January 17th, 2024

Nasdaq slide leads stocks lower with earnings, Bessent confirmation hearing in focus

US stocks closed lower Thursday, as the major indexes struggled to build on the previous day’s surge amid another round of big bank earnings and a slide in tech stocks. Investors also watched the Capitol Hill confirmation hearing of President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent.

Dow……43153 -68.4 -0.16%
Nasdaq 19338 -172.95 -0.89%
S&P 500 5937 -12.6 -0.21%

FTSE…..8392 +90.8 +1.09%
Dax……20655 +80.7 +0.39%
CAC……7635 +160.2 +2.14%

Nikkei…38573 +128.02 +0.33%
HSI……..19523 +236.8 +1.23%
Shanghai.3236 +8.9 +0.28%

IDX…7107.52 +27.96 +0.39%
LQ45…827.86 +0.75 +0.09%
IDX30.425.87 +0.83 +0.19%

IDXEnergy…2827.30 +19.90 +0.71%
IDX BscMat 1235.86 -1.35. -0.11%
IDX Indstrl… ..989.19 +0.79 +0.08%
IDXNONCYC.703.65 -2.41 -0.34%
IDX Hlthcare1405.32 -11.86 -0.84%
IDXCYCLC…800.82 -16.23 -1.99%
IDX Techno.4161.57 -19.60 -0.47%
IDX Transp 1281.64 +1.61 +0.13%
IDX Infrast 1477.15 +5.51 +0.37%
IDX Finance1406.68 +8.98 +0.64%
IDX Banking1151.62 +12.13 +1.06%
IDX Property. 774 +7.30 +0.95%

Indo10Yr.7.2274❗️-0.0343 -0.47%
ICBI….391.4769❗️+1.2186 +0.31%
US2Yr.4.234 -0.034 -0.80%
US5Yr 4.396 -0.055 -1.24%
US10Yr4.613 -0.042 -0.90%
US30Yr.4.855 -0.025 -0.51%
VIX..16.60 +0.48 +2.98%

USDIndx 108.9300❗️-0.163 -0.15%
Como Indx..311.35 -0.82 -0.26%
BCOMIN..146.59 +1.55 +1.07%

IndoCDS…79.68 -1.48 -1.82%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/01)

IDR…….16325.00‼️+55.50 +0.34%
Jisdor.. 16378.00‼️+67.00 +0.41%

Euro…1.0302 +0.0009 +0.09%

TLKM…16.19 -0.21 -1.28%
( 2652)
EIDO….18.35 -0.16 -0.84%
EEM…41.76 -0.04 -0.10%

Oil………78.75 -1.29 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………81.33 -1.10 -1.33%
(Brent)
Gold…2750.90‼️ +33.10 +1.22%
(Comex)
Gold…2714.07 +19.86 +0.73%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29592.00 -179.00 -0.60%
(Closed 16/01)
.Nickel.15965.00 +140.00 +0.88%
(Closed 17/01)
Silver……31.73 +0.20 +0.63%
Copper.441.10 +5.20 +1.18%

Iron Ore 62% 100.20 +0.21 +0.21%
(15/01)
Nturl Gas ..4.281 +0.146 +3.53%‼️
Ammonia China. 2506.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(16/01)

Coal price.114.70 +0.25 +0.22%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.116.10 +1.50 +1.31%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.25 +1.10 +0.94%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 119.90 +1.05 +0.88%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 +1.65 +1.55%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.20 +2.50 +2.40%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.75 +1.65 +1.60%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.60 +0.25 +0.24%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4182 -86 -2.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………474.50 -4.25 -0.89%
SoybeanOil 45.03 -1.24 -2.68%
Wheat……537.50 -9.50 -1.74%

Wood pulp…..6540 unch +0%
(Closed 16/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe ijo, asia ijo, US treasury bond down, masih bisa ijo IHSG harusnya hari ini, US merah profit taking hari kemarennya koq

