January 9th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq Composite closes 2% higher Monday as tech stocks’ revival lifts major averages

The major averages rose Monday, boosted by tech shares, as Wall Street tried to recover from a tough week

Dow……37683 +216.9 +0.58%
Nasdaq14844 +319.7 +2.20%
S&P 500.4764 +66.3 +1.41%

FTSE…..7694 +4.6 +0.06%
Dax……16716 +122.3 +0.74%
CAC……7450 +29.6 +0.40%

Nikkei..33377 closed +0%
HSI…….16225 -310.9 -1.88%
Shanghai.2888 -41.7 -1.42%

IDX…..7283.58 -67.05 -0.91%
LQ45….977.44 -9.82 -1.00%
IDX30…498.14 -3.58 -0.71%

IDXEnergy..2170.42 -10.32 -0.47%
IDX BscMat.1297.00 -28.84 -2.18%
IDX Indstrl…1100.76 -3.01 -0.27%
IDXNONCYC.713.49 -5.56 -0.77%
IDX Hlthcare1328.81+2.92 +0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…835.07 +0.58 +0.07%
IDX Techno4353.31 -28.10 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1679.79 -11.12 -0.66%
IDX Infrast 1556.02 -14.14 -0.90%
IDX Finance.1492.85+1.17 +0.08%
IDX Banking.1304.35 -6.90 -0.53%
IDX Property.. 716 +3.60 +0.51%

Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.0164 +0.25%
ICBI…373.7378 -0.3219 -0.097%
US2Yr.4.375 -0.018 -0.41%
US5Yr 3.986 -0.119 -2.96%
US10Yr4.027-0.024 -0.59%
US30Yr.4.184-0.022 -0.52%
VIX….13.08 -0.27 -2.02%

USDIndx 102.4120 -0.010 -0.01%
Como Indx..261.65 -4.26 -1.60%
BCOMIN……137.05 -1.31 -0.95%

IndoCDS..77.69‼️ – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/01)

IDR…..15525.00 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.15518.00 +4.00 +0.03%

Euro….1.0951 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.19 -0.13 -0.51%
(3909)
EIDO….22.52 -0.07 -0.31%
EEM….39.55 +0.11 +0.28 %

Oil……..70.77 -3.04 -4.12%‼️
Gold..2033.50 -16.30 -0.80%
Timah..24622.00 – -%
(Closed 05/01)
Nickel..16258.00 -86 -0.53%
(Closed 08/01)
Silver……23.31 -0.01 -0.04%
Copper.381.00 +0.40 +0.11%

Iron Ore 62% 141.45. – -%
(05/01)
Nturl Gas..2.943 +0.037 +1.27%
Ammonia China.3640.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(05/02)

Coal price.132.00 +0.45 +0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 129.50 -1.00 -0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.25 -0.25 -0.19%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.50 -0.75 -0.59%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.112.75 -3.25 -2.88%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 -3.65 -3.22%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.106.10 -2.65 -2.44%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.00 -2.65 -2.51%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3694 +13 +0.35%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……455.00 -5.75 -1.25%
SoybeanOil 47.81 +0.18 +0.38%
Wheat…596.25 -19.75 -3.21%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 08/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, nasdaq jump, Europe ijo, asia merah dalem termasuk IHSG. US Bond rate turun, vix turun, USD index turun tipis, IHSG harusnya rebound hari ini…

Metal2 masih tipis2 merah kecuali copper, oil lanjut merah dalem, gas ijo, coal newcastle ijo, rotterdam merah tebel, future nya merah semua, abis winternya. CPO ijo lagi, harusnya AALI LSIP jalan

IHSG – stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI doen w% down, bd dist, masih FNB bagusnya… kalo dari MA masih uptrend, dari elliot wave udah bahaya karena udah wave 5 dan udah lewat target minimal run nya, berharap sampe ke fibo ext 1.618 nya tapi. trailing stop on, stop loss ketat, siap2 cash buat beli lagi di bawah

bagusnya bahwa arah financials bagus,deket 45 derajat, semoga bisa gendong index. arah bagus consumer non-cyclicals, industrials, consumer cyclicals, property, transportation. Energy masih di leading quadrant tapi ga jelas

Stochastic Buy Signal: SIDO MSIN PNIN RMKE

Stochastic Continuation Signal: ITMG big accum, SCMA spike

Supertrend Buy Signal: EXCL

Alligator Buy Signal: BBTN INDF SMGR TINS

SIDO – kecuali stoch buy, jelek semua, skip…

ITMG – stoch up OB flattening, MACD up, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, udah jalan 14% lebih dari bottom kemaren tanpa koreksi berarti… wait higher low deh, index belum tentu lanjut dan oscillators pada overbought

