July 22nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow tumbles more than 370 points, S&P 500 posts worst week since April as investors dump big tech

Stocks retreated Friday, as Wall Street wrapped up the week defined by a rotation out of this year’s megacap winners in favor of smaller names.

Dow……40288 -377.5 -0.93%
Nasdaq17727 -144.3 -0.81%
S&P 500.5505 -39.6 -0.71%

FTSE…..8156 -49.2 -0.60%
Dax……18172 -182.8 -1.00%
CAC……7535 -52.03 -0.69%

Nikkei..40064 -62.6 -0.25%
HSI……17418 -360.7 -2.03%
Shanghai.2982 +5.2 +0.17%

IDX….7294.50 -26.57 -0.36%
LQ45..919.53 -3.25 -0.35%
IDX30.459.72 -1.72 -0.37%

IDXEnergy..2455.72 -1.99 -0.08%
IDX BscMat1364.42 -18.94 -1.37%
IDX Indstrl.1018.75 -4.12 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.717.07 -1.74 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1429.56 +10.22 +0.72%
IDXCYCLIC…748.73 -1.20 -0.16%
IDXTechno3265.59 -30.53 -0.93%
IDX Transp 1356.94 -8.15 -0.60%
IDX Infrast 1593.69 -7.74 -0.48%
IDX Finance1400.34 -4.51 -0.32%
IDX Banking1250.41 -2.24 -0.18%
IDX Property…..639 -0.10 -0.60%

Indo10Yr.6.9880👍 -0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI…382.8649 +0.1226 +0.03%
US2Yr.4.517 +0.046 +1.02%
US5Yr 4.170 +0.053 +1.29%
US10Yr4.243 +0.046 +1.10%
US30Yr.4.451 +0.030 +0.68%
VIX..16.52 +0.59 +3.70%‼️

USDIndx 104.3960 +0.223 +0.21%
Como Indx….280.36 -5.23 -1.83%
BCOMIN…… 142.98 -1.68 -1.16%

IndoCDS..74.19 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/07)

IDR…..16191.00 +36.00 +0.22%
Jisdor.16199.00 +39.00 +0.24%

Euro…1.0882 -0.0016 -0.15%

TLKM…19.83 +0.03 +2.46%
( 3212)
EIDO…..20.20 -0.07 -0.35%
EEM…..42.74 -0.39 -0.89%

Oil…….80.13 -2.23 -2.71%
Gold…..2446.60 +0.20 +0.01%
Timah..31050.00 -554.00 -1.75%
(Closed 19/07)
Nickel..16274.00 -195.00 -1.18%
(Closed 19/07)
Silver….29.30 -0.67 -2.24%
Copper.423.65 -2.35. -0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 108.45 -0.28 -0.26%
(19/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.124 +0.023 +1.09%
Ammonia China 2800.00 +16.67 +0.60%
(Domestic Price)(19/07)

Coal price.135.10 +0.10 +0.07%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.00 -0.10 -0.07%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.50 -0.10 -0.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.60 -0.10 -0.07%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.20 +0.55 +0.53%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..108.65 +0.75 +0.70%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.90 +1.10 +1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.85 +1.10 +1.01%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3960 +22 +0.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..404.75 -0.25 -0.06%
SoybeanOil 43.97 -0.36 -0.81%
Wheat…..542.75 +7.50 +1.40%

Wood pulp..5196 unch +0%
(Closed 21/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at merah semua, US bond yield juga naik, ini lanjut merah lagi keliatannya hari ini, biar beres dulu koreksi wave 2 lah, biar enak re-entry nya nanti dibawah

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali gold, semoga ANTM masih kebawa sentimen emas, tapi kalopun harus turun dulu ya gpp kita pasang trailing stop. oil down gas up coal down, kemaren2 ADRO dkk udah naik tinggi padahal coal price nya biasa biasa aja, biar ikut koreksi dulu lah sama index, kita masuk lagi pas firm beres bikin higher low

