -0.06%

IDX Energy…1631.61 -2.51 -0.15%
IDX Bsc Mat.1170.42 +8.16 +0.70%
IDX Industrl..1155.42 -2.18 -0.19%
IDXNONCYC..707.14 -0.67 -0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1511.14 -1.48 -0.10%
IDXCYCLIC…..869.08 +5.52 +0.64%
IDX Techno….7556.91 +142.63 +1.92%
IDX Transp…1863.39 +32.72 +1.79%
IDX Infrast……959.35 +3.90 +0.41%
IDX Finance 1390.08 +9.64 +0.70%
IDX Property…….670 +7.30 +1.11%

Indo10Yr….7.3720 -0.0100 -0.14%
ICBI……….331.0947 +0.3341 +0.10%
US10Yr…..3.0080 +0.0950 +3.26%
VIX…………26.08 -0.65 -2.43%

USDIndx 107.1300 +0.0340 +0.03%‼
Como Indx..285.08 +8.95 +3.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.58 +3.45 +2.33%

IndoCDS…150.30 +3.78 +2.58%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……15001.50 +2.50 +0.02%‼
Jisdor..15015.00 -29.00 -0.19%‼

Euro………1.0162 -0.0023 -0.23%

TLKM……..26.88 +0.19 +0.71%
(4036)
EIDO………21.70 +0.10 +0.46%
EEM……….40.09 +0.79 +2.01%

Oil…………102.55 +4.34 +4.42%‼
Gold …….1739.30 +1.80 +0.10%
Timah. .24712.00 -1288 -4.95%‼
( Closed 06/7)
Nickel…21499.00 -198.00 -0.91%
(Closed 07/7)
Silver…….19.15 -0.03 -0.16%
Copper….354.25 +1.06 +3.08%

Nturl Gas…..5.541 +0.6470 +11.68%‼

Ammonia ..4473.33 -116.67 -2.54%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(06/7)

Coal price…410.00 +10.30 +2.58%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…412.00 +15.60 +3.92%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…385.00 +0.25 +0.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…369.30 +5.70 +1.54%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4135 +79 +1.95%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +11.25 +1.92%
SoybeanOil…59.59 +2.95 +5.21%‼
Wheat………836.50 +32.00 +3.98%‼

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Semua regional index ijo kemaren, idx juga ijo walau tipis. Good sign untuk koreksi mungkin sudah beres di level 6500 an, ga jadi dibawa tutup gap 6162

Tetep very selective buying di saham saham yang punya hajat sendiri, yang tetep ijo walau index merah

Oil Gas Coal naik tinggi, semakin besar tanda rebound untuk sektor energy yang rata2 memang sudah mulai keluar signal buy di stochastic

Kalo MACD buy signal keluar, kita entry

BRPT kemaren rally 10%, hari ini kemungkinan besar dibanting dulu, selain biasanya, pasti retrace dulu karena oil naik tinggi, bahan baku industri petrokimia kan dari minyak. Minyak naik biaya produksi naik

Gold CPO Copper ijo, solver nickel merah. Timah drop. Ngehambat trio kwek kwek ANTM INCO TINS aja nih, heu

Seandainya koreksi beres di level 6500, kita bisa proyeksikan gerakan selanjutnya kesini