Global Update:

October 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up more than 300 points as strong earnings boost stocks in choppy market

Stocks rose for a second straight session on Tuesday as strong corporate earnings reports helped extend a rally to start the week.

Dow…….30523 +337.98 +1.12%
Nasdaq.10772 +96.6 +0.90%
S&P 500..3720 +42.03 +1.14%

FTSE…….6937 +16.5 +0.24%
Dax……..12766 +116.6 +0.92%
CAC……..6067 +26.3 +0.44%

Nikkei….27156 +380.4 +1.42%
HSI……..16915 +301.7 +1.82%
Shanghai..3081 -3.98 -0.13%
ST Times..3025 +10.1 +0.34%

IDX…….6834.49 +3.38 +0.05%
LQ45…..971.35 -1.32 -0.14%

IDX Energy…1972.86 -13.75 -0.69%
IDX Bsc Mat.1228.64 +1.59 +0.13%
IDX Industrl..1246.83 -0.69 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..709.63 +11.18 +1.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1456.13 +4.00 +0.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..835.94 +1.63 +0.85%
IDX Techno..6453.60 -26.80 -0.41%
IDX Transp…1752.25 -0.91 -0.05%
IDX Infrast……919.96 -3.54 -0.38%
IDX Finance 1431.36 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Banking.1101.70 +15.66 +1.11%
IDX Property…….67/ +4.50 +0.67%

Indo10Yr….7.4396 +0.0032 +0.04%
ICBI……..332.9837 +0.0033 +0.00%
US10Yr……3.9980 -0.0170 -0.42%
VIX……….30.50 -0.87 -2.77%

USDIndx 112.0390 -0.0360 -0.03%👍
Como Indx..271.55 -3.78 -1.37%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..143.24 -0.84 -0.59%
.
IndoCDS 156.09 -8.23 -5.01%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15463.50 -24.00 -0.16%‼️
Jisdor..15469.00 -11 -0.07%‼️

Euro……..0.9860 +0.0136 +1.42%‼️

TLKM……..27.20 -0.75 -2.68%
(4208)
EIDO………22.64 -0.19 -0.83%
EEM………35.16 +0.01 +0.03%

Oil…………82.82 -3.18 -3.70%
Gold ……1655.80 -1.30 -0.08%
Timah…19645 -285 -1.43%
(Closed 17/10)
Nickel…21938.00 +324.50 +1.50%
(Closed 18/10)
Silver………18.60 -0.01 -0.53%
Copper….336.20 -4.65 -1.36%

Nturl Gas…..5.691 -0.291 -4.86%‼️

Ammonia..4206.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(17/10)

Coal price….387.85 -4.30 -1.10%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.80 -5.85 -1.49%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.30 -8.85 -2.24%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.00 -3.50 -1.29%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….255.00 -4.50 -1.73%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..254.90 -4.50 -1.73%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.45 -1.25 -1.31%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/10)

CPO(Jan)……4005 +127 +3.27%‼️

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….681.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil….68.74 +1.90 +2.84%
Wheat………849.50 -11.50 -1.34%

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Ijo semua kecuali shanghai, ayo IHSG jalan wave 3. Kalo ijo lagi hari ini jadi 3 white soldiers.

Oil Coal Gas turun, bener ini kayanya wave C dulu energy, bagus deh, siap2 winter rally lagi akhir tahun. Metal turun semua kecuali nikel. CPO naik lumayan. Kita liat technically sektor mana yang mau jalan

IHSG – technically belum firm mantul, baru LR aja yang bilang buy, tapi itungan elliot wave udah sih. Bandar masih flat, foreign masih belum entry lagi, MFI naik tapi, volume cukup untuk dianggap naiknya valid bukan gorengan. Semoga sudah firm lanjut wave 3 sampe awal tahun

Industrials & Basic Materials keliatannya next yang jalan, Consumer Cyclicals dan Consumer Non-Cyclicals ga meyakinkan cacingnya

Global Update:

October 18th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up 550 points, Nasdaq pops more than 3% as strong bank earnings boost volatile market

Stocks rose sharply on Monday as key earnings reports eased some of investors’ fears and oversold tech names enjoyed a rebound rally.

