Global Update:

September 06th, 2022

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Labor Day

Dow…….31318 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11631 closed +0%
S&P 500..3924 closed +0%

FTSE…….7287 +6.2 +0.09%
Dax……..12761 -289.5 -2.22%
CAC……..6093 -74.3 -1.20%

Nikkei….27620 -31.2 -0.11%
HSI……..19226 -226.4 -1.16%
Shanghai..3200 +13.4 +0.42%
ST Times..3215 +9.8 +0.31%

IDX…….7231.88 +54.70 +0.76%
LQ45…1029.30 +9.50 +0.93%

IDX Energy..2013.28 +74.26 +3.83%‼️
IDX Bsc Mat.1298.06 +7.20 +0.56%
IDX Industrl..1360.09 +24.18 +1.81%
IDXNONCYC..709.23 -0.52 -0.07%
IDX Hlthcare.1415.78 -16.67 -1.16%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.16 -1.50 -0.17%
IDX Techno..7557.48 -27.86 -0.37%
IDX Transp…1927.41 -35.37 -1.80%
IDX Infrast…..1048.07 +3.66 +0.35%
IDX Finance 1524.75 +5.16 +0.34%
IDX Banking..1172.16 +12.19 +1.05%
IDX Property…704 +4.00 +0.56%

Indo10Yr….7.1767 +0.0120 +0.17%
ICBI……..335.9333 -0.3614 -0.11%
US10Yr……3.1930 closed +0%
VIX…………25.99 closed +0%

USDIndx 109.8190 +0.2850 +0.26%‼️
Como Indx..284.47 -0.15 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.38 closed +0%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 +2.31 +1.92%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14907.00 +11.50 +0.08%‼️
Jisdor..14920.00 +20.00 +0.13%‼️

Euro………0.9930 -0.0024 -0.24%

TLKM……..30.30 closed +0%
(4521)
EIDO………24.04 closed +0%
EEM………38.76 closed +0%

Oil…………..88.82 +1.95 +2.24%
Gold ……..1721.20 -14.00 -0.08%
Timah. .21060.00 +95.00 +0.45%
( Closed 02/9)
Nickel…21593.00 +1119.00 +5.47%‼️
(Closed 05/9)
Silver…….18.02 +0.14 +0.78%
Copper….345.85 +4.50 +1.32%

Nturl Gas…..8.763 -0.139 -1.56%

Ammonia….3866.67 – –
China
(Domestic Price)(01/9)

Coal price….457.80 +22.80 +5.24%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….463.75 +22.85 +5.18%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….451.50 +20.95 +4.87%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.50 +16.50 +4.39%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….392.50 +24.15 +6.56%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….385.00 +23.40 +6.47%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3912 +11 +0.28%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..665.75 closed +0%
SoybeanOil…66.25 closed +0%
Wheat……..811.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tutup, eropa merah, asia varied, IHSG bikin higher high, apakah akah lanjut wave 1 nya diperpanjang ke atas? Kita tunggu saja… Sementara sih secara keilmuan baru menggeser titik puncak wave 1 sedikit, belum tentu akan long run

Commodity yang merah cuma gold sama natural gas, yang lain semua ijo, coal naik lagi tinggi, nikel juga naik tinggi

Untuk lanjut break high dan bikin new All Time High kayanya kemungkinan kecil sekali, sekarang belum bisa dikatakan ekonomi pulih, masih kondisi krisis, walau memang LK hampir semua emiten meningkat dibanding masa covid sedang merajalela. Masih menduga bahwa akan mentok sebelum mencapai record high dan akan bikin wave 2

IHSG – di banyak indicator bilang bagus dan akan lanjut, foreign juga netbuy terus, bandar akum terus, MFI naik… Tapi fundamentally rapuh, jadi prepare aja kalo market tiba2 ngebalik. Jangan masuk full cash dulu, masuknya hanya di energy sama finance kalo mau, dan pantau ketat, pasang stop loss/trailing stop.

Energy, Financials, Basic Materials, cocok sama kenaikan commodities. Industrials sama Infrastructure juga ada gerakan bagus, tapi belum dulu deh

Healthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals sudah cape, ga jadi lari, keliatannya duit market maker masuk ke financials dulu

Global Update:

August 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points higher, extends rally to second day ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped Thursday, extending a two-day rally ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech.

