August 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 1,000 points, S&P 500 posts worst day since 2022 in global market sell-off

Stocks fell sharply on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
posting its worst day in nearly two years, as worries over the health of the U.S. economy sparked a global market sell-off.

Dow…….38703 -1033.99 -2.60%‼️
Nasdaq. 16201 -576.1 -3.43%‼️
S&P 500 5186 -160.2 -3.00%‼️

FTSE..8008.2 -166.5 -2.04%
Dax……17339 -322.2 -1.82%
CAC……7149 -102.8 -1.42%

Nikkei..31458‼️ -4451.3 -12.40%‼️
HSI…….16698 -247.2 -1.46%
Shanghai.2861 -44.6 -1.55%

IDX….7059.65‼️ -248.47 -3.40%‼️
LQ45…890.71 -28.66 -3.12%‼️
IDX30.443.34 -15.20 -3.32%‼️

IDXEnergy.2356.94 -122.55 -4.94%‼️
IDX BscMat1296.94 -63.70 -4.69%‼️
IDX Indstrl.997.88 -38.70 -3.73%‼️
IDXNONCYC.688.56 -12.44 -1.77%
IDX Hlthcare1431.38 -10.42 -0.72%
IDXCYCLIC…745.2 -18.89 -2.47%
IDXTechno.3176.47 -58.56 -2.92%
IDX Transp 1318.81 -58.25 -4.23%‼️
IDX Infrast 1508.33 -49.04 -3.15%‼️
IDX Finance1374.80 -37.96 -2.69%
IDX Banking1217.60 -41.59 -3.30%‼️
IDX Property…..632 -19.10 -3.05%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.8696❗️ -0.0387 -0.56%
ICBI…386.5794❗️ +0.7910 -0.21%
US2Yr.3.902 +0.024 +0.62%
US5Yr 3.625 +0.010 +0.28%
US10Yr3.792 unch +0%
US30Yr.4.066 -0.043 -1.05%
VIX..38.57‼️ +15.18 +64.90%‼️

USDIndx 102.6890❗️ -0.519 -0.50%
Como Indx….268.79 -1.34 -0.50%
BCOMIN…..136.12 -2.09 -1.51%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16189.00❗️ -11.00 -0.07%
Jisdor.16154.00❗️ -80.00 -0.49%

Euro…1.0955❗️ +0.0166 +1.54%

TLKM…17.03 -0.53 -2.99%
( 2751)
EIDO….19.55 -0.77 -3.79%‼️
EEM….40.42 -1.15 -2.76%

Oil………..74.03 -2.76 -3.59%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.30 -0.51 -0.66%
(Brent)
Gold…..2451.60 -18.20 -0.74%
(Comex)
Gold……2408.43 -34.81 -1.42%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29484.00 -704.00 -2.33%
(Closed 05/08)
Nickel..16203.50 -62.50 -0.38%
(Closed 05/08)
Silver….27.36 -10.30 -3.63%‼️
Copper.401.40 -8.90 -2.17%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.976 -0.002 -0.10%
Ammonia China 2346.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(02/08)

Coal price.143.70 -0.40 -0.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.75 -0.15 -0.10%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.75 -0.65 -0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.30 -2.05 -1.69%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.55 -2.65 -2.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.80 -1.95 -1.60%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.85 -2.25 -1.84%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3740 -118 -3.06%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..407.00 +3.75 +0.93%
SoybeanOil 40.23 -0.58 -1.42%
Wheat…..539.50 +0.50 +0.09%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 05/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lanjut berdarah darah semua index regional, yang paling parah jepang sampe minus 12%. IHSG kemaren sempet lebih dari 4 %, ga sampe trading halt sih, tapi berantakan semua. Ditambah US bond yield yang wajarnya naik untuk hold dana jadi kemungkinan masih lanjut merahnya hari ini. Tapi secara technical memang udah ditunggu, ga ada yang mengagetkan juga, kita assess lagi momentum beli setelah index tutup gap

USD index down, tapi semua metal juga down kecuali iron ore, oil gas coal down, cpo juga down, pulp and paper juga down, selamat buat yang kemaren udah keep cash, standby tunggu beres wave 2

IHSG – double top target udah done, itungan fibonacci extension udah done, nanggung tutup gap sekalian, abis itu baru kita pikirin belanja lagi…

RSI nya belum ngikut, padahal pada drop semua ini… Tapi ya prospek tetep di basic materials dan healthcare dan consumer cyclicals dan consumer non-cyclicals yang sering pada defensif dan jadi ganjel bursa

Stochastic Buy Signal: MBMA SCMA, dua duanya big dist

Menarik kalo udah bisa short selling ini sebenernya, hehehe

July 12th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks fall from records as Tesla, Nvidia lead tech sell-off

US stocks rolled over on Thursday as investors rotated out of tech after a key inflation report showed consumer prices unexpectedly fell on a month-over-month basis for the first time since 2020.

