DJI merah Nasdaq ijo tipis, europe merah, asia varied jepang korea singapore indonesia merah, china hongkong ijo. US Treasury Bond Yield up, kemungkinan besar IHSG merah lagi hari ini

USD index up, metal2 juga up, oil down, gas down, coal flat, CPO up, masih ok ini ANTM INCO MDKA TINS AALI LSIP, oil oil semoga masih lanjut, kemaren uda koreksi dikit, tapi trailing stop on, lagi bahaya index

IHSG – technically udah bahaya, otw wave 4. Nanti kita gambar kemungkinan target level nya. Itu udah mulai FNS, beware longsor

Technology, Healthcare, Transportation, COnsumer non-cyclicals, Basic Materials, Industrials Energy. Yang bisa diharapkan jadi ganjel index yang basic materials, industrials sama energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: BUKA EXCL SMGR DSNG PTPP PTRO AMFG, big accum EXCL

MACD Buy Signal: ESSA BMTR HMSP SMDR, big accum ESSA

August 08th, 2024

Stocks close lower on Wednesday as market’s comeback attempt fizzles out

Stocks closed lower on Wednesday as the market’s attempt to fully recover from Monday’s sell-off failed.

Dow…….38763 -234.2 -0.60%
Nasdaq. 16195 -171.1 -1.05%
S&P 500 5193 -40.5 -0.77%

FTSE..8166.9 +140.2 +1.75%
Dax……17615 +260.8 +1.50%
CAC……7266 +135.97 +1.91%

Nikkei..35090 +414.2 +1.19%
HSI…….16878 +230.5 +1.38%
Shanghai.2870 +2.6 +0.08%

IDX….7212.13 +82.92 +1.16%
LQ45…903.79 +4.61 +0.51%
IDX30.451.88 +4.88 +1.09%

IDXEnergy.2421.41 +31.88 +1.33%
IDX BscMat1322.98 +16.65 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1015.19 +18.11 +1.82%
IDXNONCYC.700.65 +6.99 +1.01%
IDX Hlthcare1444.70 +4.97 +0.35%
IDXCYCLIC…758.22 +6.08 +0.81%
IDXTechno.3199.07 +19.42 +0.61%
IDX Transp 1356.76 +21.81 +1.63%
IDX Infrast 1546.26 +13.47 +0.88%
IDX Finance1394.55 +6.81 +0.49%
IDX Banking1239.80 +7.76 +0.63%
IDX Property…..645 +8.60 +1.36%

Indo10Yr.6.8743 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI…386.3727 +0.0880 +0.02%
US2Yr.3.983 -0.009 -0.23%
US5Yr 3.776 +0.033 +0.88%
US10Yr3.926 +0.042 +1.08%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.062 +1.48%
VIX..27.85 +0.14 +0.51%

USDIndx 103.1970❗️+0.228 +0.22%
Como Indx….273.70 +3.55 +1.31%
BCOMIN…..135.90 -1.22 -0.89%

IndoCDS..80.12❗️ -2.06 -2.51%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16035.00❗️ -129.50 -0.80%
Jisdor.16100.00❗️ -83.00 -0.51%

Euro…1.0926 -0.0004 -0.04%

TLKM…17.36 -0.02 -0.12%
( 2795)
EIDO.20.05 +0.18 +0.91%
EEM….40.90 +0.28 +0.69%

Oil………..75.45 +2.58 +3.54%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….78.33 +1.85 +2.42%
(Brent)
Gold…..2422.60 -7.40 -0.31%
(Comex)
Gold……2384.07 -38.53 -1.59%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29991.00 +340.00 +1.15%
(Closed 07/08)
Nickel..16233.00 -182.00 -1.11%
(Closed 07/08)
Silver….26.68 -0.33 -1.22%
Copper.393.25 -6.80 -1.70%

Iron Ore 62% 102.86 -1.32 -1.27%
(06/08)
Nturl Gas 2.089 +0.073 +3.62%
Ammonia China 2480.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(06/08)

Coal price.145.00 -0.50 -0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.90 +0.40 +0.27%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 148.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.149.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.10 +0.30 +0.25%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.00 +0.30 +0.25%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.60 +0.40 +0.33%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.25 +0.20 +0.16%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3696 -11 -0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..400.75 -4.50 -1.11%
SoybeanOil 40.98 +0.92 +2.30%
Wheat…..538.25 -5.00 -0.92%

Wood pulp..5110 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 07/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, kemaren asia europe ijo tebel, US bond yield up, most likely IDX dan pasar asia merah lagi hari ini. Per sekarang Nikkei udah minus 1.8%. So IHSG kemungkinan besar juga sama merah

USD index up lagi, metal2 down kecuali tin, Oil up, gas up, coal tipis2, CPO merah tipis, masih belum ada yang terlalu menarik, nanti yang oil kita liat trend nya

Oil Price – mulai terlihat bottoming sih, tapi belum firm

IHSG – bagusnya FNB, tapi technical masih jelek. Mungkin aja udahan tapi belum firm tegambar di chart kecuali dari level fibonacci target ABC correction. Dengan US market merah dan Nikkei udah terlihat merah duluan, ya masih sesuai technical mau kebawah lagi dulu

Masih belum, financials melemah lagi, sisa healthcare tapi ga berani lah

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN TLKM ABMM ADMR EMTK JPFA SMDR, big accum: CPIN JPFA SMDR

MACD Buy Signal: PTMP TPIA, TPIA big accum

CPIN – BD FF accum, stoch buy, macd bottoming, posisi di modus vol profile, retracement pattern pas banget ini abis koreksi wave B ke fibo 23, harusnya emang naik lagi ke fibo 61.