IHSG – MACD almost sell, stoch udah sell duluan, terakhir memang FNB tipis tapi vol transaksi juga turun, sabar tunggu beres koreksi

Walau banyak yang terlihat jalan tapi jangan terjebak pas index turun, yang menarik dicermati Healtcare yang baru mulai nongol dan consumer yang arahnya bagus dan memang sering jadi ganjel pas index merah

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak: ACES ADRO ARTO INDF INKP SIDO UNTR BFIN ENRG INDY LPPF MAPA MPMX SMSM. Big accum ADRO UNTR LPPF SMSM

MACD Buy Signal: INCO

June 26th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow……39122  -299.1    -0.76%
Nasdaq17718 +220.8   +1.26%
S&P 500.5469 +21.4     +0.39%

FTSE…..8248   -33.8       -0.41%
Dax……18178  -147.96   -0.81%
CAC……7662   -44.6        -0.58%

Nikkei..39173   +368.5   +0.95%
HSI…..18073     +45.2     +0.25%
Shanghai.2950 -13.1       -0.44%

IDX….6882.70 -6.46     -0.09%
LQ45..861.67  -2.73      -0.32%
IDX30.429.73  -1.85      -0.43%

IDXEnergy..2265.60   -1.47    -0.06%
IDX BscMat1310.02  +0.32   +0.02%
IDX Indstrl.  925.48   +6.26.   +0.68%
IDXNONCYC.684.33  -4.53     -0.66%
IDX Hlthcare1425.14+0.56    +0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…706.04  -12.36   -1.72%
IDXTechno3135.90   -23.35   -0.74%
IDX Transp 1237.47  -10.77   -0.86%
IDX Infrast  1516.37  +3.12    +0.21%
IDX Finance1333.77  -3.31     -0.25%
IDX Banking1143.57  -9.35     -0.81%
IDX Property…..592      –               -%

Indo10Yr.7.0880 -0.00146  -0.21%
ICBI…379.3557  +0.3825  +0.10%
US2Yr.4.745  +0.022  +0.47%
US5Yr 4.276  +0.021  +0.49%
US10Yr4.247 +0.016  +0.38%
US30Yr.4.367 +0.010 +0.23%
VIX..12.84👍      -0.49    -3.68%

USDIndx 105.6760‼️+0.203 +0.19%
Como Indx….292.06   -2.72    -0.92%
BCOMIN……..149.86  -0.68    -0.45%

IndoCDS..78.18❗️ +0.49  +0.63%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)

IDR…..16375.00‼️-19.00 -0.12%
Jisdor.16379.00‼️-52.00 -0.32%

Euro….1.0707❗️ -0.0025   -0.23%

TLKM…18.06  +0.24   +1.35%
( 2958)
EIDO….18.72   -0.16     -0.85%
EEM…..42.57       -0.10      -0.23%

Oil…….80.70  -0.99  -1.21%
Gold..2331.00  -14.50  -0.62%*
Timah..32251.00  -495.00 -1.51%
(Closed 25/06)
Nickel..17225.50 -15.00    -0.09%
(Closed 25/06)
Silver….29.20  -0.70   -2.34%
Copper.437.05 -4.75  -1.08%

Iron Ore 62% 106.55 -0.41 -0.38%
(24/06)
Nturl Gas..2.933  -0.083  -2.82%
Ammonia China.2966.67  unch  +0%
(Domestic Price)(20/06)

Coal price.134.10  +1.15  +0.86%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.50  +1.60  +1.21%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.25  +0.65  +0.48%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.00  +0.60  +0.44%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.90  +0.50   +0.46%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price..108.15  +0.45  +0.42%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 111.35   +0.20  +0.18%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 114.25   -0.35   -0.31%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3899  unch   +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..443.85       -8.75    -1.94%
SoybeanOil 42.82 -1.02  -2.33%
Wheat…560.50      -10.50  -1.84%

Wood pulp..5680 unch  +0%
(Closed 25/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Gantian, DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, US bond yield ijo, merah lagi kayanya IHSG hari ini… Semoga tipis tipis doang,atau malah berhasil ijo tipis