Spike nya sih bagus

CC YU buang, wait dulu deh

SCMA – wah, saham LQ45 tapi chart nya kaya gorengan, ga berani dulu ah… tar kalo index nya jinak baru berani

EXCL – stoch up, macd up, mfi up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, supertrend buy, alligator buy, udah bikin higher low, bisa sih ini buy harusnya, agak high risk tapi dengan posisi index begini dan sektor infrastrukturnya masih lemes

Spike nya ok

Average ok, 3 holder terbesar accum, seandainya index ga beresiko gini udah pasti ikut entry

tapi ga deh, sabar dulu aja, kecuali emang porto kosong dan mau speculative buy

INDF – stoch sell, macd still up, MFI still up, tapi BD FF dist, buat entry sekarang ga ok, buat saya yang udah ada masih hold sih, tapi stoploss udah dipasang, just in case

Masih firm price aman dan YP accum sih, hold

SMGR – kena hidbear dan turun, stoch sell, macd rev down, bd ff rev dist, cutloss di macd sell signal

Harga aman, tapi emang 2 holder gede lagi distribusi pelan pelan

Masih ada unclosed spike, masih hoping jalan, watch MACD

TINS – batal jalan keliatannya, stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI down, w% down, BD FF dist, testing support dulu, skip…

January 08th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes slightly higher Friday, but major averages end 9-week win streak

The S&P 500
ended Friday modestly higher, but all three of the major averages snapped a nine-week winning streak following a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

Dow……37466 +25.8 +0.07%
Nasdaq14524 +13.8 +0.09%
S&P 500.4697 +8.6 +0.18%

FTSE…..7690 -33.5 -0.43%
Dax……16594 -23.1 -0.14%
CAC……7421 -29.9 -0.40%

Nikkei..33377 +89.1 +0.27%
HSI…….16535 -110.7 -0.66%
Shanghai.2929 -25.2 -0.85%

IDX…..7359.76 +80.67 +1.11%
LQ45….988.64 +15.26 +1.57%
IDX30…502.23 +7.97 +1.61%

IDXEnergy..2180.74 +9.54 +0.43%
IDX BscMat.1325.84 -5.07 -0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1103.76 -6.68 -0.60%
IDXNONCYC.719.06 -4.62 -0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1325.89 -10.44 -0.78%
IDXCYCLIC…834.49 +1.87 +0.22%
IDX Techno4381.41 -17.49 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1690.91 -4.11 -0.24%
IDX Infrast 1570.16 -8.60 -0.54%
IDX Finance.1491.68+12.89 +0.87%
IDX Banking.1311.25+9.74 +0.75%
IDX Property.. 713 +3.20 +0.45%

Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.1034 +1.55%
ICBI…373.9196 -0.1226 -0.03%
US2Yr.4.393 +0.006 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.015 +0.035 +0.88%
US10Yr4.051+0.044 +1.09%
US30Yr.4.206+0.054 +1.30%
VIX….13.35 -0.78 -5.52%👍

USDIndx 102.4120 -0.010 -0.01%
Como Indx..265.91 +0.91 +0.34%
BCOMIN……138.36 +0.04 +0.03%

IndoCDS..77.69‼️ +1.97 +2.60%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/01)

IDR…..15516.00 +25.50 +0.16%
Jisdor.15518.00 -7.00 -0.05%

Euro….1.0943 -0.0003 -0.03%

TLKM…25.32 -0.15 -0.59%
(3929)
EIDO….22.59 +0.20 +0.89%
EEM….39.44 +0.05 +0.13%

Oil……..73.81 +1.11 +1.53%
Gold..2049.80 -0.20 -0.01%
Timah..24622.00 -212 -0.85%
(Closed 05/01)
Nickel..16344.00 -81 -0.49%
(Closed 05/01)
Silver……23.32 +0.13 +0.55%
Copper.380.60 -3.80 -0.99%

Iron Ore 62% 141.45 -1.50 -1.05%*
(06/01)
Nturl Gas..2.906 +0.058 +2.04%
Ammonia China.3640.00 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(04/02)

Coal price.131.55 +0.65 +0.50%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.50 +1.30 +1.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.50 +0.60 +0.47%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.25 -0.05 -0.04%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.116.00 +3.70 +3.29%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.35 +5.05 +4.66%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.108.75 +5.20 +5.02%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.65 +4.30 +4.24%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3681 +25 +0.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……460.75 -5.75 -1.23%
SoybeanOil 47.63 -0.53 -1.10%
Wheat….616.00 +2.50 +0.41%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US jum’at ijo tipis, europe merah, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG abis bikin new record high terus closing merah. Rada bahaya longsor ini…

US bond rates naik, USD index turun tipis, ga bagus buat saham, metal2 merah kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, cpo ijo. Semoga energy sama CPO bisa jalan ganjel index biar ga dibanting, sideways correction idealnya, atau turun sambil ada sektor yang gantian ganjel

