Agt 07th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq tumble for four straight days, notch worst weeks since March

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slumped Friday for a fourth straight session, and notched their worst weeks since March, as traders seemed to book profits following the latest corporate earnings releases and U.S. jobs data.

Dow……35065 -150.3 -0.43%
Nasdaq13909 -50.5 -0.36%
S&P 500.4478 -23.9 -0.83%

FTSE…..7564 +35.2 +0.47%
Dax……15952 +58.5 +0.37%
CAC……7315 +54.6 +0.75%

Nikkei…32193 +33.5 +0.10%
HSI…….19539 +118.6 +0.61%
Shanghai.3288 +7.6 +0.23%

IDX…..6852.84 -45.24 -0.66%
LQ45….958.97 -8.06 -0.83%
IDX30…498.29 -4.43 -0.88%

IDXEnergy…1921.42 +8.72 +0.46%
IDX BscMat.1100.89 -4.36 -0.39%
IDX Indstrl…1208.13 +4.82 +0.40%
IDXNONCYC.747.34 -0.93 -0.12%
IDX Hlthcare1502.23 -15.19 -1.00%
IDXCYCLIC….914.34 +2.73 +0.30%
IDX Techno.4567.96 -88.77 -1.91%
IDX Transp..1880.11 +9.06 +0.48%
IDX Infrast… .846.81 -0.33 -0.04%
IDX Finance.1420.8 -9.13 -0.64%
IDX Banking.1208.36 -10.11 -0.83%
IDX Property..763 +7.40 +0.98%

Indo10Yr.6.3830+0.0146 +0.24%
ICBI….368.8396 -0.2931 -0.08%
US2Yr.4.7680 -0.023 -0.47%
US5Yr 4.1390 -0.026 -0.63%
US10Yr4.0420 -0.020 -0.50%
US30Yr.4.2030 -0.012 -0.29%
VIX…….17.10 +1.18 +7.41%‼️

USDIndx 102.0170 -0.53 -0.51%
Como Indx…279.46 +0.98 +0.35%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….145.85 -0.61 -0.41%

IndoCDS.78.72 -1.96 -2.43%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/07)

IDR…..15170.50‼️ -16.00 -0.11%
Jisdor.15198.00 ‼️-30.00 -0.20%

Euro……1.1006 +0.0100 +0.52%

TLKM…24.06 -0.15 -0.62%
(3657)
EIDO….23.07 -0.14 -0.60%
EEM…..40.54 -0.05 -0.12%

Oil…..82.82 +1.27 +1.56%
Gold…1976.10 +7.30 +0.37%
Timah..27700.00 -323.00 -1.15%
(Closed 04/08)
Nickel..21328.50 -278.50 -1.29%
(Closed 26/07)
Silver…. 23.72 +0.02 +0.08%
Copper.386.75 -3.20 -0.82%

Iron Ore 62% 105.18 +0.92 +0.88%
(04/08)
Nturl Gas.2.5790 +0.0140 +0.55%
Ammonia China..3483.33 -50.00 -1.42%
(Domestic Price)(26/07)

Coal price..137.00 +0.15 +0.11%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.50 -1.00 -0.71%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 unch +0%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.00 -0.55 -0.37%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price108.25 -0.25 +0.23%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.50 -1.45 -1.31%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.70 -1.20 -1.06%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.60 -1.20 -1.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3865 +41 +1.07%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………497.25 +3.75 +0.76%
SoybeanOil 61.52 +1.48 +2.46%
Wheat……633.00 +6.00 .+0.96%

Wood pulp..4520.00 unch +0%
(Closed 25/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at merah, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IDX yang sebelumnya ijo sendirian. lumayan dalem, bisa diharapkan rebound tipis tudei

USD index merah, gold silver langsung ijo, iron ore juga ijo, timah nikel copper tapi merah. oil gas coal ijo CPO ijo. menarik ini buat saham2 basic materials dan energy

IHSG – technical indicators masih jelek, masih FNS juga, tapi dari itungan fibonacci udah cukup koreksinya, dan biasanya kalo run pendek koreksinya ga ABC correction. Bisa diharapkan sideways dulu tapi ga lanjut ke bawah, semoga malah pelan2 langsung naik. Tapi tetep, namanya technical masih jelek, hati2 pegang saham, yang ragu2 jual dulu, pegang cash, tunggu momentum lagi

Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI BBTN BUKA EMTK SMGR TBIG AVIA BELI BSDE ELSA JSMR LPPF MIKA MMIX MTMH

Yang big accum BBNI BSDE ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI AVIA RDTX

Alligator buy signal: ASII PTRO

Selamat pagi 🌻,
4 Agustus 23

Dow.. 35.215.89 -66.63 -0.19%
Nasdaq.. 13.959.72 -13.73 -0.10%
S&P 500.. 4.501,89 -11.5 -0.25%

Brent Oil.. 85.25 +2.05 +2.46%
Crude Oil WTI.. 81.77 +0.21 +0.26%
Gold.. 1970.30 +1.50 +0.08%
Nickel.. 21.737.00 +177.00 +0.82%
Silver.. 23.715 +0.018 +0.08%
Copper.. 3.9017 +0.0052 +0.13%
Nturl Gas.. 2.562 +0.008 +0.31%

Coal price..145.00 +1.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..141.5 +3.35
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.. 136.85 +3.35
(Aug/Newcastle)

Corn.. 494.75 -5.25% -1.05%
SoybeanOil.. 1.325.25 +4.25 +0.32%
Wheat.. 6.28,25 -10.75 -1.68%

RK/ CGS-CIMB Bdg
Tiktok: rienan777

Source: Investing, Barchart.

US merah, tapi semua commodity naik, bagus buat basic materials sama energy

IHSG – Udah 2 hari US merah tapi IHSG jalan, padahal MACD sell, tapi memang dari fibonacci retracement udah kena level koreksi wajar. Ga bisa cuma pake satu ilmu aja pendekatannya sih… BD acc, FNB, semoga lanjut

Masih Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ICBP KLBF SIDO ADMR BBKP JPFA RAJA SMRA. Big Accum KLBF ADMR JPFA

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA SMGR MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: ERAA

AMRT Skip

ESSA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, CNH failed, BD dah mulai akum, FF masih galaw. Belum ok kayanya

ICBP – stoch buy macd downrev, MFI down, w% up, BD FF acc, belum ada spike baru, spike lama target done, udah run wave 3 panjang, belum masih 1.618 tapi khawatir mau wave 4. WNS dulu deh

KLBF – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD acc FF dist, but inside, itungan ABC correction level done, mungkin aja udah bisa dianggap beres dan mau rebound, tapi amannya tunggu MACD sambil pantau FF

Spike terakhir spike jual, belum ada lagi. WNS, tunggu MACD

SIDO – masih belum beres turunnya, emang sih stoch buy dan BD FF rev acc, tapi masih terakhir spike jual. Abis drop jauh sabar tunggu firm reversal, tunggu bikin higher low

ADMR – stoch buy, macd rev up almost buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF rev acc, udah bikin higher low, kayanya ada freq spike juga, kita check dulu

Pas di bawah 3 kali spike terus jalan, spike jual kecil, lanjut spike beli walau ga terlalu besar. OK sih ini, bisa spec buy, full load tunggu MACD

JPFA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF acc, agak mencurigakan sih, akum terus walau turun, tapi apakah udah selesai dibawa turunnya. Technically belum.

Belum dulu sih, terakhir spike jual, lagipula udah pegang CPIN, skip dulu

SMGR – rsi reg bear div, memang sih stoch buy, BD FF rev acc, w% uptrend, kemaren candle ijo vol gede, tapi udah run lumayan panjang dan udah deket sama fibo 23, resiko kejedot terus dibanting

Ada spike tinggi 2 hari lalu sebelum diangkat 5.8%. Ga berani ah, curiga itu spike balikin barang

MYOR – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tapi BD FF dist terus belum beres, hari ini kalo closing di atas breakout resistance, akhir dari wave 4? Munking aja sih, WNS dulu tunggu rev acc

ERAA – sejak breakout technical masih ok, tapi baru kena trailing stop, minggir dulu..

July 07th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points lower as hot jobs data raises fears of Fed rate hikes

Stocks slid on Thursday after better-than-expected jobs data increased investors’ anxiety around the state of the economy and path of interest rates.

