December 09th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher to end longest losing streak since October

Stocks rose Thursday as the S&P 500 broke its longest losing streak since October and Wall Street evaluated the odds of a recession ahead.

Dow…….33782 +183.6 +0.55%
Nasdaq.11082 +123.5 +1.13%
S&P 500..3964 +29.6 +0.75%

FTSE…….7472 -17.02 -0.23%
Dax……..14265 +3.4 +0.02%
CAC……..6647 -13.3 -0.20%

Nikkei….27574 -111.97 -0.40%
HSI……..19450 +635.4 +3.38%
Shanghai..3197 -2.3. -0.07%
ST Times..3236 +10.6 +0.33%

IDX…….6804.23 -14.52 -0.21%
LQ45……944.22 -1.36. -0.14%

IDX Energy..2170.29 -15.98 -0.73%
IDX BscMat 1253.44 +18.77 +1.52%

IDX Indstrl…1184.83 -12.66 -1.06%
IDXNONCYC..727.19 -4.52 -0.62%
IDX Hlthcare.1548.40 +8.16 +0.53%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.65 +0.09 +0.01%
IDX Techno….5286.67 -46.34 -0.87%
IDX Transp…1700.03 -27.18 -1.57%
IDX Infrast……862.56 +9.01 +1.06%
IDX Finance 1438.72 -2.67 -0.19%
IDX Banking 1160.27 -4.66. -0.40%
IDX Property….712 +7.10 +1.01%

Indo10Yr….7.0644 -0.0066 -0.09%
ICBI……..342.7032 +0.0371 +0.01%
US10Yr..3.4910 +0.0830 +2.44%
VIX……22.29 -0.39 -1.72%

USDIndx..104.8130 -0.3870 -0.37%‼️
Como Indx..266.40 +0.51 +0.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..170.69 -1.44 -0.84%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15620.50 -16.00 -0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15624.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️

Euro……..1.0557 +0.0048 +0.46%👍

TLKM……..23.65 +0.21 +0.90%
(3695)
EIDO……….22.85 +0.18 +0.79%
EEM………..39.28 +0.47 +1.21%

Oil………….71.46 -0.55 -0.76%
Gold ……1801.50 +3.50 +0.19%
Timah…..24306 -508 -2.05%
(Closed 07/12)
Nickel…29481.50 -1334.50 -4.33%‼️
(Closed 08/12)
Silver………23.25. +0.32 +1.41%
Copper….388.35 +2.30 +0.60%

Nturl Gas…..5.935 +0.119 +2.05%

Ammonia..4890.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….395.50 -10.15 -2.50%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price…..378.85 -11.55 -2.96%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price…..370.00 -11.10 -2.91%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….256.50 -6.80 -2.58%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….250.75 -11.00 -4.20%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….252.00 -10.00 -3.82%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3951 -18 -0.45%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….642.50 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil…60.48 +0.32 +0.53%
Wheat………746.25 -3.25 -0.43%

Wood pulp…6550.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound, Europe tipis tipis, asia kemaren Hangseng naik tinggi singapore naik dikit, semoga udah rock bottom ini pas tutup gap kemaren

Gold Silver Copper naik, Timah Nikel turun dalem, Oil turun Gas naik, Coal turun rada banyak, balik kebawah 400, CPO lanjut kebawah. Mungkin masih mau dip lebih jauh ini coal tudei

Misalnya dianggap kemarin sudah bottom wave 2, proyeksi elliot wave nya jadi gini…

IHSG – technically masih jelek bener, amannya sih ya tunggu confirmed mantul secara teknikal, ada buy signal, bandar dan foreign akum

Cacing RSI belum banyak rubah, property yang keliatan cape, financials masih belum, energy, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals masih leading

Stoch Buy Signal: BRPT LINK PTPP WSKT. Sektor infrastructure gerak bareng2 kemaren, apa iya mau lanjut windress sampe tutup tahun?

November 15th, 2022

Good morning,

The Dow struggled for direction, but ended Monday in the red as investors digested remarks from the Federal Reserve officials insisting further rate hikes were ahead, albeit at a slower pace, as the fight against inflation was far from over.

