Daily Analysis 20221012

Daily Analysis 20221012

Global update:

October 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower, notches 5-day losing streak ahead of key inflation report

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday, reversing gains from earlier in the day as investors looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the week that will give the Federal Reserve updated information on the state of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….29239 +36.3 +0.12%
Nasdaq.10426 -115.9 -1.10%
S&P 500..3589 -23.6 -0.65%

FTSE…….6885 -74.1 -1.06%
Dax……..12220 -52.7 -0.43%
CAC……..5833 -7.4 -0.13%

Nikkei….26401 -714.9 -2.64%
HSI……..16833 -384.3 -2.23%
Shanghai..2980 +5.7 +0.19%
ST Times..310t -2.5 -0.08%

IDX…….6939.15 -55.25 -0.79%
LQ45…..988.42 -8.26 -0.83%

IDX Energy…1982.05 -15.49 -0.78%
IDX Bsc Mat.1239.87 -0.00 -0.02%
IDX Industrl..1265.60 -1.96 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC..697.89 -2.63 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1462.37 -9.83 -0.67%
IDXCYCLIC…..856.62 +1.36 +0.16%
IDX Techno..6874.46 -161.14 -2.15%
IDX Transp…1811.66 -15.52 -0.85%
IDX Infrast…….957.43 -7.91 -0.82%
IDX Finance 1463.38 -8.95 -0.61%
IDX Banking.1131.64 -6.53 -0.57%
IDX Property…….684 -2.50 -0.36%

Indo10Yr….7.3936 +0.0220 +0.30%
ICBI……..333.6432 -0.4329 -0.13%
US10Yr……3.9390 +0.0510 +1.31%
VIX……….33.63 +1.18 +3.64%‼

USDIndx 113.2740 +0.1200 +0.11%‼
Como Indx..281.96 -1.10 -0.39%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.16 -0.80 -0.55%
.
IndoCDS 168.05 +5.02 +3.08%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/10)

IDR……15357.00 +39.50 +0.26%‼
Jisdor..15362.00 +63.00 +0.41%‼

Euro……..0.9709 +0.0005 +0.05%‼

TLKM……..27.91 -0.82 -2.85%
(4288)
EIDO………23.01 -0.15 -0.65%
EEM………34..59 -0.56 -1.59%

Oil…………88.50 -2.33 -2.57%
Gold ……1673.20 -1.90 -0.11%
Timah…20085 +660 +3.40%
(Closed 10/10)
Nickel…22048.50 -391 -1.74%
(Closed 11/10)
Silver…….19.15 -0.46 -2.35%
Copper….342.20 -1.35 -0.39%

Nturl Gas…..6.600 +0.073 +1.12%

Ammonia..4256.67 -116.66 -2.67%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/10)

Coal price….391.15 +4.65 +1.20%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….388.50 +8.50 +2.24%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….387.00 +9.35 +2.48%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….265.85 +3.85 +1.45%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.35 +13.35 +5.36%‼
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.85 +11.90 +4.76%‼
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.90 -1.95 -2.01%
Indonesial Coal Index (10/10)

CPO(Des)……3692 -149 -3.88%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….693.00 -5.25 -0.75%
SoybeanOil….65.47 -0.59 -0.89%
Wheat……..901.00 -37.00 -3.94%‼

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI Rebound tipis, ya ga mungkin juga losing streak terus terusan, IHSG juga technical rebound dulu lah hari ini kayanya. Europe masih merah, asia mostly merah kemarin. Kita pantau opening hangseng hari ini

Oil, gold, nickel, silver, copper turun. Timah metal yang naik sendiri. Gas nail, coal naik, cpo lanjut turun lagi. Apa mau lanjut lari lagi saham coal? Kepanjangan sih run dari sekarang sampe januari…

3 day losing streak, technical rebound dulu lah sebelum lanjut ke 6740…

IHSG – chart nya jelek banget, alligator juga udah ikut jadi sell signal… Semoga nanti mantulnya ga pake lama once udah touch level tutup gap

Masih energy, nyusul consumer cyclicals sama basic materials

Energy – kalo liat gerakan saham2 coal kaya yang mau lanjut, tapi overall sektornya makin firm keliatan mau koreksi wave c dulu. MACD udah ngebalik lagi, stochastic udah overbought dan sudah melandai, bd dist walau ff akum, psar masih up, LR cross down midline, DMI malah mau sell signal lagi. Jangan terlalu agresive lah, WNS dulu aja

Daily Analysis 20220919

Daily Analysis 20220919

Global update:

September 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on Friday, extending sell off for worst week since June for S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street wrapped up one of its worst weeks in months and traders reacted to an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.