USD index down, metal2 lanjut up kecuali tin, oil down, gas up coal up, ANTM keren ini keliatannya, AKRA MEDC slow dulu, ADRO kayanya ok dikit lagi

IHSG – madc rev buy, stoch masih down, mfi up, w% up, reg bull div confirmed, BD flat, FNB udah 2 hari, jalan ah rally nyusul ATH kaya DJI

Energy technology slow down, property masih, transportation financials masih

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMMN BBNI BRIS ICBP INTP ITMG PGEO UNVR BTPS MPMX NCKL PTPP PTRO PWON SMSM, big accum BBNI ITMG UNVR, PWON vol breakout

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI UNVR MPMX NISP SMRA SRTG TKIM, big accum BBRI UNVR SRTG, SMRA vol breakout

Alligator Buy Signal: ENRG SMIL

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBRI

 

BBNI – stoch buy, macd rev buy, MFI up w% up, BD FF acc, kemaren bikin gap kaya BBRI, ada unclosed gap diatas buat jadi target, reg bull div confirmed

Spike kecil

Average aman, bigget holder accum, BOW BBNI di gap closing 4430

ITMG – stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI up w% up BD FF acc, mantul dari support, coal biasanya naik di winter, ok sih

Abis spike jual udah ada spike lagi tapi kecil

Average aman, SQ biggest holder accum, AK udah beres buangnya, udah accum lagi, bisa BOW ITMG di bawah body candle kemaren @25875

PWON – stoch buy macd up, MFI sw, w% sw, BD acc, FNS, tapi memang kalo diliat Foreign di PWON telat, yang bareng geraknya sama harga ya BD lokal

Belum ada spike

average aman, CC biggest holder dan accum NI PD juga accum, aman sih buat spec buy, last close price juga ok, BI cut rate harusnya sih ga cuma sekejap efeknya

BBRI – macd buy, stoch bolak balik, tapi buy yang sekarang denga diiringi BD FF accum, MFI up, w% uptrend, bi cut rate, banyak gap di atas, supertrend buy, reg bull div confirmed, BOW BBRI

no spike

average aman, wlau kebanyakan pada diem atau dist tipis, secara total tapi accum, bisa BOW BBRI di closing gap 4090

SRTG – stoch up macd buy MFI up mantul di area fibo 23, w% sw, BD FF accum, kalo ditarik fibonacci retracement ABC correction kemaren, sekarang lagi fibo 61, cocok lah buat reversal, reg bull div confirmed, harusnya ok buat buy

Terakhir tinggi spike jual, udah ada baru tapi kecil

 

Average aman, BB udah beres buang, YU accum, GR buang dikit, masih ok harusnya, idealnya dapet di fibo 61, 1875

SMRA – belum habis downtrend nya, FNB tapi BD masih dist, harus nunggu higher low baru confirm reversal

 

CGS International Sekuritas Indonesia:
Kamis, 2 Januari 2025

Dow… 42,544.22 -29.51 -0.07%
S&P 500… 5,881.63 -25.31 -0.43%
FTSE 100… 8,173.02 +52.01 +0.64%
Nikkei… 39,894.54 -386.62 -0.96%

Indo 10 Yr… 7.00 -0.05 -0.31%
VIX… 17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
Indo CDS 5Y… 78.89 +0.75 +0.96%

TLKM (US)… 16.45 +0.02 +0.12%
EIDO… 18.48 -0.05 -0.27%

Oil… 71.72 +0.73 +1.03%
Gold… 2,624.50 +18.00 +0.69%
Timah… 28,846.00 -237.01 -0.81%
Nikel… 15,110.95 -78.88 -0.52%
Silver… 28.90 -0.05 -0.17%
Copper… 8,652.67 -142.18 -1.62%
Natural Gas… 3.63 -0.30 -7.70%
CPO… 4,861.00 -64.00 -1.30%
Coal*… 125.25 +0.70 +0.56%
Softwood Kraft Pulp 5,864.00 -14.00 -0.24%
*(Newcastle/Desember)
**majority closed per 31 Dec-24