Dow……39754 +32.4 +0.08%
Nasdaq18283 -364.04 -1.95%
S&P 500.5585 -49.4 -0.88%

FTSE…..8223 +29.8 +0.36%
Dax……18535 +127.3 +0.69%
CAC……7627 +53.6 +0.71%

Nikkei..42224 +392.03 +0.94%
HSI……17832 +360.7 +2.06%
Shanghai.2970 +31.02 +1.06%

IDX….7300.41 +13.37 +0.18%
LQ45..915.36 +3.03 +0.33%
IDX30.455.86 +0.48 +0.11%

IDXEnergy..2427.34 +7.70 +0.32%
IDX BscMat1388.84 +2.87 +0.21%
IDX Indstrl.1011.60 -2.39 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC.712.45 +2.24 +0.32%
IDX Hlthcare1428.92 -5.17 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…741.43 +4.40 +0.60%
IDXTechno3293.55 +21.59 +0.66%
IDX Transp 1327.02 +26.29 +2.02%
IDX Infrast 1595.06 +13.29 +0.84%
IDX Finance1387.39 -0.16 -0.01%
IDX Banking1228.89 +3.01 +0.25%
IDX Property…..616 – -%

Indo10Yr.7.0513 -0.0078 -0.11%
ICBI…381.5177 +0.2896 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.515 -0.109 -2.36%👍
US5Yr 4.144 -0.093 -2.19%👍
US10Yr4.209 -0.071 -1.66%
US30Yr.4.423 -0.074 -1.05%
VIX..12.92 +0.07 +0.54%

USDIndx 104.4400👍 -0.608 -0.58%
Como Indx….290.41 +0.70 +0.24%
BCOMIN…… 151.00 -1.50 -0.98%

IndoCDS..72.73 -0.98 -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/07)

IDR…..16194.50❗️ -46.00 -0.28%
Jisdor.16200.00❗️ -56.00 -0.34%

Euro…1.0868 +0.0035 +0.32%

TLKM…19.58 +0.25 +1.29%
( 3172)
EIDO….20.29 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM…..44.33 +0.27 +0.60%

Oil…….82.95 +0.56 +0.68%
Gold…..2418.20 +39.90 +1.68%
Timah..34666.00 -341.00 -0.97%
(Closed 11/07)
Nickel..16867.50 +18.50 +0.11%
(Closed 11/07)
Silver….31.63 +0.53 +1.70%
Copper.452.15 -6.95 -1.51%

Iron Ore 62% 108.74 -1.77 -1.60%
(10/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.374 -0.051 -2.32%
Ammonia China 2783.33 -66.67 -2.34%
(Domestic Price)(10/07)

Coal price.133.75 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.50 -1.50 -1.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.60 -1.45 -1.06%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.30 -0.80 -0.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.102.30 +0.45 +0.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.85 +0.20 +0.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 -0.25 -0.24%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.55 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3935 +17 +0.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..410.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 46.15 +0.57 +1.25%
Wheat…571.25 +9.75 +1.74%

Wood pulp..5220 -40 -0.76%
(Closed 11/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq drop gara2 tesla dan nvidia, europe ijo, asia ijo, IHSG closing ijo tipis, US bond yield merah dalem, finally koreksi hari ini? harusnya sih nggak ya, kalo liat bond yield, tapi udah rally panjang, bound to pull back anytime soon

USD index merah, metal2 naik kecuali tin copper sama iron ore, oil ijo, gas drop, coal merah, CPO ijo, masih run nya ANTM ini… AALI LSIP semoga lanjut

IHSG – berhasil stay FNB, indicator pada bilang harus koreksi sehat, tinggal tunggu waktu aja. Biasanya gantian nanti yang jalan saham yang kemaren belum, yang udah pada naik giliran istirahat dulu

Industrials, Technology, Basic Materials, Property, Transportation bangun lagi

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: GGRM CFIN ELSA SCMA, Freq Spike ELSA SCMA, GGRM reg bull

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF, freq spike juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: BBNI BMRI MBMA. BBNI freq spike, MBMA vol breakout

July 09th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close at all-time highs ahead of inflation data and second-quarter earnings reports

The S&P 500
and Nasdaq closed at record highs on Monday as investors await key inflation data to provide further clues about whether this year’s market rally is sustainable. Earnings from some major financial giants and consumer companies are also on the docket.