Dow…….30822 -139.4 -0.45%
Nasdaq.11448 -103.95 -0.90%
S&P 500..3873 -28.02 -0.72%

FTSE…….7237 -45.4 -0.62%
Dax……..12741 -215.4 -1.66%
CAC……..6077 -80.5 -1.31%

Nikkei….27568 -308.3 -1.11%
HSI……..18762 -168.7 -0.89%
Shanghai..3126 -73.5 -2.30%
ST Times..3268 +0.31 +0.01%

IDX…….7168.87 -136.73 -1.87%
LQ45…1016.01 -25.04 -2.40%

IDX Energy..2034.77 -44.48 -2.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.13 +0.83 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1363.44 -22.00 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..702.55 -3.61 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1449.21 -5.57 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.03 -2.12 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7483.50 -35.58 -0.47%
IDX Transp…1903.48 -13.70 -0.71%
IDX Infrast…..1027.23 -3.55 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1512.67 -29.05 -1.88%
IDX Banking..1167.49 -33.02 -2.75%bangbang
IDX Property….737 -8.50 -1.14%

Indo10Yr….7.2394 +0.0326 +0.45%
ICBI……..335.6762 -0.6426 -0.19%
US10Yr……3.4480 -0.0110 -0.32%
VIX……….26.30 +0.03 +0.11%

USDIndx 109.7640 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx..278.88 -2.12 -0.75%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.24 +1.24 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14954.50 +57.00 +0.38%bangbang
Jisdor..14939.00 +40.00 +0.16%bangbang

Euro……..1.0016 +0.0022 +0.22%

TLKM……..29.20 -0.60 -2.01%
(4362)
EIDO………24.27 -0.48 -1.94%
EEM………37.79 -0.35 -0.92%
Oil…………..85.11 +0.38 +0.45%
Gold ……..1683.50 +11.80 +0.71%
Timah. .21137.00 +327.00 +1.57%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24395.50 +1091.00 +4.68%bangbang
(Closed 16/9)
Silver…….19.38 +0.32 +1.68%
Copper….351.65 +4.96 +1.43%

Nturl Gas…..7.817 -0.475 -5.73%bangbang

Ammonia..4256.67 +66.67 +1.59%bangbang
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.00 -6.50 -1.46%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.00 -10.00 -2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.50 -11.00 -2.53%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.00 -6.20 -1.84%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.30 -13.70 -4.30%bangbang
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..305.55 -12.45 -3.92%bangbang
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3801 -116 -2.96%bangbang
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -0.25 -0.04%
SoybeanOil…65.96 +1.66 +2.58%
Wheat……..859.75 +14.75 +1.75%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/9)

copyrightPhintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at kompak merah semua, IHSG dalem banget dan ada opening gap down, membuka harapan rebound kecil hari ini… Energy dan Banking yang drop paling besar, udahan dulu emang keliatannya dari sisi sektornya.

Komoditas hampir semua naik kecuali natural gas sama coal dan  cpo, metal2 naik bisa berarti basic materials naik. Kita check chart sektornya later ya.

Keliatannya sesuai prediksi, sebelum santa claus rally akan drop dulu, bikin wave 3. Cocok nanti sama jadwal window dressing akhir tahun sekalian wave 3.

IHSG – stoch macd bilang sell, bandar dan foreign buang, MFI SW, ada banyak gap dibawah, LR bisa kemana aja, PSAR sell. Jelek banget ini…

IHSG kena regular bearish divergence MACD line dan MACD histogram, confirmed by MA10. So technically ngeri ini… Dan kemaren hype nya new ATH cuma segitu aja. Prepare buat terjunan wave 2. Kita liat sektor mana yang bakal jadi ganjel index

Bersih bersih dulu, mulai belanja lagi amannya setelah gap 6911 udah ketutup, kalo gap 6740 udah ketutup berani buy sambil merem, hehehe…

FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW

(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)

INDONESIA

• LARGE CAP

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid

• MID CAP

Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large

• SMALL CAP

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
*
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)

Highlight di:

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid

-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Harusnya efek rebalancing akan bikin naik saham-saham ini karena akan diborong para Manager Investasi.

