March 08th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 570 points lower, turns negative for 2023 as Powell ignites higher rate fears

Stocks sold off sharply Tuesday after comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that rates may need to go higher for longer, fueling fears of a potentially larger hike at the central bank’s next policy meeting.

Dow…..32856 -574.98 -1.72%
Nasdaq11530 -145.4 -1.25%
S&P 500.3986 -62.1 -1.53%

FTSE…….7919 -10.3 -0.13%
Dax……..15560 -94.1 -0.60%
CAC……..7339 -33.9 -0.46%

Nikkei…..28309 +71.4 +0.25%
HSI……. .20534 -68.7 -0.33%
Shanghai.3285 -36.9 -1.11%

IDX…..6766.77 -40.24 -0.59%
LQ45….935.74 -2.98 -0.32%
IDX30…486.93 -1.93 -0.40%

IDXEnergy…2052.85 -36.18 -1.73%
IDX BscMat 1192.84 -14.75 -1.22%
IDX Indstrl..1171.30 -20.22 -1.70%
IDXNONCYC..731.23 -5.62 -0.76%
IDX Hlthcare1540.19 -5.25 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…841.61 -3.18 -0.38%
IDX Techno.5429.08 -30.68 -0.71%
IDX Transp.1800.08 -50.78 -2.74%
IDX Infrast….832.76 -10.11 -1.20%
IDX Finance1395.89 -9.83 -0.70%
IDX Banking1128.15 -2.30 -0.20%
IDX Property….685 -1.60 -0.23%

Indo10Yr.6.9517 +0.0191 +0.28%
ICBI….349.1900 -0.1630 -0.05%
US2Yr5.0148‼️+0.1210 +2.47%‼️
US5Yr 4.3150‼️+0.0460 +1.08%
US10Yr3.9700‼️-0.0130 -0.34%
US30Yr.3.8770‼️-0.0350 -0.90%
VIX……. 19.59 +0.98 +5.27%‼️

USDIndx104.2740 -0.2470 -0.24%
Como Indx.269.58 -4.01 -1.47%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.91 -3.34 -2.07%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15367.00 +72.00 +0.47%‼️
Jisdor.15301.00 +58.00 +0.38%‼️

Euro……1.0549 -0.0133 -1.24%

TLKM….25.35 -0.33 -1.28%
(3879)
EIDO……22.11 -0.31 -1.38%
EEM……38.74 -0.66 -1.68%

Oil….77.58 -2.88 -3.58%‼️
Gold…1820.00 -34.60 -1.87%‼️
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..24217.00 -295.50 -1.21%
(Closed 03/06)
Silver…..20.20 -0.94 -4.43%‼️
Copper.397.50 -11.35 -2.78%

Nturl Gas.2.658 +0.0530 +2.03%

Ammonia 4422.33 +16.66 +0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/06)

Coal price.179.25 -2.50 -1.38%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.183.25 -5.50 -2.91%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.50 -4.35 -2.28%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.65 -3.10 -1.58%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.124.50 -1.50 -1.22%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.50 -1.50 -1.29%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.50 +2.50 +2.14%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.00 +3.30 +2.82%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4206 -72 -1.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..634.25 -2.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil..60.45 -0.74 -1.21%
Wheat….698.00 +16.50 +5.08%‼️

Wood pulp…5760.00 -40 -0.69%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua merah kecuali nikkei, US drop dalem. Semoga commodity juga kecuali gas. PGAS jalan? Maybe…

IHSG – stoch ngebalik jadi sell lagi, beneran ini berbahaya… Tapi dari fibonacci retracement lagi di fibo 50, semoga mantul. masih NFS terus, dan BD ga jagain, MFI sw, w% downtrend, triangle breakdown, berhenti belanja dulu bagusnya kecuali saham2 yang firm dipake ganjel index

Industrials Energy Property Technology. Tapi bener2 hati2, harga commodity terkait energy pada turun, Property kayanya yang mendingan

Stoch Buy Signal: ANTM BBNI ICBP SIDO

MACD Buy Signal: DSNG MTEL RAJA

March 07th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes higher Monday to notch four-day win streak

The Dow rose slightly Monday, as Wall Street fought to hold onto last week’s gains and investors braced for a busy week of economic news.