Dow……39345 -31.1 -0.08%
Nasdaq18404 +50.98 +0.28%
S&P 500.5573 +5.7 +0.10%

FTSE…..8193 -10.4 -0.13%
Dax……18472 -3.4 -0.02%
CAC……7627 -48.2 -0.63%

Nikkei..40781 -131.8 -0.32%
HSI…..17524 -275.6 -1.55%
Shanghai.2922 -27.5 -0.93%

IDX….7250.98 -2.39 -0.03%
LQ45..904.33 -2.31 -0.25%
IDX30.452.34 +0.09 +0.02%

IDXEnergy..2440.14 -10.81 -0.44%
IDX BscMat1390.64 -3.10 -0.43%
IDX Indstrl. 997.72 +11.58 +1.17%
IDXNONCYC.708.69 +9.02 +1.29%
IDX Hlthcare1447.18+18.20 +1.27%
IDXCYCLIC…738.37 +0.82 +1.21%
IDXTechno3299.93 +39.60 +1.21%
IDX Transp 1303.39 +2.49 +0.19%
IDX Infrast 1572.48 +23.95 +1.55%
IDX Finance1372.13 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Banking1205.14 -6.85 -0.57%
IDX Property…..613 +13.50 +2.26%

Indo10Yr.7.0484👍 -0.0174 -0.25%
ICBI…381.3072👍 +0.4719 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.635 +0.029 +0.63%
US5Yr 4.241 +0.014 +0.33%
US10Yr4.275 -0.003 -0.07%
US30Yr.4.463 -0.013 -0.29%
VIX..12.37 -0.11 -0.88%

USDIndx 105.00 +0.125 +0.12%
Como Indx….290.91 -2.52 -0.86%
BCOMIN…… 154.38 -0.81 -0.52%

IndoCDS..74.22👍 -0.49 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/07)

IDR…..16257.00❗️ -20.00 -0.12%
Jisdor.16265.00❗️ -47.00 -0.29%

Euro…1.0825 -0.0015 -0.14%

TLKM…18.69 +0.06 +0.30%
( 3040)
EIDO….19.87 +0.02 +0.10%
EEM…..43.64 +0.01 +0.41%

Oil…….82.22 -0.94 -1.13%
Gold…..2366.60 -31.10 -1.30%
Timah..34218.00 +344.00 +1.02%
(Closed 08/07)
Nickel..17441.00 +58.00 +0.33%
(Closed 08/07)
Silver….31.08 -0.61 -1.92%
Copper.461.60 -3.70 -0.80%

Iron Ore 62% 111.31 -1.75 -1.55%
(05/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.378 +0.048 +2.06%
Ammonia China 2846.67 -16.60 -0.58%
(Domestic Price)(05/07)

Coal price.135.70 -0.70 -0.52%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 -1.45 -1.05%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.35 -1.25 -0.90%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.10 -0.45 -0.32%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.104.50 -0.50 -0.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.05 -1.00 -0.93%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.70 -1.10 -1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.75 -0.60 -0.55%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..4040 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..407.75 -16.25 -3.83%‼️
SoybeanOil 48.26 -0.44 -0.90%
Wheat…570.50 -20.00 -3.39%‼️

Wood pulp..5420 unch +0%
(Closed 08/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia merah, US bond yield yang 2 dan 5 tahun naik yang panjang2 turun, masih jadwal koreksi dulu kalo gini

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali tin nickel, oil down gas up coal down, yups, jadwal koreksi dulu

IHSG – ini ada dua gap mengkhawatirkan, hari ini IHSG nya ijo tebel lagi, happy sih, tapi khawatir kapan koreksinya dan model gimana koreksinya bakal kejadian

Basic Materials, Industrials, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: ACES ICBP INCO DNSG ERAA MIKA PWON TRON. Big accum ACES MIKA

Stochastic Continuation Signal dan Big Accum Banyak jg, ANTM, BBCA, ESSA, MDKA, MTEL, PGAS, PGEO, BTPS, CTRA, ISAT, SCMA, SMSM. diatas 50% PGAS

July 04th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close at fresh records as investors look past soft economic data

The S&P 500
rose to new highs in Wednesday’s shortened trading session as investors appeared to shrug off sluggish economic data.