Spike tinggi tapi terus drop, jadi ga bisa dibilang valid spike beli

Wah biggest holder nya buang… Nanti dulu deh, sekalian tunggu harga dibawah average bandar

JPFA- ini malah lebih ga berani, abis wave 5 belum abc correction… Walau BD FF lagi terlihat akum

SMDR – ini menarik, abis drop jauh mantul hampir sampe fibo 61 drop lagi ke fibo 23, mungkin akan lanjut beresin retracement pattern nya. soch bolak balik, MACD bottoming, MFI juga, w% sw, PBV PER nya ok, kita tunggu MACD buy signal

PTMP – buat perusahaan relatif baru IPO, PER nya 23 ga berani masuk lah…

TPIA – PBV 20 PER minus karena LK rugi, skip lah

TLKM – BD FF acc tipis, menari udah drop terus mantul, ini bikin higher low, stoch almost buy, macd still down, index mau merah dulu, sabar tunggu firm mantul

BBRI – BD FF dist, toch buy, macd still down, MFI w%down, IHNS in he making, abis drop ketemu regbull div mantul, retracement pattern jalan, harusnya tinggal nunggu wave C, tapi keliatannya belum saatnya

August 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes down 600 points, Nasdaq enters correction after weak jobs report

Stocks fell sharply on Friday as a much weaker-than-anticipated jobs report for July ignited worries that the economy could be falling into a recession.

Dow…….39737 -610.7 -1.51%
Nasdaq16776 -417.98 -2.43%
S&P 500.5347 -100.6 -1.84%

FTSE…..8175 -108.7 -1.31%
Dax……17661 -421.8 -2.33%
CAC……7252 -118.7 -1.61%

Nikkei..35910 -2216.7 -5.81%‼️
HSI…..16946 -359.5 -2.08%
Shanghai.2905 -27.1 -0.92%

IDX….7308.12 -17.86 -0.24%
LQ45…919.37 -6.14 -0.66%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2479.49 +19.86 +0.81%
IDX BscMat1360.74 -10.48 -0.76%
IDX Indstrl.1036.58 +0.01 +0.00%
IDXNONCYC.701.00 -4.02 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1441.80 -6.55 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…764.18 +4.37 +0.57%
IDXTechno.3272.03 -12.19 -0.37%
IDX Transp 1377.07 -14.51 -1.04%
IDX Infrast 1557.37 -11.09 -0.71%
IDX Finance1412.80 -4.35 -0.31%
IDX Banking1259.19 -4.13 -0.33%
IDX Property…..652 +3.10 +0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.9083❗️ -0.0092 -0.13%
ICBI…385.6435❗️ +0.1951 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.878👍 -0.282 -6.78%‼️
US5Yr 3.615👍 -0.229 -5.96%‼️
US10Yr3.792👍 -0.178 -4.48%‼️
US30Yr.4.109 -0.171 -3.99%‼️
VIX..23.39‼️ +4.80 +25.82%‼️

USDIndx 103.2080👍 -1.213 -1.16%
Como Indx….270.13 -3.46 -1.26%
BCOMIN…..138.20 -0.90 -0.66%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16200.00❗️ -37.00 -0.23%
Jisdor.16234.00❗️ -9.00 -0.06%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.55 -0.04 -0.20%*
( 2849)
EIDO….20.30 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM……41.60 -0.61 -1.44%

Oil………..76.79 -3.27 -4.25%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.81 -2.71 -3.41%
(Brent)
Gold…..2469.80 -19.40 -0.78%
(Comex)
Gold……2443.24 -4.76 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30188.00 +234.00 +0.98%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16365.50 +130.50 +0.80%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.39 -0.22 -0.77%
Copper.410.30 +3.60 +0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.144.10 +1.55 +1.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 +1.95 +1.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.90 +1.65 +1.14%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 +1.75 +1.19%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.35 +1.40 +1.17%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.20 +1.40 +1.16%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.75 +1.30 +1.08%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.55 +1.29%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3858 +35 +0.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..403.25 +4.75 +1.19%
SoybeanOil 40.81 -0.64 -1.54%
Wheat…..539.00 +7.009 +1.32%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 04/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index Regional merah semua pas closing jum’at, IHSG malah paling moderate. US bond yield drop, kalo hanya liat itu bisa ijo IHSG hari ini, tapi lebih besar kemungkinan merahnya sih, beresin wave 2, sama double top kemaren