Dow…….33292 +322.6 +0.98%
Nasdaq.12639 +207.7 +1.67%
S&P 500..4199 +58.4 +1.41%

FTSE…….7480 +0.2 +0.11%
Dax……..13272 +51.9 +0.39%
CAC……..6382 -5.2 -0.08%

Nikkei….28479 +165.5 +0.58%
HSI……..19968 +699.6 +3.63%
Shanghai..3246 +31.04 +0.97%
ST Times..3247 +14.3 +0.44%

IDX…….7174.21 -20.50 -0.28%
LQ45…1021.48 -5.13 -0.50%

IDX Energy…1889.80 +29.97 +1.61%
IDX Bsc Mat.1299.32 +2.74 +0.21%
IDX Industrl..1316.72 +0.75 +0.06%
IDXNONCYC..710.41 -1.11 -0.16%
IDX Hlthcare.1403.28 -10.55 -0.75%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.35 -4.85 -0.54%
IDX Techno..8068.66 +10.02 +0.12%
IDX Transp…1998.30 -3.72 -0.19%
IDX Infrast…..1033.56 -5.35 -0.51%
IDX Finance 1504.28 +0.52 +0.03%
IDX Banking..1138.10 -0.14 -0.01%
IDX Property…709 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.1292 -0.0299 -0.41%
ICBI……..336.5463 +0.2077 +0.06%
US10Yr…..3.0260 -0.0800 +1.70%
VIX……….21.78 -1.04 -4.56%

USDIndx 108.4010 -0.2760 -0.25%
Como Indx..296.65 -2.11 -0.71%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..158.41 +1.58 +1.01%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14824.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14827 .00 -24.00 -0.16%

Euro………0.9978 +0.0009 +0.09%

TLKM……..30.41 -1.22 -3.86%‼️
(4509)
EIDO………23.93 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM………40.61 +0.86 +2.16%

Oil…………..92.69 -2.56 -2.78%
Gold ……..1770.50 +6.10 +0.35%
Timah. .24505.00 -225.00 -0.92%
( Closed 24/8)
Nickel….21903.50 +496.00 +2.32%‼️
(Closed 25/8)
Silver…….19.16 +0.08 +0.42%
Copper….369.95 +5.45 +1.50%

Nturl Gas…..9.361 +0.125 +1.35%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(24/8)

Coal price….417.50 +4.90 +1.19%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.75 -7.25 -1.73%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….413.00 +1.75 +0.43%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00 -1.25 -0.34%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….375.50 -1.40 -0.37%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….366.00 -2.40 -0.65%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4255 -49 -1.14%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..650.75 -6.50 -0.99%
SoybeanOil…65.86 -0.12 -0.18%
Wheat……..786.75 -26.50 -3.26%‼️

Wood pulp…6714.00 +4 +0.15%
(Closed 25/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe mostly ijo, asia ijo, ihsg merah. Sideways dulu kayanya, belum cukup dalem koreksinya ini buat wave 2

Gold nikel silver copper gas coal naik, oil timah cpo turun. Lanjut lagi ini coal keliatannya, mau nambah muatan cari momentum yang tepat ini harus

IHSG – Foreign mulai exit, MACD hampir sell, stoch down,LR jenuh, PSAR down, waspada koreksi…

Energy Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property kurang meyakinkan tapi kita liat nanti

Global update:

August 25th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks end Wednesday higher, Dow and S&P 500 snap three-day slide

Stocks rose Wednesday, snapping a three-day decline in the Dow and the S&P 500, as investors awaited more clarity on the Federal Reserve’s fight against inflation.

Dow…….32969 +59.6 +0.18%
Nasdaq.12432 +50.2 +0.41%
S&P 500..4141 +12 +0.29%

FTSE…….7471 -16.6 -0.22%
Dax……..13220 +25.8 +0.39%
CAC……..6387 +24.7 +0.39%

Nikkei….28313 -139.3 -0.49%
HSI……..19269 -234.5 -1.20%
Shanghai..3215 -61.02 -1.86%
ST Times..3233 -12.7 -0.39%

IDX…….7194.71 +31.44 +0.44%
LQ45…1026.61 +3.61 +0.35%

IDX Energy…1859.83 +15.55 +0.84%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.57 -4.59 -0.35%
IDX Industrl..1315.97 +10.02 +0.77%
IDXNONCYC..711.52 -2.66 -0.37%
IDX Hlthcare.1413.83 -0.05 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..898.20 +0.81 +0.09%
IDX Techno..8058.64 +183.16 +2.33%
IDX Transp…2002.03 -8.51 -0.42%
IDX Infrast…..1038.90 +0.78 +0.07%
IDX Finance 1503.76 +2.60 +0.17%
IDX Banking..1138.23 -0.07 -0.01%
IDX Property…709 +2.04 +0.34%