Dow……33922  -366.4   -1.07%
Nasdaq13679  -112.6   -0.82%
S&P 500.4412  -35.2     -0.79%

*FTSE…..7281   -161.6     -2.17%*
*Dax……15529  -409.04   -2.57%*
*CAC……7082   -228.5      -3.13%*

Nikkei…32773 -565.7     -1.70%
*HSI…….18533 -577.3     -3.02%”‼️*
Shanghai.3206 -17.4      -0.54%

IDX…..6757.33  +38.35  +0.57%
LQ45….956.40  +2.95    +0.31%
IDX30…497.11  +1.61    +0.32%

IDXEnergy…1836.94  +35.66 +1.98%
IDX BscMat.1020.99  +9.66   +0.96%
IDX Indstrl…1192.38  +11.71 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.754.59  +0.19   +0.03%
IDX Hlthcare1480.51 -2.80    -0.19%
*IDXCYCLIC….912.79  +19.42 +2.17%*
IDX Techno.4774.82  +26.04 +0.55%
IDX Transp..1948.89  +5.13.  +0.26%
IDX Infrast… .863.76  +0.59   +0.07%
IDX Finance.1422.70 +0.48   +0.03%
IDX Banking.1189.27  -0.74   -0.06%
IDX Property..736       +5.30   +0.73%

*Indo10Yr.6.3021 +0.0112 +0.18%*
*ICBI….368.3600 -0.2405 -0.07%*
*US2Yr.4.9890*  +0.042   +0.85%
*US5Yr 4.3500  +0.101   +2.35%*
*US10Yr4.0330 +0.094   +2.39%*
*US30Yr.3.9960* +0.050  +1.27%
*VIX…….15.44   +1.26    +8.89%‼️*

*USDIndx103.1660* -0.2070  -0.20%
Como Indx…261.92   -0.89      -0.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……140.76    -0.74      -0.52%

*IndoCDS.85.19👍  -0.97   -1.13%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(05/07)*
*IDR…..15056.50‼️+38.50 +0.26%*
*Jisdor.15062.00‼️+49.00 +0.33%*

*Euro……1.0890* +0.0036  +0.33%

TLKM…26.26   -0.15    -0.57%
*(3955)*
EIDO….22.82   -0.27    -1.17%
*EEM…38.95   -0.81    -2.04%*

Oil…….71.82       -0.06    -0.08%
Gold…1916.30   -7.40    -0.38%
Timah..27633.00  +313.00   +1.15%
*(Closed 05/07)*
Nickel..21198.50   -24.00      -0.11%
(Closed 06/07)
Silver….. 22.91   -0.34     -1.46%
Copper..374.20  -1.90     -0.51%

*Iron Ore 62%  111.84 +0.97  +0.87%*
(05/07)
Nturl Gas.2.636  -0.019  -0.72%

*Coal price.139.65  -5.15  -3.56%‼️*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.143.75  -7.25   -5.04%‼️*
(Agt/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.40  -7.20   -4.66%‼️*
(Sept/Newcastle)
*Coal price.149.45 -6.45   -4.14%‼️*
(Oct/Newcastle)

*Coal price117.25   -6.35  -5.14%‼️*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.90  -7.25  -5.94%‼️*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.90 -6.20  -5.12%‼️*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.115.30 -5.80 -4.79%‼️*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3911  +49  +1.27%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn….506.50       +13.00  +2.53%*
*SoybeanOil 59.24 -2.16     -3.52%‼️*
*Wheat…668.00     -16.25   -2.41%*

*Wood pulp..4290.00* +40  +0.94%
(Closed 06/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Kemaren IHSG berhasil melawan gravitasi, ijo sendiri, sekarang kayanya ga akan kuat sih… Rata2 pada dalem merahnya

Hampir semua komoditas turun,kecuali Timah, Iron Ore dan CPO. Trailing stop guys, hari hari bantingan hari ini

IHSG – bikin minor IHNS, chart pattern besarnya bikin triple bottom lanjut higher low, sudah harusnya tinggal mantul. Stoch buy MACD up,MFI up w% uptrend, FNB terus, tinggal rally nya

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BRPT BUKA ESSA GOTO INCO MEDC SMGR TBIG TINS AGII BABP BFIN DOID ENRG LPPF LTLS SGRO

Yang sambil big accum dan ada faktor lain: BRPT ESSA SMGR

MACD Buy Signal: EXCL AGII BABP BMTR ENRG AMFG

Allgator Buy Signal: BBNI BMTR

Supertrend Buy Signal: SMGR ITMG AGII

June 21st, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for a second straight day, Dow sheds 200 points as market rally cools

Stocks fell Tuesday, the first trading day of the week, as a rally that drove the market to levels not seen in more than a year took a breather.