USD index drop tapi metal2 jg drop kecuali iron ore, oil drop jauh, gas juga, coal yang bertahan ijo sama CPO. Waktunya PTBA AALI LSIP gerak

IHSG – stochastic nya seolah olah mau lanjut jalan, tapi MACD nya masih says down, price action juga malah hampir triple top, BD lagi sw, FF mulai net buy tapi curiga rebalancing LQ45 dan Kompas100 yang memicunya. Masih very selective buying

Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: MTEL PGAS PTBA ADMR BMTR BSDE ENRG ERAA PTPP KBLI SMDR, big accum PGAS PTBA ADMR BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: OTMG SIDO ADMR BSDE NISP TPIA, big accum ITMG ADMR BSDE

July 16th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises 200 points to close at a record after Trump survives assassination attempt

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
advanced on Monday as investors bet the unsuccessful assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump will lead to big gains for the Republican presidential candidate and the GOP at the polls in November.

Friendlier fiscal policies ahead were seen as further spurring a broadening out of the bull market that started to take shape last week. Small-cap shares and banks climbed on Monday.

Dow……40212 +210.8 +0.53%
Nasdaq18473 +74.1 +0.40%
S&P 500.5631 +15.9 +0.28%

FTSE…..8183 -69.96 -0.85%
Dax……18591 -157.3 -0.84%
CAC……7633 -91.6 -1.19%

Nikkei..41191 closed +0%
HSI……18015 -277.4 -1.52%
Shanghai.2974 +2.7 +0.09%,

IDX….7278.86 -46.72 -0.66%
LQ45..912.58 -7.80 -0.85%
IDX30.454.63 -3.77 -0.82%

IDXEnergy..2415.15 +0.67 +0.03%
IDX BscMat1378.96 -7.39 -0.53%
IDX Indstrl.1018.19 -0.65 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC.715.02 +1.14 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1426.43 -6.28 -0.44%
IDXCYCLIC…740.98 +2.22 +0.30%
IDXTechno3293.20 +17.36 +0.53%
IDX Transp 1349.85 +11.97 +0.89%
IDX Infrast 1595.54 -16.88 -1.05%
IDX Finance1395.74 -5.03 -0.36%
IDX Banking1234.43 -10.06 -0.81%
IDX Property…..643 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr.7.0313 +0.0118 +0.17%
ICBI…382.0478 -0.3250 -0.08%
US2Yr.4.460 +0.002 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.135 +0.028 +0.68%
US10Yr4.225 -0.022 -0.52%
US30Yr.4.459 +0.059 +1.34%
VIX..13.12 +0.66 +5.30%‼️

USDIndx 104.1890👍 -0.211 -0.20%
Como Indx….288.39 -2.05 -0.71%
BCOMIN…… 150.67 -1.41 -0.93%

IndoCDS..71.72 -0.08 -0.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/07)

IDR…..16170.00❗️+33.50 +0.21%
Jisdor.16174.00❗️+20.00 +0.11%

Euro…1.0895 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…19.39 -0.37 -1.85%
( 3136)
EIDO….20.16 -0.36 -1.73%
EEM…..44.04 -0.46 -1.02%

Oil…….81.88 -1.07 -1.28%
Gold…..2426.20 +8.80 +0.33%
Timah..33246.00 -449.00 -1.33%
(Closed 15/07)
Nickel..16923.00 -161.50 -0.95%
(Closed 15/07)
Silver….31.63 -0.74 -2.33%
Copper.451.00 -1.15 0.25%

Iron Ore 62% 109.58 +0.84 +0.77%
(12/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.162 -0.151 -6.53%‼️
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(12/07)

Coal price.134.95 +1.10 +0.82%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.75 +2.40 +1.77%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.05 +2.30 +1.68%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.55 +2.00 +1.45%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.15 +1.85 +1.77%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.15 +4.25 +4.05%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.90 +3.69%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.50 +3.30%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3896 -39 -0.99%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..404.25 -10.50 -2.53%
SoybeanOil 44.91 -0.68 -1.49%
Wheat…532.50 -18.25 -3.31%‼️

Wood pulp..5220 unch +0%
(Closed 15/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

dikira akan merah karena percobaan pembunuhan trump, US malah ijo, europe merah, asia mostly merah, US bond yield naik padahal

USD index down, tapi metal2 banyak down, cuma gold sama iron ore up. Oil Gas down, coal up high, CPO down. Harusnya ANTM ijo hari ini, yang lain keliatannya lanjut merah ikut index

IHSG – FNS, awal koreksi ini, harusnya ga akan terlalu pendek karena kemaren rally nya lumayan jauh. Sementara belum bisa short sell sabar aja tunggu koreksi selesai

Liat ini seolah olah financials mau nyusul, yang efeknya akan ngangkar index, tapi hampir pasti ini jadwal minggu ini sih merah dulu, koreksi sehat. Biasanya consumer yang jadi ganjel index biar ga nyungsep2 banget

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN BRMS IMAS SMDR. Big accum BBTN BRMS.

MACD Buy Signal: SSIA, big accum juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal + big accum: BMRS ENRG