Phintraco ga release data seperti biasa, kita cari dari beberapa sumber

US closing 30 des merah, europe ijo, asia merah, US treasury bond yield merah, masih belum menentu mau kemana, tapi kalo technical sih bilang mantul, cocok sama arah US treasury bond

USD index up, gold up metal2 lain down, oil up, gas down, coal up, coal sama oil ini menarik

IHSG – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, w% flat, elliot wave reverse done, lagi bikin higher low, reg bull div MACD RSI, confirmed by 2 bull candle, belum cancelled, sempet NFB tapi last day net sell lagi. Tanda2nya udah mau mantul sih

Terlihat mulai meriah, Infrastructure leading sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, yang paling penting financials terlihat gerak

Stochastic Buy Signal Banyak, yang big accum AMMN, BUKA, GOTO, PTBA, AUTO, menarik dicermati BBCA BBNI

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTBA UNVR CMRY CTRA GJTL MPMX MYOR ULTJ, big accum PTBA UNVR SILO, GJTL kita liat juga

PTBA – abis reg bull div lanjut jalan, loncat kemaren 5% jadi stoch and macd buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, yang kosong portonya kayanya bisa bow di tengah candle kemaren

Coal price macd buy signal, menarik ini ADRO INDY ITMG PTBA

Abis spike jual ada spike kecil

AUTO – valuation ok, stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI still down, w%up, bd acc, FF masih dist, ada spike, kita check dulu

Harusnya sih target 2600 an ya, apalagi kalo liat retracement pattern harusnya bawa ke fibo 61 di 2900 an. Januari group astra suka jalan, kita liat AUTO gimana januari

Kurang ok ternyata… Nanti dulu deh

BBCA – stoch buy macd rev up MFI masih down, w%sw, BD FF udah sempet acc,last day rev dist lagi,reg bull div belum cancelled, confirmed by 2 bull candle

no spike… tapi Index sama BBCA seringnya searah, so 2 2 nya udah keliatan mau mantul, bisa spec buy

SILO – overpriced, skip

GJTL – stoch buy, macd buy, mfi sw, w% up, BD dist tipis, FF rev acc, abc correction seems down, valuation ok, harusnya bisa spec buy

Hajatan ini mah, saham LKH dan ada spike begini, dan bagusnya lagi ini valuation masih rendah ga kaya PTRO yang udah dihajatin sampe 4x lipat. BOW GJTL, idealnya dapet di fibo 23 di 1115

 

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo tipis, europe merah, asia varied jepang korea singapore indonesia merah, china hongkong ijo. US Treasury Bond Yield up, kemungkinan besar IHSG merah lagi hari ini

USD index up, metal2 juga up, oil down, gas down, coal flat, CPO up, masih ok ini ANTM INCO MDKA TINS AALI LSIP, oil oil semoga masih lanjut, kemaren uda koreksi dikit, tapi trailing stop on, lagi bahaya index

IHSG – technically udah bahaya, otw wave 4. Nanti kita gambar kemungkinan target level nya. Itu udah mulai FNS, beware longsor

Technology, Healthcare, Transportation, COnsumer non-cyclicals, Basic Materials, Industrials Energy. Yang bisa diharapkan jadi ganjel index yang basic materials, industrials sama energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: BUKA EXCL SMGR DSNG PTPP PTRO AMFG, big accum EXCL

MACD Buy Signal: ESSA BMTR HMSP SMDR, big accum ESSA

August 07th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 300 points higher to snap three-day losing run in broad relief rally

Stocks jumped Tuesday, recovering some losses from the previous three trading days as investors took a pause from recession fears and Japanese equities rallied.