USD index up, metal2 down, oil gas down, coal up, yang kemaren diincer mau dibeli, bisa jadi time to buy nya sore ini

IHSG – masih FNS, masih berat buat rally, tapi sudah 3 white soldiers sih, memang US nvidia lagi bawa nasdaq naik, dengan kekhawatiran karena rencana turun fed rate 3 kali dan jadinya cuma 1 jadi belum mulai masuk lagi ke negara lain. Masih optimistic positive outlook ke depan. Anyway, technical sudah ok, sudah bisa lebih aggressive belanja

Masih Infrastructure dan Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA TLKM BMTR DRMA JSMR MTMH SSIA TRON SMDR INCI, Big accum TLKM,ada spike juga

MACD Buy Signal: MEDC SIDO BRMS BTPSMTMH WIIM,bg accum MEDC SIDO BRMS

June 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat near record, posts winning week

The S&P 500 ended flat on Friday, touching a record-high intraday, despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

Dow……38799 -87.2 -0.22%
Nasdaq17133 -39.99 -0.23%
S&P 500.5346 -5.97 -0.11%

FTSE…..8245 -39.97 -0.48%
Dax……18557 -95.4 -0.51%
CAC……8001 -38.3 -0.48%

Nikkei..38684 -19.6 -0.05%
HSI…..18367 -109.9 -0.59%
Shanghai.3051 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX….6897.95 -76.95 -1.10%
LQ45..883.93 -8.18 -0.92%
IDX30.441.02 -2.95 -0.66%

IDXEnergy..2262.65 +0.30 +0.01%
IDX BscMat1347.27 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Indstrl. 943.90 -5.91 -0.62%
IDXNONCYC.698.28 -1.30 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1431.16 +16.96+1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…733.18 -3.85 -0.52%
IDXTechno3276.82 -43.51 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1265.25 +7.58 +0.60%
IDX Infrast 1439.25 -16.33 -1.12%
IDX Finance1351.84 -18.47 -1.35%
IDX Banking1160.38 -11.78 -1.00%
IDX Property…..615 +0.20 +0.33%

Indo10Yr.6.9304 +0.0002 +0.002%
ICBI…380.8664 +0.2382 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.889 +0.165 +3.49%‼️
US5Yr 4.461 +0.163 +3.79%‼️
US10Yr4.433 +0.135 +3.14%‼️
US30Yr.4.553 +0.118 +2.66%
VIX..12.22 -0.36 -2.86%

USDIndx 104.8850❗️+0.7830 +0.75%
Como Indx….289.86 -2.56 -0.88%
BCOMIN….153.03 -5.76 -3.63%‼️

IndoCDS..72.72 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/06)

IDR…..16195.00 -67.50 -0.42%
Jisdor.16218.00 -61.00 -0.37%

Euro….1.0801 -0.0091 -0.84%

TLKM…18.57 -0.17 -0.88%
( 3011)
EIDO….19.77 -0.35 -1.72%
EEM…..42.04 -0.48 -1.12%

Oil…….75.53 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold..2325.00 -69.50 -2.90%‼️
Timah..31452.00 -746.00 -2.32%
(Closed 07/06)
Nickel..18609.50 +10.50 +0.06%
(Closed 07/06)
Silver….29.44 -2.02 -6.42%‼️
Copper.448.35 -18.60 -3.98%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 108.48 -0.02 -0.02%
(07/06)
Nturl Gas..2.937 +0.116 +4.11%‼️
Ammonia China.2966.67 +16.67 +0.57%
(Domestic Price)(06/06)

Coal price.131.45 -2.90 -2.16%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.00 -2.90 -2.13%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 -0.55 -0.40%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.35 +0.95 +0.69%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 -1.85 -1.68%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.60 -0.85 -0.76%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.05 -0.50 -0.44%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.35 +0.30 +0.26%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3976 +15.00 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..448.75 -3.25 -0.72%
SoybeanOil 43.63 -0.72 -1.62%
Wheat…..627.50 -12.00 -1.88%