Dow…….30186 +550.99 +1.86%
Nasdaq.10676 +354.4 +3.43%
S&P 500..3678 +94.9 +2.65%

FTSE…….6920 +61.5 +0.90%
Dax……..12649 +211.2 +1.70%
CAC……..6040 +108.7 +1.83%

Nikkei….26776 -314.97 -1.16%
HSI……..16613 +25.2 +0.15%
Shanghai..3085 +12.96 +0.42%
ST Times..3016 -23.o -0.79%

IDX…….6831.12 +16.58 +0.24%
LQ45…..972.67 +5.93 +0.61%

IDX Energy…1986.61 +1.96 +0.10%
IDX Bsc Mat.1227.05 +9.79 +0.80%
IDX Industrl..1247.52 -15.56 -1.23%
IDXNONCYC..698.45 +0.20 +0.03%
IDX Hlthcare.1452.14 +13.73 +0.96%
IDXCYCLIC…..834.31 -7.16 -0.85%
IDX Techno..6480.41 +3.96 +0.06%
IDX Transp…1753.16 -34.22 -1.91%
IDX Infrast……923.40 -4.27 -0.46%
IDX Finance 1415.70 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Banking.1101.70 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Property…….671 -8.o -1.31%

Indo10Yr….7.4517 +0.0354 +0.0)48%
ICBI……..332.9804 -0.6769 -0.06%
US10Yr……4.0150 +0.0050 +0.12%‼
VIX……….31.37 -0.65 -2.03%

USDIndx 112.0390 -1.2720 -1.12%👍
Como Indx..275.33 -1.36 -0.49%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..144.08 -2.45 -1.67%
.
IndoCDS 164.32 -2.32 -1.39%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15487.50 +60.50 +0.39%‼
Jisdor..15480.00 +90 +0.58%‼

Euro……..0.9722 +0.0118 +1.20%‼

TLKM……..27.95 +0.52 +1.90%
(4327)
EIDO………22.83 +0.27 +1.20%
EEM………35.15 +0.94 +2.75%

Oil…………86.00 +0.39 +0.46%
Gold ……1656.30 +7.40 +0.45%
Timah…19930 – -0%
(Closed 14/10)
Nickel…21613.50 -221.50 -1.01%
(Closed 17/10)
Silver………18.61 +0.54 +2.99%
Copper….340.85 -1.51 -0.44%

Nturl Gas…..5.982 -0.490 -7.57%‼

Ammonia..4206.67 -50 -1.17%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/10)

Coal price….392.15 -0.35 -0.09%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.65 -4.85 -1.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….395.15 -1.85 -0.47%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.50 -2.00 -0.73%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….259.50 -4.50 -1.70%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..259.40 -4.10 -1.56%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.70 +1.70 +1.81%
Indonesial Coal Index (14/10)

CPO(Jan)……3878 +12 +0.31%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….683.50 -6.25 -0.91%
SoybeanOil….66.84 +1.54 +2.36%
Wheat………861.00 +1.25 +0.15%

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 17/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI Nasdaq ijo tebel… Eropa ijo, sepertinya IHSG udah diangggap cukup turunnya walau tipis belum ketutup gap nya… Siap siap belanja… 😇

Oil gold silver cpo naik, nikel copper coal turun, gas turun dalem. Kayanya saham energi mau turun dulu ini

Dikiiiit lagi ketutup gap nya, tapi kayanya sudah dulu sih turunnya, kita tunggu buy signal dari saham saham yang mau lari duluan

Kalo dari sini energy, basic materials sama industrials

Global update:

October 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower, notches 5-day losing streak ahead of key inflation report

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday, reversing gains from earlier in the day as investors looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the week that will give the Federal Reserve updated information on the state of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….29239 +36.3 +0.12%
Nasdaq.10426 -115.9 -1.10%
S&P 500..3589 -23.6 -0.65%

FTSE…….6885 -74.1 -1.06%
Dax……..12220 -52.7 -0.43%
CAC……..5833 -7.4 -0.13%

Nikkei….26401 -714.9 -2.64%
HSI……..16833 -384.3 -2.23%
Shanghai..2980 +5.7 +0.19%
ST Times..310t -2.5 -0.08%