Cuma Property yang firm, tanda tanda perlawanan ada di basic materials, transportation, sama consumer cyclicals. Infra ada dikit tapi ok lah kita liat detailnya

Daily Analysis 20220915

Daily Analysis 20220915

Global Update:

September 15th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. stocks finished higher on Wednesday after an indecisive trading session that saw the major averages spend time on both sides of the flatline throughout the day.

Dow…….31135 +30.1 +0.10%
Nasdaq.11720 +86.1 +0.74%
S&P 500..3946 +13.3 +0.34%

FTSE…….7277 -108.6 -1.47%
Dax……..13028 -160.95 -1.22%
CAC……..6222 -23.3 -0.37%

Nikkei….27819 -796.01 -2.78%
HSI……..18847 -479.8 -2.48%
Shanghai..3238 -26.3 -0.80%
ST Times..3258 -32.1 -0.97%

IDX…….7278.08 -39.94 -0.55%
LQ45…1035.52 -7.12 -0.68%

IDX Energy..2080.93 +17.15 +0.83%
IDX Bsc Mat.1318.20 -16.22 -1.22%
IDX Industrl..1375.56 -14.34 -1.07%
IDXNONCYC..705.24 +1.44 +0.21%
IDX Hlthcare.1452.34 -11.92 -0.81%
IDXCYCLIC…..879.15 -1.64 -0.19%
IDX Techno..7606.59 -41.40 -0.54%
IDX Transp…1927.56 +0.55 +0.03%
IDX Infrast…..1032.19 -2.43 -0.23%
IDX Finance 1526.83 -9.79 -0.64%
IDX Banking..1183.47 -9.60 -0.80%
IDX Property…729 -4.60 -0.63%

Indo10Yr….7.1892 +0.0147 +0.20%
ICBI……..336.4977 -0.2895 -0.09%
US10Yr……3.4120 -0.0100 -0.29%
VIX……….26.16 -1.11 -4.07%

USDIndx 109.6580 -0.1570 -0.14%
Como Indx..286.33 +0.56 +0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.84 -1.28 -0.83%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14907.50 +56.00 +0.38%‼
Jisdor..14923.00 +62.00 +0.42%‼

Euro……..0.9983 +0.0013 +0.13%

TLKM……..29.89 +0.31 +1.05%
(4460)
EIDO………24.67 +0.34 +1.40%
EEM………38.55 +0.19 +0.50%

Oil…………..8.88 +1.17 +1.33%
Gold ……..1706.80 -5.90 -0.34%
Timah. .21380.00 -81.00 -0.38%
( Closed 13/9)
Nickel…24333.00 +190.50 +0.79%
(Closed 14/9)
Silver…….19.60 +0.31 +1.61%
Copper….351.70 -1.40 -0.40%

Nturl Gas…..9.081 +0.683 +8.13%‼

Ammonia..4156.67 +23.34 +0.56%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/9)

Coal price….444.20 +4.85 +1.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….439.20 +10.55 +2.46%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.15 +12.15 +2.88%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.00 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….319.50 +5.00 +1.59%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…321.60 +6.85 +2.17%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3858 -42 -1.07%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..682.25 -10.50 -1.52%
SoybeanOil…64.87 -1.86 -2.79%
Wheat……..872.25 +11.75 +1.37%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US abis drop gede rebound sedikit… Europe merah, asia merah

Commodity terkait energy naik semua, oil natural gas coal, mungkinkah mau extend wave 5 sektor energi? Ya mungkin aja sih…

Gold Timah Copper turun, nickel silver naik

Masih bertahan diatas EMA 20, kita wait and see, bikin new record high atau tidak IHSG, kondisi ekonomi sih belum mendukung

IHSG – stoch sell, macd buy, foreign masih entry, bandar masih akum, MFI slow tapi masih naik, masih dibawah resistance kuat – level harga All Time High, masih galau ini, tapi masih terlalu dini untuk window dressing, jadi kayanya wave 2 dulu tetep

Property yang firm, energy kemaren jalan tapi dari sector rotation kemungkinan bukan gilirannya lagi untuk jalan. Basic Materials dan Financials sedikit melemah, prediction saya Basic Materials yang lanjut, financials udahan dulu. Next nya transport