Wood pulp..5810 unch +0%
(Closed 05/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US merah europe merah asia merah, US bond yield naik tinggi banget, fixed deh, IHSG tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index up, gold silver copper drop, tin iron ore down, nickel up sendiri. Oil down gas up coal down, CPO lanjut ijo, ini bubar semua kecuali buat AALI LSIP, tapi kalo index merah dalem ya susah jalan juga

IHSG – technical jelek semua, cuma Elliot wave yang bilang udah deket beres ABC correction sekalian tutup gap, beware, semua open position pasang stop loss

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, KLBF UNTR ASSA BSDE ELSA GTRA SMRA SMAR AMFG MDKI AALI. Ga ada yang big accum, kita assess sekilas, yang emang bagus bisa jadi bagus diambil nanti sore kalau index merah dalem lagi tutup gap

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO

KLBF – technical relative ok semua, memang stoch nya udah tinggi, MACD udah diatas histogram, tapi retracement pattern says up ke fibo 38.Kalo misalnya hari ini dibanting ke deket level 1535 mungkin bagus buat pasang buy disitu plus 1 tick

Spike udah done

Ah, nggak dulu deh, biggest holdernya udah mulai lepas barang, tunggu koreksi dulu deh

UNTR – technical menarik, stoch buy macd up, MFI up, w% sw, tapi BD FF masih dist, ada gap, ASII nya juga udah terlihat siap jalan, BOW bisa ini harusnya

Spike nya ok

Biggest holder lagi hold, mungkin karena index lagi drop. Tapi ga buang, ok ini, bisa BOW UNTR idealnya level deket 22.200. Saya skip karena hold ASII

ASSA – dari chart nya kaya yang mau hajatan… stoch buy, macd almost buy, tapi MFI down karena vol kecil, bandar aja yang main kali, w% up, BD FF rev acc, reg bull div confirmed by MA 10 and 2 bull candle, harusnya bisa buy

Ada spike belum done

average aman, biggest holder accum, YP aja buang dikit. bisa buy ini, BOW sedikit diatas support 710 ideal

BSDE – Stoch rev buy belum sampe oversold sih, macd sw, MFI down, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, mungkin aja beres sidewaysnya dan mau lanjut, tapi index kaya gini dan liat curve nya sih, ke bawah kayanya

ELSA – belum sih, kemarin udah firm jalan tapi oil price ngebalik, kita tunggu firm naik lagi oil price nya

Tunggu oil price confirm dulu

AALI – belum boleh jalan, balik ke support low kemaren, stoch rev buy, macd up, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF dist, kesempatan ambil di bawah sih ini, tapi memang resiko, yang berani spec buy boleh, tapi break support buang

Spike nya sih cakep

Average aman, biggest holder udah berhenti buang, second nya accum, berani lah… Saya masih hold AALI

SIDO – technical ok, tapi overpriced, ga ada issue besar juga, skip ah

 

 

 

Nasdaq keseret NVIDIA, DJI nya ijo… Europe closing jum’at kebanyakan merah, asia merah dalem, tapi di US market US bind yield merah jadi harapannya IHSG hari ini ijo

USD index up, tapi metal2 juga up malah rada tinggi, oil gas coal juga up, rada anomali ini. CPO aja yang down, sudah pasti balik arah makanya udah cutloss AALI. Semoga ini ANTM ADRO dkk lanjut jalan

IHSG – technically masih waktunya turun, beresin ABC correction. Pas ribut ributan israel iran dll. masih hold cash kecuali selective buying di energy sama basic materials yang firm gerak

Masih energy dan basic materials, infrastructure kalo yang telco malah lagi drop banget, JSMR kali ya yang panen karena lebaran

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI GGRM NISP PTPP LTLS, big accum BBNI GGRM

MACD Buy Signal: LTLS

Stochastic Continuation signal and big accum: SIDO

INCO menarik, vol breakout lagi, udah full load juga sih, masih hold, semoga lanjut kenceng

Alligator Buy Signal: LPPF MTMH