Indo10Yr….7.1587 -0.0283 -0.39%
ICBI……..336.3387 +0.6148 +0.18%
US10Yr…..3.1060 +0.0520 +1.70%
VIX……….22.82 -1.29 -5.35%

USDIndx 108.6770 +0.0530 +0.05%
Como Indx..298.86 +2.55 +0.86%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.83 -0.80 -0.51%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14848.00 +10.50 +0.07%
Jisdor..14851 .00 -42.00 -0.28%

Euro………0.9969 -0.0001 -0.01%‼️

TLKM……..31.63 +0.55 +1.77%
(4697)
EIDO………23.92 +0.16 +0.67%
EEM………39.75 -0.01 -0.03%

Oil…………..95.25 +1.50 +1.60%
Gold ……..1764.40 +3.50 +0.20%
Timah. .24505.00 +40.00 +0.16%
( Closed 23/8)
Nickel….21407.50 -443.50 -2.03%‼️
(Closed 24/8)
Silver…….19.08 -0.02 -0.10%
Copper….364.50 -3.40 -0.92%

Nturl Gas…..9.236 -0.006 -0.06%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(23/8)

Coal price….412.60 -5.00 -1.20%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.00 -5.00 -1.18%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.25 -8.75 -2.08%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….371.25 +1.25 +0.34%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….376.90 -2.05 -0.54%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….368.40 -2.60 -0.70%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4304 +67 +1.58%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..657.25 +2.00 +0.31%
SoybeanOil…65.98 -0.94 -1.40%
Wheat………813.25 +12.75 +1.59%

Wood pulp…6704.00 +4 +0.06%
(Closed 24/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah, US ijo, IDX mau ikut ijo atau merah ya? Karena udah run 2 hari, kayanya opening ijo dulu terus closing merah. Yang pegang sektor non Energy Healthcare dan Consumer Non-cyclicals mending TP TP in dulu, minimal setengahnya

Europe mayoritas ijo, Asia mayoritas merah…

Oil Gold TImah CPO naik, Nikel Silver copper gas coal turun

Kesempatan ini buat BOW coal. CPO naik tapi ga terlalu significant kita coba liat efeknya ke AALI dan LSIP dari signal hari ini

IHSG – berhasil ijo lagi kemaren, disaat index regional lain pada merah. Di diskusi group2 wa dan telegram mulai keluar optimistic forecast: Mau bikin new All Time High… Bukannya ga ngarep itu kejadian, tapi index bikin new ATH itu harusnya gambaran dari keadaan ekonomi Indonesia, dan terpengaruh juga sama kondisi global. Kondisi ancaman perang dunia ke-4 dan krisis energi gini sepertinya sih bukan sentimen positif untuk sekarang2 bisa bikin new record high. Indicator2 technical nya juga kurang mendukung ke arah situ

Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cycicals, Technology

Energy – Still all good…

Kalopun turun keseret index aja keliatannya

Global Update:

Dari Phintraco ga ada update market, kita liat dari investing.com aja ya

US merah dalem, europe juga merah, asia jelas udah duluan merah, IHSG sempet minus 1.5%-an, closing 0.9% merah. Wave 2 it is guys, no need to be affraid, emang market mah begitu

Komoditi naik semua, atau bisa dibilang kebalik sih, ketika semua naik, berarti sebenernya dollarnya yang turun.

Semoga ini berarti energy akan lanjut dan basic material ga terlalu dalem dibanting

Asumsi forecast gerakan nya gini ya berdasarkan elliot wave theory, jadi sampe september nanti wajarnya downtrend dulu, jangan pegang barang panjang2 kalo lagi downtrend

Kemaren merah dalem tapi FNB gede, dapet harga obral pemain asing. Ada opening gap, dan merahnya dalem, jadi most like technically hari ini ada rebound dulu. Jangan buat buy, dipake buat sell barang2 yang sektornya bukan Healthcare Energy dan Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Healthcare Energy Consumer Non-Cyclicals, kalo dari cacing RSI ini sama Property dan Consumer Cyclicals juga, tapi chart lain nya ga setuju dengan itu