Dow…….38998 +294.4 +0.76%
Nasdaq. 16367 +166.8 +1.03%
S&P 500 52540 +53.7 +1.04%

FTSE..8027.2 +18.5 +0.23%
Dax……17354 +15.3 +0.09%
CAC……7130 -18.95 -0.27%

Nikkei..34675 +3217 +10.23%‼️
HSI…….16647 -51.02 -0.31%
Shanghai.2867 +6.6 +0.23%

IDX….7129.22 +69.56 +0.99%
LQ45…899.18 +8.47 +0.95%
IDX30.443.34 -15.20 -3.32%

IDXEnergy.2390.51 +32.58 +1.36%
IDX BscMat1306.33 +9.39 +0.72%
IDX Indstrl….997.09 -0.80 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC.693.65 +5.09 +0.74%
IDX Hlthcare1439.73+8.36 +0.58%
IDXCYCLIC…752.14 +6.85 +0.92%
IDXTechno.3179.65 +3.18 +0.18%
IDX Transp 1334.95 +16.13 +1.22%
IDX Infrast 1532.78 +24.46 +1.62%
IDX Finance1387.73 +12.90 +0.94%
IDX Banking1232.04 +14.44 +1.19%
IDX Property…..637 +4.90 +0.78%

Indo10Yr.6.8778 +0.0082 +0.11%
ICBI…386.2847 -0.2947 -0.08%
US2Yr.3.992 +0.090 +2.31%
US5Yr 3.743 +0.118 +3.26%‼️
US10Yr3.886 +0.094 +2.48%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.125 +3.07% ‼️
VIX..27.71 -10.86 -28.16%‼️

USDIndx 102.9690❗️+0.28 +0.27%
Como Indx….270.15 +1.36 +0.51%
BCOMIN…..137.12 +1.00 +0.74%

IndoCDS..82.18 +4.98 +6.45%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16164.00❗️ -24.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.16183.00❗️ +29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0930 -0.0025 -0.23%

TLKM…17.38 +0.35 +2.06%
( 2813)
EIDO….19.87 +0.33 +1.66%
EEM….40.65 +0.18 +0.43%

Oil………..72.87❗️ -1.16 -1.57%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.48 +0.18 +0.24%
(Brent)
Gold…..2430.00 -21.60 -0.88%
(Comex)
Gold……2389.02 -19.41 -0.81%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29651.00 +167.00 +0.57%
(Closed 06/08)
Nickel..16415.00 +211.50 +1.31%
(Closed 06/08)
Silver….27.01 -0.35 -1.28%
Copper.400.05 -1.35 -0.34%

Iron Ore 62% 104.18 +0.18 +0.17%
(05/08)
Nturl Gas 2.016 +0.039 +1.97%
Ammonia China 2480.00 +133.33 +5.68%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/08)

Coal price.145.50 +1.80 +1.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.50 +1.75 +1.20%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 149.00 +2.25 +1.53%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.00 +2.25 +1.52%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.120.80 +1.50 +1.26%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.70 +2.15 +1.80%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.20 +2.40 +2.00%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.05 +3.20 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3707 -33 -0.88%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..405.25 -1.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil 39.97 -0.27 -0.67%
Wheat…..543.25 +3.75 +0.70%

Wood pulp..5130 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 06/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Rebound semua setelah hari sebelumnya terjun bebas… Tapi US bond yield naik, kemaren IHSG udah rebound, kayanya merah lagi hari ini. Bagusnya sih dip sebentar tutup gap baru lanjut wave 3

USD index up, Gold silver copper down, Tin Nickel Iron ore up, oil down, gas up coal up, CPO down, masih resiko, tapi kayanya coal yang rebound duluan. Pulp and Paper Price sempet drop udah 2 hari up, semoga INKP rebound juga

IHSG – soch sell macd still down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD sw, FNB tipis kemaren, double top target done, itungan fibonacci abc done, mungkin udahan, mungkin tutp gap dulu, tapi kalo liat indicators, tutup gap dulu sih

Nah, Financials arahnya membaik, tanda2 index mau rebound…

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI BBTN BMRI EXCL HRUM DSNG PTRO, big accum BBNI BBTN HRUM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: AMMN KLBF