IDX…….6939.15 -55.25 -0.79%
LQ45…..988.42 -8.26 -0.83%

IDX Energy…1982.05 -15.49 -0.78%
IDX Bsc Mat.1239.87 -0.00 -0.02%
IDX Industrl..1265.60 -1.96 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC..697.89 -2.63 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1462.37 -9.83 -0.67%
IDXCYCLIC…..856.62 +1.36 +0.16%
IDX Techno..6874.46 -161.14 -2.15%
IDX Transp…1811.66 -15.52 -0.85%
IDX Infrast…….957.43 -7.91 -0.82%
IDX Finance 1463.38 -8.95 -0.61%
IDX Banking.1131.64 -6.53 -0.57%
IDX Property…….684 -2.50 -0.36%

Indo10Yr….7.3936 +0.0220 +0.30%
ICBI……..333.6432 -0.4329 -0.13%
US10Yr……3.9390 +0.0510 +1.31%
VIX……….33.63 +1.18 +3.64%‼

USDIndx 113.2740 +0.1200 +0.11%‼
Como Indx..281.96 -1.10 -0.39%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.16 -0.80 -0.55%
.
IndoCDS 168.05 +5.02 +3.08%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/10)

IDR……15357.00 +39.50 +0.26%‼
Jisdor..15362.00 +63.00 +0.41%‼

Euro……..0.9709 +0.0005 +0.05%‼

TLKM……..27.91 -0.82 -2.85%
(4288)
EIDO………23.01 -0.15 -0.65%
EEM………34..59 -0.56 -1.59%

Oil…………88.50 -2.33 -2.57%
Gold ……1673.20 -1.90 -0.11%
Timah…20085 +660 +3.40%
(Closed 10/10)
Nickel…22048.50 -391 -1.74%
(Closed 11/10)
Silver…….19.15 -0.46 -2.35%
Copper….342.20 -1.35 -0.39%

Nturl Gas…..6.600 +0.073 +1.12%

Ammonia..4256.67 -116.66 -2.67%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/10)

Coal price….391.15 +4.65 +1.20%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….388.50 +8.50 +2.24%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….387.00 +9.35 +2.48%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….265.85 +3.85 +1.45%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.35 +13.35 +5.36%‼
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.85 +11.90 +4.76%‼
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.90 -1.95 -2.01%
Indonesial Coal Index (10/10)

CPO(Des)……3692 -149 -3.88%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….693.00 -5.25 -0.75%
SoybeanOil….65.47 -0.59 -0.89%
Wheat……..901.00 -37.00 -3.94%‼

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI Rebound tipis, ya ga mungkin juga losing streak terus terusan, IHSG juga technical rebound dulu lah hari ini kayanya. Europe masih merah, asia mostly merah kemarin. Kita pantau opening hangseng hari ini

Oil, gold, nickel, silver, copper turun. Timah metal yang naik sendiri. Gas nail, coal naik, cpo lanjut turun lagi. Apa mau lanjut lari lagi saham coal? Kepanjangan sih run dari sekarang sampe januari…

3 day losing streak, technical rebound dulu lah sebelum lanjut ke 6740…

IHSG – chart nya jelek banget, alligator juga udah ikut jadi sell signal… Semoga nanti mantulnya ga pake lama once udah touch level tutup gap

Masih energy, nyusul consumer cyclicals sama basic materials

Energy – kalo liat gerakan saham2 coal kaya yang mau lanjut, tapi overall sektornya makin firm keliatan mau koreksi wave c dulu. MACD udah ngebalik lagi, stochastic udah overbought dan sudah melandai, bd dist walau ff akum, psar masih up, LR cross down midline, DMI malah mau sell signal lagi. Jangan terlalu agresive lah, WNS dulu aja

Global update:

September 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on Friday, extending sell off for worst week since June for S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street wrapped up one of its worst weeks in months and traders reacted to an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.