Dow…..33431 +40.5 +0.12%
Nasdaq11676 -13.3 -0.11%
S&P 500.4048 +2.8 +0.07%

FTSE…….7930 -17.3 -0.22%
Dax……..15654 +75.2 +0.48%
CAC……..7373 +25.1 +0.34%

Nikkei…..28238 +310.3 +1.11%
HSI……. .20603 +35.7 +0.17%
Shanghai.3322 -6.4 -0.19%

IDX…..6807.00 -6.64 -0.10%
LQ45….938.72 -0.25 -0.03%
IDX30…488.87 +0.16 +0.03%

IDXEnergy…2089.03 -18.92 -0.90%
IDX BscMat 1207.59 -11.39 -0.93%
IDX Indstrl..1191.53 -5.68 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC..736.85 +5.22 +0.71%
IDX Hlthcare1545.44 -9.89 -0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…845.79 -0.63 -0.08%
IDX Techno.5467.75 +11.97 +0.22%
IDX Transp..1850.86 +6.77 +0.37%
IDX Infrast….842.86 -6.06 -0.71%
IDX Finance1405.72 +0.77 +0.06%
IDX Banking1127.75 -12.61 -1.11%
IDX Property….685 -1.60 -0.23%

Indo10Yr.6.9326 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI….349.3529 +0.1378 +0.04%
US2Yr 4.8861‼️+0.0250 +0.52%
US5Yr 4.2546‼️+0.0020 +0.04%
US10Yr3.9640‼️+0.0010 +0.02%
US30Yr.3.8990‼️+0.0120 +0.30%
VIX……. 18.61 +0.12 +0.65%

USDIndx104.2740 -0.2470 -0.24%
Como Indx.273.59 -1.47 -0.53%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.24 -0.76 -0.47%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15295.00 -16.00 -0.10%‼️
Jisdor.15301.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼️

Euro……1.0682 +0.0044 +0.44%

TLKM….25.68 -0.34 -1.31%
(3929)
EIDO……22.42 -0.19 -0.84%
EEM……39.40 -0.14 -0.35%

Oil……80.46 +0.76 +0.98%
Gold…1854.60 unch +0%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..24512.50 -162.50 -0.66%
(Closed 03/06)
Silver…….21.14 -0.10 -0.49%
Copper..408.85 +2.15 +0.53%

Nturl Gas.2.605 -0.404 -13.43%‼️

Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/02)

Coal price.181.75 -7.15 -3.79%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.188.75 -6.65 -3.40%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.85 -8.45 -4.24%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.75 -5.25 -2.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.123.00 -8.75 -6.64%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.00 -10.25 -8.12%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.00 -9.80 -7.73%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.70 -10.65 -8.36%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4278 -79 -1.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..637.00 -2.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil..60.45 -0.74 -1.21%
Wheat……695.25 -13.50 -1.90%

Wood pulp…5800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, Nasdaq merah tiips, europe varied, asia kemaren kebanyakan tipis2 kecuali nikkei yang ijo tebel. Masih sideways dulu keliatannya

Oil ijo tipis, gas drop, coal lanjut merah, kita check NCF chart later… Metal2 tipis tipis semua, belum kemana mana

Dari hitungan elliot wave lanjut ABC correction, level harga coal sekarang sudah memenuhi level beres retracement, bisa diharapkan mantul, MACD masih up tapi stochastic ngebalik lagi, masih di area oversold sih, Masih berharap ada satu swing lagi ke atas di maret

IHSG – masih NFS, BD lokal ga jagain juga jadi ngebalik lagi deh stochastic nya,MACD down MFI sw W% sw, lagi di fibo 50 dari kenaikan terakhir, udah terbentuk reg bull div di CCI,semoga false break triangle, terus jadi keatas. Tapi short term masih down or sw dulu

Industrials, Energy, Property. Tapi kemaren Energy nya drop semua malah, heuheu

Stoch Buy Signal: BBRI GOTO UNVR ADHI ADMR GGRM ISAT MTMH PNLF INCI LMSH

Index abis drop banyak saham jadi oversold, mantul dikit jadi buy signal, kalo udah banyak buy signal gini mending pilih hanya LQ45

MACD Buy Signal: MTMH SMDR INCI LMSH LTLS

Alligator Buy Signal: BABP BSSR

March 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Dow breaks 4-week losing streak as 10-year Treasury yield retreats

Stocks rose Friday as Treasury yields eased from their recent highs and investors weighed the cumulative impact from Fed hikes already implemented and digested this week’s comments from the central bank.