IHSG – stoch sell macd up MFI sw, w% mau keluar area uptrend, wave 5 udah bisa dianggap kena target nya, udah diantara 1-1,618 fibo extension. ATH sambil vol kecil, bagusnya masih FNB. Awas pasang stoploss ketat khawatir ngebalik

Financials yang kemaren gendong index, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation

Selamat pagi 🌻,
4 Agustus 23

Dow.. 35.215.89 -66.63 -0.19%
Nasdaq.. 13.959.72 -13.73 -0.10%
S&P 500.. 4.501,89 -11.5 -0.25%

Brent Oil.. 85.25 +2.05 +2.46%
Crude Oil WTI.. 81.77 +0.21 +0.26%
Gold.. 1970.30 +1.50 +0.08%
Nickel.. 21.737.00 +177.00 +0.82%
Silver.. 23.715 +0.018 +0.08%
Copper.. 3.9017 +0.0052 +0.13%
Nturl Gas.. 2.562 +0.008 +0.31%

Coal price..145.00 +1.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..141.5 +3.35
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.. 136.85 +3.35
(Aug/Newcastle)

Corn.. 494.75 -5.25% -1.05%
SoybeanOil.. 1.325.25 +4.25 +0.32%
Wheat.. 6.28,25 -10.75 -1.68%

RK/ CGS-CIMB Bdg
Tiktok: rienan777

Source: Investing, Barchart.

US merah, tapi semua commodity naik, bagus buat basic materials sama energy

IHSG – Udah 2 hari US merah tapi IHSG jalan, padahal MACD sell, tapi memang dari fibonacci retracement udah kena level koreksi wajar. Ga bisa cuma pake satu ilmu aja pendekatannya sih… BD acc, FNB, semoga lanjut

Masih Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ICBP KLBF SIDO ADMR BBKP JPFA RAJA SMRA. Big Accum KLBF ADMR JPFA

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA SMGR MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: ERAA

AMRT Skip

ESSA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, CNH failed, BD dah mulai akum, FF masih galaw. Belum ok kayanya

ICBP – stoch buy macd downrev, MFI down, w% up, BD FF acc, belum ada spike baru, spike lama target done, udah run wave 3 panjang, belum masih 1.618 tapi khawatir mau wave 4. WNS dulu deh

 

KLBF – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD acc FF dist, but inside, itungan ABC correction level done, mungkin aja udah bisa dianggap beres dan mau rebound, tapi amannya tunggu MACD sambil pantau FF

Spike terakhir spike jual, belum ada lagi. WNS, tunggu MACD

SIDO – masih belum beres turunnya, emang sih stoch buy dan BD FF rev acc, tapi masih terakhir spike jual. Abis drop jauh sabar tunggu firm reversal, tunggu bikin higher low

ADMR – stoch buy, macd rev up almost buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF rev acc, udah bikin higher low, kayanya ada freq spike juga, kita check dulu

Pas di bawah 3 kali spike terus jalan, spike jual kecil, lanjut spike beli walau ga terlalu besar. OK sih ini, bisa spec buy, full load tunggu MACD

JPFA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF acc, agak mencurigakan sih, akum terus walau turun, tapi apakah udah selesai dibawa turunnya. Technically belum.

Belum dulu sih, terakhir spike jual, lagipula udah pegang CPIN, skip dulu

SMGR – rsi reg bear div, memang sih stoch buy, BD FF rev acc, w% uptrend, kemaren candle ijo vol gede, tapi udah run lumayan panjang dan udah deket sama fibo 23, resiko kejedot terus dibanting

Ada spike tinggi 2 hari lalu sebelum diangkat 5.8%. Ga berani ah, curiga itu spike balikin barang

MYOR – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tapi BD FF dist terus belum beres, hari ini kalo closing di atas breakout resistance, akhir dari wave 4? Munking aja sih, WNS dulu tunggu rev acc

ERAA – sejak breakout technical masih ok, tapi baru kena trailing stop, minggir dulu..

 

 

July 21st 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises more than 100 points to notch first 9-day rally since 2017. Nasdaq tumbles 2%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped for a ninth consecutive day on Thursday after better-than-expected earnings results from drugmaker Johnson & Johnson. It was the Dow’s best daily winning streak since 2017.

But the broader market suffered after post-earnings declines in trader favorites Netflix and Tesla.