Dow……39308 -23.9 -0.06%
Nasdaq18188 +159.5 +0.88%
S&P 500.5537 +28.01 +0.51%

FTSE…..8171 +49.9 +0.61%
Dax……18375 +210.5 +1.16%
CAC……7632 +93.8 +1.24%

Nikkei..40581 +506.1 +1.26%
HSI…..17979 +209.4 +1.18%
Shanghai.2982 -14.6. -0.49%

IDX….7196.75 +71.61+-1.01%
LQ45..897.60 +4.88 +0.55%
IDX30.447.13 +2.67 +0.60%

IDXEnergy..2439.53 +35.58 +1.48%
IDX BscMat1399.48 +16.02 +1.16%
IDX Indstrl. 962.96 +19.55 +2.07%
IDXNONCYC.692.88 +2.91 +0.42%
IDX Hlthcare1414.19 -0.81 -0.06%
IDXCYCLIC…720.40 +2.38 +0.33%
IDXTechno3183.43 -2.21 -0.07%
IDX Transp 1291.61 +20.41 +1.61%
IDX Infrast 1549.94 +10.96 +0.71%
IDX Finance1365.09 +1.61 +0.12%
IDX Banking1192.86 +0.77 +0.06%
IDX Property…..594 +0.50 +0.09%

Indo10Yr.7.0820 +0.0055 +0.08%
ICBI…380.1407 -0.0261 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.708 -0.044 -0.93%
US5Yr 4.322 -0.076 -1.73%
US10Yr4.367 -0.065 -1.47%
US30Yr.4.523-0.084 -1.82%
VIX..12.09 +0.06 +0.50%

USDIndx 105.4030❗️-0.319 -0.30%
Como Indx….294.02 +1.67 +0.57%
BCOMIN……153.80 +2.89 +1.92%

IndoCDS..77.20 -0.97 -1.24%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/07)

IDR…..16371.00‼️-25.00 -0.15%
Jisdor.16387.00‼️+3.00. +0.02%

Euro….1.0789 +0.0042 +0.39%

TLKM…18.39 -0.02 -0.08%
( 3014)
EIDO….19.64 +0.20 +1.00%
EEM…..43.45 +0.63 +1.47%

Oil…….83.68 +0.64 +0.77%
Gold..2365.40 +25.40 +1.08%
Timah..33363.00 +441.00 +1.34%
(Closed 03/07)
Nickel..17416.50 +359.50 +2.11%
(Closed 03/07)
Silver…30.79 +0.90 +3.01%
Copper.452.90 +9.75 +2.20%

Iron Ore 62% 110.32 +2.32 +2.15%
(02/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.425 -0.027 -1.10%
Ammonia China 2900 -16.67 -0.57%
(Domestic Price)(02/07)

Coal price.135.00 +2.75 +2.08%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.40 +1.60 +1.11%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.40 +0.90 +0.66%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 137.55 +0.80 +0.59%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.103.75 +0.50 +0.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..105.60 unch +0%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.85 -0.40 -0.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.90 -0.10 -0.09%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..4082 -8 -0.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..419.50 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 47.91 +1.19 +2.55%
Wheat…574.00 -7.00 -1.20%

Wood pulp..5520 -20 -0.36%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah tipis, nasdaw set new record high, europe ijo, asia ijo, US bond yield merah, IHSG harusnya lanjut

USD index down, metal2 naik semua, oil up gas down coal up, CPO slightly down, ANTM lanjut ini… ADRO ITMG kita liat lagi

IHSG – semua technical indicator bagus, vol transaksi juga mulainaik lagi, BD accum Foreign accum break resistance, tinggal tunggu momentum apa yang bakal bikin koreksi, US udah lama naik duluan so wajar aja kita ngejar, tapi ga akan juga long run without profit taking kan

Industrials, Basic Materials, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: ESSA INTP PTMP ASSA MYOR SSMS. Big accum ESSA SSMS

MACD Buy Signal: ASSA BMTR MYOR PTRO, ASSA MYOR vol breakout

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: MTEL TINS