Dow…..33391 +387.4 +1.17%
Nasdaq11689 +226.02+1.97%
S&P 500.4046 +64.3 +1.61%

FTSE…….7947 +3.1 +0.04%
Dax……..15578 +250.8 +1.64%
CAC……..7348 +63.9 +0.88%

Nikkei…..27927 +428.6 +1.56%
HSI……. .20568 +138.1 +0.68%
Shanghai.3328 +17.7 +0.54%

IDX…..6813.64 -43.78 -0.64%
LQ45….938.96 -6.81 -0.32 %
IDX30…488.79 -4.47 -0.91%

IDXEnergy…2107.96 -6.81 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1218.98 -2.68. -0.22%
IDX Indstrl..1197.20 -9.57 -0.79%
IDXNONCYC..731.63 -8.37 -1.13%
IDX Hlthcare1555.33 -5.62 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…845.42 -1.61 -0.19%
IDX Techno.5455.78 +43.53 + 0.80%
IDX Transp..1844.09 -25.53 -1.37%
IDX Infrast….848.99 +4.13 +0.49%
IDX Finance1404.95 -10.17 -0.72%
IDX Banking1127.75 -12.61 -1.11%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9361 +0.0256 +0.37%‼️
ICBI….349.0803 -0.0894 -0.03%‼️
US2Yr 4.8606‼️-0.0004 -0.01%
US5Yr 4.2492‼️ -0.0038 -0.09%
US10Yr3.9580‼️ -0.0050 -0.14%
US30Yr.3.8780‼️-0.0090 -0.24%
VIX……. 18.49 -1.10 -5.62%

USDIndx104.5210 -0.4630 -0.44%‼️
Como Indx.275.05 +3.75 +1.38%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….162.00 +0.42 +0.26%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15311.00 +30.50 +0.20%‼️
Jisdor.15306.00 +33.00 +0.22%‼️

Euro……1.0635 +0.0036 +0.34%

TLKM….26.02 +0.31 +1.21%
(39283)
EIDO……22.61 -0.21 -0.92%
EEM……39.54 +0.35 +0.89%

Oil……79.68 +1.52 +1.94%
Gold.1854.60 +14.10+0.77%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24675 +443.00 +1.83%
(Closed 03/03)
Silver…….21.24 +0.34 +1.61%
Copper..406.70 -0.90 -0.22%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4406.67 -16.67 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/02)

Coal price.188.90 -4.10 -2.12%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.40 -2.60 -1.31%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.30 -2.35 -1.17%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.00 -4.35 -2.12%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.131.75 -11.50 -8.03%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.25 -13.75 -9.82%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.80 -14.20-10.07%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.35 -14.35 -10.13%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4357 +64 +1.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..639.75 +6.00 +0.95%
SoybeanOil..61.19 -0.71 -1.15%
Wheat……708.75 -4.00 -0.56%

Wood pulp…5800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at ijo tebel, in fact malah IHSG doang yang closing merah, semua asia eropa ijo… 😅

Oil Ijo Gas Coal merah, metal2 ijo semua, kecuali copper, CPO ijo, TINS udah buy signal, mungkin MDKA hari ini kalo closing ijo

IHSG – retest fibo 38, dan pas mantul disitu seperti sebelumnya. Stoch buy, macd down, BD FF dist, MFI W% down, masih optimis false break jadi mantul

Industrials, Property, Energy

Stoch Buy Signal: INTP MDKA TBIG DSNG MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO TBIG TINS

Alligator Buy Signal: ASII ITMG UNTR APIC CTRA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BSSR

March 03rd 2023

Good morning,

Dow…..33034 +341.7 +1.05%
Nasdaq11463 +84.5 +0.73%
S&P 500.3981 +29.96 +0.76%

FTSE…….7944 +29.1 +0.37%
Dax……..15328 +22.6 +0.15%
CAC……..7284 +49.97 +0.69%

Nikkei…..27499 -17.7 -0.06%
HSI……..20429 -190.3 -0.92%
Shanghai.3311 -1.7 -0.05%

IDX…..6857.42 +12.48 +0.18%
LQ45….947.15 +1.33 +0.14 %
IDX30…493.17 +0.87 +0.18%

IDXEnergy…2114.76 +21.21 +1.01%
IDX BscMat 1221.67 -17.63 -1.42%
IDX Indstrl..1206.77 +12.35 +1.03%
IDXNONCYC..740.00 +3.00 +0.41%
IDX Hlthcare1560.95 +4.43 +0.28%
IDXCYCLIC…847.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Techno.5412.25 -4.87 – 0.09%
IDX Transp..1869.62 -33.57 -1.76%
IDX Infrast….844.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Finance1415.12 +5.57 +0.39%
IDX Banking1140.36 +6.21 +0.55%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9105 +0.0364 +0.53%‼️
ICBI….349.1696 -0.7977 -0.23%‼️
US5Yr 4.3143‼️ +0.0490 +1.16%
US10Yr4.0620‼️ +0.0660 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.0010‼️+0.0480 +1.21%
VIX……. 19.59 -0.99 -4.81%