Dow…….30822 -139.4 -0.45%
Nasdaq.11448 -103.95 -0.90%
S&P 500..3873 -28.02 -0.72%

FTSE…….7237 -45.4 -0.62%
Dax……..12741 -215.4 -1.66%
CAC……..6077 -80.5 -1.31%

Nikkei….27568 -308.3 -1.11%
HSI……..18762 -168.7 -0.89%
Shanghai..3126 -73.5 -2.30%
ST Times..3268 +0.31 +0.01%

IDX…….7168.87 -136.73 -1.87%
LQ45…1016.01 -25.04 -2.40%

IDX Energy..2034.77 -44.48 -2.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.13 +0.83 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1363.44 -22.00 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..702.55 -3.61 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1449.21 -5.57 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.03 -2.12 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7483.50 -35.58 -0.47%
IDX Transp…1903.48 -13.70 -0.71%
IDX Infrast…..1027.23 -3.55 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1512.67 -29.05 -1.88%
IDX Banking..1167.49 -33.02 -2.75%bangbang
IDX Property….737 -8.50 -1.14%

Indo10Yr….7.2394 +0.0326 +0.45%
ICBI……..335.6762 -0.6426 -0.19%
US10Yr……3.4480 -0.0110 -0.32%
VIX……….26.30 +0.03 +0.11%

USDIndx 109.7640 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx..278.88 -2.12 -0.75%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.24 +1.24 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14954.50 +57.00 +0.38%bangbang
Jisdor..14939.00 +40.00 +0.16%bangbang

Euro……..1.0016 +0.0022 +0.22%

TLKM……..29.20 -0.60 -2.01%
(4362)
EIDO………24.27 -0.48 -1.94%
EEM………37.79 -0.35 -0.92%
Oil…………..85.11 +0.38 +0.45%
Gold ……..1683.50 +11.80 +0.71%
Timah. .21137.00 +327.00 +1.57%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24395.50 +1091.00 +4.68%bangbang
(Closed 16/9)
Silver…….19.38 +0.32 +1.68%
Copper….351.65 +4.96 +1.43%

Nturl Gas…..7.817 -0.475 -5.73%bangbang

Ammonia..4256.67 +66.67 +1.59%bangbang
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.00 -6.50 -1.46%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.00 -10.00 -2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.50 -11.00 -2.53%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.00 -6.20 -1.84%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.30 -13.70 -4.30%bangbang
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..305.55 -12.45 -3.92%bangbang
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3801 -116 -2.96%bangbang
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -0.25 -0.04%
SoybeanOil…65.96 +1.66 +2.58%
Wheat……..859.75 +14.75 +1.75%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/9)

copyrightPhintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at kompak merah semua, IHSG dalem banget dan ada opening gap down, membuka harapan rebound kecil hari ini… Energy dan Banking yang drop paling besar, udahan dulu emang keliatannya dari sisi sektornya.

Komoditas hampir semua naik kecuali natural gas sama coal dan  cpo, metal2 naik bisa berarti basic materials naik. Kita check chart sektornya later ya.

Keliatannya sesuai prediksi, sebelum santa claus rally akan drop dulu, bikin wave 3. Cocok nanti sama jadwal window dressing akhir tahun sekalian wave 3.

IHSG – stoch macd bilang sell, bandar dan foreign buang, MFI SW, ada banyak gap dibawah, LR bisa kemana aja, PSAR sell. Jelek banget ini…

IHSG kena regular bearish divergence MACD line dan MACD histogram, confirmed by MA10. So technically ngeri ini… Dan kemaren hype nya new ATH cuma segitu aja. Prepare buat terjunan wave 2. Kita liat sektor mana yang bakal jadi ganjel index

Bersih bersih dulu, mulai belanja lagi amannya setelah gap 6911 udah ketutup, kalo gap 6740 udah ketutup berani buy sambil merem, hehehe…

FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW

(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)

INDONESIA

• LARGE CAP

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid

• MID CAP

Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large

• SMALL CAP

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
*
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)

Highlight di:

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid

-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Harusnya efek rebalancing akan bikin naik saham-saham ini karena akan diborong para Manager Investasi.

Cuma Property yang firm, tanda tanda perlawanan ada di basic materials, transportation, sama consumer cyclicals. Infra ada dikit tapi ok lah kita liat detailnya