Dow……34054 -245.3 -0.72%
Nasdaq13667 -22.3 -0.16%
S&P 500.4339 -20.9 -0.47%

FTSE…..7569 -19.2 -0.25%
Dax……16111 -89.9 -0.55%
CAC……7294 -19.9 -0.27%

Nikkei…..33389 +18.5 +0.06%
HSI………19608 -305.8 -1.54%
Shanghai.3240 -15.4 -0.47%

IDX…..6660.46 -25.60 -0.38%
LQ45….948.81 -1.21 -0.13%
IDX30…493.61 -0.70 -0.14%

IDXEnergy…1797.12 +2.62 +0.15%
IDX BscMat..990.60 -16.50. -1.64%
IDX Indstrl…1168.07 -7.27 -0.62%
IDXNONCYC.738.81 -7.18 -0.96%
IDX Hlthcare1501.75 +2.72 +0.18%
IDXCYCLIC…868.69 -13.39 -1.52%
IDX Techno.4914.43 -64.66 -1.30%
IDX Transp..1911.26 -26.66 -1.38%
IDX Infrast..ẞz. .848.39 -4.66 -0.55%
IDX Finance.1389.73 -2.54 -0.19%
IDX Banking.1171.55 +0.46 +0.04 %
IDX Property..741 +7.40 +1.01%

Indo10Yr.6.383 +0.0308 +0.48%
ICBI..365.9502 -0.3621 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.6900 -0.070 -1.47%
US5Yr 3.9440 -0.042 -1.05%
US10Yr3.7300-0.100 -2.63%
US30Yr.3.8100-0.110 -2.81%
VIX……13.88👍 -0.31 -2.18%

USDIndx102.5400 +0.0180 +0.02%
Como Indx….267.41 -3.49 -1.29%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……146.06 -2.96 -1.99%

IndoCDS.83.21 +0.02 +0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/06)

IDR…..15004.50‼+10.50 +0.07%
Jisdor.15040.00‼ +46.00 +0.31%

Euro……1.0919 -0.0007 -0.06%

TLKM…26.73 +0.02 +0.07%
(4020)
EIDO….22.97 -0.24 -1.03%
EEM…..40.08 -0.80 -1.96%

Oil………70.50 -0.79 -1.11%
Gold…1947.70 -16.40 -0.83%
Timah..26900.00 -51.00 -0.19%
(Closed 18/06)
Nickel..21976.00 -533.00 -2.36%
(Closed 20/06)
Silver….. 23.45 -0.81 -3.33%
Copper..389.35 +1.90 +0.49%

Iron Ore 62% 113.02 +0.09 +0.08%
(16/06)
Nturl Gas.2.485 -0.177 -6.65%‼

Coal price.126.55 -1.80 -1.40%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.55 +1.75 +1.31%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.55 +1.35 +1.00%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.45 +0.90 +0.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price117.20 +3.15 +2.76%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 +4.85 +4.29%‼
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.75 +4.30 +3.86%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.95 +4.30 +3.89%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3727 -31 -0.82%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……597.50 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 57.66 -0.21 -0.36%
Wheat…708.75 +7.25 +1.03%

Wood pulp..4280.00 -20 -0.47%
(Closed 20/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren index merah semua kecuali nikkei. USD index naik sedikit tapi semua komoditas turun lagi kecuali copper sama iron ore. Masih lesu…

IHSG – stoch sell lagi,MACD rev down, MFI sw, w% down, BD masih acc nahan biar ga drop jauh, masih FNS terus, breakdown MA 10 dan 20, rada mengkhawatirkan, yang signal ngebalik exit dulu di DCB ya, harusnya ada DCB kalo digebukin begini

Akhirnya Basic Materials sama Energy ikut loyo, hold cash dulu guys

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS MEDC

BMTR dibanting tapi diakum, menarik dicermati

MACD Buy Signal: BBTN MPMX. Group SRTG kayanya mulai gerak goreng sih, sebelumnya MDKA, kemaren AGII, sekarang MPMX

Alligator Buy Signal: SMGR TINS AGRO ENRG MTMH TKIM

Supertrend Buy Signal: AKRA