USDIndx104.9840 +0.6210 +0.60%‼️
Como Indx.271.30 -1.51 -0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.59 -2.95 -1.79%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15280.00 +45.50 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor.15273.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……1.0599 -0.0069 -0.64%

TLKM….25.71 -0.17 -0.66%
(3927)
EIDO……22.82 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM…….39.19 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…….78.16 +0.47 +0.61%
Gold.. 1840.50 -4.90 -0.27%
Timah 25334 +371 +1.49%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24232 -899.00 -3.58%‼️
(Closed 03/02)
Silver…….20.90 -0.19 -0.92%
Copper..407.60 -8.40 -2.02%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4390.00 -16.66 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price.193.00 -0.50 -0.26%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.198.00 +1.25 +0.64%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.65 +1.40 +0.70%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.35 +1.20 +0.59%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.25 -0.60 -0.42%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 140.00 -3.55 -2.47%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.00 -4.40 -3.03%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.70 -4.90 -3.34%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4293 +105 +2.51%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.75 -2.00 -0.31%
SoybeanOil..61.90 +1.07 +1.76%
Wheat……712.75 +2.75 +0.39%

Wood pulp…5840.00 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 03/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lumayan tebel, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG ijo kemaren tapi ada 26 saham ARB, rada anomali

Oil ijo gas coal merah, metal2 merah kecuali timah, nikel malah drop. Belum saatnya belanja saham tambang mineral logam, dikit lagi…

CPO naik tinggi, mungkin ini saatnya mulai rally. Kita check detail di emitennya nanti

IHSG – kemaren sudah FNB, stoch buy, macd masih down but flattening, MFI sw, W% sw, masih jadwal wave 3, keliatan bentuk triangle pattern, semoga breakout ke atas

Industrials Energy Property. Bank2 sudah mulai buy signal tapi sektor Financials nya belum firm

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO BBCA BBNI BUKA TINS AALI BRMS

MACD Buy Signal: INCO PGAS MAPI

Alligator Buy Signal: DOID IGAR

Supertrend Buy Signal: ITMG IGAR

ARTO skip

BBCA – buat indikasi aja, bukan mau dibeli, hehehe… stoch buy, macd still down, BD FF net sell, MFI down, w% downtrend, masih jadwal wave 3 tapi lagi jatahnya sideways dulu, belum…

BUKA – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, W% downtrend, BD dist, FF acc tipis, dari IPO drop, belum retrace, pelan2 bottom nya tambah tinggi, sektor bukan leading, belum sih

TINS – stoch buy macdbuy, MFI up, W% uptrend, BD acc, masih NFS tipis, ew reverse done, ketemu regbull div terus mantul, kejedot fibo 23, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy harusnya

Ternyata spike nya ok, spike tinggi pas harga sideways

Harga aman. Ada gap juga di atas, bisa spec buy half, half lagi tunggu firm acc BD dan FF

AALI – stoch buy bolak balik, macd up MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, abis drop mulai gerak naikpelan2 belum ada gerakan signifikan yang diikuti higher low, WNS deh

BRMS – Technical ok, tapi saham bakrie nggak deh

INCO – stoch up macd buy, 833 sell, MFI up, BD FF acc, w% sw, masih konsol di sekitar fibo 61 terjunan abc correction, belum lanjut wave 3. Kalo mau entry tunggu 833 buy lagi while MACD masih firm. Nikel drop jadi agak khawatir dulu

PGAS – stoch up macd buy, MFI sw, BD FF acc, w%up, belum breakout resistance, hold, kalo breakout neckline nambah

MAPI – saham hajatan, baru kemaren sell signal MACD sekarang ngebalik lagi, masalahnya udah naik tinggi, udah wave 5 dan udah ketemu bearish divergence, ga ok buat new entry, kalo yang udah pegang berani hold sambil pasang trailing stop

DOID – coal emang pada gerak, stoch up, macd up, alligator buy, MFI sw, W% uptrend, mau breakout patternd double bottom, yang belum punya coal boleh beli ini… Saya pegang HRUM

ITMG – kalo masuk sekarang nanggung, belum pasti breakout resistance, kalo entry dari kemaren pas buy signal MACD ok hold, entry baru mending nunggu konfirmasi breakout resistance 38.675

IGAR skip