Dow…….33537 -211.2 -0.63%
Nasdaq.11196 -127.1 -1.12%
S&P 500..3957 -36.7 -0.89%

FTSE…….7385 +67.1 +0.92%
Dax……..14313 +88.4 +0.62%
CAC……..6609 +14.6 +0.22%

Nikkei….27963 -300.1 -1.06%
HSI……..17620 +294.1 +1.70%
Shanghai..3083 -3.9 -0.13%
ST Times..3261 +32.5 +1.01%

IDX…….7019.39 -69.81 -0.98%
LQ45….1001.02 -11.92 -1.18%

IDX Energy..1961.54 -19.03 -0.96%
IDX Bsc Mat.1314.95 -3.32 -0.25%
IDX Industrl..1217.86 -9.68 -0.79%
IDXNONCYC..729.61 +4.83 +0.67%
IDX Hlthcare.1490.86 +9.83 +0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.72 -1.53 -0.17%
IDX Techno.6780.62 -160.24 -2.31%
IDX Transp…1805.12 -3.29 -0.18%
IDX Infrast……918.36 -6.75 -0.73%
IDX Finance 1487.11 -14.21 -0.94%
IDX Banking.1186.61 -17.21 -1.43%
IDX Property….698 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.3943 -0.0568 -0.76%‼️
ICBI……..336.2150 +0.9043 +0.27%👍
US10Yr..3.8650 +0.0520 +1.36%
VIX……23.73 +1.21 +5.37%‼️

USDIndx..106.9310 +0.6390 +0.60%
Como Indx..282.16 -3.63 -1.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……167.03 +2.68 +1.63%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 -19.45 -15.60%‼️👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15519.50 +24.50 +0.16%
Jisdor..15499.00 +6.00 +0.04%

Euro……..1.0328 -0.0019 0.18%

TLKM……..25.84 -0.14 -0.54%
(4005)
EIDO………23.37 -0.38 -1.60%
EEM……….37.93 -0.23 -0.60%

Oil…………85.87 -3.09 -3.47%‼️
Gold ……1776.90 +7.50 +0.42%
Timah…..21315 – –
(Closed 11/11)
Nickel…29066.50 +1639.50 +5.97%‼️
(Closed 14/11)
Silver………22.11 +0.45 +2.06%
Copper…..382.75 -8.60 -2.19%

Nturl Gas…..6.069 +0.167 +2.83%

Ammonia..4363.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/11)

Coal price….330.35 +3.55 +1.09%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….309.50 +9.50 +3.17%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….304.65 +8.65 +2.92%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….194.00 +3.45 +1.81%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….192.50 +12.00 +6.65%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….192.00 +10.70 +5.90%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 -2.00 -2.18%
Indonesial Coal Index (1+/11)

CPO(Jan)……4108 -182 -4.24%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….659.25 -3.75 -0.57%
SoybeanOil…73.88 -0.66 -0.89%
Wheat………838.25 +3.00 +0.36%

Wood pulp…6670.00 -30 -0.45%
(Closed 14/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Asia varied, Europe ijo, US merah lagi… Kemaren merah dalem IHSG, udah tutup gap, kayanya sekarang ijo walau ga tebel…

Gold Copper merah, Silver Nickel Ijo, bagus buat INCO, MDKA kurang… Oil lanjut turun lagi, gas naik, coal naik, cpo turun. Ini energy geraknya gantian terus oil sama coal, jadi ga set entry nya…

IHSG – udah tutup gap, dan kalo hari ini flat aja, lagging line ichimoku udah tembus candle –> bullish

IHSG – yang jadi masalah itu masih FNS terus… Gimana gimana juga kalo asing keluar ya harga saham terutama yang mereka lepas turun. Ini MACD nya rada critical, semoga ga reverse ke bawah. Stochastic dan MFI sih udah siap mantul

Basic Materials, Technology, Consumer Cyclicals… Property sama Infrastructure keliatan mau gerak

Global update:

September 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 1,200 points for worst day since June 2020 after hot inflation report

Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after a key August inflation report came in hotter than expected, hurting investor optimism for cooling prices and a less aggressive Federal Reserve.