Dow……35225 +163.97 +0.47%
*Nasdaq14064 -294.7 -2.05%*
S&P 500.4535 -30.9 -0.68%

FTSE…..7646 +57.9 +0.76%
Dax……15204 +95.3 +0.59%
CAC……7385 +57.97 +0.79%

Nikkei…32491 -406.51 -1.23%
HSI…….18928 -24.3 -0.13%
Shanghai.3170 -29.3 -0.92%

IDX…..6864.19 +33.99 +0.50%
LQ45….961.53 +3.16 +0.33%
IDX30…499.59 +2.06. +0.41%

IDXEnergy…1896.18 +29.14 +1.56%
IDX BscMat.1046.76 +7.52 +0.72%
IDX Indstrl…1191.18 +1.29 +0.10%
IDXNONCYC.754.31 -2.09 -0.28%
IDX Hlthcare1533.91 -8.01 -0.52%
IDXCYCLIC….928.05 +2.33 +0.25%
IDX Techno.4883.29 -48.05 -0.97%
IDX Transp..1904.44 +6.92 +0.36%
IDX Infrast… .851.03 +3.27 +0.39%
IDX Finance.1434.67 +12.02 +0.85%
IDX Banking.1205.89 +12.24 +1.03%
*IDX Property..766 +11.50 +1.53%*

*Indo10Yr.6.3110*+0.0043 +0.07%
*ICBI….369.1376* -0.031 -0.01%
*US2Yr.4.8450* +0.077 +1.61%
*US5Yr 4.1050 +0.123 +3.09%‼️*
*US10Yr3.8510 +0.097 +2.58%*
*US30Yr.3.9200*+0.069 +1.79%
*VIX…….13.99 +0.23 +1.67%*

*USDIndx 100.8800* +0.5990 +0.60%
Como Indx…274.+0 +1.61 +0.59%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…….143.77 +1.18 +0.83%

*IndoCDS.82.24 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(18/07)*

*IDR…..14986.00 -11.00 -0.07%*
*Jisdor.14991.00 -3.00 -0.02%*

*Euro……1.1134* -0.0069 -0.62%

TLKM…25.63 -0.07 -0.27%
*(3793)*
EIDO….23.47 -0.06 -0.25%
EEM…..40.38 -0.30 -0.74%

Oil…..75.63 +0.40 +0.53%
*Gold…2011.40* -7.10 -0.35%
Timah..28540.00 – -%
*(Closed 18/07)*
*Nickel..21332.00 +400.50 +1.91%*
(Closed 20/07)
Silver…. 24.96 -0.35 -1.38%
Copper.382.95 +1.75 +0.46%

Iron Ore 62% 112.08 -0.09 -0.08%
(19/07)
*Nturl Gas.2.747 +0.1260 +4.81%‼️*
Ammonia China..2816.67 -16.66 -0.59%
(Domestic Price)(19/07)

Coal price.132.00 unch +0/%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 +1.60 +1.16%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.95 +1.80 +1.28%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 +2.25 +1.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price109.75 +1.75 +1.62%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.111.60 +5.60 +5.28%‼️*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.111.35 +5.85 +5.55%‼️*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.111.00 +5.80 +5.51%‼️*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Okt)..4047 +153 +3.92%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….546.25 -6.75 -1.22%
SoybeanOil 62.42 +0.98 +1.60%
Wheat…727.00 -0.75 -0.10%

*Wood pulp..4380.00* unch +0%
(Closed 20/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI lanjut naik, Nasdaq drop. Europe ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG. Semoga lanjut ijo IHSG hari ini.

USD index naik lagi, gols silver merah copper merah, nickel ijo, oil gas coal naik udah waktunya energy jalan lagi kayanya. CPO naik tinggi kita tunggu bangunnya AALI LSIP

Reminder !
LQ45 Major Rebalancing Jul23

Estimasi announcement akan dipublish pada minggu depan & efektif per penutupan market diperdagangan 31 Juli 2023. Beberapa saham potensial masuk & potensial keluar dengan asumsi memperhatikan likuiditas transaksi selama 1Q-2Q 2023 antara lain :

• Potential Inclusion
BUMI, ADMR, GGRM, ISAT, BRMS, MAPI
• Potential Exclusion
TINS, SIDO, SCMA, JPFA, TPIA, EMTK

*Disclaimer On
IndoPremier Wealth Management

Harus hati2 sama EMTK nih, masih ada di porto, kalo beneran keluar LQ45 kemungkinan besar dibanting lagi

IHSG – stoch sell, 833 down, MACD still up, FNB terus, BD acc, IHNS target udah done kemaren udah koreksi, kita liat target triple bottom yang lebih besar. MInimal target ke fibo 61 dulu

Technology Healthcare Property, Basic Materials sama Energy masih leading tapi lagi shaky. Yang ga asiknya financials slow down, padahal index ga bisa jalan kalo financials ga jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI PGAS TBIG ENRG RAJA

MACD buy signal: EXCL BTPS GGRM PWON RAJA TOBA

Alligator Buy Signal: ANTM BFIN

Supertrend Buy Signal: BSDE