Dow…….31105 -1276.4 -3.94%‼️
Nasdaq.11634 -632.8 -5.16%‼️
S&P 500..3932 -177.7 -4.32%‼️

FTSE…….7386 -87.2 -1.17%
Dax……..13189 -213.2 -1.59%
CAC……..6246 -87.9 -1.39%

Nikkei….28615 +72.5 +0.25%
HSI……..19327 -35.4 -0.18%
Shanghai..3264 +1.7 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7318.02 +63.56 +0.88%
LQ45…1042.64 +9.85 +0.95%

IDX Energy..2063.78 +16.76 +0.82%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.42 -5.20 -0.39%
IDX Industrl..1390.40 +18.58 +1.35%
IDXNONCYC..703.79 +4.24 +0.61%
IDX Hlthcare.1464.26 +9.86: +0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.78 -1.86 -0.21%
IDX Techno..7647.98 -45.90 -0.60%
IDX Transp…1927.02 +42.22 +2.24%
IDX Infrast…..1034.62 +6.15 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1536.62 +28.20 +1.87%
IDX Banking..1193.06 +23.02 +1.97%
IDX Property…734 +7.80 +1.08%

Indo10Yr….7.1745 -0.0089 -0.12%
ICBI……..336.7872 +0.2684 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.4220 +0.0600 +1.78%
VIX……….27.27 +3.40 +14.24%‼️

USDIndx 109.8150 +1.4850 +1.37%
Como Indx..285.77 -1.85 -0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.12 -0.37 -0.24%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14851.50 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor..14861.00 +22.00 +0.15%

Euro……..0.9970 -0.0152 -1.50%

TLKM……..29.58 -0.88 -2.89%‼️
(4396)
EIDO………24.33 -0.26 -1.06%
EEM………38.36 -1.22 -3.08%‼️

Oil…………..87.71 -0.28 -0.32%
Gold ……..1712.70 -23.50 -1.35%
Timah. .21461.00 +296.00 +1.40%
( Closed 12/9)
Nickel…24142.50 -307.50 -1.26%
(Closed 13/9)
Silver…….19.29 -0.52 -2.62%
Copper….353.10 -8.45 -2.34%

Nturl Gas…..8.398 -0.011 -0.13%

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/9)

Coal price….439.35 +1.85 +0.42%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.65 +1.15 +0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.00 +4.00 +0.96%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.00 +7.00 +2.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.50 +10.00 +3.28%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.75 +9.50 +3.11%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3900 +218 +5.92%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.75 -3.25 -0.47%
SoybeanOil…66.73 +0.24 +0.36%
Wheat……..860.50 +1.75 +0.20%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US drop dalem banget, Eropa ikut merah tapi ga terlalu dalem, mungkin sentimen negatif keluar ga lama marketnya tutup. Asia masih pada ijo sisa sentimen hari sebelumnya, cuma hangseng yang merah

Ini worst fear saya, diangkat sampe seolah-olah mau bikin record high, terus dibanting dalem pas saat semua orang lagi greed. Secara technical, jebakan technical persis kaya gini ada di tahun kemaren, pas keluar MACD buy signal pas index dibawa turun lagi

Kemungkinan besar akan dibanting dulu, semoga ga semua sektor dibawa kebawah

IHSG – technically relatif bagus. Memang dari kemarin kemarin sudah dikhawatirkan akan drop bikin Wave 2, cuma belum start aja, karena finance LK pada bagus dan bikin new record high BBCA BMRI, otomatis index keangkat. Ada regular Bearsih Divergence MACD dan ada 3 gap di bawah dan stochastic siap sell yang mendukung koreksi. kalo masih ada profit dan sempet exit bagusnya exit dulu

Yang mungkin contrarian sama index di Basic Materials sama Property, tapi tetep kalo sentimen awal pasti ikut keseret kebawah. Industrials cacingnya masih up aja, tapi udah wave 5 dan ada sentimen negatif kayanya udahan dulu. Financials ga usah dibahas, pasti ngikut index

Global Update:

August 10th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq falls more than 1% as chip stocks struggle, key inflation report looms

Stocks fell on Tuesday as investors navigated a batch of disappointing company reports ahead of a key inflation reading.

Dow…….32774 -58.1 -0.18%
Nasdaq.12494 -150.5 -1.19%
S&P 500..4123 -17.5 -0.42%

FTSE…….7488 +5.8 +0.08%
Dax……..13535 -152.7 -1.12%
CAC……..6490 -34.4 -0.53%

Nikkei….27999 -249.3 -0.88%
HSI……..20003 -42.3 -0.21%
Shanghai..3247 +10.50 +0.32%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7102.88 +16.03 +0.23%
LQ45…1009.71 +1.56 +0.16%

IDX Energy…1812.69 +43.65 +2.47%
IDX Bsc Mat.1333.45 +6.55 +0.42%
IDX Industrl..1310.58 -0.43 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..703.09 -3.76 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare.1411.05 -12.06 -0.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.08 -0.09 -0.01%
IDX Techno..7966.73 +11.57 +0.15%
IDX Transp…2116.60 +16.11 +0.77%
IDX Infrast…..1038.71 +1.17 +0.11%
IDX Finance 1530.40 +5.95 +0.39%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..699 +0.90 +0.13%

Indo10Yr….7.2267 -0.0412 -0.57%👍
ICBI……..334.5894 +0.8171 +0.34%👍
US10Yr…..2.7970 +0.0320 +1.16%
VIX…………21.77 +0.48 +2.25%

USDIndx 106.3010 -0.1340 -0.13%
Como Indx..284.54 +2.74 +0.97%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.58 +1.53 +0.98%

IndoCDS…112.24 -5.02 -4.28%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14852.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14862 .00 -53.00 -0.36%

Euro………1.0214 +0.0020 +0.20%

TLKM……..31.03 -0.31 -0.99%
(4612)
EIDO………23.80 +0.09 +0.38%
EEM………39.96 -0.15 -0.37%

Oil…………..90.50 -0.09 -0.10%
Gold ……1812.30 +7.30 +0.40%
Timah. .24300.00 -155 -0.63%
( Closed 08/8)
Nickel…21526.50 -115.50 -0.53%
(Closed 09/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.839 +0.183 +2.39%

Ammonia….3806.67 -83.33 -2.14%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/8)

Coal price….384.50 +13.50 +3.64%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.00 +14.50 +4.02%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +8.75 +2.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….312.65 +16.40 +5.54%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4125 +49 +1.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………614.00 +6.75 +1.11%
SoybeanOil…64.62 +0.30 +0.47%
Wheat………781.50 +1.75 +0.22%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 09/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional hampir semua merah kecuali Inggris sama China. IHSG juga sempet ijo tebel tapi closing rada tipis. Energy sama banking yang mimpin gerakan

Oil turun dikit, gold silver copper naik – good for MDKA hold, timah nikel turun harusnya ngaruh ke INCO TINS tapi news tesla kayanya tetep bikin gorengan

Gas coal cpo naik, semoga PGAS kebawa naik, coal long bullish sampe januari, tapi kayanya ga mungkin sih 5 bulan rally terus, hehehe

AALI sama LSIP belum ada tanda2 jalan, secara umum consumer belum sih

Dari closing price kemaren ke gap closing selisih 1.01%, angka yang kalo dipaksain dapet dalam sehari, tapi kayanya ga akan kejadian. Tapi kalo bener dipaksain bisa jadi bahaya, bisa rejection candle terus langsung dibanting. Kalo kejadian di pump and dump, bagusnya pasang trailing stop di yang udah profit, atau cutloss di saham yang chart nya jelek

Secara umum indicators masih ngasih isyarat lanjut naik. Semoga kenceng, tapi begitu tutup gap kita pantau ketat

Infrastructure, Tech, Transport, Industrials